• 제목/요약/키워드: Demand Analysis

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아파트 단지의 세대규모별 주차수요 추세분석에 관한 연구 - 대구광역시 고층분양아파트단지를 중심으로 - (A Study on the Trend Analysis of the Parking Demands According to the Housing Unit Size at Apartment Complex - Focused on high-rise apartment complexes in Daegu Metropolitan City -)

  • 박찬돈
    • 한국주거학회논문집
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to find a way of solving on parking problems at apartment complex through the trend analysis research of the parking demands according to the housing unit size. The subjects of this study are high-rise apartment complexes in Daegu city which are constructed within 10 years. The parking demand according to the housing unit size at apartment complexes had been surveyed every July for 4 years from 2000 to 2003. Specially, we knew that the parking demand of $85 m^2$ below sized housing unit at apartment complex was exceeded architectural regulation of parking supply, and the parking demand of $85 m^2$ over sized housing unit at apartment complex was kept within architectural regulation of parking supply. And, the estimating formula that can predict the future parking demand by the trend analysis according to the housing unit size at apartment complexes in Daegu city was gotten through this study. But, in order to get more accurate estimating formula, it should be based on data of funker research and investigation about apartment complexes and it should be studied continuously.

수요관리사업자가 수요반응 전력시장에 미치는 영향 분석 (Analysis on Demand Response Aggregator in Electricity Market)

  • 이광호
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제66권8호
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    • pp.1181-1186
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of Demand Response is to reduce the cost of excessive resources and equipment by spontaneous load reductions at peak loads. Having enough power consumers participating in these schemes is key to achieving the goal. Demand Response Aggregator (DRA) is responsible for recruiting demand resources and managing them to participate in reducing the load. DRAs change the price elasticity of demand functions by providing incentives to demand response, thereby affecting price formation in the electricity market. In this paper, this process is modeled to analyze the relationship between DRA's strategic bidding and market outcomes and load reductions. It analyzes the results by applying to competition between DRAs, competition between DR and Gencos, and coexistence of DR load and non-DR load. It is noteworthy that we have found a phenomenon called the Balloon Effect.

수요 및 생산특성에 따른 생산통제 기법간의 효율성 분석에 대한 연구 (An Effectivity Analysis of Production Control Policies Based on Demand and Production Characteristics)

  • 이장한;정한일;박진우
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.403-420
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we examine the effect of production uncertainty to production control policies. First, we examine two famous production control policies, namely, MRP and JIT from the view point of shop floor control perspective, and analyze the differences between them due to demand fluctuations and activity time variations. Second, we conduct simulation studies on MRP and JIT to draw out the effects of demand fluctuations and activity time variations. Demand fluctuations are further classified into demand lumpiness and demand irregularity. And, activity time variations are further classified into stationary time variations and non-stationary time variations. Experimental results show that, in terms of demand fluctuations, MRP is affected by demand lumpiness, but JIT by demand irregularity. And we also see that both MRP and JIT are influenced by stationary time variation with respect to activity time variations.

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수요측 전력사용량 예측을 위한 수요패턴 분석 연구 (A Study on Demand Pattern Analysis for Forecasting of Customer's Electricity Demand)

  • 고종민;양일권;유인협
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제57권8호
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    • pp.1342-1348
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    • 2008
  • One important objective of the electricity market is to decrease the price by ensuring stability in the market operation. Interconnected to this is another objective; namely, to realize sustainable consumption of electricity by equitably distributing the effects and benefits of participating in the market among all participants of the industry. One method that can help achieve these objectives is the ^{(R)}$demand-response program, - which allows for active adjustment of the loadage from the demand side in response to the price. The demand-response program requires a customer baseline load (CBL), a criterion of calculating the success of decreases in demand. This study was conducted in order to calculate undistorted CBL by analyzing the correlations between such external or seasonal factors as temperature, humidity, and discomfort indices and the amounts of electricity consumed. The method and findings of this study are accordingly explicated.

최대수요전력 제어기술과 경제성 검토 (Economic Analysis for the Demand Control)

  • 오창석;윤갑구;조순봉
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1992년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.110-112
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    • 1992
  • Recently, increment of power demand is conspicuous, the necessity of demand side management is increased. here, we presented development of economic power demand controller again, we investigated the validity of peak demand control for customers and utilities.

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고속도로 진출램프 대기행렬 발생 현상 분석모형 개발 (Traffic Analysis Model for Exit Ramp Congestion at Urban Freeway)

  • 전재현;김영찬
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.30-40
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    • 2010
  • 고속도로 본선 정체의 원인으로 진출램프에서 발생한 대기행렬의 본선 역류가 크게 작용하며, 이에 고속도로 진출램프 대기행렬 발생으로 인한 본선 영향을 적절히 표현하는 연속류 모형과 실제 제어 시 기반이 되는 적용성 연구가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 고속도로 용량 변화에 따른 공급과 수요 곡선을 탄력적으로 적용하여 진출램프 대기행렬 영향으로 인한 고속도로 본선 교통류를 표현할 수 있는 Supply-Demand 모형의 적용성을 평가하였다. 먼저 Supply-Demand 모형 적용 시 요구되는 입력자료인 구간별 Sending & Receiving function과 진출램프 대기행렬의 본선 영향 등을 고려한 고속도로 본선 용량제약을 처리하는 방안을 제시하였다. 실시간 data를 사용하여 Supply-Demand 모형을 적용하는 일련의 과정을 모형화 한 후, 극심한 상습정체가 발생하는 내부순환로의 홍은진출을 포함하는 구간에 적용, 조정 및 발전시켜 분석하였다. 적용결과, 대기행렬의 본선 영향 범위와 대기행렬 패턴이 실제 교통류와 유사하게 예측되었다. 즉, Supply-Demand 모형이 Sending & Receiving function을 탄력적으로 적용함으로써, 진출램프 대기행렬의 본선 역류 등으로 인한 고속도로 본선의 용량 변화가 적절히 반영되는 것으로 검증되었다.

김장굴의 수요 분석 및 예측 (Forecast and Demand Analysis of Oyster as Kimchi's Ingredients)

  • 남종오;노승국
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.69-83
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    • 2011
  • This paper estimates demand functions of oyster as Kimchi's ingredients of capital area, other areas excluding a capital area, and a whole area in Korea to forecast its demand quantities in 2011~2015. To estimate oyster demand function, this paper uses pooled data produced from Korean housewives over 30 years old in 2009 and 2010. Also, this paper adopts several econometrics methods such as Ordinary Least Squares and Feasible Generalized Least Squares. First of all, to choose appropriate variables of oyster demand functions by area, this paper carries out model's specification with joint significance test. Secondly, to remedy heteroscedasticity with pooled data, this paper attempts residual plotting between estimated squared residuals and estimated dependent variable and then, if it happens, undertakes White test to care the problem. Thirdly, to test multicollinearity between variables with pooled data, this paper checks correlations between variables by area. In this analysis, oyster demand functions of a capital area and a whole area need price of the oyster, price of the cabbage for Gimjang, and income as independent variables. The function on other areas excluding a capital area only needs price of the oyster and income as ones. In addition, the oyster demand function of a whole area needed White test to care a heteroscedasticity problem and demand functions of the other two regions did not have the problem. Thus, first model was estimated by FGLS and second two models were carried out by OLS. The results suggest that oyster demand quantities per a household as Kimchi's ingredients are going to slightly increase in a capital area and a whole area, but slightly decrease in other areas excluding a capital area in 2011~2015. Also, the results show that oyster demand quantities as kimchi's ingredients for total household targeting housewives over 30 years old are going to slightly increase in three areas in 2011~2015.

Closed-form fragility analysis of the steel moment resisting frames

  • Kia, M.;Banazadeh, M.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.93-107
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    • 2016
  • Seismic fragility analysis is a probabilistic decision-making framework which is widely implemented for evaluating vulnerability of a building under earthquake loading. It requires ingredient named probabilistic model and commonly developed using statistics requiring collecting data in large quantities. Preparation of such a data-base is often costly and time-consuming. Therefore, in this paper, by developing generic seismic drift demand model for regular-multi-story steel moment resisting frames is tried to present a novel application of the probabilistic decision-making analysis to practical purposes. To this end, a demand model which is a linear function of intensity measure in logarithmic space is developed to predict overall maximum inter-story drift. Next, the model is coupled with a set of regression-based equations which are capable of directly estimating unknown statistical characteristics of the model parameters.To explicitly address uncertainties arise from randomness and lack of knowledge, the Bayesian regression inference is employed, when these relations are developed. The developed demand model is then employed in a Seismic Fragility Analysis (SFA) for two designed building. The accuracy of the results is also assessed by comparison with the results directly obtained from Incremental Dynamic analysis.

HSPDA 모형 및 ADF index를 이용한 상수관망의 신뢰도 산정 (Estimation of the Reliability of Water Distribution Systems using HSPDA Model and ADF Index)

  • 백천우;전환돈;김중훈
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 HSPDA모형을 기반으로 한 상수관망의 신뢰도분석 방안을 제안하였다. 대표적인 상수관망의 신뢰도분석 방법으로는 수량과 수압의 확보가 불가능한 수요절점을 산정하고 필요수량/공급가능수량 혹은 압력확보절점수/전체절점수 등을 계산하여 상수관망이 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는가를 판단하는 것이 있다. 이를 계산하기 위해서는 수리모형을 이용한 상수관망의 모의가 필요하나 절점의 압력과는 상관없이 항상 모든 용수량은 공급가능하다는 가정을 사용하는 Demand-Driven Analysis (DDA) 를 신뢰도 분석에 사용할 경우 신뢰도가 과소 산정될 수 있으며, 절점수요는 절점수두에 비례한다는 가정을 사용하는 Pressure-Driven Analysis (PDA)의 적용이 필요하다. 그러나 기존에 수행된 많은 연구에서는 관망의 특성에 따라 제한적인 적용성을 가지는 PDA 모형과 semi-PDA모형이 비정 상운영상태의 상수관망 수리모의에 이용되었고 이로 인하여 정확한 상수관망의 신뢰도 산정이 어려웠다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 PDA모형의 가지는 단점을 보완한 HSPDA 모형과 Available Demand Fraction (ADF) 지수를 이용하여 상수관망의 신뢰도 산정이 가능한 모형을 제안하였다. HSPDA를 활용하여 상수관망의 비정상운영상태를 모의하고, 이를 이용하여 절점별 ADF 지수를 산정, 상수관망의 신뢰도를 산정하였다. 제안된 신뢰도분석기법을 대상관망에 적용하여 기존의 연구결과와 비교하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 수립 가능한 신뢰도 확보방안을 제시하였다.

전력시장에서의 쿠르노 수요함수 추정 (A Proposed Method for Estimating Demand function of Cournot Model in Electricity Market)

  • 강동주;허진;오태규;정구형;김발호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.168-170
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    • 2005
  • At present Cournot model is one of the most commonly used theories to analyze the gaming situation in oligopoly market. But there exist several problems to apply this model to electricity market. The representative one is to obtain the inverse demand curve able to be induced from the relationship between market price and demand response. In Cournot model, each player offers their generation quantity to accomplish maximum profit, which is accomplished by reducing their quantity compared with available total capacity. As stated above, to obtain the probable Cournot equilibrium to reflect real market situation, we have to induce the correct demand function first of all. Usually the correlation between price and demand appears on the long-term basis through the statistical data analysis (for example, regression analysis) or by investigating consumer utility functions of several consumer groups classified as residential, industrial, and commercial. However, the elasticity has a tendency to change continuously according to the total market demand size or the level of market price. Therefore it should be updated as trading period passes by. In this paper we propose a method for inducing and updating this price elasticity of demand function for more realistic market equilibrium

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