• 제목/요약/키워드: Demand Variation

검색결과 441건 처리시간 0.032초

RAINFALL AND RUNOFF VARIATION ANALYSIS FOR WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

  • Sang-man;Heon, Joo-;Jong-ho;Kum-young
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2004
  • For the long-term strategic water resources planning, forecasting the future streamflow change is important to meet the demand of a growing society. The streamflow variation to the decade-long precipitation was investigated for the two major stage gauging stations in Korea. Precipitation and runoff characteristics have been analyzed at Yongwol stream stage in the Han River as well as Sutong stream stage in the Kum River for the future water resources management strategies. Monte Carlo method has been applied to estimate the future precipitation and runoff. Based on the trend line of 10-year moving average of runoff depth for the historical runoff records, the relation between runoff and the time variation was examined in more detail using regression analysis. This study showed that the surface flows have been significantly decreased while precipitation has been stable in these basins. Decreasing in runoff reflects the regional watershed characteristics such as forest cover changes. The findings of this study could contribute to the planning and development for the efficient water resources utilization.

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시군통합 원주시 내의 의료서비스 이용의 변이 (A Variation of Health Service Utilization in Wonju City)

  • 진기남
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.385-395
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    • 1996
  • This study intends to examine the behavioral pattern and small area variations of health service utilization within Wonju city. We selected three small areas in Wonju city as the study site: Haksung-dong(central area of the city), Moonmak-myun (industrial area which is located 25km away from the center of the city), and Gure-myun (agricultural area which is located 32km away from the center). The data were collected by administering questionnaire interviews with 526 people in three areas. The questionnaire include the items on health service utilization behaviors, sociodemographic characteristics, health status, and perceptions. The statistical methods used for the analysis were ANOVA and hierarchical logistic regression. From the analysis, it was found that there was a variation of health service utilization by areas. Compared to those of other areas, the respondents from agricultural area showed a high probability of using health services. When respondents' personal characteristics were taken into account, the effect of dummy variables representing areas disappeared. Instead, the perceived health status became the prime factor of health service utilization. This result showed that the small area variations of health service utilization is due to the demand factor rather than the supply factor.

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System operator가 다단계재고동적(多段階在庫動的) system 에 미치는 영향(影響)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) (Effect of System Operator on Dynamic Multi-Stage Inventory Problems)

  • 김만식
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 1977
  • Most of the current literature on inventory theory has been devoted to the study of single stage models. A class of inventory problems which is of great interest is the multistage inventory system which involves a series and hierarchical sequence of stations. This study analyzes some aspect of the series type and multi-stage inventory system, using the fixed cycle ordering which bas a modificatory control function in the system equations. The objective of this study is to clarify the dynamic behavior of the system. The author has derived the theoretical formulas of variation of ordering quantity and stock fluctuation of each stage due to power spectral density function. Influence of parameters such as, (1) intensity of autocorrelation of demand sequence ($\lambda$), (2) forecasting exponential smoothing factors of each stage (${\alpha}_1,\;{\alpha}_2,\;{\alpha}_3$) and (3) production control factor of the 3rd stage ($\gamma$), as operators of the system on the variation of ordering quantity and stock fluctuation of the system. is also clarified. As a result of this study, the relations between the variation of ordering quantity, stock fluctuation and the parameters of the system, have been found. The principles and the theorical analysis presented here will be applicable to more complex type of discrete control systems in constructing the specific condition of the system to minimize inventory variances.

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Mathieu stability of offshore Buoyant Leg Storage & Regasification Platform

  • Chandrasekaran, S.;Kiran, P.A.
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.345-360
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    • 2018
  • Increasing demand for large-sized Floating, Storage and Regasification Units (FSRUs) for oil and gas industries led to the development of novel geometric form of Buoyant Leg Storage and Regasification Platform (BLSRP). Six buoyant legs support the deck and are placed symmetric with respect to wave direction. Circular deck is connected to buoyant legs using hinged joints, which restrain transfer of rotation from the legs to deck and vice-versa. Buoyant legs are connected to seabed using taut-moored system with high initial pretension, enabling rigid body motion in vertical plane. Encountered environmental loads induce dynamic tether tension variations, which in turn affect stability of the platform. Postulated failure cases, created by placing eccentric loads at different locations resulted in dynamic tether tension variation; chaotic nature of tension variation is also observed in few cases. A detailed numerical analysis is carried out for BLSRP using Mathieu equation of stability. Increase in the magnitude of eccentric load and its position influences fatigue life of tethers significantly. Fatigue life decreases with the increase in the amplitude of tension variation in tethers. Very low fatigue life of tethers under Mathieu instability proves the severity of instability.

부하역률 감도기법 적용에 의한 효율적인 부하역률 개선에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Effective Enhancement of the Load Power Factor Using the Load Power Factor Sensitivity of Generation Cost)

  • 이병하;김정훈
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제54권1호
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    • pp.18-24
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    • 2005
  • Various problems such as the increase of the power loss and the voltage instability may often occur in the case of low load power factor. The demand of reactive power increases continuously with the growth of active power and the restructuring of electric power companies makes the comprehensive management of reactive power a troublesome problem, so that the systematic control of load power factor is required. In this paper, the load power factor sensitivity of the generation cost is derived and it is used for determining the locations of reactive power compensation devices effectively and for enhancing the load power factor appropriately. In addition, the voltage variation penalty cost is introduced and the integrated costs including the voltage variation penalty cost are used for determining the value of the load power factor from the point of view of the economic investment and voltage regulation. It is shown through the application to a large-scale power system that the load power factor can be enhanced effectively and appropriately using the load power factor sensitivity and integrated costs.

Analysis on short-term decay heat after shutdown during load-follow operation with seasonal and daily scenarios

  • Hwang, Dae Hee;Kim, Yonghee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권10호
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    • pp.3878-3887
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    • 2022
  • For the future energy-mix policy for carbon neutrality, demand for the capability of load-follow operation has emerged in nuclear power plants in order to accommodate the intermittency of renewable energy. The short-term decay heat analysis is also required to evaluate the decay heat level varied by the power level change during the load-follow operation, which is a very important parameter in terms of short-term decay heat removal during a grace time. In this study, the short-term decay heat level for 10 days after the shutdown was evaluated for both seasonal and daily load-follow cases. Additionally, the nuclide-wise contribution to the accumulated decay heat for 10 days was analyzed for further understanding of the short-term decay heat behavior. The result showed that in the seasonal case, the decay heat level was mainly determined by the power level right before the shutdown and the amount of each nuclide was varied with the power variation due to the long variation interval of 90 days. Whereas, in the daily case, the decay heat level was strongly impacted by the average power level during operation and meaningful mass variations for those nuclides were not observed due to the short variation interval of 0.5 days.

회귀분석을 통한 선형 단면의 변환가능 중점영역 예측 (A Method to Predict the Feasible Region of Geometric Centroid for Closed Hull Form Area Using Regression Analysis)

  • ;남종호;이민규
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제54권5호
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    • pp.387-392
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    • 2017
  • There is a constant demand for hull variation related to ship design. Various input variables are generally given to achieve the objective functions assigned by each variation process. When dealing with geometric shapes accompanied by nonlinear operations during the variation process, vague relationships or uncertainties among input variables are commonly observed. Therefore, it is strongly recommended to identify those uncertainty factors in advance. A method to modify the shape of a closed hull form with a new area and a centroid had been introduced as a new process of hull variation. Since uncertainty between input variables still existed in the method, however, it was not easy for the user to enter the area and the corresponding centroid. To overcome this problem, a method is presented in this paper to provide the feasible region of centroids for a given area. By utilizing the concept and techniques used in the statistics such as the number of samples, probability, margin error, and level of confidence, this method generates the distribution of possible centroids along the regression curve. The result shows that the method helps the user to choose an appropriate input value following his or her design intention.

가변 비트율 주문형 비디오 서버에서 자원 활용률을 높이기 위한 버퍼 관리 기법 (A Buffer Management Scheme to Maximize the Utilization of System Resources for Variable Bit Rate Video-On-Demand Servers)

  • 김순철
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2004
  • 주문형 비디오 시스템에서 가변 비트율로 압축된 데이터들은 압축 대상이 되는 데이터의 내용 변화와 압축 기법의 특성으로 인해 단위 시간 당 처리해야 할 데이터 크기가 일정하지 않다. 그러나, 대부분의 주문형 비디오 서버들은 가변 비트율로 압축된 데이터를 실시간에 처리하기 위해 가변 데이터 크기의 최대값으로 시스템 자원을 예약하기 때문에 자원의 활용률이 떨어진다. 본 논문에서는 가변 비트율로 압축된 데이터를 예약할 때 선반입을 사용하여 서버의 사용자 수용 가능성을 극대화할 수 있음을 증명하고 이를 구현한 버퍼 관리 기법을 제안한다. 제안된 버퍼 관리 기법은 현실적으로 가능한 최대의 블록들을 사용 순서에 따라 버퍼에 반입한다 또한, 소비 시점이 먼 블록부터 반출하고 소비 시점이 가까운 블록부터 반입함으로써 비디오 서버의 자원 활용률을 최대화할 수 있다. 본 논문에서 제안한 버퍼 관리 기법의 효율성은 모의 실험을 통해 확인하였다.

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이러닝수요부문 사업체실태조사를 위한 표본설계 (A sampling design for e-learning industry status survey on the business demand sector)

  • 김혜중;곽화륜
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.701-712
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    • 2013
  • 이러닝 (e-learning)산업통계는 이러닝산업 전반에 걸친 수요와 공급을 망라한 실태조사통계로 2004년 이후 정보통신산업진흥원에 의해 매년 발표되고 있다. 한국표준산업분류가 2008년 개정 (제9차)됨에 따라, 이러닝 수요부문의 사업체조사에 사용해온 표본설계 (종사자규모 산업분류별 층화추출)에 대한 개선이 필요하게 되었다. 본 논문은 사업체조사의 목표모집단을 개정된 한국표준산업분류에 따라 종사자규모 산업분류별로 층화하고, 각 층에 부여된 목표변동계수값을 만족시키는 멱배분법의 승수를 모의실험으로 찾아서 층화별로 표본의 크기를 결정하였다. 이와 더불어 본 연구에서 고려한 표본가중치 계산, 그리고 가중치를 반영한 모수추정량과 추정오차는 기존의 조사에서 사용된 기술 통계적 분석을 벗어나 업종별과 종사자 규모별 추정과 추정의 정도에 대한 평가를 가능하게 하였다.

하천에서 BOD 존재형태별 분포 특성 (The Fractionation Characteristics of BOD in Streams)

  • 김호섭;오승영
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.92-102
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the distribution characteristics according to the type of BOD and the effect of nitrogenous oxygen demand (NOD) and algal oxygen demand on BOD in three streams (Bokhacheon, Byeongseongcheon, and Gulpocheon) were evaluated. Although the BOD and NOD concentrations demonstrated a difference in the three streams, the carbonaceous BOD(CBOD)/BOD ratio was 0.75 (p=0.053, one-way ANOVA), and there was no significant difference in the three streams (r2≥0.92, p<0.0001). The NOD concentration of the Bokhacheon with high NH3-N was 1.7±1.3 mg/L, which was the highest among the three streams and showed a significant correlation with BOD. Seasonal variations in NOD in the three streams did not show a significant correlation with changes in NH3-N concentration (r2<0.28, p≥0.1789), and there was no significant difference in NOD even though NH3-N concentration in Gulpocheon was about twice that of Byeongseongcheon (p=0.870, one way ANOVA). The particulate CBOD(PCBOD)/CBOD ratio of the three streams was 0.55~0.64, and about 60% of the biodegradable organic matter was present in the particulate form. When the Chl.a concentration in the stream was more than 7 ㎍/L, the PCBOD tended to increase with the Chl.a concentration (r2=0.61, p=0.003). In the three streams, particulate NOD accounted for 81% of NOD; however, despite the large variation in NH3-N concentration (0.075~3.182 mg/L), there was no significant difference in soluble NOD(SNOD) concentration that ranged from 0.1 to 0.3 mg/L. In this study, the low contribution rate of SNOD to NOD is considered as a result of the removal of nitrifying bacteria along with the particles during the filtration process.