• Title/Summary/Keyword: Damage probability

Search Result 585, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Seismic Fragility Analysis for Probabilistic Seismic Performance Evaluation of Multi-Degree-of-Freedom Bridge Structures (확률론적 내진성능평가를 위한 다자유도 교량구조물의 지진취약도해석)

  • Jin, He-Shou;Song, Jong-Keol
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2008.02a
    • /
    • pp.269-272
    • /
    • 2008
  • The seismic fragility curves of a structure represents the probability of exceeding the prescribed structural damage given various levels of ground motion intensityand the seismic fragility curve is essential to evaluation of structural performance and assessment of risk and loss of structures. The purpose of this paper is to develop seismic fragility functions for bridge structures in Koreaby reviewing those of advanced countries. Therefore, at first, we investigated development conditions of the seismic fragility functions. And the next highway bridges in Korea are classified into a number of categories and several typical bridges are selected to estimate seismic fragilities for using this analysis method in Korea. Finally, fragility curves for PSC Box girder bridge are estimated. The results show that the bridge classification and damage state play an important role in estimation of seismic damage and seismic fragility analysis for bridge structures.

  • PDF

Development of Snow Load Sensor and Analysis of Warning Criterion for Heavy Snow Disaster Prevention Alarm System in Plastic Greenhouse (비닐온실 폭설 방재 예·경보 시스템을 위한 설하중 센서 개발과 적설 경보 기준 분석)

  • Kim, Dongsu;Jeong, Youngjoon;Lee, Sang-ik;Lee, Jonghyuk;Hwang, Kyuhong;Choi, Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.63 no.2
    • /
    • pp.75-84
    • /
    • 2021
  • As the weather changes become frequent, weather disasters are increasing, causing more damage to plastic greenhouses. Among the damage caused by various disasters, damage by snow to the greenhouse takes a relatively long time, so if an alarm system is properly prepared, the damage can be reduced. Existing greenhouse design standards and snow warning systems are based on snow depth. However, even in the same depth, the load on the greenhouse varies depending on meteorological characteristics and snow density. Therefore, this study aims to secure the structural safety of greenhouses by developing sensors that can directly measure snow loads, and analysing the warning criteria for load using a stochastic model. Markov chain was applied to estimate the failure probability of various types of greenhouses in various regions, which let users actively cope with heavy snowfall by selecting an appropriate time to respond. Although it was hard to predict the precise snow depth or amounts, it could successfully assess the risk of structures by directly detecting the snow load using the developed sensor.

Pohang City Fire Vulnerable Area Prediction and Fire Damage Rating Measurement by Administrative District (포항시 화재 취약지역 예측 및 이에 따른 행정구역별 화재 피해 등급 측정)

  • Lim, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Heon-Joo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.21 no.4
    • /
    • pp.166-176
    • /
    • 2021
  • Due to urbanization and industrialization, the importance of large-scale fire prevention, management and measures is increasing day by day. However, the fire site arrival rate in Golden Time, which is a factor that can minimize large-scale fire damage, of Pohang, a large city with a population of over 500,000, is relatively low. So additional fire fighting power deployment and infrastructure investment are required. However, as budget and manpower are limited, it is necessary to selectively deploy fire fighting power and invest in infrastructure. Therefore, this study attempted to present a fire damage rating that can compare the level of fire damage, which is an index that can help selectively provide fire fighting services in Pohang and make related decisions. For the index, the OD cost matrix was used to predict fire vulnerable areas with a high probability of increasing the fire scale in the event of a fire. Also fire damage was measured by predicting the level of fire damage in the event of a fire according to population, building density, and access of fire trucks. It is expected that the fire damage rating will be able to help in various decisions related to fire fighting service deployment and services not only in Pohang city, but also in other regions.

Risk evaluation of steel frames with welded connections under earthquake

  • Song, Jianlin;Ellingwood, Bruce R.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.11 no.6
    • /
    • pp.663-672
    • /
    • 2001
  • Numerous failures in welded connections in steel moment-resisting building frames (SMRF) were observed when buildings were inspected after the 1994 Northridge Earthquake. These observations raised concerns about the effectiveness of such frames for resisting strong earthquake ground motions. The behavior of SMRFs during an earthquake must be assessed using nonlinear dynamic analysis, and such assessments must permit the deterioration in connection strength to capture the behavior of the frame. The uncertainties that underlie both structural and dynamic loading also need to be included in the analysis process. This paper describes the analysis of one of approximately 200 SMRFs that suffered damage to its welded beam-to-column connections from the Northridge Earthquake is evaluated. Nonlinear static and dynamic analysis of this SMRF in the time domain is performed using ground motions representing the Northridge Earthquake. Subsequently, a detailed uncertainty analysis is conducted for the building using an ensemble of earthquake ground motions. Probability distributions for deformation-related limit states, described in terms of maximum roof displacement or interstory drift, are constructed. Building fragilities that are useful for condition assessment of damaged building structures and for performance-based design are developed from these distributions.

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of multi-span highway bridges

  • Bayat, M.;Daneshjoo, F.;Nistico, N.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
    • /
    • v.19 no.1
    • /
    • pp.237-262
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this study, we try to compare different intensity measures for evaluating nonlinear response of bridge structure. This paper presents seismic analytic fragility of a three-span concrete girder highway bridge. A complete detail of bridge modeling parameters and also its verification has been presented. Fragility function considers the relationship of intensities of the ground motion and probability of exceeding certain state of damage. Incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) has been subjected to the bridge from medium to strong ground motions. A suite of 20 earthquake ground motions with different range of PGAs are used in nonlinear dynamic analysis of the bridge. Complete sensitive analyses have been done on the response of bridge and also efficiency and practically of them are studied to obtain a proficient intensity measure for these types of structure by considering its sensitivity to the period of the bridge. Three dimensional finite element (FE) model of the bridge is developed and analyzed. The numerical results show that the bridge response is very sensitive to the earthquake ground motions when PGA and Sa (Ti, 5%) are used as intensity measure (IM) and also indicated that the failure probability of the bridge system is dominated by the bridge piers.

A study with more probability for predicting the quantitative severity of fire occurance in department stores (백화점 화재 발생의 확률적 접근에 의한 심각성의 정량적 예측)

  • 구진영;김광열
    • Fire Science and Engineering
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.15-21
    • /
    • 1998
  • In this research, we studied reach the conclusion with more probability for predicting the severity which based on fire cases in domestic department stores for last 30 years. Considering the number of yearly fire cases in department stores and the cost of damage, we set the risk level. Moreover, this research shows the severity of fire in department stores through its scenario applying to FPETOOL program which NIST in USA has developed. By the result of FPETOOL program operation, we could acquired information about the time reaching the point where people are in danger in temperature, smoke layer and gas concentration. When a fire breaks out in a department store, a great loss of property and life is significant, as well as the potential risk is awfully considerable. Therefore, we should prevent a five from occuring.

  • PDF

Improvement in LED structure for enhanced light-emission

  • Park, Seong-Ju
    • Proceedings of the Materials Research Society of Korea Conference
    • /
    • 2003.11a
    • /
    • pp.21-21
    • /
    • 2003
  • To increase the light-emission efficiency of LED, we increased the internal and external quantum efficiency by suppressing the defect formation in the quantum well and by increasing the light extraction efficiency in LED, respectively. First, the internal quantum efficiency was improved by investigating the effect of a low temperature (LT) grown p-GaN layer on the In$\sub$0.25/GaN/GaN MQW in green LED. The properties of p-GaN was optimized at a low growth temperature of 900oC. A green LED using the optimized LT p-type GaN clearly showed the elimination of blue-shift which is originated by the MQW damage due to the high temperature growth process. This result was attributed to the suppression of indium inter-diffusion in MQW layer as evidenced by XRD and HR-TEM analysis. Secondly, we improved the light-extraction efficiency of LED. In spite of high internal quantum efficiency of GaN-based LED, the external quantum efficiency is still low due to the total internal reflection of the light at the semiconductor-air interface. To improve the probability of escaping the photons outside from the LED structure, we fabricated nano-sized cavities on a p-GaN surface utilizing Pt self-assembled metal clusters as an etch mask. Electroluminescence measurement showed that the relative optical output power was increased up to 80% compared to that of LED without nano-sized cavities. I-V measurement also showed that the electrical performance was improved. The enhanced LED performance was attributed to the enhancement of light escaping probability and the decrease of resistance due to the increase in contact area.

  • PDF

PNN based Rogers Diagnosis Method for Fault Classification of Oil-filled Power Transformer (유입변압기 고장분류를 위한 PNN 기반 Rogers 진단기법 개발)

  • Lim, Jae-Yoon;Lee, Dae-Jong;Ji, Pyeong-Shik
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
    • /
    • v.65 no.4
    • /
    • pp.280-284
    • /
    • 2016
  • Stability and reliability of a power system in many respects depend on the condition of power transformers. Essential devices as power transformers are in a transmission and distribution system. Being one of the most expensive and important elements, a power transformer is a highly essential element, whose failures and damage may cause the outage of a power system. To detect the power transformer faults, dissolved gas analysis (DGA) is a widely-used method because of its high sensitivity to small amount of electrical faults. Among the various diagnosis methods, Rogers diagonsis method has been widely used in transformer in service. But this method cannot offer accurate diagnosis for all the faults. This paper proposes a fault diagnosis method of oil-filled power transformers using PNN(Probability Neural Network) based Rogers diagnosis method. The test result show better performance than conventional Rogers diagnosis method.

Evaluation of the seismic performance of special moment frames using incremental nonlinear dynamic analysis

  • Khorami, Majid;Khorami, Masoud;Motahar, Hedayatollah;Alvansazyazdi, Mohammadfarid;Shariati, Mahdi;Jalali, Abdolrahim;Tahir, M.M.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.63 no.2
    • /
    • pp.259-268
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this paper, the incremental nonlinear dynamic analysis is used to evaluate the seismic performance of steel moment frame structures. To this purpose, three special moment frame structure with 5, 10 and 15 stories are designed according to the Iran's national building code for steel structures and the provisions for design of earthquake resistant buildings (2800 code). Incremental Nonlinear Analysis (IDA) is performed for 15 different ground motions, and responses of the structures are evaluated. For the immediate occupancy and the collapse prevention performance levels, the probability that seismic demand exceeds the seismic capacity of the structures is computed based on FEMA350. Also, fragility curves are plotted for three high-code damage levels using HASUS provisions. Based on the obtained results, it is evident that increase in the height of the frame structures reduces the reliability level. In addition, it is concluded that for the design earthquake the probability of exceeding average collapse prevention level is considerably larger than high and full collapse prevention levels.9.

Real time crack detection using mountable comparative vacuum monitoring sensors

  • Roach, D.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • v.5 no.4
    • /
    • pp.317-328
    • /
    • 2009
  • Current maintenance operations and integrity checks on a wide array of structures require personnel entry into normally-inaccessible or hazardous areas to perform necessary nondestructive inspections. To gain access for these inspections, structure must be disassembled and removed or personnel must be transported to remote locations. The use of in-situ sensors, coupled with remote interrogation, can be employed to overcome a myriad of inspection impediments stemming from accessibility limitations, complex geometries, the location and depth of hidden damage, and the isolated location of the structure. Furthermore, prevention of unexpected flaw growth and structural failure could be improved if on-board health monitoring systems were used to more regularly assess structural integrity. A research program has been completed to develop and validate Comparative Vacuum Monitoring (CVM) Sensors for surface crack detection. Statistical methods using one-sided tolerance intervals were employed to derive Probability of Detection (POD) levels for a wide array of application scenarios. Multi-year field tests were also conducted to study the deployment and long-term operation of CVM sensors on aircraft. This paper presents the quantitative crack detection capabilities of the CVM sensor, its performance in actual flight environments, and the prospects for structural health monitoring applications on aircraft and other civil structures.