• Title/Summary/Keyword: Credit Market

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Building credit scoring models with various types of target variables (목표변수의 형태에 따른 신용평점 모형 구축)

  • Woo, Hyun Seok;Lee, Seok Hyung;Cho, HyungJun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2013
  • As the financial market becomes larger, the loss increases due to the failure of the credit risk managements from the poor management of the customer information or poor decision-making. Thus, the credit risk management also becomes more important and it is essential to develop a credit scoring model, which is a fundamental tool used to minimize the credit risk. Credit scoring models have been studied and developed only for binary target variables. In this paper, we consider other types of target variables such as ordinal multinomial data or longitudinal binary data and suggest credit scoring models. We then apply our developed models to real data and random data, and investigate their performance through Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic.

A Study on Clothing Purchasing Behavior of Department Store Credit Card Holders (백화점 카드 소지자의 의복구매행동 연구)

  • 신수아;이선재
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.250-261
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    • 1999
  • This study is designed to classify consumer groups based on their perception toward department store credit cards and the behavior they exhibit during the purchase of clothing. This classification is based on the study of factors taken into consideration during shopping and disparities in credit cared usage., The specific goals of this study are the following : First it is to classify female consumers over age 20 into "shopping orientation" types and "clothing purchase behavior" types according to their perception towards department store credit care usage. Second it is to discover the degree of perceived utility of department store credit card in clothing purchases. Third finally it is to assist a department store credit card market researcher establish a marketing strategy to best address consumers; needs and wants in credit card purchases The study methodology utilized and the results found were that : 1. The division of consumers into positive and negative groups based on factor analysis with the positive group found to have favorable attitudes towards department store credit card usage. 2. Classification of female consumers into three " shopping orientations" : fashion purchasing economic value purchasing and convenience purchasing. The positive group were predominantly fashion convenience purchasers who valued low cost and convenience over "fashionability" 3. The three classes of "purchase behavior" used were impulse buying planned buying and unplanned buying. The positive group those who had favorable attitudes toward department store credit cards. made mostly impulse and unplanned purchases while the negative group made largely planned purchasee the negative group made largely planned purchase.

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Determining Personal Credit Rating through Voice Analysis: Case of P2P loan borrowers

  • Lee, Sangmin
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.10
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    • pp.3627-3641
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    • 2021
  • Fintech, which stands for financial technology, is growing fast globally since the economic crisis hit the United States in 2008. Fintech companies are striving to secure a competitive advantage over existing financial services by providing efficient financial services utilizing the latest technologies. Fintech companies can be classified into several areas according to their business solutions. Among the Fintech sector, peer-to-peer (P2P) lending companies are leading the domestic Fintech industry. P2P lending is a method of lending funds directly to individuals or businesses without an official financial institution participating as an intermediary in the transaction. The rapid growth of P2P lending companies has now reached a level that threatens secondary financial markets. However, as the growth rate increases, so does the potential risk factor. In addition to government laws to protect and regulate P2P lending, further measures to reduce the risk of P2P lending accidents have yet to keep up with the pace of market growth. Since most P2P lenders do not implement their own credit rating system, they rely on personal credit scores provided by credit rating agencies such as the NICE credit information service in Korea. However, it is hard for P2P lending companies to figure out the intentional loan default of the borrower since most borrowers' credit scores are not excellent. This study analyzed the voices of telephone conversation between the loan consultant and the borrower in order to verify if it is applicable to determine the personal credit score. Experimental results show that the change in pitch frequency and change in voice pitch frequency can be reliably identified, and this difference can be used to predict the loan defaults or use it to determine the underlying default risk. It has also been shown that parameters extracted from sample voice data can be used as a determinant for classifying the level of personal credit ratings.

The Effects of Economic Freedom on Firm Investment in Vietnam

  • LE, Anh Hoang;KIM, Taegi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2020
  • This paper investigates how economic freedom affected firm investment in Vietnam. In the globalization decade, economic freedom has been an important policy to support economic development in Vietnam. Improvements in economic freedom, such as capital freedom and domestic credit freedom, allow firms to access external finance more easily, so that the firm's investment depends less on internal cash flow. In a developing country, on the drawbacks, many small and medium firms likely have more challenges if the government would not give any subsidies. The higher level of freedom may exacerbate the financing constraints of less competitive firms. We analyze unique firm-level data from 2006 to 2016, which includes listed firms on two major stock exchanges and unlisted firms in the Unlisted Public Company Market. The article also considers how economic freedom affects small firms and large firms differently. Our results show that capital freedom and domestic credit freedom played an important role in investments for Vietnamese firms. However, we cannot find evidence that overall economic freedom relaxed the financial constraints on firms. Additionally, we suggest that small firms likely gain more advantage in access to external finance than do larger firms when the government removes restrictions from capital movement and the domestic credit market.

Long-run Equilibrium Relationship Between Financial Intermediation and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Philippines

  • MONSURA, Melcah Pascua;VILLARUZ, Roselyn Mostoles
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2021
  • The financial sector is one of the most important building blocks of the economy. When this sector efficiently implemented a well-crafted program on banking and financial system to translate financial activities to income-generating activity, economic growth will be realized. Hence, this study analyzed the effect of financial intermediation on economic growth and the existence of cointegrating relationship using time-series data from 1986 to 2015. The influence of financial intermediation in terms of bank credit to bank deposit ratio, private credit, and stock market capitalization and time trend to economic growth was estimated using ordinary least squares (OLS) multiple regression. The results showed that all the financial intermediation indicators and time trend exert significant effect on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita. The positive sign of the time trend indicates that there is an upward trend in GDP per capita averaging approximately 0.06 percent annually. Furthermore, the cointegration test using the Johansen procedure revealed that there is a presence of long-term equilibrium relationship between financial intermediation and time trend and economic growth, and rules out spurious regression results. This study established the idea that financial intermediation in the Philippines has a significant and vital role in stimulating growth in the economy.

Analytic Comparisons of Shipbuilding Competitiveness between China and Korea

  • Lee, Koung-Rae
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This research empirically proves that global shipbuilding industry leadership has moved to China from Korea. Design/Methodology - Competitiveness is measured by AHP for the weights of comprehensive competitiveness, which is the output mixture of three attributive factors: shipbuilding technology, shipbuilding contract price, and export credit. Findings - China is far ahead of Korea for standard vessels such as bulkers and containerships with competitiveness weights of 0.762 and 0.612, respectively, against 0.238 and 0.388 of Korea. Korea is maintaining its competitiveness only in LNG carriers (174k CBM) with a competitiveness weight 0.621. China and Korea have similar competitiveness for chemical carriers, complex vessels with a small hull size. The sources of Chinese competitiveness are shipbuilding contract price and export credit. With the majority share of standard vessel types in the world fleet, China will hold a bigger market share than Korea in the global shipbuilding industry in the forthcoming years. Implications - The swing factors of market power are shipbuilding technology and contract price. If China fails to further develop shipbuilding technology for shipowners worried about the reliability of the Chinese-built vessels, shipowners may swing back to Korea. The rising Chinese labor cost will expedite this swing in the forthcoming competition. Originality/value - To the best of the author's knowledge, this is the first paper that quantitatively examines the competitiveness of shipbuilding between China and Korea by comparing attributive factors for competitiveness.

Policy-based Loans to Korean SME Exporters and the Intensive Margin of Exports

  • Whang, Unjung;Koo, Kyong Hyun
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.179-204
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    • 2022
  • This study examines the extent to which policy-based loans to SME exporters affect their export performance (the intensive margin of exports). We also investigate the heterogeneous export effects of policy-based loans that may depend on firm- and industry-specific characteristics, such as credit ratings, debt-to-assets ratios, firm size and age. To do so, we conduct a survey, of 1,000 Korean SMEs, that collect information on firm-level exports and policy-based loans. The main empirical findings strongly support that SMEs that receive policy-based loans tend to increase their export volumes. However, these loans' positive impact on exports are only valid for SME exporters with credit scores of 12 or greater (that is, SMEs that have difficulty accessing the external financial market). The estimation results with respect to SMEs' dependence on external financing imply that policy-based loans for SMEs in sectors that are heavily dependent on external finance are effective in that they are instrumental in increasing these firms' exports. These empirical findings emphasize the importance of the external financial market to SME exporters who face various up-front investments that are related to their exporting activities.

Institutional Quality, Regulatory Environment and Microeconomic Performance: Evidence from Transition and Non-transition Developing Countries

  • Ochieng, Haggai Kennedy;Park, Bokyeong
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.273-309
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    • 2021
  • The development of regulatory systems varies between transition and non-transition economies. This suggests that they provide different incentives for entrepreneurial development and could have varied effects on the economy because they have different methods to deal with market failure. However, limited empirical evidence exists to prove the assumption of dichotomy. Using comprehensive data for institutional quality, labor market and financial market development, this research sought to analyze their effect on employment growth at micro level. The results show that the quality of institutions in transition economies are poorer relative to those in non-transition economies, but their financial and labor markets are more developed than the latter. Further analysis for the transition sample shows that the three variables are individually positively related with employment growth. For the non-transition sample, institutional quality and labor market flexibility bear a positive and significant effect on employment. Financial market development enters the model with a negative coefficient when regressed alone, but a joint test of significance finds that all the variables have a positive effect on employment growth. This result could imply that there is interdependence between institutional quality, labor flexibility and financial market development in firm-employment-growth relationship, or complementarity between regulations and the quality of institutions. Alternatively, this finding suggests that a stringently regulated credit market in non-transition economies have a selection effect-allocating credit only to entrepreneurs who already demonstrate strong growth potential. In sum, despite differences in the evolution of regulatory environment between the two samples, both of them complement employment growth at firm level. The overall implication of these findings is that less rigid regulations and coherent policies that are enforced with impartiality provide incentives for firms to expand.

The Effect of Foreign Bond Yield Shock on Corporate Bond Credit Spread: Evidence form Korean Market (해외금리 충격과 회사채 신용위험의 관계: 국내시장 분석)

  • Song, HyuckJun;Lee, Jong-Ryong
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.139-150
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    • 2017
  • Open economy tightly works with foreign economy. This paper investigates the effect of the shock of foreign bond yield on the credit spreads of domestic corporate bonds in Korea. Foreign bond is referred to as US treasury bond. Credit spreads are defined with the difference between log yields of domestic corporate bonds and log yield of Korea treasury bond. With the data of monthly three-year AA- and BBB- corporate bond yields- ratings, monthly three-year Korean treasury bond yields, monthly US dollar foreign exchange rates, and monthly three-year US Treasury bond yields during the period from October 2000 to September 2014 including global financial crisis period, the paper documents the results as follow. First of all, the yield of Korean treasury and the credit spreads are very sensitive to the increase in the level and the volatility of the yield of the US treasury bond. Changes in the level and the volatility little affect the change of the exchange rate. Second, the change in the level and the volatility negatively affect the level of Korean treasury bond yields but lead to the increase in the level of Korean treasury bond yields at the same time. Third, there exist time lags of the increases of credit spreads by the increase in the level and the volatility. These imply that credit spreads and bond yields are very sensitive to the change in the yields of foreign bonds such as US treasury bond.

Analyzing empirical performance of correlation based feature selection with company credit rank score dataset - Emphasis on KOSPI manufacturing companies -

  • Nam, Youn Chang;Lee, Kun Chang
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2016
  • This paper is about applying efficient data mining method which improves the score calculation and proper building performance of credit ranking score system. The main idea of this data mining technique is accomplishing such objectives by applying Correlation based Feature Selection which could also be used to verify the properness of existing rank scores quickly. This study selected 2047 manufacturing companies on KOSPI market during the period of 2009 to 2013, which have their own credit rank scores given by NICE information service agency. Regarding the relevant financial variables, total 80 variables were collected from KIS-Value and DART (Data Analysis, Retrieval and Transfer System). If correlation based feature selection could select more important variables, then required information and cost would be reduced significantly. Through analysis, this study show that the proposed correlation based feature selection method improves selection and classification process of credit rank system so that the accuracy and credibility would be increased while the cost for building system would be decreased.