• 제목/요약/키워드: Demand forecasting

검색결과 799건 처리시간 0.028초

생산(生産) - 재고관리(在庫管理) 시스템의 동적거동(動的擧動)에 관한 연구(硏究) (A Study of Dynamic Behavior of Production - Inventory Control System)

  • 김만식;박용선
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 1979
  • This paper discusses an application of discrete variable Servo Theory to the analysis of the effectiveness of production-inventory control system which uses exponential smoothing as a specific forecasting technique by establishing a new model which consists of such three departments as production planning, production, and inventory. The objective of the new production-inventory model is to keep the production to the optimal level of minimum production cost in production planning problem for obtaining, the stability of inventory subject to demand variation. On this basis, the dynamic characteristic of the system with the change of the parameters is clarified by the numerical analysis. The results of the numerical analysis show the effect that is obtained by the simultaneous stability of production and inventory as soon as possible.

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소규모 댐의 효과적 운영을 위한 저수관리 기법 개발 (Development of Storage Management Method for Effective Operation of Small Dams)

  • 김필식;김선주
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2006
  • Large dams are managed with operation standard and flood forecasting systems, while small dams do not have management method generally. Shortage of water resources and natural disasters due to drought and flood raised public concerns for management of small dams. Most of small dams are irrigation dams, which need diversified water uses. However, the lack of systematic management of small dams have caused serious water wastage and increased natural disasters. Storage management method and system were developed to solve these problems in small dams. The system was applied to Seongju dam for effective management. The storage management method was established considering hydrology simulation and statistical analysis using the system. This method can bring additional available water, even in the same conditions of the water demand and the supply conditions of watershed. It can improve the flood control capacity and water utilization efficiency by' the flexible operation of storage space.

정보통신 서비스의 실패 요인: 한국의 텔레콤 서비스시장에서의 실패사례연구 (An Exploratory Study for the Telecommunications Service Failure Cases in South Korea)

  • 안재현;권재원;김명수;이동주;이상윤;한상필
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.115-133
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, 15 South Korean telecommunications service failure cases were analyzed. Through the in-depth case study, 8 factors were found to be the major causes contributing to the telecommunications service failure. They were (1) ineffective marketing, (2) poor demand forecasting due to misjudgment of customer preference, (3) failure to satisfy technical specifications, (4) loss of cost advantage due to the price cut of competing services or new entry with lower price, (5) loss of utility advantage due to the increased utility of competing services or new entry with higher utility (6) decrease of market attractiveness due to change of customer preference, (7) impact of government policy, and (8) insufficient or low quality of contents. Additional analysis was done to derive managerial implications to the new telecommunications service development strategy. The findings from the paper will provide valuable Insight to the successful Implementation of new service development and service provisioning processes.

都市交通計劃 모델과 大氣汚染 擴散모델을 이용한 都市地域 大氣汚染 豫測 (Air Pollution Forecasting Using Urban Transportation Planning Models and Air Pollution Dispersion Models)

  • 董宗仁;趙康來;金良均;兪 浣
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 1986
  • Motor vehicle related air pollution has become more serious because of rapid increase of number of cars, specially in the urban area. The increase trend seems to be accelerated, however, the fact is that road conditions, parking facilities and traffic control systems are far behind coping with this situation. In spite of the lack of related basic data, urban transportation planning (UPT) and air pollution dispersion models were applied to predict air pollution level. In standard UPT model, trip generation, distribution, modal split and network assignment were estimated by experimental equations and appropriate models. The air pollution level in the central business area was believed to be higher and it will increase continuously due to the increase of traffic demand. To meet this situation, air pollution problem should be considered as a part of integrated plannings of urban plans or transportation plans as well as more stringent motor vehicle emission standards, have to be enforced.

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전자산업의 서비스부품에 대한 국제로지스틱스 연구

  • 김태현
    • 한국유통학회지:유통연구
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.141-172
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    • 1996
  • This study is to investigate global logistics strategies of Korean electronics companies. in terms of service parts. According to the survey, Korean electronics companies were pursuing multi-level global logistics network such as global, continental, national, regional and service center echelon for improving the efficiency of service parts global logistics. Especially there was a tendency of developing new continental distribution centers. And the companies were exploiting efficiency through inventory control by multi-level echelon, demand forecasting by the product life cycle and supply and service lead time management. But there were some insufficient factors for the efficiency of global logistics operation at the construction of worldwide real time logistics information system and pursuit of the efficiency on the whole network including subcontractors. For the future competitive advantage of the Korean electronics companies, the following are suggested: 1) the establishment of arranged logistics channel adjusting each company's global strategy, 2) the construction of worldwide real time logistics information system, 3) the reengineering of all logistics procedures such as order processing, shipping, inventory control, etc., 4) the enhancement of the ratio of the supply from the external companies and the internal manufacturing subsidiaries at each continent, 5) and the pursuit of operational internalization of external subcontractors.

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캄보디아 국경연계 송전망 타당성 연구 (Feasibility Study for the cross border transmission project in Cambodia)

  • 백승도;김종화;김세현;최상주
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2006년도 제37회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.38-39
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    • 2006
  • KEPCO is executing a project in Cambodia consisting of two components, "Power Development Master Plan and Institutional Strengthening" and "Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS) Power Project Preparation" upon request by the government of the Ministry of Industry, Mines and Energy of Cambodia, contracted on $29^{th}$ September 2005. This paper includes a basic design and review of economical efficiency for constructing the two (2) cross border 115 kV transmission lines, which run from the border of Vietnam and Laos to Cambodia, and four (4) 115kV substations. The main contents of the paper include the process of design and results of a review of line route selection, tower and hardware design regarding transmission line design, as well as the type of substation, and arrangement and specifications of equipment with expects to substation design. Also, long-term demand forecasting, and an economic analysis of the project area are included.

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전자상거래 효율화를 위한 Web Mining기반 수요예측방법 (Method of Demand Forecasting Based on Web Mining for Efficient of Electronic Commerce)

  • 주종문;황승국
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회 학술발표 논문집 제14권 제1호
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 효율적인 전자상거래를 위해 Web Mining을 기반으로 고객의 수요를 예측하고 고객요구에 대응한 능동적인 생산을 위해 생산자의 구매수요를 공급자의 입장에서 예측하는 방법을 제안하였다. 먼저, 고객의 구매정보를 분석하여 다양한 고객의 구매패턴을 찾아내고 이를 통해 고객의 수요를 예측하였다. 이렇게 예측된 수요는 생산업체에 모여져 생산전략을 수립하게 된다. 생산전략이 수립되면 생산업체는 부품의 수급을 위해 공급업체에 대한 부품 구매일정과 고객의 장기 구매패턴을 고려한 생산일정을 수립하게 된다. 이렇게 수립된 구매일정과 생산일정에 의해 공급자에 대한 주문과 생산이 이루어지는데 이때 공급자의 입장에서 구매자의 요구에 능동적으로 대응하기 위해서는 구매자에 대한 이해가 필요하며 이를 이해 공급자가 자신이 공급하는 구매업체들의 거래정보를 분석하게 된다. 본 연구에는 이와 같이 고객과 생산업체, 구매업체와 공급업체를 하나로 연결하여 분석하였다.

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인공신경망을 이용한 항공기 기내식 수요예측의 예측력 개선 방안에 관한 연구 (Airline In-flight Meal Demand Forecasting with Neural Networks and Time Series Models)

  • Lee, Young-Chan;Seo, Chang-Gab
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.151-164
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    • 2001
  • 현재의 항공사 기내식 수요예측 시스템으로는 항공기 운항의 지연이나 초과 주문으로 인한 손실 문제를 해결하기 힘든 것으로 알려져 있다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 본 연구에서는 항공기 기내식 시계열 자료만을 입력변수로 사용한 단순인공신경망모형(simple neural network model), 단순인공신경망모형에 전통적인 시계열 기법(본 연구에서는 지수 평활법)의 예측 결과를 입력변수로 추가한 혼합인공신경망모형(hybrid neural network model), 그리고 혼합인공신경 망 모형에 상관관계가 높은 다른 시계열 자료(본 논문에서는 유사 노선의 다른 항공기 기내식 시계열 자료)를 인공신경망의 입력변수로 추가시킨 하이퍼혼합인공신경망모형(hyper hybrid neural network model)을 새로운 항공기 기내식 수요예측 기법으로 제안하고, 이들 모형의 예측력을 비교 분석하였다. 분석 결과 하이퍼혼합인공신경망 모형의 예측력이 가장 우수한 것으로 나타나, 인공신경 망을 기반으로 한 수요예측에 있어 상관관계가 높은 다른 시계열 자료를 입력변수로 추가함으로써 인공신경망모형의 예측력을 개선시킬 수 있음을 알 수 있었다

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Seaweed Cultivation in Indonesia: Recent Status

  • Pambudi, Lilik Teguh;Meinita, Maria Dyah Nur;Ariyati, Restiana Wisnu
    • 한국해양바이오학회지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.6-10
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    • 2010
  • Indonesia is well-known as biggest producer of seaweed especially for Eucheuma and Gracilaria and also has huge potential resources and capability to develop seaweed cultivation and product. There are several provinces which have potential resources and have been contributing on seaweed production. The next challenge about seaweed production is using integrated system on brackishwater and marine aquaculture. Furthermore, about 2,000,000 ton of potential seaweed production is not explored yet. This article also tries to figure out some related aspects which are technical, economical and forecasting aspect. There is a disease which named "ice-ice" is one of the main problem and giving a new challenge in developing of problem solving for seaweed cultivation method. Economical parameters are also main important key to find out the feasibility of seaweed cultivation industry. In addition, the seaweed cultivation and production in Indonesia also have potential performance on biofuel resources as a part for solving the world problem on energy demand.

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고온초전도 전력케이블 적용효과 검토 (A Study on the Application Effects of HTS Power Cable)

  • 성기철;조전욱;김해종;권영길;최상봉;류강식;김봉태;유인근
    • 한국초전도ㆍ저온공학회논문지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.32-36
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    • 2000
  • In this study, we performed the long-term expansion planning for the conceptual design of HTS power cable in Seoul area. In Korea, underground power cable has been required gradually with increasing demand of electric power transmission density and low loss characteristics in the comparison with a conventional power cables, so we assumed that the HTS power cable is applied between the downtown area and the outskirts of the city for the large power transmission capacity. This paper is to show the effects of HTS power cables in Seoul based on the power system analysis.

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