• 제목/요약/키워드: Cyclone model

검색결과 128건 처리시간 0.031초

태풍 진로예측을 위한 다중모델 선택 컨센서스 기법 개발 (Development of the Selected Multi-model Consensus Technique for the Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast in the Western North Pacific)

  • 전상희;이우정;강기룡;윤원태
    • 대기
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.375-387
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    • 2015
  • A Selected Multi-model CONsensus (SMCON) technique was developed and verified for the tropical cyclone track forecast in the western North Pacific. The SMCON forecasts were produced by averaging numerical model forecasts showing low 70% latest 6 h prediction errors among 21 models. In the homogeneous comparison for 54 tropical cyclones in 2013 and 2014, the SMCON improvement rate was higher than the other forecasts such as the Non-Selected Multi-model CONsensus (NSMCON) and other numerical models (i.e., GDAPS, GEPS, GFS, HWRF, ECMWF, ECMWF_H, ECMWF_EPS, JGSM, TEPS). However, the SMCON showed lower or similar improvement rate than a few forecasts including ECMWF_EPS forecasts at 96 h in 2013 and at 72 h in 2014 and the TEPS forecast at 120 h in 2013. Mean track errors of the SMCON for two year were smaller than the NSMCON and these differences were 0.4, 1.2, 5.9, 12.9, 8.2 km at 24-, 48-, 72-, 96-, 120-h respectively. The SMCON error distributions showed smaller central tendency than the NSMCON's except 72-, 96-h forecasts in 2013. Similarly, the density for smaller track errors of the SMCON was higher than the NSMCON's except at 72-, 96-h forecast in 2013 in the kernel density estimation analysis. In addition, the NSMCON has lager range of errors above the third quantile and larger standard deviation than the SMCON's at 72-, 96-h forecasts in 2013. Also, the SMCON showed smaller bias than ECMWF_H for the cross track bias. Thus, we concluded that the SMCON could provide more reliable information on the tropical cyclone track forecast by reflecting the real-time performance of the numerical models.

거푸집 공사의 생산성 분석을 통한 작업조 기반의 Cost Data Prototype 개발에 관한 연구 (Development of Cost Data Prototype based on Production Crew by Productivity Analysis of Form Work)

  • 강동완;지성민;현창택
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.44-52
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    • 2012
  • 합리적인 방법에 의해 결정된 건설 공사비를 포함하여 계약을 체결하는 것은 공공 건설공사의 사업비 관리 측면에서 매우 중요하다. 국내에서는 건설 공사비를 산정하는 기준으로 표준품셈이 사용되고 있지만, 표준품셈에서 제시하는 품의 적정성에 대해서 문제가 제기되고 있으며, 현장의 자원 투입량과 품셈에서 제시하는 자원 투입량의 차이로 합리적이고 효율적인 공사비를 산정하는데 어려움이 있다. 본 연구에서는 건설 공사비를 합리적으로 산정하기 위하여, 공동주택 거푸집 공사의 생산성 분석을 통한 작업조 기반의 Cost Data Prototype을 제시하였다. 특히, CYCLONE 모델은 민감도 분석을 통해 최적의 작업인원을 제시하는 모델이므로, 거푸집 공사의 다양한 작업공간과 작업인원을 대상으로 생산성을 분석할 수 있는 도구로 활용이 가능하다. 그리고 개발된 회귀식은 거푸집 공사의 작업인원을 독립변수로 하여, 필요한 작업량을 종속변수로 예측하는데 활용이 가능할 것이다.

반응표면법을 활용한 축류형 사이클론 구조 최적화 설계에 관한 연구 (A Study on Optimum Design of an Axial Cylcone structure using Response Surface Method)

  • 조진일;윤준호;조영광;석현호;김태성
    • 한국입자에어로졸학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2021
  • Ultrafine dust, which is emitted from industrial factories or all kinds of vehicles, threatens the human's respiratory system and our environment. In this regard, separating airborne particles is essential to mitigate the severe problem. In this work, an axial cyclone for the effective technology of eliminating harmful dust is investigated by numerical simulation using Ansys 2020, Fluent R2. In addition, the optimized structure of the cyclone is constructed by means of multi objective optimization based on the response surface method which is a representative method to analyze the effect of design parameter on response variables. Among several design parameters, the modified length of the vortex finder and dust collector is a main point in promoting the performance of the axial cyclone. As a result, the optimized cyclone exhibits remarkable performance when compared to the original model, resulting in pressure drop of 307 Pa and separator efficiency of 98.5%.

Mechanism Study of Tropical Cyclone Impact on East Asian Subtropical Upper-Level Jet: a Numerical Case Investigation

  • Chen, Xian;Zhong, Zhong;Lu, Wei
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
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    • 제54권4호
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    • pp.575-585
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    • 2018
  • In the case study of this paper, sensitivity experiments are carried out using the mesoscale non-hydrostatic Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to investigate the impact of tropical cyclone (TC) Soudelor (2003) on the East Asian subtropical upper-level jet (EASJ) before TC Soudelor transformed into an extratropical cyclone. The physical mechanism for changes in the EASJ intensity and position caused by TC Soudelor is explored. Results indicate that TC Soudelor would warm the air in the middle and upper troposphere over the Japan Sea and the adjacent areas through stimulating northward propagating teleconnection pattern as well as releasing large amounts of latent heat, which led to increase (decrease) the meridional air temperature gradient to the south (north) below the EASJ axis. As a result, the geopotential height abnormally increased in the upper troposphere, resulting in an anomalous anticyclonic circulation belt along the EASJ axis. Correspondingly, the westerly winds to the north (south) of the EASJ axis intensified (weakened) and the EASJ axis shifted northward by one degree. The case study also suggests that before the extratropical cyclone transition of TC Soudelor, the TC activities had exerted significant impacts on the EASJ through thermodynamic processes.

오일미스트용 사이클론 집진기에 관한 기초 설계 -오일미스트 및 슬러지 입자 융합연구- (Fundamental Design of Cyclone Collector for Oil Mist)

  • 장성철;안휘웅;이찬규
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.223-227
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    • 2013
  • Dust collecting performance of cyclone collector for oil mist was alalyzed in the study. The purposes of using cutting fluid during cutting have been colling, lubricating, chip washing and anti-corroding. However, the present manufactaring industry restricts the use of cutting fluid because cutting fluid confains poisonous substances which are harmful to the human body. Also, the optimum design oil-mist collector. The new oil mist collector was designed. In the near future, this device must be tested in the real machining center and CNC machine. Cutting using oil-mist showed better cutting characteristics than dry, air and fluid cutting with respect to by cutting force, tool wear and surface roughness. The model(A, B Type cyclone) of the set of fixture and alveolus are made by using a CAE software. Finally, we have obtained a model A Type solution by using orthogonal array. Therefore, it could be confirmed that as the model-A was increased and model-B was decreased, cut diameter was decreased.

연마장비용 사이클론 집진기의 유동해석 (Flow Characteristic of Cyclone Dust Separator for Marine Sweeping Machine)

  • 박민재;진태석
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.512-517
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 선박의 외벽 유지보수를 위한 외벽 연마장비에 장착되는 먼지 집진장치에 적용하기 위한 사이클론 집진방식의 연마기 제작을 위한 사이클론 분리기 설계를 위하여 최적의 설계조건을 도출하고자 유동해석 기법을 적용한 사이클론 연마장비의 집진장치를 소개하고자 한다. 제작된 연마장비의 집진을 위한 접선유입 사이클론의 압력 강하와 입자 수집 능률은 기 연구된 수학적 모델을 적용하여 계산하였다. 종래 공기필터를 가진 사이클론의 계산 결과의 비교는 접선 유입 사이클론이 저압 드롭과 높은 입자 수집능률을 시뮬레이션을 통한 검증과 시작품을 제시하였다. 사이클론은 원통형 장치 내에 분진을 함유하는 기체를 장치내벽에 접선방향으로 유입시켜 유입분진에 선회운동을 부여함으로써 분진입자에 작용하는 원심력에 의하여 가스중의 입자를 분리 포집하는 집진장치로써 연마장비의 집진장치로 응용하고자 본 연구를 진행하여 진행중인 메커니즘과 유체흐름에 대한 기본적인 유체흐름에 따른 사이클론의 규격 파라미터에 따른 유동해석 결과를 제시하였다.

Formwork Productivity Analysis Model for Cost-efficient Equipment Operations

  • Hyunsu Lim;Taehoon Kim;Hunhee Cho;Kyung-In Kang
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 5th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.226-230
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    • 2013
  • In the tall building construction, the slab formwork largely impacts on construction cost. Because productivity of a slab formwork is influenced by a number of and the efficiency of equipment, using the equipment-based construction method, an appropriate equipment input planning is crucial for the productivity. Meanwhile, the general equipment input planning is conducted by intuition based on experience due to the lack of equipment productivity data. Thus, this study develop a simulation model to analyze table formwork productivity and to propose an optimum equipment input plan that reflects the construction process, based on the full consideration of the economic factors. This study developed a simulation model by using CYCLONE and the data for the model was collected by measuring the duration of each unit activity in the tall building where table forms were applied. It is expected that a simulation model helps users to make better decision on the equipment input planning of slab formwork.

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패러다임 전환에 의한 기업 측면의 IoT 경영 프로세스 구축방안 연구 (A Study on the establishment of IoT management process in terms of business according to Paradigm Shift)

  • 정민의;유성진
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.151-171
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 최근 가장 큰 이슈로 떠오르는 "사물인터넷(IoT: Internet of Things)"의 개념과 국내 외 IoT 시장에 대한 현황을 고찰하였으며, IoT 시대의 도래로 인해 유발되는 패러다임 전환 발생에 따른 기업측면의 적절한 대응방안에 대한 해결책을 도출하였다. 따라서 본 연구는 티핑포인트(Tipping point)에 있는 IoT 경쟁 시대에 적절하게 대응하기 위한 기업의 경영전략을 '패러다임 전환(paradigm shift)'이라는 시각을 통해 대응 방안을 제시하였다. 특히, 과거의 경영 패러다임과 IoT 시대의 경영 패러다임을 비교 분석하여 i)지식 및 학습 주도 경영, ii)기술 및 혁신 중심 경영, iii)수요 창출 경영, iv)글로벌 협업 경영으로 새롭게 패러다임 전환(Paradigm Shift)이 발생할 것으로 예측 및 제안하였고, 이러한 패러다임의 전환에 대응하기 위한 기업측면의 경영전략 프로세스 모델을 구축하기 위해 Gartner가 제시한 'RTE Cyclone model'을 활용하였다. '실시간 기업(RTE)' 이라는 개념은 급변하는 IoT 시대에 기업측면의 경영 전략 프로세스로 활용가치가 있다고 판단되며, 본 연구에서 적절히 응용하여 'IoT-RTE Cyclone model'을 제안하였다. 특히, 제안한 모델은 기업의 민첩성을 강조하고 IT 및 IoT 기술을 통한 실시간 모니터링, 분석, 실행을 기본으로 하며, 기업의 경영 프로세스 각 부문을 통합시켜 기업의 전반적인 서비스를 지원하기 때문에 빠르게 변화하는 IoT 시대에서 영위하는 기업측면에서의 효과적인 대응전략으로 활용할 수 있다.

다단사이클론 예열소성로와 로터리킬른 소성로의 성능 모형평가: 시멘트공정사례 (Performance Evaluation of a Multistage-Cyclone Pre-heating Calciner and a Rotary Kiln Calciner: Case of a Cement Process)

  • 엄태규;최상민
    • 한국연소학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.14-27
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    • 2015
  • Calcination, which represents thermal decomposition of $CaCO_3$, is the key reaction in a cement process. Some reactions including heating-up also take place simultaneously in the calcination reactors. Basic thermal performance and dimensions of the reactors in two cases, which are a rotary kiln wih a four-stage cyclone pre-heater and a simple single rotary kiln, were compared. To employ the heat transfer, mass transfer and reaction rate as well as calcination, one-dimensional modeling was conducted in each case. Some simplification about the reactors was described, however, the reliable Nusselt number and heat transfer coefficients on the reactors were used to make results reliable.

디젤 엔진용 싸이클론 내부 수치 해석 (A Numerical Study on Axial Inlet Cyclone for Diesel Engine)

  • 김성광;손창석;김인관
    • 동력기계공학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.16-21
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    • 2006
  • On this study, numerical analysis was performed for the 3 dimensional flow field of gas and particle phase for axial inlet cyclone, a part of dust collector. We applied FVM to visualize the gas phase. The flow was solved using ${\kappa}-{\varepsilon}$ turbulence model. The major parameters considered in this study were helical guide vane, inner diameter, length. Particle trajectory calculations were performed for the particle sizes of $5{\mu}m{\sim}75{\mu}m$. The distribution curve of particle sizes was made of Rosin-Rammler function. The simulation results show various gas flows, particle trajectories on numerical models.

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