• KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.79-86
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• 2022

Recently, the amount of maintenance is increasing due to the aging of power facilities, but the budget is constrained. Therefore, the importance of asset management that selects replacement priorities based on the failure probability and enhances investment effects is increasing. Because the number of distribution transformers is very large, the proportion of investment cost is very high. Therefore, it is important to select the investment priority by evaluating the reliable remaining life based on the failure probability. This paper evaluates the statistical expected life using the failure data of distribution transformers for the last 11 years and the current operation data. The hazard rate of distribution transformer and MV cable was compared with each other and the adequacy of early failure removal was reviewed and the statistical expected life corresponding to the cumulative failure probability B3% was calculated.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제31권4호
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• pp.616-627
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• 1998

In order to evaluate the cytogenetic hazard among hospital workers potentially exposed to low dose of radiation, the analysis of chromosome aberrations(CA) and sister chromatid exchanges(SCE) in lymphocytes were performed in 79 hospital workers and 79 non-exposed workers. The mean frequency of chromosomal exchange and deletion(respectively, $0.20\times10^{-2}/cell\;and\;0.39\times10^{-2}/cell$) in the exposed group were significantly higher than those$(0.07\times10^{-2}/cell\;and\;0.23\times10^{-2}/cell)$ in control group. The frequency of sister chromatid exchanges was 5.04/cell in the control vs. 6.57/cell in the exposed group. There were also significant differences in the mean frequencies of CA and SCE adjusted for age, sex, smoking, drinking between two groups. There were no evidence of significant increase of CA and SCE according to the department or duration of employment. But the frequency of cells having chromosome aberration was significantly higher in the exposed group than in the control group related to duration of employment. There was no dose-effect relationship between the cumulative doses and the frequency of CA and SCE. But in the case of last 1 yr cumulative dose, there were evidence of significant dose-dependant increase of chromosome type CA and percentage of cells with aberration. The result suggest that there is cytogenetic hazard in risk group like hospital workers handling low dose radiation. And the analysis CA and SCE are useful biological indicators for the exposure of low dose level of radiation.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제17권5호
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• pp.511-519
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• 2019

The concrete gravity dam is one of the most important parts of the nation's infrastructure. Besides the benefits, the dam also has some potentially catastrophic disasters related to the life of citizens directly. During the lifetime of service, some degradations in a dam may occur as consequences of operating conditions, environmental aspects and deterioration in materials from natural causes, especially from dynamic loads. Cumulative Absolute Velocity (CAV) plays a key role to assess the operational condition of a structure under seismic hazard. In previous researches, CAV is normally used in Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) fields, but there are no particular criteria or studies that have been made on dam structure. This paper presents a method to calculate the limitation of CAV for the Bohyeonsan Dam in Korea, where the critical Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) is estimated from twelve sets of selected earthquakes based on High Confidence of Low Probability of Failure (HCLPF). HCLPF point denotes 5% damage probability with 95% confidence level in the fragility curve, and the corresponding PGA expresses the crucial acceleration of this dam. For determining the status of the dam, a 2D finite element model is simulated by ABAQUS. At first, the dam's parameters are optimized by the Minitab tool using the method of Central Composite Design (CCD) for increasing model reliability. Then the Response Surface Methodology (RSM) is used for updating the model and the optimization is implemented from the selected model parameters. Finally, the recorded response of the concrete gravity dam is compared against the results obtained from solving the numerical model for identifying the physical condition of the structure.

• Korean Journal of Ophthalmology
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• 제32권6호
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• pp.470-477
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• 2018

Purpose: To investigate the relationship between the progression of visual field (VF) loss and changes in lamina cribrosa depth (LCD) as determined by spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT) enhanced depth imaging in patients with primary open angle glaucoma (POAG). Methods: Data from 60 POAG patients (mean follow-up, $3.5{\pm}0.7$ years) were included in this retrospective study. The LCD was measured in the optic disc image using SD-OCT enhanced depth imaging scanning at each visit. Change in the LCD was considered to either 'increase' or 'decrease' when the differences between baseline and the latest two consecutive follow-up visits were greater than the corresponding reproducibility coefficient value ($23.08{\mu}m$, as determined in a preliminary reproducibility study). All participants were divided into three groups: increased LCD (ILCD), decreased LCD (DLCD), and no LCD change (NLCD). The Early Manifest Glaucoma Trial criteria were used to define VF deterioration. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox's proportional hazard models were performed to explore the relationship between VF progression and LCD change. Results: Of the 60 eyes examined, 35.0% (21 eyes), 28.3% (17 eyes), and 36.7% (22 eyes) were classified as the ILCD, DLCD, and NLCD groups, respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed a greater cumulative probability of VF progression in the ILCD group than in the NLCD (p < 0.001) or DLCD groups (p = 0.018). Increased LCD was identified as the only risk factor for VF progression in the Cox proportional hazard models (hazard ratio, 1.008; 95% confidence interval, 1.000 to 1.015; p = 0.047). Conclusions: Increased LCD was associated with a greater possibility of VF progression. The quantitative measurement of LCD changes, determined by SD-OCT, is a potential biomarker for the prediction of VF deterioration in patients with POAG.

• 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.21-26
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• 2001

유기인계 농약은 주로 수확률을 증가시킬 목적으로 과일, 채소, 곡류를 포함한 농산물에 사용하는 살충제로, 최근의 위해성평가기술은 독성기전이 동일한 물직들에 대해서 기준이 되는 물질의 특성을 1로하여 상대독성계수를 고려하므로 동시노출평가(cumulative risk assessment)를 수행하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 식품섭취를 통한 유기인계 농약의 동시다중노출에 기인된 위해정도를 판단하기 위하여 유기인계 농약과 다소비노출가능식품 등을 대상으로 cumulative risk assessment 를 실시코자 하였다. 펑가에 고려된 농약은 우리나라에서 사용빈도가 높은 농약(Acephate, Azinphos-methyl, Chlorpyrifos, Diazinon, Dimethoate, Ethion, Malathion, Methamidophos, Methidathion, Parathion-methyl, Phosmet, Pirimiphos-methyl) 12종이었고, 평가대상식품은 국내에서 유통되는 다소비식품을 위주로 곡류 4종(쌀, 보리, 밀, 옥수수), 과일류 5종(사과, 감, 밀감, 바나나, 배), 및 채소류 13종(배추, 양배추, 상추, 시금치, 오이, 토마토, 호박, 양파, 고추, 마늘, 무, 파, 당근)을 포함하여 총 22종의 식품을 대상으로 하였으며, 시료의 대표성을 부여하기 위하여 샘플링은 전국 4개 대도시(서울, 부산, 광주, 대전)를 대상으로 총2회 실시하였다. 12종의 유기인계 농약의 동시다중 노출에 대한 위해성평가를 위하여 노출평가시 TEF(독성등가치, Toxic Equivalency Factor) 방법을 적용하였고, FAO/WHO 의 만성인체노출평가방법을 기초로 우리나라 일반 성인을 대상으로 다수의 식품섭취를 통한 다수의 농약에 대한, 동시인체노출평가를 실시하였다. 노출의 안전수준을 결정하기 위해 필요한 독성값은 chlorpyrifos를 기준으로 하여 U.S.EPA 에서 제시한 AChE저해작용을 endpoint로 하는 RfD 값을 활용하였으며, 다수의 유기인계 농약으로부터 동시노출 되었을 때 나타날 수 있는 비발암독성에 대한 위해도를 결정하기 위하여 위험지수(Hazard Index, HI) 방법을 사용하였다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.96-107
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• 1997

The recent stream to reliability prediction is that it is totally inclusive in depth to consider even the operating and environmental condition at the level of finished goods as well as component itselves. In this study, firstly we present the reliability prediction methods by entire failure rate model which failure rate at the system level is added to the failure rate model at the component level. Secondly we build up the improved bases of reliability demonstration through a, pp.ication of Kaplan-Meier, Cumulative hazard, Johnson's methods as non-parametric and Maximum Likelihood Estimator under exponential & Weibull distribution as parametric. And also present the methods of curve fitting to piecewise failure rate under Weibull distribution, PRST (Probability Ratio Sequential Test), curve fitting to S-shaped reliability growth curve, computer programs of each methods. Lastly we show the practical for determination of optimal burn-in time as a method of reliability enhancement, and also verify the practical usefulness of the above study through the a, pp.ication of failure and test data during 1 year.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.241-255
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• 1999

This paper concerns Reliability Analysis System(RAS) developed by LG Electronics, Inc. for collecting, classifying, and analyzing field failure data. To develop this system, a database for the management of field failure data was built and several functions were included to analyze and assess the product reliability. Nonparametric estimation and cumulative hazard plotting techniques were applied to estimate the reliability for a specific period. This system serves not only engineers in charge of quality but also designers who wish to monitor the reliability of their own products.

• 항공우주시스템공학회지
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.7-13
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• 2016

Multi disciplinary approach for aerodynamics, structure, propulsion, and flight control system is necessary to develop High Altitude Long Endurance Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (HALE UAV). Various HALE UAV development trends are surveyed to understand their operational requirements. Separating the UAV Take Off Weight by 150kg, Airworthiness implementation direction for HALE UAV is studied under the current Airworthiness regulations. NATO STANAG 4671 and STANAG 4703 Airworthiness certification criteria are analyzed, and their applicability was proposed for future HALE UAV development. In addition, minimization of the risk for UAV is studied by considering probability of cumulative catastrophic failure for HALE UAV. This Hazard Risk Index can support the future UAV Airworthiness Certification Criteria.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.429-443
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• 1997

We consider the problem of obtaining several types of simultaneous confidence bands for the survival curve under the additive risk model. The derivation uses the weak convergence of normalized cumulative hazard estimator to a mean zero Gaussian process whose distribution can be easily approxomated through simulation. The bands are illustrated by applying them from two well-known clinicla studies. Finally, simulation studies are carried outo to compare the performance of the proposed bands for the survival function under the additive risk model.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.37-45
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• 1998

임의중도절단된 생존시간자료에서 생존함수에 대한 동시신뢰대를 근사식이나 표없이 구성하는 간단한 방법을 제안하였다. 그리고 모의실험을 통하여 기존의 동시신뢰대와 포함확률측면에서 서로 비교하고, 실제자료에 적용하여 보았다.