• 제목/요약/키워드: Decision-making Process

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전문가 모델링에서 비선형모형과 선형모형 : 렌즈모형분석 (Nonlinear Models and Linear Models in Expert-Modeling A Lens Model Analysis)

  • 김충녕
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 1995
  • The field of human judgment and decision making provides useful methodologies for examining the human decision making process and substantive results. One of the methodologies is a lens model analysis which can examine valid nonlinearity in the human decision making process. Using the method, valid nonlinearity in human decision behavior can be successfully detected. Two linear(statistical) models of human experts and two nonlinear models of human experts are compared in terms of predictive accuracy (predictive validity). The results indicate that nonlinear models can capture factors(valid nonlinearity) that contribute to the expert's predictive accuracy, but not factors (inconsistency) that detract from their predictive accuracy. Then, it is argued that nonlinear models cab be more accurate than linear models, or as accurate as human experts, especially when human experts employ valid nonlinear strategies in decision making.

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플랜트 O&M을 위한 기자재 조달방식 의사결정에 관한 연구 - 기술전략 관점을 중심으로 - (A Study on Decision-making of Equipment Procurement for Plant Operations & Maintenance (O&M) - Focused on Technology Strategy perspective -)

  • 홍대근;임용택
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2019
  • In the plant industry, the share of equipment accounts for 45 ~ 75%, which is very high. It is a traditional plant centered on processes and reactions like petroleum and chemical plants. Renewable energy generation plants such as wind power generation and solar power generation are equipment-centric plants. Equipment-centric plants are very important not only in the EPC phase but also in the operation and management phase. The procurement of equipment for plant operation and management can be divided into make and buy. Make is a method of producing equipment itself, and buy is a method of procuring equipment from the outside. The procurement method of the equipment directly affects the plant operation and management cost. In this study, the decision making of equipment procurement method for plant operation and management is defined as 4 phase. Each phase is selection of procurement decision-making objects, technology strategy perspective, finance perspective, and production perspective. In detail, we defined selection process of procurement decision-making objects and technology strategy perspective process. We will contribute to the enhancement of the competitiveness of the plant operation and management area by carrying out researches on the process and application examples of financial and production perspectives in the future.

과학기술관련 의사결정구조의 변화 -‘사용자’와 ‘시민’의 새로운 참여방식 모색- (A Study on the Change of Science and Technology Decision Making Process: Searching for New Model)

  • 송위진
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.159-174
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    • 2003
  • This study reviews the emerging new model of science and technology decision making process. It examines the open source software development model and community-based innovation model in technological innovation and the active participation model of Consensus Conference and Citizen's Jury in science and technology policy decision making. It argues that the role and influence of users in innovation and policy making is becoming important in these emerging models and the existing supplier-led, bureaucratic model of science and technology decision making model is changing.

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인터넷 쇼핑에이전트가 소비자 구매행위에 미치는 영향에 대한 이해 : 의사결정 프로세스의 관점에서 (Understanding the Impact of Internet Shopping Agent to Consumer's Purchasing Behavior : A Decision Process Perspective)

  • 정남호
    • 지식경영연구
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.17-33
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    • 2009
  • The emergence of the Internet shopping agent enabled consumers to enjoy Internet shopping more easily and quickly. Especially, the role of Internet shopping agent is becoming more important following the information overload trend on the Internet in that the consumers can promptly obtain information about a certain product and its price among countless items on the Internet. As a result, consumers can now enjoy shopping more easily, compared to the offline shopping which requires a lot of efforts in comparing the products and purchasing them. Since the Internet shopping agents collect extensive information about the products' price, delivery period, detailed characteristics, etc., and present a comparison table containing the information to the consumers, the consumers can shop more quickly at lower price using such shopping agents. However, it has not been sufficiently studied about how the various functions of shopping agents actually support consumers' purchase decision making procedure in everyday life, and if they do, in which stages they play a supporting role in consumers' purchase decision making system. Therefore, this study conducts an empirical analysis on the role of the Internet shopping agents in the purchase decision making process of the consumers, considering the Internet shopping agent as a decision making supporting system. Moreover, it analyzes how the effects of the Internet shopping agent differs according to the consumers' knowledge level about the products.

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소비자 구매의사결정과정 기반 IMC전략 : LG하우시스 브랜드 Z:IN 사례 (IMC Strategy Based on Consumer's Purchase Decision-Making Process : LG Hausys Brand Z:IN Case Study)

  • 이재진
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the case of brand IMC communication of LG Hausys' total interior solution brand Z:IN was dealt with. The target consumer of the Z:IN brand is a general end consumer and also shows the character of industrial goods. Accordingly, there should be a unique aspect that brand management and communication methods must be made from more angles. For many companies which are active in the industry, this case study should be significant. This case study was researched in terms of consumer's purchase decision-making process and consumer participation and experience. Brand Zi:in developed a brand communication strategy following the flow of the consumer purchasing decision process. And the brand actively induces consumer experience and participation so that consumers can communicate more closely with the brand. Brand communication from the perspective of consumer purchasing decision-making and consumer experience and participation is a crystal that fully considers LG Hausys' products, markets, and competitors, and will be an effective strategy to continue to preoccupy the market not only in the present but in the future.

주민참여 의사결정 시스템에 관한 연구 -상주시 낙양지구 사례를 대상으로- (A Study of the Decision-Making System of Residents Participation - focused on Example of Nakyang Residence Area in Sangju City -)

  • 원세용
    • 한국농촌건축학회논문집
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2011
  • Even though the existing urban residential district was obsolete and out of date in respects of physical environment, it is maintaining the function of dwelling. It ends up being regenerated as a viable urban residential district when improved the dwelling environment. Therefore, the government has been planning for the residential improvement projects for those areas applying for innovative ideas. But the government programs have often been troubled with people in the process of executing the projects or making a plan. In this respect, two parties couldn't communicate freely about the problem of those areas. So, the problematic issues of the areas should be shared with local residents at the beginning of decision making and the process of workshop participating local residents will be needed for understanding the standpoint of the residents. This study is to explore the potential of residents participating workshop to figure out current problems of the urban residential district in the process of executing the residential improvement project of Nakyang residence area in Sangju city. Upon investigation residents participating workshop is very practical in making a plan, but needs positive participation by resident and a decision making system dealing with the information shared and the understanding gained by participants.

공공부문 IT 아웃소싱 의사경정 요인 도출 : 델파이 방법 (Decision Making Factors of IT Outsourcing in Public Sector : A Delphi Method)

  • 윤성철;이슬
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.121-134
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    • 2003
  • To improve the quality of the services and to concentrate on the core capability, in public sector the IT outsourcing is recently being vitalized by the institutional support of the government for the entrusting non-government. Because the lots of general studies so far have simply focused on indicating fragmentary factors i.e. economical factors, risk factors, system factors, or induction objects, etc., they are insufficient in making the practical decisions, therefore we indicated systemized model extending over the whole range of the IT outsourcing to support substantial decision makings, and assorted 4 categories and drew considerable 55 factors from the literature study to materialize the previously considerable factors at each decision making stage. And the principal factors were drawn from each decision making category by a group of 11 experts. Besides, a henceforth plan for the application was also presented through an actual example of the IT outsourcing decision making process of 'M', a public enterprise.

DSS에 지원되는 산출물 중 추천(recommendation) 행위에 대한 의사결정 모형에 관한 연구

  • 최재명;이영재
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.101-105
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    • 2001
  • This paper is to illustrate the possibility to use organizational knowledge and data warehouse simultaenously for a decision maker. Organizational knowledge is produced for qualitative decision-making process and data warehouse is used for quantitative decision-making process. However, two things are currently implemented separately in many organizations although being needed for decision makers. This research shows a model for building integrated system and a prototyping system based on the model. And its effectiveness is discussed.

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글로벌 시대의 기술혁신과 리스크 거버넌스를 위한 의사결정구조의 변화 (Local and global governance of emerging technologies and risk)

  • 서지현;원동규
    • 한국콘텐츠학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘텐츠학회 2007년도 추계 종합학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.183-187
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    • 2007
  • 고도의 지식 기반사회인 현대사회에서 과학적 지식과 기술 혁신은 개인과 사회, 그리고 국가의 경제 발전과 경쟁력을 위한 필수적 요소로서 자리매김해 왔다. 그러나 이와 동시에 줄기세포연구, 유전자조작기술 등 기술혁신에 따른 잠재적 위험성은 사회적 불안 및 갈등요소로도 작용하고 있다. 기술에 대한 불확실성이 증가하고 사회가 다원화하면서 과학기술정책의 의사결정과정도 기존의 톱다운 방식인 '거버먼트(Government)'에서 점차적으로 '거버넌스(Governance)로 옮겨가고 있다. 다양한 사회 구성원의 참여로 의사결정이 이루어지는 거버넌스는 복잡한 사회 현상들에 대한 다원적 접근을 가능하게 한다. 본고에서는 거버넌스, 특히 기술혁신과 관련된 리스크 거버넌스를 중심으로 과학기술지식을 기반으로 한 의사결정모델을 살펴보고, 글로벌 시대에 과학기술과 사회의 지속가능한 발전을 위한 거버넌스 체계를 모색해보고자 한다.

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VDMP를 이용한 전략대안 분석 및 평가절차 (A Strategy Evaluation Procedure using VDMP)

  • 조용욱;박명규
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2001
  • This article deals with the multiple alternative proposal of Strategy. when Decision makers meet a very complex and important problems to take a good choice. It might not be easy that we make a decision and accept the decision as an exact result of analysis at a complication and uncertain situation. Although the decision under unpredictable state is many existence and each field is classified to support it. he can not provide exact estimations and be able to specify a result and forecasting. This is the reason why the original research use Statistical Survey method and Visual Decision Making Process(VDMP) to improve decision analysis method. Therefore, Our research suggests that the VDMP utilized in the strategic decision making situation as a group decision adding tool, can be applied in the development of a process vision and implementation plan. as a result, researcher describe step by step the process of VDMP.

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