• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제50권5호
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• pp.673-682
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• 2018

One of the most widely used methods to estimate core damage during a nuclear power plant accident is containment radiation measurement. The evolution of severe accidents is extremely complex, leading to uncertainty in the containment dose rate (CDR). Therefore, it is difficult to accurately determine core damage. This study proposes to conduct uncertainty analysis of CDR for core damage assessment. First, based on source term estimation, the Monte Carlo (MC) and point-kernel integration methods were used to estimate the probability density function of the CDR under different extents of core damage in accident scenarios with late containment failure. Second, the results were verified by comparing the results of both methods. The point-kernel integration method results were more dispersed than the MC results, and the MC method was used for both quantitative and qualitative analyses. Quantitative analysis indicated a linear relationship, rather than the expected proportional relationship, between the CDR and core damage fraction. The CDR distribution obeyed a logarithmic normal distribution in accidents with a small break in containment, but not in accidents with a large break in containment. A possible application of our analysis is a real-time core damage estimation program based on the CDR.

• 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.207-214
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• 2006

In this paper, the stability of SA(Spectral Acceleration) fragility curves is studied for the two sets of elastic modulus of concrete. In doing that, general purpose structural analysis program and generally used probability density function are used. The results of structural analysis are represented by Bernoulli distribution which says damage or no damage. By the use of Maximum Likelihood Method, two parameters of lognormal distribution - median and standard deviation - are found. With them, the fragility curves are constructed.

• 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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• 제22권11호
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• pp.5-13
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• 2021

한반도 인근 지역은 지진으로부터 상대적으로 안전지대라고 여겨졌지만, 지난 2017년 포항지역에서 실제 액상화 현상이 발생 및 관측됨에 따라 액상화 현상을 예측하는 연구수요가 높아지고 있다. 액상화는 지반의 강도가 상실되면서 상부 구조물을 지지하지 못하게 되는 현상을 말하며, 이에 대한 대비책으로써 액상화 가능지수(LPI)를 바탕으로 하여 액상화가 발생할 시 동반되는 피해의 규모를 파악하기 위한 목적으로 액상화 재해도를 작성하는 연구 및 정밀도를 향상시키기 위한 연구가 다양하게 수행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 액상화 재해도 작성 시 공간보간의 대상을 LPI 값과 LPI를 산정하는데 활용되는 지반정수로 구분하여 공간보간 대상에 따른 정밀도 변화를 분석하였으며, 정량적인 특성을 바탕으로 작성된 액상화 재해도의 작성 방법별 정밀도 변화 양상을 바탕으로 정성적인 특성을 통해 작성된 확률지도의 확률값 변화 양상을 파악하고자 하였다. 분석결과 공간보간대상을 LPI를 산정하기 위한 지반정수로 설정하는 경우의 정밀도가 LPI 자체를 공간보간하는 경우에 비해 높게 나타났으며, 액상화 재해도의 정밀도가 액상화 확률지도의 확률값 분포에 영향을 미치지는 않는 것으로 나타났다.

• 화약ㆍ발파
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• 제37권4호
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• pp.10-16
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• 2019

충격파나 압력파가 구조물에 미치는 영향을 평가하기 위해서는 과압, 양의 압력 지속시간, 충격량에 대한 정보가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 증기운 폭발 해석에 효과적인 다중에너지법을 적용하여 과압 및 양의 압력 지속 시간을 결정하였다. 영국 Nypro 화학회사에서 발생한 싸이클로헥산 증기운 폭발 사고에서 추정된 총 폭발열을 기반으로 폭발원으로부터 40, 80, 120, 160, 200, 240, 280, 320, 360(m) 이격된 지점에서의 과압, 양의 압력 지속시간을 평가하였다. 거리에 따라 과압은 지수적으로 감소하는 것으로 나타났고, 양의 압력 지속시간은 거의 선형적으로 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 상기의 각 거리에서 구한 과압 및 충격량을 이용하여 각 거리에서의 구조물의 손상 확률을 평가하기 위해서 프로빗 함수를 사용하였다. 손상 확률을 평가한 결과 120m 이내 지점에서는 붕괴의 가능성이 크고, 240m 이내에서는 심각한 구조물의 손상이, 구조물의 가벼운 손상과 유리창 파손은 전 범위에 걸쳐서 발생하는 것으로 나타났다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제10권5호
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• pp.1181-1212
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• 2016

Fragility and loss functions are developed to predict damage and economic losses due to earthquake loading in Reinforced Concrete (RC) structural components with smooth rebars. The attention is focused on external/internal beam-column joints and ductile/brittle weak columns, designed for gravity loads only, using low-strength concrete and plain steel reinforcing bars. First, a number of damage states are proposed and linked deterministically with commonly employed methods of repair and related activities. Results from previous experimental studies are used to develop empirical relationships between damage states and engineering demand parameters, such as interstory and column drift ratios. Probability distributions are fit to the empirical data and the associated statistical parameters are evaluated using statistical methods. Repair costs for damaged RC components are then estimated based on detailed quantity survey of a number of pre-70 RC buildings, using Italian costing manuals. Finally, loss functions are derived to predict the level of monetary losses to individual RC components as a function of the experienced response demand.

• 한국생산제조학회지
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.199-205
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• 2013

Stress and deformation on forklift happened at loading, unloading or moving freight are studied by structural and fatigue analysis in this study. As model 1 as closing type between forks has lower stress and stain than model 2 at opening type, model 1 has more durability than model 2. Among the cases of nonuniform fatigue loads, 'SAE bracket history' with the severest change of load becomes most unstable but 'Sample history' becomes most stable. In case of 'SAE bracket history' with the severest change of load at model 1 and 2, maximum life is shown with Cycle. Minimum damage with 854 at model 2 becomes much higher than model 1. As the gap between forks becomes open, the damage probability becomes higher. The structural result of this study can be effectively utilized with the safe and stable design of forklift by investigating prevention and durability against its damage.

• Journal of Korean Vacuum Science & Technology
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.1-9
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• 1999

This paper presents a newly enhanced damage model in Monte Carlo (MC) simulation for the accurate prediction of 3-Dimensional (3D) as-implanted impurity and point defect profiles induced by ion implantation in (100) crystal silicon. An empirical electronic energy loss model for B, BF2, As, P and Si self implant over the wide energy range has been proposed for the ULSI device technology and development. Our model shows very good agreement with the SIMS data over the wide energy range. In the damage accumulation, we considered the self-annealing effects by introducing our proposed non-linear recomvination probability function of each point defect for the computational efficiency. For the damage profiles, we compared the published RBS/channeling data with our results of phosphorus implants. Our damage model shows very reasonable agreement with the experiments for phosphorus implants.

• Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.38-46
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• 2005

Survivability improvement method for naval ship design has been continually developed. In order to design naval ships considering survivability, it is demanded that designers should establish reasonable damage conditions by air explosion. Explosion may induce local damage as well as global collapse to the ship. Therefore possible damage conditions should be realistically estimated in the design stage. In this study the authors used ALE technique, one of the structure-fluid interaction techniques, to simulate air explosion and investigated survival capability of damaged naval ships. Lagrangian-Eulerian coupling algorithm, equation of the state for explosive and air, and simple calculation method for explosive loading were also reviewed. It is shown that air explosion analysis using ALE technique can evaluate structural damage after being attacked. This procedure can be applied to the real structural design quantitatively by calculating surviving time and probability.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제63권6호
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• pp.779-788
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• 2017

System identification and damage detection for structural health monitoring have received considerable attention. Various time domain analysis methodologies based on measured vibration data of structures have been proposed. Among them, recursive least-squares estimation of structural parameters which is also known as parametric Kalman filter (PKF) approach has been studied. However, the conventional PKF requires that all the external excitations (inputs) be available. On the other hand, structural uncertainties are inevitable for civil infrastructures, it is necessary to develop approaches for probabilistic damage detection of structures. In this paper, a parametric Kalman filter with unknown inputs (PKF-UI) is proposed for the simultaneous identification of structural parameters and the unmeasured external inputs. Analytical recursive formulations of the proposed PKF-UI are derived based on the conventional PKF. Two scenarios of linear observation equations and nonlinear observation equations are discussed, respectively. Such a straightforward derivation of PKF-UI is not available in the literature. Then, the proposed PKF-UI is utilized for probabilistic damage detection of structures by considering the uncertainties of structural parameters. Structural damage index and the damage probability are derived from the statistical values of the identified structural parameters of intact and damaged structure. Some numerical examples are used to validate the proposed method.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제67권6호
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• pp.587-601
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• 2018

Elevated water tanks are inverted pendulum type structures where drift limit is an important criterion for seismic design and performance evaluation. Explicit drift criteria for elevated water tanks are not available in the literature. In this study, probabilistic approach is used to determine maximum drift limit for damage state of yielding and damage state of collapse for the elevated water tanks supported on RC frame staging. The two damage states are defined using results of incremental dynamic analysis wherein a total of 2160 nonlinear time history analyses are performed using twelve artificial spectrum compatible ground motions. Analytical fragility curves are developed using two-parameter lognormal distribution. The maximum allowable drifts corresponding to yield and collapse level requirements are estimated for different tank capacities. Finally, a single fragility curve is developed which provides maximum drift values for the different probability of damage. Further, for rational consideration of the uncertainties in design, three confidence levels are selected and corresponding drift limits for damage states of yielding and collapse are proposed. These values of maximum drift can be used in performance-based seismic design for a particular damage state depending on the level of confidence.