• 제목/요약/키워드: Credit Rating Agencies

검색결과 26건 처리시간 0.029초

채권시장에서의 신용평가기능 개선을 위한 정책방향 (Policy Recommendations for Enhancing the Role of Credit Rating Agencies in the Debt Market)

  • 임경묵
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.1-47
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    • 2006
  • 우리나라의 회사채시장은 양적으로 꾸준한 성장세를 지속하였으나 여전히 질적 성숙이 그에 미치지 못하는 것으로 평가되고 있으며 외환위기 이후에도 대우채, 현대채, 카드채 사태 등의 금융시장 불안을 반복적으로 초래하였다. 회사채시장의 질적 발전이 이루어지지 못한 것은 무엇보다도 관련 인프라의 적절한 구축이 이루어지지 못한데 크게 영향 받은 것으로 판단된다. 특히 신용평가산업은 실제 발행기업의 채무상환능력을 평가하는 정보의 생성기능을 적절하게 담당하지 못한 채 제도의 이식 수준에 머물고 있다. 본 연구는 미국 SEC 및 미국학계에서 제기되고 있는 신용평가사제도 개선 논의를 고려하여 우리나라의 신용평가사제도 개선의 가능성을 모색한다. 특히, 우리나라 특유의 상황에 의해 발생하고 있는 우리나라 신용평가산업 특유의 문제들을 소유 지배구조 및 부수업무 수행에 따르는 이해상충, 역사적 발전과정, 신용등급에 대한 법리적 해석 및 경제 사회적 차이에 따르는 문제로 분류하여 지적하고 대응방향을 제시하였다.

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Differences among Credit Rating Agencies and the Information Environment

  • PARK, Hyunjun;YOO, Youngtae
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2019
  • In the Korean capital market, there are three credit rating agencies. Potential credit ratings based on credibility in the financial market are calculated independently for each rating agency. It often happens that despite the fact that the grades of the rating agencies are the same and have the same rating system, their actual ratings are different, even for the same firm. In such circumstances, investors may wonder why. In this study, we assume that the cause is the information environment in which the company operates. The credit ratings of rating agencies are mainly classified into bonds or commercial papers. The bonds are rated primarily for long-term of three years or more, and commercial papers specify ratings for less than one year. The information environment to be verified in this study was observed with a commercial paper. Under the assumption the larger the analyst following is, the more transparent is the information environment, we analyzed the influence of the number of analysts following on the degree to which ratings conflicted among credit rating agencies. The results of our analysis confirmed that opinion conflict among credit rating agencies is clearly reduced for companies with good information environments.

신용평가사의 역할에 대한 고찰 : 사건연구를 통한 분석 (A Study on the Role of Korean Credit Rating Agencies)

  • 류두원;류두진;양희진;홍기택
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.123-144
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    • 2015
  • Through the event study methodology and the case study on the Company T and its subsidiaries, this study analyzes the effect of credit rating downgrade in the Korean stock market. Our empirical results cast some doubts on whether credit rating agencies made adequate credit rating adjustments on the Chaebol companies, and suggest that little information was provided to the bond market investors. This study provides some policy implications by recommending that regulators encourage credit rating agencies to provide more accurate and appropriate information to market participants.

Influence of Global versus Local Rating Agencies to Japanese Financial Firms

  • Han, Seung Hun;Reinhart, Walter J.;Shin, Yoon S.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2018
  • Global rating agencies, such as Moody's and S&P, have assigned credit ratings to corporate bonds issued by Japanese firms since 1980s. Local Japanese rating agencies, such as R&I and JCR, have more market share than the global raters. We examine the yield spreads of 1,050 yen-denominated corporate bonds issued by financial firms in Japan from 1998 to 2014 and find no evidence that bonds rated by at least one global agency are associated with a significant reduction in the cost of debt as compared to those rated by only local rating agencies. Unlike non-financial firms, the reputation effect of global rating agencies does not exist for Japanese financial firms. We also observe that firms with less information asymmetry are more likely to acquire ratings from Moody's or S&P. Additionally, the firm's financial profile does not affect its choice to seek out ratings from global raters. Our findings are contradictory to those by Han, Pagano, and Shin (2012), who employ bonds issued by non-financial firms in Japan. Our conjecture is that the asymmetric nature of financial firms makes investors less likely to depend on a credit risk assessment by rating agencies in determining the yields of new bonds.

신용평가기능 개선을 위한 과제 (Restoring the Role of Credit Rating Agencies as Gatekeepers)

  • 조성빈
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.81-110
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    • 2011
  • 서브프라임 모기지 및 구조화 상품 등에 대한 부정확한 신용등급은 최근 금융위기 확산의 주요 요인으로 지적되고 있다. 본 논문은 신용평가노력을 관찰할 수 없는 숨겨진 행동모형(hidden action model)을 통해 신용평가회사의 행태 및 규제에 대한 분석을 시도하여 현재 논의되고 있는 신용평가기능 개선을 위한 논의에 보완적인 기여를 하고자 한다. 분석 결과, 도덕적 해이가 존재하면 신용평가노력이 관찰 가능하지 않음으로 인해 사회적으로 최적인 수준보다 낮은 수준의 신용평가노력을 기울임을 확인하였다. 경쟁 및 평판효과를 고려한 확장된 모형의 경우에도 신용평가회사에 사회적으로 최적의 유인을 제공하는 데는 한계가 존재한다. 그리고 부수업무의 존재는 신용평가회사의 노력수준과 사회적 최적 수준 간의 괴리를 확대함을 확인하였다. 따라서 경쟁과 평판에 의한 규율이 불완전한 경우 신용평가회사에 대한 감독 및 잘못된 정보의 제공에 따른 책임의 부과가 필요하다

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Bond Ratings, Corporate Governance, and Cost of Debt: The Case of Korea

  • Han, Seung-Hun;Kang, Kichun;Shin, Yoon S.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.5-15
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    • 2016
  • This study examines whether Korean rating agencies such as Korea Investors Service (KIS), National Information & Credit Evaluation (NICE), and Korea Ratings Corporation (KR), incorporate corporate governance into their corporate bond ratings in Korea. We find that the Korean rating agencies assign higher ratings to the bonds issued by Chaebol (Korean business group) affiliated firms. Our results also indicate that those rating agencies give higher ratings to the bonds with greater foreign investor share ownership. Moreover, if the rating agencies value corporate governance, higher rated firms should issue bonds at lower yield to maturity. We discover that Chaebol affiliation is counted favorably by the rating agencies. We find that investors are willing to pay lower risk premium for bonds with higher institutional ownership, but higher risk premium to bonds with greater equity ownership in the form of depository receipts. Therefore, even if the rating agencies and investors in Korea consider corporate governance (Chaebol affiliation and ownership structure) an important determinant in bond ratings and the yields to maturity, they have opposite views on institutional ownership and share ownership in the form of depository receipts.

Capital Structure Decisions Following Credit Rating Changes: Evidence from Japan

  • FAIRCHILD, Lisa;HAN, Seung Hun;SHIN, Yoon S.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2022
  • Our study adds to the body of knowledge about the relationship between credit ratings and the capital structure of bond issuers. Using Bloomberg and Datastream databases and employing panel regression models, we study the capital structure changes of Japanese enterprises after credit rating changes by global rating agencies (S&P and Moody's) as well as their local counterparts (R&I and JCR) from 1998 to 2016. We find that after rating downgrades, Japanese enterprises considerably reduce net debt or net debt relative to net equity, similar to the findings of Kisgen (2009), who focused on U.S. industrial firms. They do not, however, make adjustments to their financial structure as a result of rating improvements. In comparison to downgrades by S&P and Moody's, Japanese corporations issue 1.89 percent less net debt and 1.50 percent less net debt relative to net equity after R&I and JCR rating downgrades. To put it another way, Japanese companies consider rating adjustments made by local agencies to be more significant than those made by global rating organizations. Our findings contradict earlier research that suggests S&P and Moody's are more prominent in the investment community than R&I and JCR in Japan.

다양한 다분류 SVM을 적용한 기업채권평가 (Corporate Bond Rating Using Various Multiclass Support Vector Machines)

  • 안현철;김경재
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.157-178
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    • 2009
  • Corporate credit rating is a very important factor in the market for corporate debt. Information concerning corporate operations is often disseminated to market participants through the changes in credit ratings that are published by professional rating agencies, such as Standard and Poor's (S&P) and Moody's Investor Service. Since these agencies generally require a large fee for the service, and the periodically provided ratings sometimes do not reflect the default risk of the company at the time, it may be advantageous for bond-market participants to be able to classify credit ratings before the agencies actually publish them. As a result, it is very important for companies (especially, financial companies) to develop a proper model of credit rating. From a technical perspective, the credit rating constitutes a typical, multiclass, classification problem because rating agencies generally have ten or more categories of ratings. For example, S&P's ratings range from AAA for the highest-quality bonds to D for the lowest-quality bonds. The professional rating agencies emphasize the importance of analysts' subjective judgments in the determination of credit ratings. However, in practice, a mathematical model that uses the financial variables of companies plays an important role in determining credit ratings, since it is convenient to apply and cost efficient. These financial variables include the ratios that represent a company's leverage status, liquidity status, and profitability status. Several statistical and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have been applied as tools for predicting credit ratings. Among them, artificial neural networks are most prevalent in the area of finance because of their broad applicability to many business problems and their preeminent ability to adapt. However, artificial neural networks also have many defects, including the difficulty in determining the values of the control parameters and the number of processing elements in the layer as well as the risk of over-fitting. Of late, because of their robustness and high accuracy, support vector machines (SVMs) have become popular as a solution for problems with generating accurate prediction. An SVM's solution may be globally optimal because SVMs seek to minimize structural risk. On the other hand, artificial neural network models may tend to find locally optimal solutions because they seek to minimize empirical risk. In addition, no parameters need to be tuned in SVMs, barring the upper bound for non-separable cases in linear SVMs. Since SVMs were originally devised for binary classification, however they are not intrinsically geared for multiclass classifications as in credit ratings. Thus, researchers have tried to extend the original SVM to multiclass classification. Hitherto, a variety of techniques to extend standard SVMs to multiclass SVMs (MSVMs) has been proposed in the literature Only a few types of MSVM are, however, tested using prior studies that apply MSVMs to credit ratings studies. In this study, we examined six different techniques of MSVMs: (1) One-Against-One, (2) One-Against-AIL (3) DAGSVM, (4) ECOC, (5) Method of Weston and Watkins, and (6) Method of Crammer and Singer. In addition, we examined the prediction accuracy of some modified version of conventional MSVM techniques. To find the most appropriate technique of MSVMs for corporate bond rating, we applied all the techniques of MSVMs to a real-world case of credit rating in Korea. The best application is in corporate bond rating, which is the most frequently studied area of credit rating for specific debt issues or other financial obligations. For our study the research data were collected from National Information and Credit Evaluation, Inc., a major bond-rating company in Korea. The data set is comprised of the bond-ratings for the year 2002 and various financial variables for 1,295 companies from the manufacturing industry in Korea. We compared the results of these techniques with one another, and with those of traditional methods for credit ratings, such as multiple discriminant analysis (MDA), multinomial logistic regression (MLOGIT), and artificial neural networks (ANNs). As a result, we found that DAGSVM with an ordered list was the best approach for the prediction of bond rating. In addition, we found that the modified version of ECOC approach can yield higher prediction accuracy for the cases showing clear patterns.

국내모회사와 해외자회사 신용평가모형의 적합성 검증 연구 (Probability of default validation in a corporate credit rating model)

  • 이우식;김동영
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.605-615
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    • 2017
  • 국내 외에서 지급보증과 관련 모회사의 지원 중단으로 신용평가사로부터 높은 등급을 받았던 자회사가 법정관리에 갔던 사태로 투자자의 피해가 발생한 사례가 존재하여 이에 모기업 계열사의 지원 가능성을 배제한 기업의 자체신용도 또는 독자신용등급에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 해외자회사를 둔 국내 기업을 대상으로 판별력 분석, 등급화 분석 그리고 안정성 분석을 통해 기업 신용평가모형의 적합성검증을 실시하였으며 주요 실증분석결과 해외자회사의 부도 현황을 볼 때 부도율측면에 있어서 국내모회사보다 상대적으로 낮은 부도율을 나타내고 있는 것을 확인할 수 있었고, 한국모회사가 지급보증을 하는데 있어 해외자회사보다 신용등급이 일반적으로 높은 것으로 나타났다.

Determining Personal Credit Rating through Voice Analysis: Case of P2P loan borrowers

  • Lee, Sangmin
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제15권10호
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    • pp.3627-3641
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    • 2021
  • Fintech, which stands for financial technology, is growing fast globally since the economic crisis hit the United States in 2008. Fintech companies are striving to secure a competitive advantage over existing financial services by providing efficient financial services utilizing the latest technologies. Fintech companies can be classified into several areas according to their business solutions. Among the Fintech sector, peer-to-peer (P2P) lending companies are leading the domestic Fintech industry. P2P lending is a method of lending funds directly to individuals or businesses without an official financial institution participating as an intermediary in the transaction. The rapid growth of P2P lending companies has now reached a level that threatens secondary financial markets. However, as the growth rate increases, so does the potential risk factor. In addition to government laws to protect and regulate P2P lending, further measures to reduce the risk of P2P lending accidents have yet to keep up with the pace of market growth. Since most P2P lenders do not implement their own credit rating system, they rely on personal credit scores provided by credit rating agencies such as the NICE credit information service in Korea. However, it is hard for P2P lending companies to figure out the intentional loan default of the borrower since most borrowers' credit scores are not excellent. This study analyzed the voices of telephone conversation between the loan consultant and the borrower in order to verify if it is applicable to determine the personal credit score. Experimental results show that the change in pitch frequency and change in voice pitch frequency can be reliably identified, and this difference can be used to predict the loan defaults or use it to determine the underlying default risk. It has also been shown that parameters extracted from sample voice data can be used as a determinant for classifying the level of personal credit ratings.