• Title/Summary/Keyword: Daily minimum temperature

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Analyzing Information Value of Temperature Forecast for the Electricity Demand Forecasts (전력 수요 예측 관련 의사결정에 있어서 기온예보의 정보 가치 분석)

  • Han, Chang-Hee;Lee, Joong-Woo;Lee, Ki-Kwang
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.77-91
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    • 2009
  • It is the most important sucess factor for the electricity generation industry to minimize operations cost of surplus electricity generation through accurate demand forecasts. Temperature forecast is a significant input variable, because power demand is mainly linked to the air temperature. This study estimates the information value of the temperature forecast by analyzing the relationship between electricity load and daily air temperature in Korea. Firstly, several characteristics was analyzed by using a population-weighted temperature index, which was transformed from the daily data of the maximum, minimum and mean temperature for the year of 2005 to 2007. A neural network-based load forecaster was derived on the basis of the temperature index. The neural network then was used to evaluate the performance of load forecasts for various types of temperature forecasts (i.e., persistence forecast and perfect forecast) as well as the actual forecast provided by KMA(Korea Meteorological Administration). Finally, the result of the sensitivity analysis indicates that a $0.1^{\circ}C$ improvement in forecast accuracy is worth about $11 million per year.

A study on the growth potential of lindera erythrocarpa makino in Seoul regions (비목나무의 서울 지방 생육 가능성에 관한 연구)

  • 이동철;심경구;서병기
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.106-112
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    • 1995
  • This study was conducted to investigate the environmental factors of habitat of Lindera erythrocarpa and to test seedling growth of the plant transplanted in a field of Sung Kyun Kwan Univ. in Suwon, Kyungkido. The results were as follows ; 1. The wild lindera erythrocarpa was growing in Mt. Kwan whose January average temperature was -3.4$^{\circ}C$, and minimum average temperature was -14.8$^{\circ}C$ in January. It was also growing in Mt. Suri whose daily minimum temperature is 3.4$^{\circ}C$ lower than that of Seoul. Therefore, there was no problem for Lindera erythrocarpa to grow in Seoul regions in terms of winter coldness. 2. The growth of seedlings of Lindera erythrocarpa transplanted in a field of Sung Kyun Kwan Univ. in Suwon, Kyunkido in 1990 showed that average height of the tree was 1.64m, average diameter of root was 2.44cm, and that average width of crown was 1m. Therefore, there was no problem for Lindera erythrocarpa to grow under winter coldness in Suwon area.

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Visualization of Local Climates Based on Geospatial Climatology (공간기후모형을 이용한 농업기상정보 생산)

  • Yun Jin Il
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.272-289
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    • 2004
  • The spatial resolution of local weather and climate information for agronomic practices exceeds the current weather service scale. To supplement the insufficient spatial resolution of official forecasts and observations, gridded climate data are frequently generated. Most ecological models can be run using gridded climate data to produce ecosystem responses at landscape scales. In this lecture, state of the art techniques derived from geospatial climatology, which can generate gridded climate data by spatially interpolating point observations at synoptic weather stations, will be introduced. Removal of the urban effects embedded in the interpolated surfaces of daily minimum temperature, incorporation of local geographic potential for cold air accumulation into the minimum temperature interpolation scheme, and solar irradiance correction for daytime hourly temperature estimation are presented. Some experiences obtained from their application to real landscapes will be described.

A Special-day Load Forecasting with the Characteristics of Temperature based on Fuzzy Linear Regression (온도 특성을 고려한 퍼지 선형 회귀 분석 모델 기반 특수일 전력 수요 예측)

  • Yi, Kyoung-Jin;Baek, Young-Sik;Song, Kyung-Bin;Kim, Moon-Young
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.11b
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    • pp.432-434
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    • 2001
  • This paper proposes a special-day load forecasting method with the characteristics of temperature based on fuzzy linear regression. We can obtain a linear regression model from the relation between daily peak load and daily maximum or minimum temperature. Simulation results show that the proposed method can improve an accuracy of a special-day load forecasting.

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A Short-term Forecasting of Water Supply Demands by the Transfer Function Model (Transfer Function 모형을 이용한 수도물 수요의 단기예측)

  • Lee, Jae-Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.88-103
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    • 1996
  • The objective of this study is to develop stochastic and deterministic models which could be used to synthesize water application time series. Adaptive models using mulitivariate ARIMA(Transfer Function Model) are developed for daily urban water use forecasting. The model considers several variables on which water demands is dependent. The dynamic response of water demands to several factors(e.g. weekday, average temperature, minimum temperature, maximum temperature, humidity, cloudiness, rainfall) are characterized in the model by transfer functions. Daily water use data of Kumi city in 1992 are employed for model parameter estimation. Meteorological data of Seonsan station are utilized to input variables because Kumi has no records about the meteorological factor data.To determine the main factors influencing water use, autocorrelogram and cross correlogram analysis are performed. Through the identification, parameter estimation, and diagnostic checking of tentative model, final transfer function models by each month are established. The simulation output by transfer function models are compared to a historical data and shows the good agreement.

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Plant Hardiness Zone Map in Korea and an Analysis of the Distribution of Evergreen Trees in Zone 7b

  • Suh, Jung Nam;Kang, Yun-Im;Choi, Youn Jung;Seo, Kyung Hye;Kim, Yong Hyun
    • Journal of People, Plants, and Environment
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.519-527
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    • 2021
  • Background and objective: This study was conducted to establish a Plant Hardiness Zone (PHZ) map, investigate the effect of global warming on changes in PHZ, and elucidate the difference in the distribution of evergreen trees between the central and southern region within hardiness Zone 7b in Korea. Methods: Mean annual extreme minimum temperature (EMT) and related temperature fluctuation data for 40 years (1981 to 2020) in each of the meteorological observation points were extracted from the Open MET Data Portal of the Korea Meteorological Administration. Using EMT data from 60 meteorological observation points, PHZs were classified according to temperature range in the USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map. Changes in PHZs for each decade related to the effects of global warming were analyzed. Temperature fluctuation before and after the day of EMT were analyzed for 4 areas of Seoul, Suwon, Suncheon, and Jinju falling under Zone 7b. For statistical analysis, descriptive statistics and ANOVA were performed using the IBM SPSS 22 Statistics software package. Results: Plant hardiness zones in Korea ranged from 6a to 9b. Over four decades, changes to warmer PHZ occurred in 10 areas, especially in colder ones. Based on the analysis of daily temperature fluctuation, the duration of sub-zero temperatures was at least 2 days in Seoul and Suwon, while daily maximum temperatures were above zero in Suncheon and Jinju before and after EMT day. Conclusion: It was found that the duration of sub-zero temperatures in a given area is an important factor affecting the distribution of evergreen trees in PHZ 7b.

Characteristics on the Temperature Distribution in Steel Girder Bridge by using Gauge Measurement (계측에 의한 강거더교의 온도분포 특성)

  • Lee, Seong-Haeng;Cheung, Jin-Hwan;Kim, Kyoung-Nam;Hahm, Hyung-Gil;Jung, Kyoung-Sup
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.283-294
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    • 2011
  • The variation of temperature in the steel girder bridge by air temperature is measured. A correlation between the daily temperature range, the maximum and minimum temperatures of the day, and the temperature of the bridge are analyzed. With the statistical data from the Korea Meteorological Administration, the temperature correlations analyzed in this study is able to predict temperature variations between the upper flange and the lower flange which calculates the realistic displacement values of a movable support and an expansion joint in design.

Quantification of Environmental Characteristics on Citrus Production Area of Jeju Island in Korea (제주도 감귤 재배지역에 대한 환경특성의 정량화)

  • Moon, Kyung Hwan;Son, In-Chang;Song, Eun Young;Oh, SoonJa;Park, Kyo Sun;Hyun, Hae-Nam
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2015
  • To analyze quantitatively environmental characteristics of cultivation area of citrus, Satsuma mandarin (Citrus unshiu Marc.), we made digital maps of environmental elements such as topography and climate. Elevation, degree of slope, and slope aspect were selected as elements of topological environment, and the annual mean air temperature, annual total precipitation, mean air temperature on January, extreme value of daily minimum air temperature, and the number of days below $-5^{\circ}C$ were selected as elements of climatic environments. The grid values of 8 environmental elements were extracted by shape of citrus farm area and analyzed distribution patterns. We can determine 3 agroclimatic criteria for growing Satsuma mandarin as over $14.5^{\circ}C$ of annual mean air temperature, over $-10.0^{\circ}C$ of extreme value of daily minimum air temperature, and less 5 days of below $-5^{\circ}C$ of daily minimum air temperature.

Relationship between Meteorological Elements and Yield of Potato in Goheung Area (고흥지방 기상요인과 감자의 생육 및 수량과의 관계)

  • 권병선;박희진;신종섭
    • Proceedings of the Plant Resources Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2000.05a
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2000
  • This study was conducted to investigate the relationships between yearly variations of elimatic elements and yearly variations of productivity in potato. In addition, correlation coefficients among yield and yield components were estimated. The data of yield and yield components were investigated for 9 years from 1987 to 1995. The meteorological data what gathered at the Goheung Weather Station for the same period of crop growing season were used to find out the relationships between climatic elements and crop productivity. Yearly variation of the daily minimum temperature in March and April were large with coefficients of variation (C.V.) of 126.0%, 368%, respectively, but the variation of the daily mean and maximum temperature in May and June were relative small. Stem length and number of stem show more C.V. of 9.3%, 14.3%, respectively, but the variation of the yield was relative small with 3.7%. Correlation coefficients between the amount of precipitation in April and yield, yield and daily mean temperature in June were negatively significant at the level of 5, 1 %, respectively. Correlation coefficients between the growth habits and yield are positively significant at the level of 5, 1 %, respectively. Simple linear regression equations by the least square method are estimated for stem length (Yl) and the precipitation in April(X) as Y,=82.47-0.11x (R2=0.3959), and for yield(Y2) and the precipitation in April(X) as Y,=2003.61-0.94X (R2=0.5418).

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Prediction of Dormancy Release and Bud Burst in Korean Grapevine Cultivars Using Daily Temperature Data (기온자료에 근거한 주요 포도품종의 휴면해제 및 발아시기 추정)

  • Kwon Eun-Young;Song Gi-Cheol;Yun Jin I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 2005
  • An accurate prediction of dormancy release and bud burst in temperate zone fruit trees is indispensable for farmers to plan heating time under partially controlled environments as well as to reduce the risk of frost damage in open fields. A thermal time-based two-step phenological model that originated in Italy was applied to two important grapevine cultivars in Korea for predicting bud-burst dates. The model consists of two sequential periods: a rest period described by chilling requirement and a forcing period described by heating requirement. It requires daily maximum and minimum temperature as an input and calculates daily chill units (chill days in negative sign) until a pre-determined chilling requirement for rest release is met. After the projected rest release date, it adds daily heat units (anti-chill days in positive sign) to the chilling requirement. The date when the sum reaches zero isregarded as the bud-burst in the model. Controlled environment experiments using field sampled twigs of 'Campbell Early' and 'Kyoho' cultivars were carried out in the vineyard at the National Horticultural Research Institute (NHRI) in Suwon during 2004-2005 to derive the model parameters: threshold temperature for chilling and chilling requirement for breaking dormancy. The model adjusted with the selected parameters was applied to the 1994-2004 daily temperature data obtained from the automated weather station in the NHRI vineyard to estimate bud burst dates of two cultivars and the results were compared with the observed data. The model showed a consistently good performance in predicting the bud burst of 'Campbell Early' and 'Kyoho' cultivars with 2.6 and 2.5 days of root mean squared error, respectively.