• Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.70-84
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• 2002

This paper deals with the attrition rate of major facility such as a particular building that is one of the most important target in the war time. In order to estimate the attrition rate, we use JAWS, WinJMEM which are programed by JTCG/ME of AMSAA and spreadsheet package which is able to assist the limitation of those programs and calculate all the procedure of this computation. This method uses the effectiveness index(El) which indicates the numerical measure of the effectiveness of a given weapon of a given target. The range error probable(REP) and the deflection error probable(DEP) in the ground plane also should be used. Those mean the measure of delivery accuracy of the weapon system. In this paper, it is improved that the El can be obtained from the regression analysis using the weight of the warhead explosive as the independent variable. It implies that we are able to obtain the El and the conditional probability of damage of the enemy weapon. After that, the single-sortie probability of damage can be computed using WinJMEM or another assistant program such as the spreadsheet package which shows the result immediately.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.59-67
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• 2011

This paper proposes a model to analyze the fault factors of air-to-ground weapon delivery utilizing software fault localization methods. In the previous study, to figure out the factors to affect the accuracy of air-to-ground weapon delivery, the FBEL (Factor-based Error Localization) method had been proposed and the fault factors were analyzed based on the method. But in the study, the correlation between weapon delivery accuracy and the fault factors could not be revealed because the firing accuracy among several factors was fixed. In this paper we propose a more precise fault analysis model driven through a study of the correlation among the fault factors of weapon delivery, and a method to estimate the possibility of faults with the limited number of test cases utilizing the model. The effectiveness of proposed method is verified through the simulation utilizing real delivery data. and weapons delivery testing in the evaluation of which element affecting the accuracy of analysis that was available to be used successfully.