• Title/Summary/Keyword: Current Account

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The Dynamics of Indonesia's Current Account Deficit : Analysis of the Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility

  • Purwono, Rudi;Mucha, Karima;Mubin, M. Khoerul
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2018
  • In the globalization and free trade era, the current account deficit problem is a common phenomenon experienced by most countries, both developing and developed countries. Also with managed floating regime of exchange rate, it becomes very important to analyze the dynamics of current account balance which determine the trade. The deficit condition has lasted for four years in Indonesia, as well the deficit value above the value of the surplus that has been experienced during the period 2005-2011. This study is firstly aim to examine the condition of the deficit which happens in the export and import, manufactured goods and oil and gas, whether related to the transaction of goods and services. We try to build a predicted model which near the actual. Then, the focuses examines an exchange rate volatility impact on current account deficit. The model used in this research is a simultaneous model of Indonesia current account deficit from 2005 to 2014. The simulation result indicated that depreciation increase surplus to current account deficit. The decrease of export manufactured goods (non oil and gas) higher than the increase of import. For the oil and gas sector, depreciation of the rupiah against the US dollar results in an increased burden of higher oil and gas imports due to import transactions.

Effects of Trade Structure and Exchange Rate on Current Account in Korea (우리나라 교역구조와 환율이 경상수지에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Chang-Beom
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.111-126
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    • 2010
  • This paper provides an empirical investigation of the determinants of current accounts utilizing an exchange rate (ER), terms of trade (NET), industrial activity (IPI), world import volume (WIM), trade share of the China and Japan (CHJP), proportion of service trade (SERV). The period examined is 1991:1 through 2010:2. It is tested under different cases such as whether variables were cointegrated and whether there was an equilibrium relationship. The result showed that the hypothesis of no cointegrated vector could be rejected at the 5 percent level. The estimated error correction model showed that adjustment speed is fast. This paper also applies impulse-response functions to get additional information by considering the responses of the current account to the shocks of economic variables. The results indicate that current account responds negatively to industrial activity and proportion of service trade, and then decays very quickly.

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Determination of Damping Modification Factor in RC Structures Due to Energy Absorption Efficiency (에너지 흡수효율에 의한 철근콘크리트 구조물의 감쇠비 수정계수 결정)

  • 김장훈;좌동훈
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.161-166
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    • 2002
  • The modification factor( k-factor) of equivalent damping ratio utilized in the current state-of-the-practice to account for the imperfection of reinforced concrete structures in hysteresis loop is investigated. From this, it is found that the current modification factor does not include the effect of cyclic loading, one of the important characteristic properties of earthquake loading. This could be taken into account by considering the energy absorption efficiency based on the cummulative plastic deformation. From the study, it is suggested that the current approach for the modification factor for the equivalent damping ratio should be reformed.

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The Relationship between Global Imbalance and Exchange Rates: Effectiveness of the Bretton Woods II Hypothesis (글로벌 불균형과 환율의 관계 : '제2차 브레튼 우즈(Bretton Woods II)' 가설의 유효성)

  • Jo, Gab-Je
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.121-138
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    • 2010
  • This paper investigates the effectiveness of the Bretton Woods II hypothesis, by analysing the relationship between the exchange rates and the U.S. current account against 9 Asian countries for the period of 1999-2008. According to the estimation results, It is found that the Asian currencies' real depreciation significantly have worsened the U.S. current account against the Asian countries. Also, the U.S. current account was significantly affected by GDP and investment of the U.S. and the Asian countries. Thus, It is hard to say that the main driver of the global imbalance is the exchange rates devaluation policies of Asian countries as the Bretton Woods II hypothesis argues. The global imbalance is more likely to be complementally affected by savings glut in the Asian region and the deficiency of net saving in the U.S. Therefore, the global imbalance is expected to adjust when economic conditions besides exchange rates change.

Triffin Dilemma and International Monetary System : Evidence from Pooled Mean Group Estimation

  • Guan, Long-Fei;Lau, Wee-Yeap
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.5-14
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    • 2018
  • This study is motivated based on concern from some renowned scholars and central bankers whom have raised the issue of the sustainability of the International Monetary System (IMS). Using the panel data set of four major international currencies, USD, JPY, EUR and GBP from 1973 to 2013 with Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator, to re-examine whether Triffin dilemma still exists through investigating the relationship between the reserve share, current account balance and real effective exchange rate. The evidence from the result indicates that Triffin dilemma exists only in the long run, and shows that in the long-run, current account balance is proportionate to the increased real effective exchange rate while varies inversely with the reserve shares. However, the estimation for the short-run is not significant to prove the existence of Triffin dilemma. In addition, we investigated the non-dollar panel sample and found that the international monetary system still suffers from Triffin dilemma even without the dollar. To overcome Triffin dilemma, immediate step such as having currency swap mechanism is recommended. In medium term, a multi-polar Monetary System is suggested, and in the longer time, a supranational currency will be used to replace all the currencies in the world.

Design of a Secure Payment Mechanism based on S/MIME (S/MIME을 적용한 안전한 지불 메커니즘 설계)

  • Chun, Cheul-Woo;Lee, Jong-Hu;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.482-494
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    • 2002
  • In E-mail based accounting system, the remitter does not have need to find collector's account number. To transfer money to a collector's account, what remitter need is just a collector's E-mail address. But the current E-mail based accounting systems are built on SSL technology. Basically SSL provides some security services - confidentiality, user authentication and data integrity, but does not provide non-repudiation. So, in the current E-mail based accounting system, it is possible to deny transaction. And there is no receipt of transaction. In this paper, we design and implementation of a S/MIME applied Secure Payment Mechanism. In our system, every account information - account number, receiver name, amount of money, etc. - is included in a 'check' message. And this message is protected under the Secure Web-mail using S/MIME. In a view point of the convenience, users using our system do not have need to find collector's account number. And in a view point of the security, our system provides confidentiality, user authentication, data integrity and non-repudiation. Moreover our system provides a receipt.

Investigation of dynamic P-Δ effect on ductility factor

  • Han, Sang Whan;Kwon, Oh-Sung;Lee, Li-Hyung
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.249-266
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    • 2001
  • Current seismic design provisions allow structures to deform into inelastic range during design level earthquakes since the chance to meet such event is quite rare. For this purpose, design base shear is defined in current seismic design provisions as the value of elastic seismic shear force divided by strength reduction factor, R (${\geq}1$). Strength reduction factor generally consists of four different factors, which can account for ductility capacity, overstrength, damping, and redundancy inherent in structures respectively. In this study, R factor is assumed to account for only the ductility rather than overstrength, damping, and redundancy. The R factor considering ductility is called "ductility factor" ($R_{\mu}$). This study proposes ductility factor with correction factor, C, which can account for dynamic P-${\Delta}$ effect. Correction factor, C is established as the functional form since it requires computational efforts and time for calculating this factor. From the statistical study using the results of nonlinear dynamic analysis for 40 earthquake ground motions (EQGM) it is shown that the dependence of C factor on structural period is weak, whereas C factor is strongly dependant on the change of ductility ratio and stability coefficient. To propose the functional form of C factor statistical study is carried out using 79,920 nonlinear dynamic analysis results for different combination of parameters and 40 EQGM.

Decision Making Model for Selecting Financial Company Server Privilege Account Operations (금융회사 서버 Privilege 계정 운영방식 결정 모델)

  • Lee, Suk-Won;Lee, Kyung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1607-1620
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    • 2015
  • The server privilege account must be operated through law and regulation. However, due to regulation non-compliance and inadequate operation on financial company server privilege, an incident that every server data being deleted by hacker occur which is later being named as 'NH Bank Cyber Attack'. In this paper, the current operation status on financial company privilege accounts is being analysed to elicit problems and improvement. From the analysis, important evaluation factors will be also selected and applied generating the decision making model for financial company server privilege account operation. The evaluation factor deducted from privilege account status analysis will be used to present and verify the decision making model and formula through AHP(Analytic Hierarchy process).

Analysis for bit synchronization using charge-pump phase-locked loop (비트 동기 Charge-pump 위상 동기 회로의 해석)

  • 정희영;이범철
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
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    • v.35S no.1
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    • pp.14-22
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    • 1998
  • The Mathematic model of bit synchronization charge-pump Phase Locked Loop (PLL) is presented which takes into account the aperiodic reference pulses and the leakage current of the loop filter. We derive theoreitcal static phase error, overload and stability of bit synchronization charge-pump PLL using presented model and compare it with one of the conventional charge-pump PLL model. We can analysis bit synchronization charge-pump PLL exactly because our model takes into account the leakage current of the loop filter and aperiodic input data which are the charateristics of bit synchronization charge-pump PLL. We also verify it using HSPICE simulation with a bity synchronizer circuit.

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External Feedback Effects on the Relative Intensity Noise Characteristics of InAIGaN Blue Laser Diodes

  • Cho Hyung-Uk;Yi Jong-Chang
    • Journal of the Optical Society of Korea
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.86-90
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    • 2006
  • The external feedback effect on the relative intensity noise (RIN) characteristics of blue InAlGaN laser diode has been analyzed taking into account the spontaneous emission noise and the injection current for the high frequency modulation. A Langevin diffusion model was exploited to characterize its relative intensity noise. The simulation parameters were quantitatively evaluated from the optical gain properties of the InAlGaN multiple quantum well active regions by using the multiband Hamiltonian for the strained wurtzite crystals. The extracted parameters were then applied to the rate equations taking into account the external feedback and the high frequency modulation current. The RIN characteristics were investigated to optimize the low frequency laser diode noise characteristics.