• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision-Making Models

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A Development of Hotel Bankruptcy Prediction Model on Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망 기반 호텔 부도예측모형 개발)

  • Choi, Sung-Ju;Lee, Sang-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 2014
  • This paper develops a bankruptcy prediction model on an Artificial Neural Network for hotel management. A bankruptcy prediction model has a specific feature to predict a bankruptcy of the whole hotel business after evaluate bankruptcy possibility on the basis of business performance data of each branch. here are many traditional statistical models for bankruptcy prediction such as Multivariate Discriminant Analysis or Logit Analysis. However, we chose Artificial Neural Network because the method has accuracy rates of prediction better than those of other methods. We first selected 100 good enterprises and 100 bankrupt enterprises as experimental data and set up a bankruptcy prediction model by use of a tool for Artificial Neural Network, NeuroShell. The model and its experiments, which demonstrated high efficiency, can certainly provide great help in decision making in the field of hotel management and in deciding on the bankruptcy or financial solidity of each branch of serviced residence hotel.

An Essay on Human Resource Management and Personnel Economics - A Behavioral Scientist's Viewpoint - (인적자원관리와 인사경제학의 비교 - 행동과학자의 시각에서 -)

  • Baek, Gwang-Gi
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 2010
  • Traditional human resource management explains human characteristics with motivation, attitude, perception, value, etc., based upon behavioral science approach. And system approach is adopted in analyzing the interaction between people and the environment. However, personnel economics excludes social and psychological variables in the human choice models, and assumes very unrealistic and simple rational decision making process. For environmental variables, personnel economists considers only income and price. Traditional human resource management research model successfully explains the phenomenon for each specific situation, but lacks universality. On the other hand, personnel economics model is strict and analytical, but tends to distort the understanding of the results because of the unrealistic assumptions. These two academic fields may get benefits by introducing the other's research methodologies, theories, and ideas.

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A Design Suggestion for Improving Apartment Complex Environment through Resident-participated Workshop (주민참여형 워크샵을 통한 공동주택의 주거환경개선 디자인 제시 - 서울시 수서영구임대 단지 사례 연구 -)

  • Oh, Jun-Sik;Suh, Kuee-Sook;Jeong, Su-Mi
    • Proceeding of Spring/Autumn Annual Conference of KHA
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.207-212
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    • 2009
  • This research is focused on the 'Resident-participated Workshop' which targets the improvement of residential environment of apartment complex from the residents' point of view. The purpose of the workshop is to induce the residents interest and encourage them to participate in design process, thus, residents will be satisfied with the result with affection and achievement. This research aims the effectiveness of 'Resident-participated' design plan as a program which enables them to maintain and self manage in the long run. The object of this research was the public space within the apartment complex of Susojugong Rental Apartment Complex in Gangnam-ku, Seoul and followings are the contents; 1. Method of 'Resident-participated Workshop'. 2. Program of 'Resident-participated Workshop'. 3. Design analysis of improved apartment complex through 'Resident-participated Workshop' and selection. As a result, it was noticeable that 'Resident-participated Workshop' was an important factor in decision making of designs from the very first stage through communication. As a part of workshop program, design game used cubic models which was useful to enhance the understanding of the participants. It also induced the cubic conception so that intercommunication with the design specialists was possible. But, the development of various workshop method to increase the residents' interest and participation is necessary, especially, program development is required to change the residents' attitude towards the design plan. It is anticipated that a continuous related research is neccsary in this regard.

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Analysis of Wildlife Moving Route with Landscape Characteristics (경관의 특성에 따른 동물의 이동경로에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Kun;Park, Chan;Song, Won-Kyong
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2008
  • The loss, alteration, and fragmentation of habitat have led to a reduction of biodiversity. The growing awareness of the negative effects of habitat fragmentation on natural systems has resulted in conservation strategy that is concerned with not only population and habitat level but also ecosystem and landscape level. Especially, ecological network to link core areas or major habitat patches is one of the most important issues. Recently, landscape connectivity is increasingly used in decision making for fragmented landscape management in order to conserve the biodiversity in the regional scale. The objective of this study was to find potential forest as a ecological corridor in Go-yang city, Gyung-gi province using cost-distance modelling method that can measure connectivity based on animal movement. 'Least cost-distance' modelling based on functional connectivity can be useful to establish ecological network and biodiversity conservation plan. This method calculates the distance modified with the cost to move between habitat patches based on detailed geographical information on the landscape as well as behavioural aspects of the animal movement. The least cost-distance models are based on two biologically assumptions: (1) dispersers have complete knowledge of their surroundings, and (2) they do select the least cost route from this information. As a result of this study, we can find wildlife moving route for biodiversity conservation. The result is very useful for long-term aspect of biodiversity conservation plan in regional scale, because this is reflection of geographical information and behavioural aspects of the animal movement.

Treemapping Work-Sharing Relationships among Business Process Performers (트리맵을 이용한 비즈니스 프로세스 수행자간 업무공유 관계 시각화)

  • Ahn, Hyun;Kim, Kwanghoon Pio
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the importance of visual analytics has been recognized in the field of business intelligence. From the view of business intelligence, visual analytics aims for acquiring valuable insights for decision making by interactively visualizing a variety of business information. In this paper, we propose a treemap-based method for visualizing work-sharing relationships among business process performers. A work-sharing relationship is established between two performers who jointly participate in a specific activity of a business process and is an important factor for understanding organizational structures and behaviors in a process-centric organization. To this end, we design and implement a treemap-based visualization tool for representing work-sharing relationships as well as basic hierarchical information in business processes. Finally, we evaluate usefulness of the proposed visualization tool through an operational example using XPDL (XML Process Definition Language) process models.

Threat Unification using Multi-Sensor Simulator of Battlefield Helicopter and Its Implementation (전장 헬기의 다중센서 시뮬레이터를 통한 위협통합 및 구현)

  • Park, Hun-Woo;Kang, Shin-Bong;Noh, Sang-Uk;Jeong, Un-Seob
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.35-49
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    • 2009
  • In electronic warfare settings, battlefield helicopters identify various threats based upon threat data, which are acquired using their multi-sensors of aircraft survivability equipment (ASE). To continually function despite of potential threats and successfully execute their missions, the battlefield helicopters have to repeatedly report threats in simulated battlefield situations. Toward this ends, the paper presents threat unification using multi-sensor simulator and its implementation. The simulator consists of (1) threat attributes generator, which models threats against battlefield helicopters and defines their specific attributes, (2) threat data generator, which generates threats, being similar to real ones, using normal, uniform, and exponential distributions, and (3) graphic display for threat analysis and unification, which shows unified threat information, for example, threat angle and its level. We implement a multi-sensor threat simulator that can be repeatedly operable in various simulated battlefield settings. Further, we report experimental results that, in addition to tangibly modeling the threats to battlefield helicopters, test the capabilities of threat unification using our simulator.

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An Inductive Study on the Service Quality Evaluation Model of Online Information Service : Focusing on the National Online Information Service NTIS and NDSL (온라인 정보 서비스 품질평가모델에 대한 귀납적 연구 : 국가 온라인 정보 서비스 NTIS와 NDSL을 중심으로)

  • Heo, Joo Yeun;Kim, Sang Kook
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.71-87
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    • 2020
  • As diverse online information services are introduced and the use of them are increasing, the importance of the quality control over the online information services is also increasing. Therefore, studies are being attempted to derive quality evaluation models for online information services, but these showed many limitations. In order to overcome the limitations of the previous studies and create more appropriate quality evaluation model, this study analyzed 408 data collected through the interviews with the users of Korea national online information services (NDSL, NTIS) using content analysis and the coding method of ground theory. Through the analysis, we identified the quality evaluation model (13 elements, 6 dimensions) of online information services and the description and insights of each elements. And the priorities of the most significant element(amount of information) and other key elements(such as the usefulness of the information, the diversity of the field, etc.) were figured out through the frequency analysis. Through these inductive methods based on the responses of users, the quality control model could be derived, which is different from the previous researches. This study is the first study which derived the quality evaluation model of online information service through the inductive way based on 408 interview responses from users. Therefore, the results of this study will be helpful to the post researchers who conduct studies on the quality of online information service, etc. Moreover, the results of this study are expected to provide references of frame for decision-making of working-level officials who have to manage the quality of online information services.

Reliability Assessment of Tunnel Support Systems Using a Probability-Based Method (확률론적 기법을 이용한 터널 지보시스템의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Park, Do-Hyun;Park, Eui-Seob;Song, Won-Kyong;Ryu, Dong-Woo
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2010
  • The present study developed a program which can assess the reliability of tunnel support systems based on a probability-based method. The developed program uses FLAC2D as a solver, and can automatically execute all the processes, associated with numerical and probabilistic analysis. Since a numerical analysis, which models the ground, requires a significant calculation time, it is actually impossible to apply simulation-based methods to probabilistic assessment on the reliability of tunnel support systems. Therefore, the present study used a point estimate method, which is efficient for probabilistic analysis since the method can significantly reduce the number of samples when compared with the simulation-based method. The developed program was applied to a tunnel project, and the results were compared with those through a deterministic approach. From the comparison, it was identified that a probabilistic approach can quantitatively assess the reliability of tunnel support systems based on probability of failure and can be used as a tool for decision making in tunnel support designs.

Geographic Information System and Remote Sensing in Soil Science (GIS와 원격탐사를 활용한 토양학 연구)

  • Hong, Suk-Young;Kim, Yi-Hyun;Choe, Eun-Young;Zhang, Yong-Seon;Sonn, Yeon-Kyu;Park, Chan-Won;Jung, Kang-Ho;Hyun, Byung-Keun;Ha, Sang-Keun;Song, Kwan-Cheol
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.684-695
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    • 2010
  • Geographic information system (GIS) is being increasingly used for decision making, planning and agricultural environment management because of its analytical capacity. GIS and remote sensing have been combined with environmental models for many agricultural applications on monitoring of soils, agricultural water quality, microbial activity, vegetation and aquatic insect distribution. This paper introduce principles, vegetation indices, spatial data structure, spatial analysis of GIS and remote sensing in agricultural applications including terrain analysis, soil erosion, and runoff potential. National Academy of Agricultural Science (NAAS), Rural Development Administration (RDA) has a spatial database of agricultural soils, surface and underground water, weeds, aquatic insect, and climate data, and established a web-GIS system providing spatial and temporal variability of agricultural environment information since 2007. GIS-based interactive mapping system would encourage researchers and students to widely utilize spatial information on their studies with regard to agricultural and environmental problem solving combined with other national GIS database. GIS and remote sensing will play an important role to support and make decisions from a national level of conservation and protection to a farm level of management practice in the near future.

Spatial Dependency and Heterogeneity of Adult Diseases : In the Cases of Obesity, Diabetes and High Blood Pressure in the U.S.A. (성인병의 공간적 의존성과 이질성 : 미국의 비만, 당뇨, 고혈압을 사례로)

  • Yang, Byung-Yun;Hwang, Chul-Sue
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.610-622
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    • 2010
  • The proportion of overweight and obese individuals in the United States has been continuously increasing up to recently. Many studies related to obesity have concentrated on jurisdictional levels of aggregation, making it very difficult to dearly illustrate at risk regions. In other words, little research has been conducted in relation to spatial patterns considering spatial dependency and heterogeneity by spatial autocorrelation models over space. In response, this research analyzes spatial patterns between overweight/obesity and risk factors, such as high blood pressure and diabetes, over space. Specifically, the Moran''s I and Geary''s C will be conducted for global and local measures. What is more, the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) linear regression and Geographically Weighted Regression methods will be applied to identify spatial dependency and spatial heterogeneity. Data provided by the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) have Body-Mass Index (BMI) rates, containing 4 rates of under, healthy, overweight, and obesity. In addition, high blood pressure and diabetes rates in the United States will be used as independent variables. Lastly, we are confident that this research will be beneficial for a decision maker to make a prevention plan for obesity.

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