• Title/Summary/Keyword: Data Mining, Logistic Regression

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Data Mining for Knowledge Management in a Health Insurance Domain

  • Chae, Young-Moon;Ho, Seung-Hee;Cho, Kyoung-Won;Lee, Dong-Ha;Ji, Sun-Ha
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2000
  • This study examined the characteristicso f the knowledge discovery and data mining algorithms to demonstrate how they can be used to predict health outcomes and provide policy information for hypertension management using the Korea Medical Insurance Corporation database. Specifically this study validated the predictive power of data mining algorithms by comparing the performance of logistic regression and two decision tree algorithms CHAID (Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection) and C5.0 (a variant of C4.5) since logistic regression has assumed a major position in the healthcare field as a method for predicting or classifying health outcomes based on the specific characteristics of each individual case. This comparison was performed using the test set of 4,588 beneficiaries and the training set of 13,689 beneficiaries that were used to develop the models. On the contrary to the previous study CHAID algorithm performed better than logistic regression in predicting hypertension but C5.0 had the lowest predictive power. In addition CHAID algorithm and association rule also provided the segment characteristics for the risk factors that may be used in developing hypertension management programs. This showed that data mining approach can be a useful analytic tool for predicting and classifying health outcomes data.

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Development of Forecasting Model for the Initial Sale of Apartment Using Data Mining: The Case of Unsold Apartment Complex in Wirye New Town (데이터 마이닝을 이용한 아파트 초기계약 예측모형 개발: 위례 신도시 미분양 아파트 단지를 사례로)

  • Kim, Ji Young;Lee, Sang-Kyeong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.217-229
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    • 2018
  • This paper aims at applying the data mining such as decision tree, neural network, and logistic regression to an unsold apartment complex in Wirye new town and developing the model forecasting the result of initial sale contract by house unit. Raw data are divided into training data and test data. The order of predictability in training data is neural network, decision tree, and logistic regression. On the contrary, the results of test data show that logistic regression is the best model. This means that logistic regression has more data adaptability than neural network which is developed as the model optimized for training data. Determinants of initial sale are the location of floor, direction, the location of unit, the proximity of electricity and generator room, subscriber's residential region and the type of subscription. This suggests that using two models together is more effective in exploring determinants of initial sales. This paper contributes to the development of convergence field by expanding the scope of data mining.

Logistic Model for Normality by Neural Networks

  • Lee, Jea-Young;Rhee, Seong-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.119-129
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    • 2003
  • We propose a new logistic regression model of normality curves for normal(diseased) and abnormal(nondiseased) classifications by neural networks in data mining. The fitted logistic regression lines are estimated, interpreted and plotted by the neural network technique. A few goodness-of-fit test statistics for normality are discussed and the performances by the fitted logistic regression lines are conducted.

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A Study on Determinants of Stockpile Ammunition using Data Mining (데이터 마이닝을 활용한 장기저장탄약 상태 결정요인 분석 연구)

  • Roh, Yu Chan;Cho, Nam-Wook;Lee, Dongnyok
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.297-307
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors that affect ammunition performance by applying data mining techniques to the Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program (ASRP) data of the 155mm propelling charge. Methods: The ASRP data from 1999 to 2017 have been utilized. Logistic regression and decision tree analysis were used to investigate the factors that affect performance of ammunition. The performance evaluation of each model was conducted through comparison with an artificial neural networks(ANN) model. Results: The results of this study are as follows; logistic regression and the decision tree analysis showed that major defect rate of visual inspection is the most significant factor. Also, muzzle velocity by base charge and muzzle velocity by increment charge are also among the significant factors affecting the performance of 155mm propelling charge. To validate the logistic regression and decision tree models, their classification accuracies have been compared with the results of an ANN model. The results indicate that the logistic regression and decision tree models show sufficient performance which conforms the validity of the models. Conclusion: The main contribution of this paper is that, to our best knowledge, it is the first attempt at identifying the significant factors of ASPR data by using data mining techniques. The approaches suggested in the paper could also be extended to other types ammunition data.

Preventing the Musculoskeletal Disorders using Association Rule - Based on Result of Multiple Logistic Regression - (연관규칙을 이용한 근골격계 질환 예방 - 다변량 로지스틱 회귀분석의 결과를 기반으로 -)

  • Park, Seung-Hun;Lee, Seog-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2007
  • We adapted association rules of data mining in order to investigate the relation among the factors of musculoskeletal disorders and proposed the method of preventing the musculoskeletal disorders associated with multiple logistic regression in previous study. This multiple logistic regression was difficult to establish the method of preventing musculoskeletal disorders in case factors can't be managed by worker himself, i.e., age, gender, marital status. In order to solve this problem, we devised association rules of factors of musculoskeletal disorders and proposed the interactive method of preventing the musculoskeletal disorders, by applying association rules with the result of multiple logistic regression in previous study. The result of correlation analysis showed that prevention method of one part also prevents musculoskeletal disorders of other parts of body.

Evaluations of predicted models fitted for data mining - comparisons of classification accuracy and training time for 4 algorithms (데이터마이닝기법상에서 적합된 예측모형의 평가 -4개분류예측모형의 오분류율 및 훈련시간 비교평가 중심으로)

  • Lee, Sang-Bock
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2001
  • CHAID, logistic regression, bagging trees, and bagging trees are compared on SAS artificial data set as HMEQ in terms of classification accuracy and training time. In error rates, bagging trees is at the top, although its run time is slower than those of others. The run time of logistic regression is best among given models, but there is no uniformly efficient model satisfied in both criteria.

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Data Mining Approach to Clinical Decision Support System for Hypertension Management (고혈압관리를 위한 의사지원결정시스템의 데이터마이닝 접근)

  • 김태수;채영문;조승연;윤진희;김도마
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2002
  • This study examined the predictive power of data mining algorithms by comparing the performance of logistic regression and decision tree algorithm, called CHAID (Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection), On the contrary to the previous studies, decision tree performed better than logistic regression. We have also developed a CDSS (Clinical Decision Support System) with three modules (doctor, nurse, and patient) based on data warehouse architecture. Data warehouse collects and integrates relevant information from various databases from hospital information system (HIS ). This system can help improve decision making capability of doctors and improve accessibility of educational material for patients.

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Study on Accident Prediction Models in Urban Railway Casualty Accidents Using Logistic Regression Analysis Model (로지스틱회귀분석 모델을 활용한 도시철도 사상사고 사고예측모형 개발에 대한 연구)

  • Jin, Soo-Bong;Lee, Jong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.482-490
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    • 2017
  • This study is a railway accident investigation statistic study with the purpose of prediction and classification of accident severity. Linear regression models have some difficulties in classifying accident severity, but a logistic regression model can be used to overcome the weaknesses of linear regression models. The logistic regression model is applied to escalator (E/S) accidents in all stations on 5~8 lines of the Seoul Metro, using data mining techniques such as logistic regression analysis. The forecasting variables of E/S accidents in urban railway stations are considered, such as passenger age, drinking, overall situation, behavior, and handrail grip. In the overall accuracy analysis, the logistic regression accuracy is explained 76.7%. According to the results of this analysis, it has been confirmed that the accuracy and the level of significance of the logistic regression analysis make it a useful data mining technique to establish an accident severity prediction model for urban railway casualty accidents.

A Study on Prediction Techniques through Machine Learning of Real-time Solar Radiation in Jeju (제주 실시간 일사량의 기계학습 예측 기법 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Mi;Bae, Joo-Hyun;Park, Jeong-keun
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.521-527
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    • 2017
  • Solar radiation forecasts are important for predicting the amount of ice on road and the potential solar energy. In an attempt to improve solar radiation predictability in Jeju, we conducted machine learning with various data mining techniques such as tree models, conditional inference tree, random forest, support vector machines and logistic regression. To validate machine learning models, the results from the simulation was compared with the solar radiation data observed over Jeju observation site. According to the model assesment, it can be seen that the solar radiation prediction using random forest is the most effective method. The error rate proposed by random forest data mining is 17%.

Development of Hypertension Predictive Model (고혈압 발생 예측 모형 개발)

  • Yong, Wang-Sik;Park, Il-Su;Kang, Sung-Hong;Kim, Won-Joong;Kim, Kong-Hyun;Kim, Kwang-Kee;Park, No-Yai
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.13-28
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    • 2006
  • Objectives: This study used the characteristics of the knowledge discovery and data mining algorithms to develop hypertension predictive model for hypertension management using the Korea National Health Insurance Corporation database(the insureds' screening and health care benefit data). Methods: This study validated the predictive power of data mining algorithms by comparing the performance of logistic regression, decision tree, and ensemble technique. On the basis of internal and external validation, it was found that the model performance of logistic regression method was the best among the above three techniques. Results: Major results of logistic regression analysis suggested that the probability of hypertension was: - lower for the female(compared with the male)(OR=0.834) - higher for the persons whose ages were 60 or above(compared with below 40)(OR=4.628) - higher for obese persons(compared with normal persons)(OR= 2.103) - higher for the persons with high level of glucose(compared with normal persons)(OR=1.086) - higher for the persons who had family history of hypertension(compared with the persons who had not)(OR=1.512) - higher for the persons who periodically drank alcohol(compared with the persons who did not)$(OR=1.037{\sim}1.291)$ Conclusions: This study produced several factors affecting the outbreak of hypertension using screening. It is considered to be a contributing factor towards the nation's building of a Hypertension Management System in the near future by bringing forth representative results on the rise and care of hypertension.