• 제목/요약/키워드: Cumulative Risk

검색결과 358건 처리시간 0.035초

경쟁위험분석을 이용한 산재 근로자의 원직장복귀에 대한 연구 (Statistical analysis of economic activity state of workers with industrial injuries using a competing risk model)

  • 도기쁨;김수연;김양진
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제26권6호
    • /
    • pp.1271-1281
    • /
    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 '제1회 산재보험패널조사'에서 제공된 자료를 이용하여 산재 근로자의 경제 활동 유형의 특성을 연구하였다. 조사 대상자는 2012년도에 산재 요양을 종결한 근로자이며 총 2,000명이 지역, 장해등급 및 재활서비스 이용여부로 층화계통추출되었다. 본 연구에서는 근로자가 산재 후 참여하는 경제활동의 유형으로 원직장복귀뿐만 아니라 다른 직장으로의 재취업의 가능성을 고려하여 이러한 경제활동으로의 이동에 어떤 요인이 영향을 미치는지 조사하고자 한다. 원직장복귀에 영향을 미치는 요인을 분석하기 위하여 총 1,463명의 연구 대상자에게 경쟁위험 분석방법을 적용하였다. 또한 경제활동상태에 영향을 미치는 요인을 세 가지 유형 (산재 근로자의 특성, 재해 사업장의 특성, 산업재해의 특성)으로 나누어 통합 분석을 시행하였다. 분석 결과를 통해 학력이 높고 근로기간이 길수록 원직장복귀가 빨라짐을 알 수 있었다. 또한 연령이 높고, 기능원 및 관련 기능직에 종사자이며, 장해의 정도가 심한 산재 근로자가 원직장복귀까지 더 오랜 시간이 걸렸음을 알 수 있었다.

정보데이터를 활용한 미국 강도죄의 분석 (A Information Data-based Analysis of Robbery Crimes in America)

  • 박종렬;노상욱
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
    • /
    • 제17권3호
    • /
    • pp.167-174
    • /
    • 2012
  • 본 논문에서는 폭력사건범- 특히 강도에 의해 상해를 당하는 사람들을 집중적으로 다루어 보았다. 시간이 흐르면서 범죄피해 발생수가 변하고 있으며 피해자의 태도와 범행 대상이 되는 빈도와의 상관관계 간에 형태의 변화도 볼 수 있다. UCR와 NCVS자료를 통해서 1980년대와 1990년대 초 정점에 달한 이후 범죄피해 유형 중 다수는 발생 빈도가 줄어들고 있음을 보여주고 있다. 누적위험을 통해서 일생을 통해 피해자가 될 수 있는 가능성을 보여주고 있다. 차등 위험에서는 인구통계학적 집단별로 범죄 피해자가 되는 비율이 다르다는 사실을 강조하고 있다.

The Study of Muscle Fatigue and Risks of Musculoskeletal System Disorders from Text Inputting on a Smartphone

  • Ko, Kyung;Kim, Hee-Soo;Woo, Ji-Hea
    • 대한인간공학회지
    • /
    • 제32권3호
    • /
    • pp.273-278
    • /
    • 2013
  • Objective: This study aims to analyze and evaluate fatigue in upper trapezius muscles of adults when inputting text on a smart phone, thereby examining the risk of cumulative trauma disorders in the musculoskeletal system of the upper extremity. Method: Forty-five healthy adults were divided equally into three groups: a smartphone group, a notebook group, and a desktop group. A surface electromyogram was placed on the upper trapezius muscle of each participant, after which they inputted text for ten minutes within an ergonomic setting; their side posture was recorded on video and analyzed. Results: The spectral edge frequency values for the smartphone group, as recorded from the upper right trapezius muscles on the surface electromyogram, showed a significant decrease(p<.05). Regarding the RULA, all three groups had results indicating "action level 2". Conclusion: All three groups had results indicating "action level 2" according to the RULA, which means that additional research on the posture of the participants while performing tasks is necessary, and their posture needs to be corrected. In particular, the smartphone group has the highest levels of fatigue in the upper trapezius muscles, suggesting that the task of inputting text on a smartphone is a high risk for causing cumulative trauma disorders.

제조업에서 발생하는 누적외상성질환 관련 문제점 분석 및 위험요인 점검표의 개발 (Analysis of the Problems related to the Cumulative Trauma Disorders at Manufacturing Workplace and Development of a Risk Factor Checklist)

  • 박희석;이윤근;임상혁
    • 대한산업공학회지
    • /
    • 제24권4호
    • /
    • pp.503-517
    • /
    • 1998
  • Cumulative trauma disorders(CTDs) of the upper extremities among the workers at manufacturing workplace have become a serious problem in Korea. However, most of the studies on the CTDs carried out in this country have focused on the Video Display Terminal(VDT) operators. In fact, high rates of the CTDs have been reported for telecommunication employees, and the CTDs associated with VDT use in telecommunication industries pose great health and social problems in Korea today. On the other hand, there are few studies on the CTDs among the manufacturing workers, and the severity of the problem was much under-reported. This study reports and discusses the results of the literature review on the cross-sectional studies of the CTDs, along with the analysis of the problems associated with identification, medical examinations, and ergonomic evaluation of the disorders. Also a checklist was developed for the use of quick screening tool for risk factor analysis. Consistency of the checklist was validated with the field studies of several manufacturing workplace. Current issues and suggestions for future ergonomic studies are also addressed.

  • PDF

Clinical Grading System, Surgical Outcomes and Prognostic Analysis of Cranial Base Chordomas

  • Wang, Benlin;Tian, Fengxuan;Tong, Xiaoguang
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
    • /
    • 제65권3호
    • /
    • pp.469-478
    • /
    • 2022
  • Objective : Cranial base chordomas are rare, but their treatment is challenging. Tumor recurrence is still common despite improvements in microsurgical techniques and postoperative radiotherapy. We retrospectively analyzed the course of treatment, overall survival, and recurrence/progression of chordomas over the past 10 years. Methods : We retrospectively reviewed 50 patients who underwent surgery at Tianjin Huanhu Hospital between 2010 and 2020 and were pathologically diagnosed with chordomas. Tumor resection was performed within the maximum safe range in all patients; the extent of resection was evaluated by imaging; and the incidence of complications, recurrence or progression, and overall survival were assessed. Results : Fifty patients were divided into the low-risk group (LRG) and high-risk group (HRG) based on the cranial chordoma grading system (CCGS). The Karnofsky Performance Scale scores and gross total resection rate of the LRG were significantly higher than those of the HRG (p<0.05). The incidence of complications and mortality in the LRG were lower than those of HRG. The analysis of cumulative survival and cumulative recurrence free survival/progression free survival (RFS/PFS) showed no statistical differences in the extent of resection for survival, recurrence, or progression. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that Ki-67 was significantly associated with tumor recurrence and was an independent hazard factor (p=0.02). Conclusion : The CCGS can help neurosurgeons anticipate surgical outcomes. Pathological results are important in evaluating the possibility of tumor recurrence, and postoperative radiotherapy improves overall survival and RFS/PFS.

Confidence bands for survival curve under the additive risk model

  • Song, Myung-Unn;Jeong, Dong-Myung;Song, Jae-Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • 제26권4호
    • /
    • pp.429-443
    • /
    • 1997
  • We consider the problem of obtaining several types of simultaneous confidence bands for the survival curve under the additive risk model. The derivation uses the weak convergence of normalized cumulative hazard estimator to a mean zero Gaussian process whose distribution can be easily approxomated through simulation. The bands are illustrated by applying them from two well-known clinicla studies. Finally, simulation studies are carried outo to compare the performance of the proposed bands for the survival function under the additive risk model.

  • PDF

Earthquake risk assessment of concrete gravity dam by cumulative absolute velocity and response surface methodology

  • Cao, Anh-Tuan;Nahar, Tahmina Tasnim;Kim, Dookie;Choi, Byounghan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • 제17권5호
    • /
    • pp.511-519
    • /
    • 2019
  • The concrete gravity dam is one of the most important parts of the nation's infrastructure. Besides the benefits, the dam also has some potentially catastrophic disasters related to the life of citizens directly. During the lifetime of service, some degradations in a dam may occur as consequences of operating conditions, environmental aspects and deterioration in materials from natural causes, especially from dynamic loads. Cumulative Absolute Velocity (CAV) plays a key role to assess the operational condition of a structure under seismic hazard. In previous researches, CAV is normally used in Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) fields, but there are no particular criteria or studies that have been made on dam structure. This paper presents a method to calculate the limitation of CAV for the Bohyeonsan Dam in Korea, where the critical Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) is estimated from twelve sets of selected earthquakes based on High Confidence of Low Probability of Failure (HCLPF). HCLPF point denotes 5% damage probability with 95% confidence level in the fragility curve, and the corresponding PGA expresses the crucial acceleration of this dam. For determining the status of the dam, a 2D finite element model is simulated by ABAQUS. At first, the dam's parameters are optimized by the Minitab tool using the method of Central Composite Design (CCD) for increasing model reliability. Then the Response Surface Methodology (RSM) is used for updating the model and the optimization is implemented from the selected model parameters. Finally, the recorded response of the concrete gravity dam is compared against the results obtained from solving the numerical model for identifying the physical condition of the structure.

경쟁위험 하에서의 누적발생함수 추정량 성능 비교 (Performance Comparison of Cumulative Incidence Estimators in the Presence of Competing Risks)

  • 김동욱;안치경
    • 응용통계연구
    • /
    • 제20권2호
    • /
    • pp.357-371
    • /
    • 2007
  • 경쟁위험(competing risk) 하에서의 누적 발생함수(cumulative incidence function)는 일반적으로 비모수적 방법으로 추정된다. 그러나 관심 있는 원인에 의한 사건이 다른 원인에 의한 사건보다 상대적으로 적게 발생하는 경우에 비모수적 방법으로 추정된 누적발생함수는 이산성으로 인해 다소 정확하지 않게 된다. 이와 같은 경우에 Bryant와 Diagnam(2004)는 관심 있는 원인에 대한 원인특정적 위험함수(cause-specific hazard function)를 모수적으로 모형화하고 다른 원인에 의한 사건은 비모수적으로 추정하는 준모수적 방법을 제안했다. 본 연구에서는 준모수적 누적발생함수 추정량을 재표현하고 와이블분포모형과 대수 정규분포모형으로 확장하였다. 또한 대수 정규분포 원인특정적 위험모형일 경우 누적 발생함수에 대한 비모수적 추정량, 와이블분포 준모수적 추정량과 대수 정규분포 준모수적 추정량의 효율성을 비교하며 준모수적 추정량의 성능과 모형 오설정이 미치는 영향을 살펴보았다.

Risk assessment of heavy metals in soil based on the geographic information system-Kriging technique in Anka, Nigeria

  • Johnbull, Onisoya;Abbassi, Bassim;Zytner, Richard G.
    • Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • 제24권1호
    • /
    • pp.150-158
    • /
    • 2019
  • Soil contaminated with heavy metals from artisanal gold mining in Anka Local Government Area in Northwestern Nigeria was investigated to evaluate the human health risk as a result of heavy metals. Measured concentration of heavy metals and exposure parameters were used to estimate human carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risk. GIS-based Kriging method was utilized to create a prediction maps of human health risks and probability maps of heavy metals concentrations exceeding their threshold limits. Hazard index calculation showed that 21 out of 23 locations are posing non-cancer risk for children. Adults and children are at high cancer risk in all locations as the total cancer risk exceeded $1{\times}10^{-6}$ (the lower limit CTR value). Kriging model showed that only a very small area in Anka has a hazard index of less than unity and cumulative target risk of less than $1{\times}10^{-4}$, indicating a significant carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risks for children. The probability of heavy metals to exceed their threshold concentrations around the study area was also found to be high.

No Association Between the GSTM1 Null Genotype and Risk of Renal Cell Carcinoma: A Meta-analysis

  • Liu, Rui;Wang, Xiao-Hua;Liu, Li;Zhou, Qiang
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제13권7호
    • /
    • pp.3109-3112
    • /
    • 2012
  • Background: Many studies have focused on possible associations between the glutathione S-transferase M 1 (GSTM1) null genotype and risk of renal cell carcinoma (RCC), but the impact remains unclear owing to obvious inconsistencies among the findings. The present study aimed to quantify the strength of any association in a meta-analysis. Methods: We searched the PubMed, Embase and CBM databases for studies concerning the association between the GSTM1 null genotype and risk of RCC. We estimated the summary odds ratio (OR) with its 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) to assess the association. Results: The meta-analysis showed the GSTM1 null genotype was not associated with risk of RCC overall (OR = 1.04, 95% CI 0.92-1.18, P = 0.501). For Caucasians, the GSTM1 null genotype was also not associated with risk of RCC (OR=1.02, 95% CI 0.90-1.16, P = 0.761). The cumulative meta-analyses showed a trend of no obvious association between GSTM1 null genotype and risk of RCC as information accumulated. Sensitivity analyses by omitting those studies also did not materially alter the overall combined ORs. No evidence of publication bias was observed. Conclusion: Meta-analyses of available data show that the GSTM1 null genotype is not significantly associated with risk of renal cell carcinoma.