• Title/Summary/Keyword: Depth estimation

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Estimation of Frequency Based Snowfall Depth Considering Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 미래 확률적설량 산정)

  • Kim, Yon-Soo;Kim, Soo-Jun;Kwak, Jae-Won;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.196-196
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    • 2012
  • 전 지구적으로 발생하고 있는 잦은 기상이변과 기후변화의 가속화로 자연재해 발생빈도 및 피해규모는 증가하는 추세로 나타나고 있다. 이러한 기상이변은 우리나라 또한 예외가 아니며 최근 한반도에서 발생한 적설로 인하여 많은 인명과 재산피해가 증가하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기상청에서 제공하는 KMA-RCM 기후자료를 바탕으로 관측자료 및 시나리오의 온도, 강수, 적설량 간의 관계를 이용하여 기상청 산하 기상관측소 58개 대상 지점으로부터 목표기간별(목표 I:1979~2008년, 목표 II:2011~2040년, 목표 II:2041~2070년, 목표IV:2071~2100년) 적설량을 예측하였으며, 빈도별(20년, 30년, 50년, 80년, 100년, 200년) 확률적설량을 산정하고자 하였다. KMA-RCM 자료를 이용한 미래 적설량 예측은 기상인자들의 복잡한 비선형 조합으로 발생하기 때문에 적설량에 영향을 미치는 온도, 강수, 적설량의 비선형 과정들을 고려할 수 있는 신경망 모형을 이용하여 적설량 예측 모형을 구성하였고, 58개 대상 지점의 30년 이상 관측기상자료 중 온도, 강수, 적설량 자료를 이용하여 지점별로 훈련을 시켜 이를 기후변화 시나리오에 활용하였다. 확률적설량에서 매개변수 추정은 확률가중모멘트법(PWM)을 이용하였고 적정확률분포형으로는 시나리오적 방법 및 비시나리오적 방법에 대한 분포형 검정결과 가장 적합하다고 판정되는 Gumbel분포형을 선정하였다. 위의 방법론을 통하여 미래 목표기간별로 확률적설량을 확률적설량을 산정하였으며 본 연구결과는 기후변화 시나리오를 고려한 목표기간별 적설량 산정 및 관련 방재기준의 개선 방안 및 재설정 기준 마련에 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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High Cyclic Fatigue Life and Fracture Behaviors of Shot-Peened Bearing Steel (쇼트피닝 처리를 한 베어링강의 고사이클 피로수명 및 파괴거동)

  • Yoon, Sang-Jae;Choi, Nak-Sam
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.35 no.9
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    • pp.1119-1129
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    • 2011
  • Shot-peening effects on the fatigue behavior of bearing steel were investigated under the high cyclic loading. Hourglass shape specimens were made of bearing steel(JIS-SUJ2) for rotary bending fatigue tests. Two kinds of treatments were performed : a heat treatment and a shot-peened surface treatment after the heat treatment. The fracture surfaces of specimens were classified into two types of fracture mode : the surface fracture mode induced by a surface defect and the internal fracture mode induced by a nonmetallic inclusion. Inclusion depth and shape affected considerably the fatigue life. Shot-peening treatment improved much the fatigue life of the bearing steel under low and high levels of cyclic loads. Probabilistic-stress-life (P-S-N) curves were suggested for the reliable fatigue life estimation of the improved bearing steel.

The Analysis of Flood in an Ungauged Watershed using Remotely Sensed and Geospatial Datasets (II) - Focus on Estimation of Flood Inundation - (원격탐사와 공간정보를 활용한 미계측 유역 홍수범람 해석에 관한 연구(II) - 침수 피해면적 산정을 중심으로 -)

  • Son, Ahlong;Kim, Jongpil
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.35 no.5_2
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    • pp.797-808
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    • 2019
  • This study evaluated the applicability of spacebourne datasets to the flood analysis in an ungauged watershed where is no discharge measurements. The Duman River basin of North Korea was selected as a target area which was flooded by recent Typhoon Lionrock. Topographical parameters for flood analysis were estimated from the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) Global Digital Elevation Model (GDEM). GDEM includes the shortcomings of information on river cross-section, and conducted 2 dimensional flood analysis when considering virtual river cross-section and not considering it. As a result of comparative analysis, an error occurs in the inundation area and depth, but when used carefully, it is considered that the satellite image can be used for creating flood hazard map and utilizing information for response and preparation.

Estimation of Local Scour Depth in Gravel-river Bend (자갈하천 만곡부의 국부세굴심 산정기법)

  • Cho, Jaewoong;Park, Sang Deog
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.393-393
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    • 2016
  • 자갈하천 만곡부에서 하상의 세굴심을 파악하는 것은 하천의 수공구조물 안전설계를 위해 고려할 중요한 요소이다. 모래하천에서 만곡부의 국부세굴에 대한 연구는 활발하게 이루어지고 있으나 자갈하천 만곡부의 세굴심에 대한 연구는 부족한 실정이다. 만곡부 세굴심은 하천경사, 하상재료, 유로형태 등에 따라서 다르다. 따라서 하천 만곡부의 세굴심을 산정하기 위한 공식들은 지배적인 독립변수로 사용되고 있는 유량, 유속 또는 Froude수, 수심, 하상재료의 직경 등에 따라 분류할 수 있다. 세굴심과 단위폭당 유량의 관계는 Lacey (1930), Abbott (1963), Blench (1969), Neill (1973)의 공식이 있다. 만곡부에 접근하는 상류부에서 Froude 수와 만곡부의 세굴심의 관계는 Liu et. al (1961), Zeller (1981), Mussetter (1994)의 공식이 있다. 또한 만곡부의 수심-세굴심 또는 하상재료의 직경과 세굴심의 관계를 나타내는 공식이 USBR, USACE, FHA 등에서 사용되고 있다. 하상재료와 세굴의 관계공식은 하천 만곡부에서 세굴심은 하상재료에 따라 발생될 수 있는 최대 크기가 정해져 있다고 본 것이다. 하상재료는 하천의 유사이송능력과 유역의 유사공급능력을 반영하기 때문에 하천의 수리특성을 나타낼 수 있는 변수이나 하상재료의 평균입경 특성에 영향을 미치는 수리학적인 요인들이 너무 많고 간접적이라는 한계가 있다. 자갈하상 하천에서 Mussetter, Liu, Abbott 공식은 세굴발생에 대한 한계조건을 반영하지 못하고 대부분 세굴심을 과대 추정한다. 자갈하천에서 Zeller 및 Lacey 공식과 USACE 방법에 의한 세굴심은 적용성이 있다고 볼 수 있는 유량조건이 있다. 이같이 대부분 세굴심 공식이 모래하천에서 개발되었기 때문에 자갈하천의 만곡부 세굴심을 산정하기 위해서는 하상재료의 특성이 반영되어야 한다.

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Basin-scale PMF Estimation Method by considering Spatio-temporal Characteristics (시·공간성을 고려한 유역기반의 PMF 산정)

  • Kim, Youngkyu;Kim, Yeonsu;Yu, Wansik;Oh, Sungryul;Jung, Kwansue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.139-139
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    • 2016
  • 가능최대홍수량(Probable Maximum Flood, PMF)이란 대규모 수공구조물을 설계하고자 할 때 막대한 경제적 손실 및 인명피해 등을 막기 위해 기준으로 삼는 설계홍수량이며, 통계학적으로는 약 10,000년 빈도에 해당된다. 우리나라의 호우 특성은 방위, 진행방향 및 위에 따른 해석이 매우 복잡하여 강우를 정형화하기 어렵다. Kim and Won(2004)은 이동성 호우의 경우 강우의 깊이-면적-지속기간(Rainfall Depth-Area-Duration)의 분석결과에서 상당한 오차를 야기하는 문제점을 지닌다고 주장하였다. 따라서 오차를 포함한 DAD의 산정결과는 가능최대강수량(Probable Maximum Precipitation, PMP) 및 가능최대홍수량 산정에도 영향을 미치기 때문에 정확도 높은 DAD 분석을 통한 PMF 산정이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 유역을 선정하고 각 지점의 시계열 강우 자료를 활용하여 공간분포화한 강우자료에 격자기반의 자동 강우장 탐색기법을 이용하여 DAD 분석을 실시하였다. 기존의 PMP 산정방법에서는 한반도 전역에서 발생했던 130 mm이상의 호우사상을 선정한 후에 각 호우의 범위에 있는 우량관측소의 강우자료를 이용하여 PMP를 산정한다. 그렇기 때문에 만약 상대적으로 긴 지속기간의 경우 호우의 범위가 우리나라 전역을 포함할 가능성이 크기 때문에 PMP 산정방법은 복잡하고, 기상이변이 잦지 않는 지역에서 산정된 PMP를 이용하여 PMF를 산정할 경우, 유역의 특성을 반영하지 않았기 때문에 과대산정의 우려가 있다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 먼저 연구대상유역을 선정한 뒤, 유역 내에 발생했던 호우경보와 호우주의보를 기준으로 호우사상을 선정하여 DAD 분석 후 PMP를 산정하였다. 그 후, 강우-유출관계를 파악하여 PMF를 산정하였다.

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Simplified Collision Analysis Method for Submerged Floating Railway Using the Theory of a Beam with an Elastic Foundation (탄성지지 보이론을 이용한 해중철도 간이 충돌해석법)

  • Seo, Sung-Il;Kim, Jin Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.202-206
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    • 2013
  • A submerged floating railway is an innovative tunnel infrastructure passing through the deep sea independent of wave and wind so that high speed trains can run on it. It doesn't depend on water depth and is cost effective due to modular construction on land. The construction period can be reduced drastically. This paper introduces the concept design of a submerged floating railway, and for securing safety, proposes a method to analyze the structural behavior of the body in case of collision with a submarine. The theory of a beam with an elastic foundation was used to calculate the equivalent mass of the body so that the perfect elastic collision could be applied to calculate the collision velocity. The maximum deformation and bending moment was analyzed based on energy conservation. To verify the results, a collision analysis using a finite element analysis code was made. Comparing the results confirmed that this simplified collision analysis method gives enough accurate deformation and bending moment to be used for actual estimation in the initial design stage.

Estimating the shear velocity profile of Quaternary silts using microtremor array (SPAC) measurements (Microtremor 배열 (SPAC) 측정을 이용한 제4기 실트층의 S파 속도구조 추정)

  • Roberts James;Asten Michael
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.34-40
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    • 2005
  • We have used the microtremor method, with arrays of up to 96 m diameter, to carry out non-invasive estimation of shear-wave velocity profiles to a depth of 30 to 50 m in unconsolidated Quaternary Yarra Delta sediments. Two silt units (Coode Island Silt, and Fishermans Bend Silt) dominate our interpretation; the method yields shear velocities for these units with precision of $5\%$, and differentiates between the former, softer unit ($V_s$=130 m/sec) and the latter, firmer unit ($V_s$=235 m/sec). Below these silts, the method resolves a firm unit correlating with known gravels ($V_s$ 500 to 650 m/sec). Using surface traverses with the single-station H/V spectral ratio method, we show that the variation in thickness of the softer silt can be mapped rapidly but only qualitatively. The complexity of the geological section requires that array methods be used when quantitative shear-wave velocity profiles are desired.

Comparative Analysis of Subsurface Estimation Ability and Applicability Based on Various Geostatistical Model (다양한 지구통계기법의 지하매질 예측능 및 적용성 비교연구)

  • Ahn, Jeongwoo;Jeong, Jina;Park, Eungyu
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.31-44
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    • 2014
  • In the present study, a few of recently developed geostatistical models are comparatively studied. The models are two-point statistics based sequential indicator simulation (SISIM) and generalized coupled Markov chain (GCMC), multi-point statistics single normal equation simulation (SNESIM), and object based model of FLUVSIM (fluvial simulation) that predicts structures of target object from the provided geometric information. Out of the models, SNESIM and FLUVSIM require additional information other than conditioning data such as training map and geometry, respectively, which generally claim demanding additional resources. For the comparative studies, three-dimensional fluvial reservoir model is developed considering the genetic information and the samples, as input data for the models, are acquired by mimicking realistic sampling (i.e. random sampling). For SNESIM and FLUVSIM, additional training map and the geometry data are synthesized based on the same information used for the objective model. For the comparisons of the predictabilities of the models, two different measures are employed. In the first measure, the ensemble probability maps of the models are developed from multiple realizations, which are compared in depth to the objective model. In the second measure, the developed realizations are converted to hydrogeologic properties and the groundwater flow simulation results are compared to that of the objective model. From the comparisons, it is found that the predictability of GCMC outperforms the other models in terms of the first measure. On the other hand, in terms of the second measure, the both predictabilities of GCMC and SNESIM are outstanding out of the considered models. The excellences of GCMC model in the comparisons may attribute to the incorporations of directional non-stationarity and the non-linear prediction structure. From the results, it is concluded that the various geostatistical models need to be comprehensively considered and comparatively analyzed for appropriate characterizations.

Assessment of The Above-Ground Carbon Stock and Soil Physico-Chemical Properties of an Arboretum within The University of Port Harcourt, Nigeria

  • Akhabue, Enimhien Faith;Chima, Uzoma Darlington;Eguakun, Funmilayo Sarah
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.193-205
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    • 2021
  • The importance of forests and trees in climate change mitigation and soil nutrient cycling cannot be overemphasized. This study assessed the above-ground carbon stock of two exotic and two indigenous tree species - Gmelina arborea, Tectona grandis, Khaya grandifoliola and Nauclea diderrichii and their litter impact on soil nutrient content of an arboretum within the University of Port Harcourt, Nigeria. Data were collected from equal sample plots from the four species' compartments. Tree growth variables including total height, diameter at breast height, crown height, crown diameter and merchantable height were measured for the estimation of above-ground carbon stock. Soil samples were collected from a depth of 0-30 cm from each compartment and analyzed for particle size distribution, organic carbon, total nitrogen, available phosphorus, exchangeable bases, exchangeable acidity, cation exchange capacity, base saturation, pH, Manganese, Iron, Copper and Zinc. Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) was used to test for significant difference (p<0.05) in the carbon contents of the four species and the soil nutrient contents of the different species' compartments. Pearson correlation was used to assess the relationships between the carbon contents, growth parameters and soil parameters. The highest and lowest carbon stock per hectare was observed for G. arborea (151.52 t.ha-1) and K. grandifoliola (45.45 t.ha-1) respectively. Cation exchange capacity and base saturation were highest and lowest for soil under G. arborea and K. grandifoliola respectively. The pH was highest and lowest for soil under G. arborea and T. grandis respectively. Carbon stock correlated positively with dbh, crown diameter, merchantable height and Zn and negatively with base saturation. The study revealed that G. arborea and N. diderrichii can effectively be used for reforestation and afforestation programmes aimed at climate change mitigation across Nigeria. Therefore, policies to encourage and enhance their planting should be encouraged.

Efficacy and Safety of OnabotulinumtoxinA in Patients With Neurogenic Detrusor Overactivity Caused by Spinal Cord Injury: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

  • Li, Guang-Ping;Wang, Xiao-Yan;Zhang, Yong
    • International Neurourology Journal
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.275-286
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: OnabotulinumtoxinA (BoNT-A) is a promising therapy for treating neurogenic detrusor overactivity (NDO) in individuals with spinal cord injury (SCI). This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to carry out an in-depth review and to make an objective estimation of the efficacy and safety of BoNT-A on NDO after SCI. Methods: The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched for all relevant articles published from 2001 to 2016 that referred to NDO, SCI, and BoNT-A or botulinum toxin A. All data were recorded in an Excel spreadsheet by 2 individual reviewers. Review Manager version 5.3 was used to carry out the meta-analysis. Results: This analysis included 17 studies involving 1,455 patients. Compared with placebo and baseline, BoNT-A was effective in increasing maximum cystometric capacity, volume at first involuntary detrusor contraction, cystometric bladder capacity (all P<0.00001), compliance (P=0.001), and the number of patients with complete dryness (P=0.0003), and decreasing detrusor pressure, the number of patients with no involuntary detrusor contractions, the maximum flow rate, the incidence of detrusor overactivity (all P<0.00001), and the number of urinary incontinence episodes (P=0.001). There were no statistically significant differences between doses of 200 U and 300 U or between injections into the detrusor and submucosa. There were no life-threatening adverse events. Conclusions: BoNT-A is effective and safe in treating NDO after SCI. There were no statistically significant differences between doses of 200 U and 300 U or between injecting into the detrusor and submucosa. However, more high-quality randomized controlled trials are still needed.