• 제목/요약/키워드: Debt Crisis

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기업 이자비용과 기업 부채재원 조달 (Corporate Interest Costs and Debt Financing)

  • 이상욱
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.290-295
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 기업 대출금리, 기업 차입금 평균이자율 등 기업 이자비용과 기업 부채 재원조달과의 관계를 분석하였다. 또한 기업 이자비용과 기업 부채 재원조달의 관계가 2008년 금융위기를 전후하여 차이가 발생하는지도 분석하였다. 일반적 예상과 달리 기업 이자비용과 기업 부채 재원조달의 관계에서 음의 관계는 발견되지 않았다. 2008년 금융위기 전후로 구분한 분석에서는, 2008년 금융위기 이전 기간에는 기업 이자비용과 부채 재원조달에서 음의 관계를 보였으나, 2008년 금융위기 이후 기간에서는 기업 이자 비용과 부채 재원조달 간에 양의 관계가 발견되었다. 우리나라에서 기업이자비용 상승 등이 기업 부채재원조달 감소에 미치는 영향은 크지 않은 것으로 추정되는 데, 이는 2008년 글로벌 금융위기 이후 저금리 기조에 따른 기업 이자비용 감소에도 불구하고 기업의 부채 재원조달이 오히려 감소한 데 기인한 것으로 보인다. 추가 분석으로 기업의 사채 발행을 통한 부채 재원조달과 기업 이자비용과의 관계에서도 유사한 결과를 보였다. 저금리 기조에 따른 기업 이자비용 감소가 직접금융 시장을 통한 회사채 발생 증가에도 큰 영향을 미치지 못한 것으로 보인다. 이는 금리인하 정책 등 저금리 기조가 기업 투자부진 등 재원조달 수요를 촉진하는 데 큰 영향을 미치지 못한 데 기인한 것으로 추정된다.

국가부채의 재정위기 현황과 감당수준 (National Liability and Fiscal Crisis)

  • 정도진
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.253-270
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - The main purpose of this study is to measure and evaluate the level of national liabilities that Korea's national finances can afford. Specifically, the concepts of national debt and national liability are clarified, and the appropriate level of national liabilities is measured in terms of short-term fiscal crisis, mid-to-long-term fiscal crisis, and GDP. Based on these measurements of fiscal crisis, this study would like to propose national fiscal management plans. Design/methodology/approach - In order to clearly recognize the difference between the national debt and the national liability, this study examines the data from 2013 to 2020. In addition, this study uses data from the national financial statements from 2013 to 2018 to measure the appropriate level of national liabilities in terms of fiscal crisis management. Findings - Short-term fiscal crises, measured by current ratios, will not occur. Nevertheless, in view of the cash flow compensation ratio, the short-term bankruptcy of the national finances of Korea depends on the re-borrowing of short-term borrowings and current and long-term borrowings. In addition, in order to manage the mid-to long-term financial crisis, it is necessary to pay attention to the liability growth rate rather than the liability size. Research implications or Originality - While previous studies focused on the appropriate level of national debt, this study was differentiated as a study focused on the level of national liability coverage. It is expected that the results of this study will be used to manage the national fiscal soundness.

A Research on Pecking Order Theory of Financing: The Case of Korean Manufacturing Firms

  • Lee, Jang-Woo;Hurr, Hee-Young
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2009
  • This paper empirically tests pecking order theory. Korean listed firms are used as the samples. On the whole we find supportive results for pecking order theory. The fixed effect model on the whole period shows that as pecking order theory suggests that debt ratio decreases as cash flow. ROA, physical assets, and firm size increase. Again, it is shown that corporate debt ratio significantly decreases as cash flow or ROA increases in every sub-sample, which coincides with the prediction of pecking order theory. Corporate debt ratio significantly decreases as physical assets or jinn size increases in case of the whole sample, pre-financial crisis period, and the sub-samples by q-ratio, which also supports the prediction of pecking order theory. Statistical significance of the coefficients of physical assets or firm size completely disappears after Korean financial crisis. Perhaps it is because the role of physical assets or firm size as a mitigator of information asymmetry significantly weakens after the financial crisis as Korean financial market becomes more transparent. For small firms only size variable is negatively and significantly related with debt to assets. It seems that size is an important factor for smaller firms in making financing decision.

Donor Country's Fiscal Status and ODA Decisions before and after 2008 Global Financial Crisis

  • Ahn, Hyeonmi;Park, Danbee
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.25-38
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the impact of donor's fiscal status on aid decisions before and after the 2008 global financial crisis. The effects on aid can change depending on the donor country's fiscal status and the period of financial crisis. Research design, data, and methodology - A fixed effect regression and dynamic panel GMM is conducted using a comprehensive dataset combining 31 donor and 167 recipient countries during 1996-2015. The key explanatory variable is central government debt-to-GDP ratio of donor country. Recipient countries' GNI per capita, population, governance indicators, and bilateral trade-to-GDP ratio between donor and recipient countries are included as control variables. Results - We can confirm the relationship between donor country's fiscal status and aid flow. The cyclical component of government debt is found to have a negative impact on grant decisions particularly after the 2008 global financial crisis. This effect becomes larger in the countries with high government debt-to-GDP ratio. ODA decisions from the countries with low financial constraint do not significantly affected by the recipient countries' factors such as GNI, population, and governance indicator. Conclusions - Based on the empirical results of this study, the source of aid should be diversified by incorporating private sector and innovative financing sources.

지방자치단체의 '재정위기'에 대한 실증분석 (An Empirical Analysis on the Fiscal Crisis of Local Governments in Korea)

  • 김범식;박원석;송영필
    • 지역연구
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.75-92
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    • 1999
  • In this study, the present state of fiscal crisis for local governments after IMF is analyzed, firstly. its implications Characteristics of structural reform of finance after IMF bailout in Korea are examined, secondly. Since Korea was shocked by the currency crisis at the end of 1997, its local governments have also faced fiscal difficulties. The Depression of national and local economies led to decreases in tax revenues of local governments. And these shrunken revenues led to their expenditure cuts. Many investment plans were curtailed, and ordinary expenditures were also reduced sharply. The negative influences of the currency crisis on local government's finances can be examined in terms of fiscal revenue, fiscal spending, and debt burden. As a result many local governments are now experiencing fiscal stress, and some of them are even faced with fiscal crisis although the possibility of extreme measures, such as moratoriums or bankruptcies, is very slim. This is due in part to the weight of debt in local governments' budgets having remained small since the debt of local governments has been controlled by the central government. Another reason is that, central government, which functions as a lender of last resort for the local governments, will pay the debt for them. Also, without a legal system which stipulates the adjudication of bankruptcy for municipalities in Korea, local Korean governments have no legal right to declare bankruptcy. Although not a single municipality has fallen into insolvency, yet, this trend will continue to deepen as the recession continues and may lead to a situation where manu local governments fall into virtual bankruptcy in the near future, and its effects on society, as a whole, will be serious. Therefore, measures to prevent and overcome such an extreme situation are necessary, but both short-and long-term policies should be to cope with the current fiscal crisis and to prevent the deepening of the current situation.

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수산기업의 자본구조 결정 요인에 대한 실증분석: 외환위기 전후의 자본조달 행태 비교 (The Determinants of Fisheries Firms' Capital Structure : Comparative Analysis of Financing Behavior in Pre and Post the Asian Financial Crisis)

  • 남수현;이광민;홍재범
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2011
  • We try to find the determinants of fisheries firms' capital structure during the years from 1992 to 2007 in this paper. We also have a comparative analysis of capital raising behavior in pre and post-IMF financial crisis. Regression analysis is used for this empirical study. Dependent variable is leverage ratio and independent variables are firm size, operating risk, proportion of tangible asset, non-debt tax shield effect, sales growth ratio, profitability and dummy variable. We compared the characteristics of fisheries industry with that of manufacturing industy. The determinants of fisheries firms' capital structure and correlation between pre and post-IMF financial crisis are roughly same as the hypothses except a little difference. As a peculiar difference, corrlation between fisheries firms' operating risk and leverage ratio is (+) in the pre-IMF financial crisis, but (-) in the post-IMF financial crisis. Proportion of tangible asset has a (+) correlation with leverage ratio in pre and post-IMF financial crisis, but in case of manufacturing industy, (-) correlation shows in the pre-IMF financial crisis. Because, in the pre-IMF financial crisis, high proportion of tangible asset doesn't play a role of a collateral, but only increase the bankruptcy probability. Non-debt tax shield effect and leverage ratio have (-) correlation in all industry and all period, but only (+) correlation in case of fisheries industry in the pre-IMF financial crisis. Sales growth ratio has no significant relationship with leverage ratio in fisheries industry, and this is not coincide with our hypothsis. We have a limitation of the sample size of fisheries firms and sample period in this study. Further study is required to classify the fisheries industry with in-shore fisheries, deep sea fisheries and cold storage industry.

한국의 자본축적 과정과 도시화: 도시 위기와 대안 (Process of Capital Accumulation and Urbanization in S.Korea: Urban Crisis and Alternatives)

  • 최병두
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.512-534
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    • 2016
  • 이 논문은 한국 사회가 처한 경제위기를 도시위기로 이해하고, 이러한 도시 위기의 발생 과정과 주요 상황들을 고찰하는 한편, 이 위기로부터 벗어나기 위한 대안을 모색하고자 한다. 한국의 자본주의 경제발전(또는 자본축적)은 기본적으로 건조환경 부문에의 투자 확대를 통해 추동되어 왔다. 이러한 자본 축적과정에서 발생한 과잉축적의 위기와 해외 금융자본의 외적 영향으로 발생하는 위기들(1997년 IMF 위기와 2008년 금융위기)의 결합으로, 정부 및 기업 부문에 잉여자본이 누적되는 한편, 정부, 기업 및 가계의 부채가 급속히 증가하는 결과가 초래되고 있다. 특히 가계의 부채 위기는 주택 및 부동산시장을 활성화하기 위한 국가 정책 및 주택의 공급과 수요를 촉진하기 위한 의제적 자본의 작동에 기인하는 것으로 이해된다. 이러한 잉여자본의 누적과 부채위기의 심화를 통해 전개되는 도시 위기를 해결하기 위한 다양한 방법들, 즉 실질임금의 인상, 건조환경에의 투자 완화, 기술 및 복지 분야 투자 확대 등이 모색될 수 있지만, 국가와 자본에 이를 요구하기 위한 운동 없이는 실현되기 어렵다. 최근 도시에 대한 권리에 바탕을 둔 도시운동은 국가에게 이러한 정책을 시행하도록 요구하는 한편, 도시의 잉여를 생산했지만 부채 위기로 인해 고통 받는 도시인들의 이해관계를 실현시키기 위한 운동이라고 결론지을 수 있다.

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부채가계의 객관적 부채부담 지표 및 기준실정을 위한 주관적 부채부담 관련요인의 분석 (An Analysis of the Effect of the Objective Debt Burden Variables on the Subjective Debt Burden for Setting the Guidelines for Household Debt Management)

  • 채은석;성영애
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제38권11호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2000
  • The purposes of the study were to investigate the effects of the debt burden which was measured objectively, the types of debts and socio-economic characteristics on the subjective debt burden of households. The questionaires for 457 households who hold some debts were analyzed using t-test, ANOVA and Duncan’s multiple range teat. The major finding are summarized as follows: (1) the objective debt burdens which were measured by three variables, that is monthly debt repayment, the ratio of debt repayment to household income and total debt amount, affected the subjective debt burden. The households in which the monthly debt repayment was over 200 thousand won, the debt repayment was over 20% of the household income and the total debt amount was over 15 minion won felt higher debt burden. (2) the types of debts, which were classified into four groups such as debts from financial institutes, debts from private sources, credit card debts and debt from retailers, influenced differently the subjective debt burden. Holding debts from financial institutes and debts from private sources increased the subjective debt burden whereas holding credit card debts and debt from retailers did not. (3) the level of subjective debt burden were different according to household income, change in income due to IMF crisis, financial assets, home ownership, residence, householder’s age, job and educational levee. Based on the results, criterion for household’s debt management were suggested.

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글로벌 금융위기 이후 기업의 부채비율이 이익조정에 미치는 영향 - 한·일 비교연구 - (Impact of Debt ratio on Earnings Management after Global Financial Crisis - Comparative Study of Korea and Japan -)

  • 노길관
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제10권12호
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    • pp.299-305
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구의 목적은 글로벌 금융위기 이후 한국, 일본 제조기업의 부채비율이 발생액 및 실제 이익조정과 어떠한 관계인지 분석하는 것이다. 이를 위하여 2008년부터 2015년까지의 기간의 한국과 일본 제조기업을 대상으로 회귀분석을 수행하였다. 연구결과 한국기업은 부채비율이 높을(낮을)수록 재량적 발생액과 영업현금흐름을 이용한 상향(하향)의 이익조정을 수행한 것으로 나타났다. 이와 대조적으로 일본기업에서는 부채비율이 높을(낮을)수록 발생액이 아닌 실제 활동(영업현금흐름, 제조원가, 재량적 비용)을 통하여 상향(하향)의 이익조정을 수행하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 수출규제 등의 문제로 한일관계가 경색된 현시점에서 각 국의 기업표본을 사용하여 경영자가 어떠한 의사결정을 수행하여 이익조정을 수행하는지를 확인함으로써 한일 기업의 의사결정에 대한 학술적 근거를 마련하였다는 점에 있어서 그 의의가 있다.

Declining Fixed Investment and Increasing Financial Investment of Korean Corporations

  • Kim, Daehwan;Kwon, Sunhee;Ryou, Jai-Won
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.353-379
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    • 2019
  • This paper aims to determine factors causing the stagnation of Korean firms' fixed investment after the global financial crisis, using panel data for the period of 1999-2016. Fixed investment remained sensitive to cash flow and Tobin's q although their effects decreased after the global financial crisis. A decreasing trend of cash flow and an increase in Tobin's q since the early 2000's imply that the worsening cash flow was a major factor behind the sluggish investment after the crisis. Meanwhile, debt-equity ratio remained significant for non-chaebol affiliated firms, reflecting disparity in access to external financing. Volatility of stock returns also became insignificant after the crisis, casting doubt on the argument that uncertainty was a major factor contributing to the decline of fixed investment. Analysis of financial investment confirmed the significant effect of cash flow, larger than that on financial investment than on fixed investment. In particular, debt repayment and other financial investment, except share repurchase, were sensitive to cash flow. However, the substitution of fixed investment by financial investment is a consequence, rather than a cause of declining fixed investment.