• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision Tree Regression

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A Recommending System for Care Plan(Res-CP) in Long-Term Care Insurance System (데이터마이닝 기법을 활용한 노인장기요양급여 권고모형 개발)

  • Han, Eun-Jeong;Lee, Jung-Suk;Kim, Dong-Geon;Ka, Im-Ok
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1229-1237
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    • 2009
  • In the long-term care insurance(LTCI) system, the question of how to provide the most appropriate care has become a major issue for the elderly, their family, and for policy makers. To help beneficiaries use LTC services appropriately to their needs of care, National Health Insurance Corporation(NHIC) provide them with the individualized care plan, named the Long-term Care User Guide. It includes recommendations for beneficiaries' most appropriate type of care. The purpose of this study is to develop a recommending system for care plan(Res-CP) in LTCI system. We used data set for Long-term Care User Guide in the 3rd long-term care insurance pilot programs. To develop the model, we tested four models, including a decision-tree model in data-mining, a logistic regression model, and a boosting and boosting techniques in an ensemble model. A decision-tree model was selected to describe the Res-CP, because it may be easy to explain the algorithm of Res-CP to the working groups. Res-CP might be useful in an evidence-based care planning in LTCI system and may contribute to support use of LTC services efficiently.

Convergence analysis of determinants affecting on geographic variations in the prevalence of arthritis in Korean women using data mining (데이터마이닝을 이용한 여성 관절염 유병률 소지역 간 변이의 융복합 요인분석)

  • Kim, Yoo-Mi;Kang, Sung-Hong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.277-288
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to identify determinants affecting on geographic variations in the prevalence of arthritis in Korean women using data mining. Data from Korean Community Health Survey 2012 with 249 small districts were analyzed. Socio-demographic, health behavior and status, and morbidity status measures were analyzed using conventional regression model and convergence analysis method such as decision tree for convergence analysis. Rate of workers in agriculture, forestry, and fishing, salaried workers, persons higher than high school graduates, non-treatment of needing care, non-treatment of care because of economic reason, obesity, heavy drunkers, complaining persons of chewing difficulty, persons with experiencing depression, persons with perceiving stress, and persons with diagnosing hypertension and angina pectoris were variation determinants of prevalence of arthritis in 249 small districts and these districts were classified 10 area groups by decision tree model. Our finding suggest that the approach based characteristics by small area groups rather than national wide or individual level would be effective to reduce in variations of prevalence of arthritis.

Study on Predicting the Designation of Administrative Issue in the KOSDAQ Market Based on Machine Learning Based on Financial Data (머신러닝 기반 KOSDAQ 시장의 관리종목 지정 예측 연구: 재무적 데이터를 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Yanghyun;Kim, Taekyung;Kim, Suyeong
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.229-249
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    • 2022
  • This paper investigates machine learning models for predicting the designation of administrative issues in the KOSDAQ market through various techniques. When a company in the Korean stock market is designated as administrative issue, the market recognizes the event itself as negative information, causing losses to the company and investors. The purpose of this study is to evaluate alternative methods for developing a artificial intelligence service to examine a possibility to the designation of administrative issues early through the financial ratio of companies and to help investors manage portfolio risks. In this study, the independent variables used 21 financial ratios representing profitability, stability, activity, and growth. From 2011 to 2020, when K-IFRS was applied, financial data of companies in administrative issues and non-administrative issues stocks are sampled. Logistic regression analysis, decision tree, support vector machine, random forest, and LightGBM are used to predict the designation of administrative issues. According to the results of analysis, LightGBM with 82.73% classification accuracy is the best prediction model, and the prediction model with the lowest classification accuracy is a decision tree with 71.94% accuracy. As a result of checking the top three variables of the importance of variables in the decision tree-based learning model, the financial variables common in each model are ROE(Net profit) and Capital stock turnover ratio, which are relatively important variables in designating administrative issues. In general, it is confirmed that the learning model using the ensemble had higher predictive performance than the single learning model.

Development and Validation of 18F-FDG PET/CT-Based Multivariable Clinical Prediction Models for the Identification of Malignancy-Associated Hemophagocytic Lymphohistiocytosis

  • Xu Yang;Xia Lu;Jun Liu;Ying Kan;Wei Wang;Shuxin Zhang;Lei Liu;Jixia Li;Jigang Yang
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.466-478
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    • 2022
  • Objective: 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT is often used for detecting malignancy in patients with newly diagnosed hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH), with acceptable sensitivity but relatively low specificity. The aim of this study was to improve the diagnostic ability of 18F-FDG PET/CT in identifying malignancy in patients with HLH by combining 18F-FDG PET/CT and clinical parameters. Materials and Methods: Ninety-seven patients (age ≥ 14 years) with secondary HLH were retrospectively reviewed and divided into the derivation (n = 71) and validation (n = 26) cohorts according to admission time. In the derivation cohort, 22 patients had malignancy-associated HLH (M-HLH) and 49 patients had non-malignancy-associated HLH (NM-HLH). Data on pretreatment 18F-FDG PET/CT and laboratory results were collected. The variables were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U test or Pearson's chi-square test, and a nomogram for predicting M-HLH was constructed using multivariable binary logistic regression. The predictors were also ranked using decision-tree analysis. The nomogram and decision tree were validated in the validation cohort (10 patients with M-HLH and 16 patients with NM-HLH). Results: The ratio of the maximal standardized uptake value (SUVmax) of the lymph nodes to that of the mediastinum, the ratio of the SUVmax of bone lesions or bone marrow to that of the mediastinum, and age were selected for constructing the model. The nomogram showed good performance in predicting M-HLH in the validation cohort, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.875 (95% confidence interval, 0.686-0.971). At an appropriate cutoff value, the sensitivity and specificity for identifying M-HLH were 90% (9/10) and 68.8% (11/16), respectively. The decision tree integrating the same variables showed 70% (7/10) sensitivity and 93.8% (15/16) specificity for identifying M-HLH. In comparison, visual analysis of 18F-FDG PET/CT images demonstrated 100% (10/10) sensitivity and 12.5% (2/16) specificity. Conclusion: 18F-FDG PET/CT may be a practical technique for identifying M-HLH. The model constructed using 18F-FDG PET/CT features and age was able to detect malignancy with better accuracy than visual analysis of 18F-FDG PET/CT images.

Evaluation of Classification Algorithm Performance of Sentiment Analysis Using Entropy Score (엔트로피 점수를 이용한 감성분석 분류알고리즘의 수행도 평가)

  • Park, Man-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.22 no.9
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    • pp.1153-1158
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    • 2018
  • Online customer evaluations and social media information among a variety of information sources are critical for businesses as it influences the customer's decision making. There are limitations on the time and money that the survey will ask to identify a variety of customers' needs and complaints. The customer review data at online shopping malls provide the ideal data sources for analyzing customer sentiment about their products. In this study, we collected product reviews data on the smartphone of Samsung and Apple from Amazon. We applied five classification algorithms which are used as representative sentiment analysis techniques in previous studies. The five algorithms are based on support vector machines, bagging, random forest, classification or regression tree and maximum entropy. In this study, we proposed entropy score which can comprehensively evaluate the performance of classification algorithm. As a result of evaluating five algorithms using an entropy score, the SVMs algorithm's entropy score was ranked highest.

A Method of Predicting Service Time Based on Voice of Customer Data (고객의 소리(VOC) 데이터를 활용한 서비스 처리 시간 예측방법)

  • Kim, Jeonghun;Kwon, Ohbyung
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.197-210
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    • 2016
  • With the advent of text analytics, VOC (Voice of Customer) data become an important resource which provides the managers and marketing practitioners with consumer's veiled opinion and requirements. In other words, making relevant use of VOC data potentially improves the customer responsiveness and satisfaction, each of which eventually improves business performance. However, unstructured data set such as customers' complaints in VOC data have seldom used in marketing practices such as predicting service time as an index of service quality. Because the VOC data which contains unstructured data is too complicated form. Also that needs convert unstructured data from structure data which difficult process. Hence, this study aims to propose a prediction model to improve the estimation accuracy of the level of customer satisfaction by combining unstructured from textmining with structured data features in VOC. Also the relationship between the unstructured, structured data and service processing time through the regression analysis. Text mining techniques, sentiment analysis, keyword extraction, classification algorithms, decision tree and multiple regression are considered and compared. For the experiment, we used actual VOC data in a company.

A Robust Energy Consumption Forecasting Model using ResNet-LSTM with Huber Loss

  • Albelwi, Saleh
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.301-307
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    • 2022
  • Energy consumption has grown alongside dramatic population increases. Statistics show that buildings in particular utilize a significant amount of energy, worldwide. Because of this, building energy prediction is crucial to best optimize utilities' energy plans and also create a predictive model for consumers. To improve energy prediction performance, this paper proposes a ResNet-LSTM model that combines residual networks (ResNets) and long short-term memory (LSTM) for energy consumption prediction. ResNets are utilized to extract complex and rich features, while LSTM has the ability to learn temporal correlation; the dense layer is used as a regression to forecast energy consumption. To make our model more robust, we employed Huber loss during the optimization process. Huber loss obtains high efficiency by handling minor errors quadratically. It also takes the absolute error for large errors to increase robustness. This makes our model less sensitive to outlier data. Our proposed system was trained on historical data to forecast energy consumption for different time series. To evaluate our proposed model, we compared our model's performance with several popular machine learning and deep learning methods such as linear regression, neural networks, decision tree, and convolutional neural networks, etc. The results show that our proposed model predicted energy consumption most accurately.

Form-finding of lifting self-forming GFRP elastic gridshells based on machine learning interpretability methods

  • Soheila, Kookalani;Sandy, Nyunn;Sheng, Xiang
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.84 no.5
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    • pp.605-618
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    • 2022
  • Glass fiber reinforced polymer (GFRP) elastic gridshells consist of long continuous GFRP tubes that form elastic deformations. In this paper, a method for the form-finding of gridshell structures is presented based on the interpretable machine learning (ML) approaches. A comparative study is conducted on several ML algorithms, including support vector regression (SVR), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), AdaBoost, XGBoost, category boosting (CatBoost), and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM). A numerical example is presented using a standard double-hump gridshell considering two characteristics of deformation as objective functions. The combination of the grid search approach and k-fold cross-validation (CV) is implemented for fine-tuning the parameters of ML models. The results of the comparative study indicate that the LightGBM model presents the highest prediction accuracy. Finally, interpretable ML approaches, including Shapely additive explanations (SHAP), partial dependence plot (PDP), and accumulated local effects (ALE), are applied to explain the predictions of the ML model since it is essential to understand the effect of various values of input parameters on objective functions. As a result of interpretability approaches, an optimum gridshell structure is obtained and new opportunities are verified for form-finding investigation of GFRP elastic gridshells during lifting construction.

A Study on the Comparison of Predictive Models of Cardiovascular Disease Incidence Based on Machine Learning

  • Ji Woo SEOK;Won ro LEE;Min Soo KANG
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, a study was conducted to compare the prediction model of cardiovascular disease occurrence. It is the No.1 disease that accounts for 1/3 of the world's causes of death, and it is also the No. 2 cause of death in Korea. Primary prevention is the most important factor in preventing cardiovascular diseases before they occur. Early diagnosis and treatment are also more important, as they play a role in reducing mortality and morbidity. The Results of an experiment using Azure ML, Logistic Regression showed 88.6% accuracy, Decision Tree showed 86.4% accuracy, and Support Vector Machine (SVM) showed 83.7% accuracy. In addition to the accuracy of the ROC curve, AUC is 94.5%, 93%, and 92.4%, indicating that the performance of the machine learning algorithm model is suitable, and among them, the results of applying the logistic regression algorithm model are the most accurate. Through this paper, visualization by comparing the algorithms can serve as an objective assistant for diagnosis and guide the direction of diagnosis made by doctors in the actual medical field.

Machine Learning Based BLE Indoor Positioning Performance Improvement (머신러닝 기반 BLE 실내측위 성능 개선)

  • Moon, Joon;Pak, Sang-Hyon;Hwang, Jae-Jeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.10a
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    • pp.467-468
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    • 2021
  • In order to improve the performance of the indoor positioning system using BLE beacons, a receiver that measures the angle of arrival among the direction finding technologies supported by BLE5.1 was manufactured and analyzed by machine learning to measure the optimal position. For the creation and testing of machine learning models, k-nearest neighbor classification and regression, logistic regression, support vector machines, decision tree artificial neural networks, and deep neural networks were used to learn and test. As a result, when the test set 4 produced in the study was used, the accuracy was up to 99%.

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