• 제목/요약/키워드: Cox proportional hazards regression model

검색결과 56건 처리시간 0.024초

Clinical Prognostic Score for Predicting Disease Remission with Differentiated Thyroid Cancers

  • Somboonporn, Charoonsak;Mangklabruks, Ampica;Thakkinstian, Ammarin;Vatanasapt, Patravoot;Nakaphun, Suwannee
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제17권6호
    • /
    • pp.2805-2810
    • /
    • 2016
  • Background: Differentiated thyroid cancer is the most common endocrine malignancy with a generally good prognosis. Knowing long-term outcomes of each patient helps management planning. The study was conducted to develop and validate a clinical prognostic score for predicting disease remission in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer based on patient, tumor and treatment factors. Materials and Methods: A retrospective cohort study of 1,217 differentiated thyroid cancer patients from two tertiary-care hospitals in the Northeast of Thailand was performed. Associations between potential clinical prognostic factors and remission were tested by Cox proportional-hazards analysis in 852 patients (development cohort). The prediction score was created by summation of score points weighted from regression coefficients of independent prognostic factors. Risks of disease remission were estimated and the derived score was then validated in the remaining 365 patients (validation cohort). Results: During the median follow-up time of 58 months, 648 (76.1%) patients in the development cohort had disease remission. Five independent prognostic factors were identified with corresponding score points: duration from thyroid surgery to $^{131}I$ treatment (0.721), distant metastasis at initial diagnosis (0.801), postoperative serum thyroglobulin level (0.535), anti-thyroglobulin antibodies positivity (0.546), and adequacy of serum TSH suppression (0.293). The total risk score for each patient was calculated and three categories of remission probability were proposed: ${\leq}1.628$ points (low risk, 83% remission), 1.629-1.816 points (intermediate risk, 87% remission), and ${\geq}1.817$ points (high risk, 93% remission). The concordance (C-index) was 0.761 (95% CI 0.754-0.767). Conclusions: The clinical prognostic scoring model developed to quantify the probability of disease remission can serve as a useful tool in personalized decision making regarding treatment in differentiated thyroid cancer patients.

알코올중독자의 입원동의 여부에 따른 퇴원후 단주기간에 관한 연구 (Duration of Abstinence after Discharge from Alcoholism Inpatient Treatment - Comparing Voluntarily vs. Involuntarily Admitted Patients -)

  • 이채원
    • 사회복지연구
    • /
    • 제39호
    • /
    • pp.57-81
    • /
    • 2008
  • 알코올 중독자의 동기가 치료의 효과에 미치는 영향은 매우 중요한 것으로 알려져 왔다. 본 연구는 알코올 중독문제를 가진 개인들의 치료에 대한 동기를 나타내는 지표로서 입원치료에 대해 환자자신이 동의하였는지의 여부에 주목하였다. 자의입원환자와 타의입원환자는 치료에 대한 동기수준이 다르다고 볼 수 있으므로 치료의 효과성에 대한 지표로서 퇴원후 단주기간에도 차이가 있을 것으로 생각되었다. 이러한 연구목적을 가지고 알코올문제로 진단을 받고 입원치료중인 환자 66명을 대상으로 조사를 실시하였다. 이들의 퇴원후 단주기간은 1차 조사후 8개월 시점에서 전화로 추적조사 하였다. 연구결과, 자의입원환자가 타의입원환자에 비하여 유의미하게 오랜 기간 동안 단주를 유지하는 것으로 나타났으며, 단주기간을 예측하는 요인으로 자의입원 외에 환자가 인지하는 가족지지 역시 유의미한 요인임을 알 수 있었다. 이러한 연구결과는 알코올 중독자들의 입원치료에 있어서 환자들의 자발적 의지가 매우 중요함을 다시 한번 보여주는 것이라 하겠다.

300인 미만 사업장근로자의 6개월 이내 재흡연 관련요인 (Factors Related to Smoking Recurrence within Six-months Smoking Cessation among Employees in Enterprises with Smaller than 300 Workers)

  • 진병준;김철웅;이승은;임효빈;이태용
    • 지역사회간호학회지
    • /
    • 제32권1호
    • /
    • pp.107-115
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to identify factors associated with smoking relapse within six months after quit attempts among workers in small and medium-sized enterprises in South Korea. Methods: The analysis was conducted for a total of 194 people who attempted to quit smoking by applying for a smoking cessation support service at the Regional Tobacco Control Center. The data used in the study were extracted from the Smoking Cessation Service Integrated Information System. Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox proportional hazards regression model were used to identify variables associated with smoking relapse within six months' time period. Results: Smoking relapse rate within six months was 66.0%, and variables associated with relapse included the cases such as carbon monoxide (CO) at the time of registration (HR: 2.15, 95% CI: 1.10~4.22 for CO ≥20 ppm or more vs.CO <10 ppm), the average number of cigarettes smoked per day (HR: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.00~1.07), and the number of counseling(HR: 0.60, 95% CI: 0.54~0.67). Conclusion: Smoking characteristics and counseling showed one of the strongest correlations with relapse within six months. This implies that it is necessary to understand the smoking characteristics and patterns of workers and to provide continuous smoking cessation counseling tailored to individual characteristics for effective smoking relapse prevention.

Vaccination Status and In-hospital Mortality Among Adults With COVID-19 in Jakarta, Indonesia: A Retrospective Hospital-based Cohort Study

  • Hotma Martogi Lorensi Hutapea;Pandji Wibawa Dhewantara;Anton Suryatma;Raras Anasi;Harimat Hendarwan;Mondastri Korib Sudaryo;Dwi Gayatri
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • 제56권6호
    • /
    • pp.542-551
    • /
    • 2023
  • Objectives: Prospective studies on vaccination status and mortality related to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in low-resource settings are still limited. We assessed the association between vaccination status (full, partial, or none) and in-hospital mortality among COVID-19 patients at most hospitals in Jakarta, Indonesia during the Delta predomination wave. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among hospitalized COVID-19 patients who met the study criteria (>18 years old and admitted for inpatient treatment because of laboratory-confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection). We linked individual-level data in the hospital admission database with vaccination records. Several socio-demographic and clinical characteristics were also analyzed. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to explore the association between vaccination status and in-hospital mortality in this patient group. Results: In total, 40 827 patients were included in this study. Of these, 70% were unvaccinated (n=28 543) and 19.3% (n=7882) died during hospitalization. The mean age of the patients was 49 years (range, 35-59), 53.2% were female, 22.0% had hypertension, and 14.2% were treated in the intensive care unit, and the median hospital length of stay across the group was 9 days. Our study showed that the risk of in-hospital mortality among fully and partially vaccinated patients was lower than among unvaccinated adults (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.40 to 0.47 and aHR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.64 to 0.77, respectively). Conclusions: Vaccinated patients had fewer severe outcomes among hospitalized adults during the Delta wave in Jakarta. These features should be carefully considered by healthcare professionals in treating adults within this patient group.

Prognostic Value of Dual-Energy CT-Based Iodine Quantification versus Conventional CT in Acute Pulmonary Embolism: A Propensity-Match Analysis

  • Dong Jin Im;Jin Hur;Kyunghwa Han;Young Joo Suh;Yoo Jin Hong;Hye-Jeong Lee;Young Jin Kim;Byoung Wook Choi
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
    • /
    • 제21권9호
    • /
    • pp.1095-1103
    • /
    • 2020
  • Objective: The present study aimed to investigate whether quantitative dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) parameters offer an incremental risk stratification benefit over the CT ventricular diameter ratio in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) by using propensity score analysis. Materials and Methods: This study was conducted on 480 patients with acute PE who underwent CT pulmonary angiography (CTPA) or DECT pulmonary angiography (DE CT-PA). This propensity-matched study population included 240 patients with acute PE each in the CTPA and DECT groups. Altogether, 260 (54.1%) patients were men, and the mean age was 64.9 years (64.9 ± 13.5 years). The primary endpoint was all-cause death within 30 days. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify associations between CT parameters and outcomes and to identify potential predictors. Concordance (C) statistics were used to compare the prognoses between the two groups. Results: In both CTPA and DECT groups, right to left ventricle diameter ratio ≥ 1 was associated with an increased risk of all-cause death within 30 days (hazard ratio: 3.707, p < 0.001 and 5.573, p < 0.001, respectively). However, C-statistics showed no statistically significant difference between the CTPA and DECT groups for predicting death within 30 days (C-statistics: 0.759 vs. 0.819, p = 0.117). Conclusion: Quantitative measurement of lung perfusion defect volume by DECT had no added benefit over CT ventricular diameter ratio for predicting all-cause death within 30 days.

A retrospective study of the long-term survival of RESTORE® dental implants with resorbable blast media surface

  • Keun-Soo Ryoo;Pil-Jong Kim;Sungtae Kim;Young-Dan Cho;Young Ku
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
    • /
    • 제53권6호
    • /
    • pp.444-452
    • /
    • 2023
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to retrospectively evaluate the survival and failure rates of RESTORE® implants over a follow-up period of 10-15 years at a university dental hospital and to investigate the factors affecting the survival rate of these dental implants. Methods: A total of 247 RESTORE® dental implants with a resorbable blast media (RBM) surface inserted in 86 patients between March 2006 and April 2011 at the Department of Periodontology of Seoul National University Dental Hospital were included. Patients with follow-up periods of less than 10 years were excluded, and data analysis was conducted based on dental records and radiographs. Results: Over a 10- to 15-year period, the cumulative survival rate of the implants was 92.5%. Seventeen implants (6.88%) were explanted due to implant fracture (n=10, 4.05%), peri-implantitis (n=6, 2.43%), and screw fracture (n=1, 0.4%). The results of univariate regression analysis using a Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated that implants placed in male patients (hazard ratio [HR], 4.542; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.305-15.807; P=0.017) and implants that supported removable prostheses (HR, 15.498; 95% CI, 3.105-77.357; P=0.001) showed statistically significant associations with implant failure. Conclusions: Within the limitations of this retrospective study, the RESTORE® dental implant with an RBM surface has a favorable survival rate with stable clinical outcomes.

Genetic Variants of NBS1 Predict Clinical Outcome of Platinum-based Chemotherapy in Advanced Non-small Cell Lung Cancer in Chinese

  • Xu, Jia-Li;Hu, Ling-Min;Huang, Ming-De;Zhao, Wan;Yin, Yong-Mei;Hu, Zhi-Bin;Ma, Hong-Xia;Shen, Hong-Bing;Shu, Yong-Qian
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제13권3호
    • /
    • pp.851-856
    • /
    • 2012
  • Objective: NBS1 plays a key role in the repair of DNA double-strand break (DSB). We conducted this study to investigate the effect of two critical polymorphisms (rs1805794 and rs13312840) in NBS1 on treatment response and prognosis of advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with platinum-based chemotherapy. Methods: Using TaqMan methods, we genotyped the two polymorphisms in 147 NSCLC patients. Odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidential intervals (CIs) were calculated as a measure of difference in the response rate of platinum-based chemotherapy using logistic regression analysis. The Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests were used to assess the differences in progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Cox proportional hazards model was applied to assess the hazard ratios (HRs) for PFS and OS. Results: Neither of the two polymorphisms was significantly associated with treatment response of platinum-based chemotherapy. However, patients carrying the rs1805794 CC variant genotype had a significantly improved PFS compared to those with GG genotype (16.0 vs. 8.0 months, P = 0.040). Multivariable cox regression analysis further showed that rs1805974 was a significantly favorable prognostic factor for PFS [CC/CG vs. GG: Adjusted HR = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.39-0.99; CC vs. CG/GG: Adjusted HR = 0.56, 95% CI: 0.32-0.97). Similarly, rs13312840 with a small sample size also showed a significant association with PFS (CC vs. CT/TT: Adjusted HR = 25.62, 95% CI: 1.53-428.39). Conclusions: Our findings suggest that NBS1 polymorphisms may be genetic biomarkers for NSCLC prognosis especially PFS with platinum-based chemotherapy in the Chinese population.

Fatty Acid Synthesis Pathway Genetic Variants and Clinical Outcome of Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients after Surgery

  • Jin, Xin;Zhang, Ke-Jin;Guo, Xu;Myers, Ronald;Ye, Zhong;Zhang, Zhi-Pei;Li, Xiao-Fei;Yang, Hu-Shan;Xing, Jin-Liang
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제15권17호
    • /
    • pp.7097-7103
    • /
    • 2014
  • Over-expression of de novo lipogenesis (DNL) genes is associated with the prognosis of various types of cancers. However, the effects of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in these genes on recurrence and survival of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients after surgery are still unknown. In this study, a total of 500 NSCLC patients who underwent surgery treatment were included. Eight SNPs in 3 genes (ACACA, FASN and ACLY) of the DNL pathway were examined using the Sequenom iPLEX genotyping system. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression and Kaplan-Meier curves were used to analyze the association of SNPs with patient survival and tumour recurrence. We found that two SNPs in the FASN gene were significantly associated with the recurrence of NSCLC. SNP rs4246444 had a significant association with lung cancer recurrence under additive model (hazard ratio [HR], 0.82; 95% confidence interval [95%CI], 0.67-1.00; p=0.05). Under the dominant model, rs4485435 exhibited a significant association with recurrence (HR, 0.75; 95%CI, 0.56-1.01; p=0.05). Additionally, SNP rs9912300 in ACLY gene was significantly associated with overall survival in lung cancer patients (HR, 1.41; 95%CI, 1.02-1.94, p=0.04) under the dominant model. Further cumulative effect analysis showed moderate dose-dependent effects of unfavorable SNPs on both survival and recurrence. Our data suggest that the SNPs in DNL genes may serve as independent prognostic markers for NSCLC patients after surgery.

The Prognostic Value of 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT in the Initial Assessment of Primary Tracheal Malignant Tumor: A Retrospective Study

  • Dan Shao;Qiang Gao;You Cheng;Dong-Yang Du;Si-Yun Wang;Shu-Xia Wang
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
    • /
    • 제22권3호
    • /
    • pp.425-434
    • /
    • 2021
  • Objective: To investigate the potential value of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT in predicting the survival of patients with primary tracheal malignant tumors. Materials and Methods: An analysis of FDG PET/CT findings in 37 primary tracheal malignant tumor patients with a median follow-up period of 43.2 months (range, 10.8-143.2 months) was performed. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to assess the associations between quantitative 18F-FDG PET/CT parameters, other clinic-pathological factors, and overall survival (OS). A risk prognosis model was established according to the independent prognostic factors identified on multivariate analysis. A survival curve determined by the Kaplan-Meier method was used to assess whether the prognosis prediction model could effectively stratify patients with different risks factors. Results: The median survival time of the 37 patients with tracheal tumors was 38.0 months, with a 95% confidence interval of 10.8 to 65.2 months. The 3-year, 5-year and 10-year survival rate were 54.1%, 43.2%, and 16.2%, respectively. The metabolic tumor volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), maximum standardized uptake value, age, pathological type, extension categories, and lymph node stage were included in multivariate analyses. Multivariate analysis showed MTV (p = 0.011), TLG (p = 0.020), pathological type (p = 0.037), and extension categories (p = 0.038) were independent prognostic factors for OS. Additionally, assessment of the survival curve using the Kaplan-Meier method showed that our prognosis prediction model can effectively stratify patients with different risks factors (p < 0.001). Conclusion: This study shows that 18F-FDG PET/CT can predict the survival of patients with primary tracheal malignant tumors. Patients with an MTV > 5.19, a TLG > 16.94 on PET/CT scans, squamous cell carcinoma, and non-E1 were more likely to have a reduced OS.

비소세포폐암에 발생한 악성 흉수의 예후 인자 (Prognostic Factors of Malignant Pleural Effusion in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer)

  • 임창영;이건;이헌재
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
    • /
    • 제40권2호
    • /
    • pp.109-113
    • /
    • 2007
  • 배경: 비소세포폐암에 흔히 발생하는 악성 흉수는 환자의 예후에 나쁜 인자로 작용하여, 원격전이가 발생한 환자들과 비슷한 생존기간을 보인다. 비소세포폐암에 발생하는 악성 흉수의 진단과 치료에 대한 연구는 많이 이루어졌으나, 환자의 예후에 영향을 미치는 인자에 대한 연구는 많지 않다. 저자들은 악성 흉수가 발생한 비소세포폐암 환자들의 예후에 영향을 미치는 예후 인자들을 알아보고자 연구를 시행하였다. 대상 및 방법: 2002년 1월부터 2003년 12월까지 악성 흉수를 동반한 비소세포폐암으로 치료를 받은 환자 33명을 대상으로 하였다. 환자의 예후에 영향을 미칠 가능성이 있는 환자의 특성(성별, 연령), 폐암 조직형 및 병기, 흉수 천자액 검사(pH, CEA, LDH, glucose, albumin), 흉수 발견 후 치료 방법을 인자로 설정하여 조사하였다. 각 인자의 생존기간을 Kaplan-Meier법으로 구한 후, log-rank test를 통한 단변량분석으로 인자 각 군의 생존기간 차이를 비교하였고, 환자의 예후에 영향을 미치는 독립적 예후 인자를 찾기 위해 다변량분석으로 Cox Regression을 실시하였다. 결과: 대상환자 33명의 폐암 조직형은 선암이 23명으로 가장 많았다. 폐암과 악성 흉수가 동시에 진단된 경우를 제외하면 폐암 진단 후 악성 흉수가 진단되기까지의 중앙값 기간은 7.3개월($25^{th}{\sim}75^{th}:\;3.9{\sim}11.8$)이었다. 환자의 중앙값 생존기간은 3.6개월(95% Confidence Interval: $1.14{\sim}5.99$)이었다. 단변량분석에선 폐암 조직형이 유의성은 떨어지나 생존기간에 차이를 보였다(선암 4.067 vs. 비선암 1.867 개월, p=0.067). 교란변수의 영향을 제거한 다변량분석에서 통계적 유의성은 없으나 비선암이 선암보다 사망위험도가 높아지는 경향을 보였다(R.R 2.754, 95% Cl $0.988{\sim}7.672$, p=0.053). 결론: 본 연구에서 저자들은 악성흉수가 발생한 비소세포폐암 환자들의 예후에 영향을 미치는 예후 인자를 확인할 수 없었다. 그러나 조직형에 따라 암사망 위험도에 차이를 보이는 경향이 관찰되어 향후 이에 대한 연구가 필요할 것이다.