• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision Cost

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Economic Value Analysis of Asian Dust Forecasts Using Decision Tree-Focused on Medicine Inventory Management (의사결정트리를 활용한 황사예보의 경제적 가치 분석-의약품 재고관리문제를 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Seung-Chul;Lee, Ki-Kwang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.120-126
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    • 2014
  • This paper deals with the economic value analysis of meteorological forecasts for a hypothetical inventory decision-making situation in the pharmaceutical industry. The value of Asian dust (AD) forecasts is assessed in terms of the expected value of profits by using a decision tree, which is transformed from the specific payoff structure. The forecast user is assumed to determine the inventory level by considering base profit, inventory cost, and lost sales cost. We estimate the information value of AD forecasts by comparing the two cases of decision-making with or without the AD forecast. The proposed method is verified for the real data of AD forecasts and events in Seoul during the period 2004~2008. The results indicate that AD forecasts can provide the forecast users with benefits, which have various ranges of values according to the relative rate of inventory and lost sales cost.

The Effects of Managerial Attributes on Cost Stickiness: An Empirical Analysis of Korean Exporters and Implications for Start-ups

  • Ji, Sang-Hyun;Kwon, Il Sook;An, Sang Bong
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.196-219
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - We attempted to empirically verify the effects of managerial attributes on cost stickiness in exporters. Exporters are often affected not only by external factors such as exchange rate but also by internal factors such as managerial attributes regarding their business activities. Because cost stickiness is the product of a manager's decision-making, it has been considered that managerial attributes have a great influence on the behavior. Therefore, our study was intended to find out whether cost stickiness shows differentiated aspects depending on managerial attributes in exporters. Design/methodology - We considered two managerial attributes: CEO power and managerial overconfidence. First, CEO power was measured as CEO pay slice. In addition, managerial overconfidence was measured based on three methodologies presented by previous studies. To measure cost stickiness, we used multiple methodologies presented by prior research. Findings - The results of our empirical analysis are as follows. First, in export firms, the greater CEO power is, the greater cost stickiness is. This result suggested that export managers with great influence little respond to temporary sales decrease promptly, little reduce related production costs flexibly in preparation for future sales recovery, but leave room to endure costs for idle resources. Second, the greater managerial overconfidence is, the greater cost stickiness is. This result indicated that export managers with great overconfidence on their decision-making often view the prospect for sales recovery positively; therefore, they little respond to temporary sales decrease immediately, little reduce related production costs flexibly for future sales recovery, but leave room to endure costs for idle resources. Third, export managers with great influence in their businesses and great overconfidence in their decision-making tend to show relatively great cost stickiness. The results proposed that the combination of the two factors functions to make cost stickiness greater. Originality/value - Our study is differentiated from extant studies in that we provided empirical evidence of the effects of managerial attributes on their business activities in exporters. Specifically, we verified the effects of managerial attributes on cost stickiness in Korean exporters. The results of our study are expected to contribute to providing useful information for exporters and start-ups.

Strategies for Appropriate Patient-centered Care to Decrease the Nationwide Cost of Cancers in Korea (국가 암 비용 감소를 위한 환자중심 진료의 적정성 확보 전략)

  • Bae, Jong-Myon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.217-227
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    • 2017
  • In terms of years of life lost to premature mortality, cancer imposes the highest burden in Korea. In order to reduce the burden of cancer, the Korean government has implemented cancer control programs aiming to reduce cancer incidence, to increase survival rates, and to decrease cancer mortality. However, these programs may paradoxically increase the cost burden. For examples, a cancer screening program for early detection could bring about over-diagnosis and over-treatment, and supplying medical services in a paternalistic manner could lead to defensive medicine or futile care. As a practical measure to reduce the cost burden of cancer, appropriate cancer care should be established. Ensuring appropriateness requires patient-doctor communication to ensure that utility values are shared and that autonomous decisions are made regarding medical services. Thus, strategies for reducing the cost burden of cancer through ensuring appropriate patient-centered care include introducing value-based medicine, conducting cost-utility studies, and developing patient decision aids.

Optimum Life Cycle Cost Design of Steel Box Girder Bridges (강상형교의 최적 Life Cycle Cost 설계)

  • 조효남;민대홍;김구선
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents an optimal decision model for minimizing the life-cycle cost of steel box girder bridges. The point is that it takes into account service life process as a whole, and the life-cycle costs include initial (design, testing, and construction) costs, maintenance costs and expected failure costs. The problem is formulated as that of minimization of expected total life-cycle cost with respect to the design variables. The optimal solution identifies those values of the decision variables that result in minimum expected total cost. The performance constraints in the form of flexural failure and shear failure are those specified in the design code. Based on extensive numerical investigations, it may be positively stated that the optimum design of steel box girder bridges based on life-cycle cost approach proposed in this study provides a lot more rational and economical design, and thus the proposed approach will propose the development of new concepts and design methodologies that may have important implications in the next generation performance-based design codes and standards.

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Critical Review of health care economic evaluation methodology : With a special reference to study design and cost estimation (보건의료 경제성 평가 방법론 고찰 -연구 설계와 비용 추정을 중심으로-)

  • ;Brouwer WBF
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.58-77
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    • 2004
  • Cost containment has become high political issues since financial crisis of the Korean Health Insurance fund in 2000. Korean Government has developed and implemented several measures to reduce the pharmaceutical expenditures. Pharmaceutical economic evaluation can be a tool in decision to allocate scare resource efficiently. In order to increase the quality of economic evaluation for pharmaceuticals, the Korean Health Insurance Review Agency(HIRA) is considering the development of a guideline for economic evaluation. It mandates that pharmaceutical companies could submit the result of an economic evaluation when demanding reimbursement of new pharmaceutical drugs. The purpose of this study is to provide a critical review of the economic evaluations of health care technologies published in the Korean context whether they have been performed according to current guidelines and therefore whether their results are directly useful for decision making. We found there exist important problems and deviation from, good practice' both in the general features of the studies, like the study design and perspective, and in terms of cost measurement and valuation. There are needs to develop clear guidelines and to educate and train researchers in performing economic evaluations.

Linear Programming Applications to Managerial Accounting Decision Makings (선형계획법을 이용한 관리회계적 의사결정)

  • Song, Han-Sik;Choi, Min-Cheol
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.99-117
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    • 2018
  • This study has investigated Linear Programming (LP) applications to special decision making problems in managerial accounting with the help of spreadsheet Solver tools. It uses scenario approaches to case examples having three products and three resources in make-and-supply business operations, which is applicable to cases having more variables and constraints. Integer Programmings (IP) are applied in order to model situations when products are better valued in integer values or logical constraints are required. Three cases in one-time-only special order decisions include Goal Programming approach, Knapsack problems with 0/1 selections, and fixed-charge 0/1 integer modelling techniques for set-up operation costs. For the decisions in outsourcing problems, opportunity-costs of resources expressed by shadow-prices are considered to determine their precise contributions. It has also shown that the improvement in work-shop operation for an unprofitable product must overcome its 'reduced cost' by the sum of direct manufacturing cost savings and its shadow-price contributions. This paper has demonstrated how various real situations of special decision problem in managerial accounting can be approached without mistakes by using LP's and IP's, and how students both in accounting and management science can acquire LP skills in their education.

Management of Precancerous Cervical Lesions in Iran: A Cost Minimizing Study

  • Nahvijou, Azin;Sari, Ali Akbari;Zendehdel, Kazem;Marnani, Ahmad Barati
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.19
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    • pp.8209-8213
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    • 2014
  • Background: Cervical cancer is a common, preventable and manageable disease in women worldwide. Objectives: This study was conducted to determine the cost of follow-up for suspicious precancerous cervical lesions within a screening program using Pap smear or HPV DNA test through the decision tree. Materials and Methods: Patient follow-up processes were determined using standard guidelines and consultation with specialists to design a decision tree model. Costs of treatment in both public and private sectors were identified according to the national tariffs in 2010 and determined based on decision tree and provided services (visits to specialists, colposcopy, and conization) with two modalities: Pap smear and HPV DNA test. The number of patients and the mean cost of treatment in each sector were calculated. The prevalence of lesions and HPV were obtained from literature to estimate the cost of treatment for each woman in the population. Results: Follow-up costs were determined using seven processes for Pap smear and 11 processes for HPV DNA test. The total cost of using Pap smear and HPV DNA process for each woman in the population was 36.1$ and 174$ respectively. Conclusions: The follow-up process for patients with suspicious cervical lesions needs to be included in the existing screening program. HPV DNA test is currently more expensive than Pap smear, it is suggested that we manage precancerous cervical lesions with this latter test.

A study on construction simulation of road tunnel using Decision Aids for Tunneling (DAT) (터널의사결정체계 (DAT)를 이용한 도로터널의 시공 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Min, Sangyoon;Kim, Taek Kon;Einstein, H.H.;Lee, Jun S.;Kim, Ho Young
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.161-174
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    • 2003
  • Applicability of the Decision Aids for Tunneling (DAT) technique is investigated in this study to better understand the efficiency of the decision making process during tunnel construction. For this, a traffic tunnel under construction is adopted and information on the construction procedure, i.e., overall geology, unit cost and construction time for each excavation process, is provided periodically. Various scattergrams in which cost-time simulation results are plotted are obtained according to the simulation methods and final prediction on the construction time/cost is made. It is found that the uncertainty in the cost distribution is greater than the uncertainty in the time distribution for each cycle simulation and the uncertainties in time and cost for the one time simulations are comparable. Future work will be concentrated on the updating scheme using the face mapping data and various parametric studies will also be performed.

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Investigation of the Structure of the Strategic Net Present Value and Its Economic Interpretation through the Opportunity Cost Concept (기회비용 개념을 이용한 실물투자 프로젝트의 전략적 순 현재가치의 구성요소와 경제적 해석)

  • Kim, Gyutai;Choi, Sungho
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.126-134
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    • 2003
  • Among a variety of models proposed by so far to calculate the real options value when the investment decision about the underlying project may be delayed, the Black-Scholes and the binomial lattice models have been widely used and discussed by academics and practitioners. However these two models do not provide us with intuition into how it is constructed and what it does really mean. In this paper, we will therefore explore its components and practically more intuitive meaning. With the components explored, we developed the mathematical model to calculate the real options value and thus strategic net present value, based on the opportunity cost concept, for which the investment decision about the underlying project is postponed by one year. We will finally present a short illustrative example for readers better understanding on the model proposed in the paper.

A study on the optimal distance between the data center and the disaster recovery center for the business continuity (업무 연속성 확보를 위한 재해복구센터의 최적 거리에 관한 연구)

  • 서용원
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.57-60
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    • 2003
  • As the business dependency to information systems and the frequency of the large scale disasters increase, implementing the disaster recovery center has been a common practice. However, since there has been little quantitative decision method for the distance between the data center and the disaster recovery center, the distance decision has been commonly made by qualitative guidelines. In this research, the decision method for the optimal distance between the data center and the disaster recovery center is developed, using the cost analysis including the operation cost and the expected disaster cost. An illustrative numerical example is provided.

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