• 제목/요약/키워드: Cox proportional hazards regression model

검색결과 59건 처리시간 0.03초

Clinical and Pathological Factors Related to the Prognosis of Chinese Patients with Stage Ⅰb To Ⅱb Cervical Cancer

  • Xie, Xiu-Zhen;Song, Kun;Cui, Baoxia;Jiang, Jie;Zhang, You-Zhong;Wang, Bo;Yang, Xing-Sheng;Kong, Bei-Hua
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권11호
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    • pp.5505-5510
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    • 2012
  • Objective: The aim of this retrospective study is to analyze the clinical and pathological factors related to the prognosis of Chinese patients with stage Ib to IIb cervical cancer. Methods and Results: 13 clinical pathological factors in 255 patients with stage Ib to IIb cervical cancer undergoing radical hysterectomy and systematic lymphadenectomy were analyzed to screen for factors related to prognosis. The cumulative 5-year survival of the 255 patients was 75.7%. The result of the univariate analysis suggested that clinical stage, cell differentiation, depth of cervical stromal invasion, parametrial tissue involvement, and lymph node metastasis were prognostic factors for patients with stage Ib to IIb cervical cancer (P<0.05). Compared with cases with involvement of iliac nodes, obturator nodes, or inguinal lymph nodes, cases with metastasis to the common iliac lymph nodes had a poorer prognosis (P<0.05). Cases with involvement of four or more lymph nodes had a poorer prognosis than those with involvement of three or fewer lymph nodes (P<0.05). Using multivariate Cox proportional hazards model regression analysis, non-squamous histological type, poor differentiation, parametrial tissue involvement, and outer 1/3 stromal invasion were found to be independently related to patients poor prognosis (P<0.05). Conclusion: Non-squamous histological type, poor cell differentiation, parametrial tissue involvement, and outer 1/3 stromal invasion are the independent poor prognostic factors for patients with stage Ib to IIb cervical cancer.

Prognostic Significance of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography (PET)-based Parameters in Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation Treatment of Esophageal Carcinoma

  • Ma, Jin-Bo;Chen, Er-Cheng;Song, Yi-Peng;Liu, Peng;Jiang, Wei;Li, Ming-Huan;Yu, Jin-Ming
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.2477-2481
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    • 2013
  • Aims and Background: The purpose of the research was to study the prognostic value of tumor 18F-FDG PET-based parameters in neoadjuvant chemoradiation for patients with squamous esophageal carcinoma. Methods: Sixty patients received chemoradiation therapy followed by esophagectomy and two 18FDG-PET examinations at pre- and post-radiation therapy. PET-based metabolic-response parameters were calculated based on histopathologic response. Linear regression correlation and Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine prognostic value of all PET-based parameters with reference to overall survival. Results: Sensitivity (88.2%) and specificity (86.5%) of a percentage decrease of SUVmax were better than other PET-based parameters for prediction of histopathologic response. Only percentage decrease of SUVmax and tumor length correlated with overall survival time (linear regression coefficient ${\beta}$: 0.704 and 0.684, P<0.05). The Cox proportional hazards model indicated higher hazard ratio (HR=0.897, P=0.002) with decrease of SUVmax compared with decrease of tumor size (HR=0.813, P=0.009). Conclusion: Decrease of SUVmax and tumor size are significant prognostic factors in chemoradiation of esophageal carcinoma.

Survival of Patients with Stomach Cancer and its Determinants in Kurdistan

  • Moradi, Ghobad;Karimi, Kohsar;Esmailnasab, Nader;Roshani, Daem
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제17권7호
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    • pp.3243-3248
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    • 2016
  • Background: Stomach cancer is the fourth most common cancer and the second leading cause of death from cancer in the world. In Iran, this type of cancer has high rates of incidence and mortality. This study aimed to assess the survival rate of patients with stomach cancer and its determinants in Kurdistan, a province with one of the highest incidence rates of stomach cancer in the country. Materials and Methods: We studied a total of 202 patients with stomach cancer who were admitted to Tohid Hospital in Sanandaj from 2009 to 2013. Using Kaplan-Meier nonparametric methods the survival rate of patients was calculated in terms of different levels of age at diagnosis, gender, education, residential area, occupation, underweight, and clinical variables including tumor histology, site of tumor, disease stage, and type of treatment. In addition, we compared the survival rates using the log-rank test. Finally, Cox proportional hazards regression was applied using Stata 12 and R 3.1.0 software. The significance level was set at 0.05. Results: The mean age at diagnosis was $64.7{\pm}12.0$ years. The survival rate of patients with stomach cancer was 43.9% and 7% at the first and the fifth year after diagnosis, respectively. The results of log-rank test showed significant relationships between survival and age at diagnosis, education, disease stage, type of treatment, and degree of being underweight (P<0.05). Moreover, according to the results of Cox proportional hazards regression model, the variables of education, disease stage, and type of treatment were associated with patient survival (P<0.05). Conclusions: The survival rate of patients with stomach cancer is low and the prognosis is very poor. Given the poor prognosis of the patients, it is critical to find ways for early diagnosis and facilitating timely access to effective treatment methods.

중간 사건이 결측되었거나 구간 중도절단된 준 경쟁 위험 자료에 대한 회귀모형 (Regression models for interval-censored semi-competing risks data with missing intermediate transition status)

  • 김진흠;김자연
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제29권7호
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    • pp.1311-1327
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    • 2016
  • 본 논문에서는 종말 사건에 대한 정보는 주어져 있지만 중간 사건이 구간 중도절단되었거나 연구 기간 도중에 추적이 끊겨 중간 사건의 발생 유무를 모르는 준 경쟁 위험 자료에 다중상태모형을 적용하여 모수를 추정하는 방법을 제안하였다. 이를 위해 상태 간 전이 강도는 정규 프레일티를 랜덤효과로 가진 Cox 비례위험모형을 따른다고 가정하였다. 다섯 가지 상태를 가진 다중상태모형에서 가능한 여섯 가지 경로별로 조건부 우도를 정의하였고 주변 우도를 구하기 위해 조정 가우스 구적법을 적용하였으며 뉴튼-랩슨 방법으로 최적 해를 구하였다. 모수의 95% 신뢰구간 포함률을 통해 제안한 방법의 소표본 성질을 살펴보기 위해 모의실험을 수행하였으며, Persones $Ag{\acute{e}}es$ Quid(PAQUID) 자료 (Helmer 등, 2001)에 제안한 모형을 적용하고 그 결과를 해석하였다.

Impact of beta blockers on survival outcomes in ovarian cancer: a nationwide population-based cohort study

  • Baek, Min-Hyun;Kim, Dae-Yeon;Kim, Seon Ok;Kim, Ye-Jee;Park, Young-Han
    • Journal of Gynecologic Oncology
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.82.1-82.13
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    • 2018
  • Objective: The impact of beta blockers (BBs) on survival outcomes in ovarian cancer was investigated. Methods: By using Korean National Health Insurance Service Data, Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to analyze hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusting for confounding factors. Results: Among 866 eligible patients, 206 (23.8%) were BB users and 660 (76.2%) were non-users. Among the 206 BB users, 151 (73.3%) were non-selective beta blocker (NSBB) users and 105 (51.0%) were selective beta blocker (SBB) users. BB use in patients aged ${\geq}60$ years, longer duration use (${\geq}1$ year), in patients with Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) ${\geq}3$, and in cardiovascular disease including hypertension was associated with better survival outcome. These findings were observed in both NSBB and SBB. When duration of medication was analyzed based on number of days, NSBB (${\geq}180$ days) was associated with improved overall survival (OS) with a relatively shorter period of use compared to SBB (${\geq}720$ days). In multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, longer duration of BB medication (${\geq}1$ year) was an independent favorable prognostic factor for both OS and disease-specific survival in ovarian cancer patients. Conclusion: In our nationwide population-based cohort study, BB use was associated with better survival outcomes in ovarian cancer in cases of long term duration of use, in older patients, and in cardiovascular and/or other underlying disease (CCI ${\geq}3$).

HOXB7 Predicts Poor Clinical Outcome in Patients with Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Cancer

  • Long, Qing-Yun;Zhou, Jun;Zhang, Xiao-Long;Cao, Jiang-Hui
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.1563-1566
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    • 2014
  • Background: Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) accounts for most esophageal cancer in Asia, and is the sixth common cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Previous studies indicated HOXB7 is overexpressed in ESCC tissues, but data on prognostic value are limited. Methods: A total of 76 advanced ESCC cases were investigated. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) was used to detect the expression levels of HOXB7 and Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression models to determine prognostic significance. Stratified analysis was also performed according to lymph node (LN) status. Results: Kaplan-Meier curve analysis indicated that HOXB7 positive patients had significantly shorter overall survival (OS) than HOXB7 negative patients. Multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazards model indicated only TNM stage and HOXB7 expression to be independent predictors of overall survival of advanced ESCC patients. HOXB7 indicated poor OS in both lymph node negative (LN-) and lymph node positive (LN+) patients. Conclusion: HOXB7 predicts poor prognosis of advanced ESCC patients and can be applied as an independent prognostic predictor.

직업성 요통 근로자의 장애기간에 영향을 미치는 요인 연구 (Survival Analysis for Prognostic Factors of Occupational Low Back Pain)

  • 김지윤
    • 지역사회간호학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: The goals of this research are to find out factors influencing the duration of work-related disability and to present implications for policies to prevent delayed recovery. Method: The subjects of this study were 238 workers who had been proved to be industrial disaster victims for occupational low back pain between January 1 2000 and December 31 2003. Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the proportion of duration of disability associated with low back pain, and Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to identify factors predicting it. The model distinguished main symptom variables affecting acute(${\leq}90\;days$) and chronic phase of disability (>90 days). Result: Fifty percent of the workers had not recovered in 408 days. The results of Cox regression show that delayed duration of disability was predicted by diagnosis, pain radiation (in chronic phase), sex, the size and labor union of the workplace, scheduled rest, compensation from the company, and operation. Conclusion: Duration of disability associated with compensated low back pain is influenced not only by factors related to the company and compensation system but also by individual factors. Thus, future efforts to reduce duration of disability may need to take into account all these factors.

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신경망 내 잔여 블록을 활용한 콕스 모델 개선: 자궁경부암 사망률 예측모형 연구 (Cox Model Improvement Using Residual Blocks in Neural Networks: A Study on the Predictive Model of Cervical Cancer Mortality)

  • 이낭경;김주영;탁지수;이형록;전현지;양지명;이승원
    • 정보처리학회 논문지
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.260-268
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    • 2024
  • 자궁경부암은 전 세계적으로 여성에게 발생하는 암 중 네 번째로 흔한 암이며, 2020년 한 해 동안 60만 4천 건 이상의 신규 케이스가 보고되었고 이로 인한 사망자 수는 약 34만 1천 831명에 달했다. 콕스 회귀 모델은 암 연구에서 널리 채택되고 있는 주요 모델이지만, 비선형 연관성의 존재를 고려하면 선형 가정으로 인해 한계에 부딪힌다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해, 본 논문에서는 ResNet의 잔여 학습 프레임워크를 활용하여 자궁경부암 사망률 예측의 정확성을 개선한 새로운 모델인 ResSurvNet을 제안한다. 이 모델은 본 연구에서 비교한 DNN, CPH, CoxLasso, Cox Gradient Boost, RSF 모델들을 능가하는 정확도를 보여주었기에 이러한 우수한 예측 성능은 자궁경부암 환자 관리에 있어 조기 진단 및 치료 전략 수립에 기여할 수 있고 임상적으로 적용할 때 큰 가치가 있음을 입증하며, 생존 분석 분야에서도 의미 있는 진전을 나타낸다.

Expression Profiles of Loneliness-associated Genes for Survival Prediction in Cancer Patients

  • You, Liang-Fu;Yeh, Jia-Rong;Su, Mu-Chun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.185-190
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    • 2014
  • Influence of loneliness on human survival has been established epidemiologically, but genomic research remains undeveloped. We identified 34 loneliness-associated genes which were statistically significant for high-lonely and low-lonely individuals. With the univariate Cox proportional hazards regression model, we obtained corresponding regression coefficients for loneliness-associated genes fo individual cancer patients. Furthermore, risk scores could be generated with the combination of gene expression level multiplied by corresponding regression coefficients of loneliness-associated genes. We verified that high-risk score cancer patients had shorter mean survival time than their low-risk score counterparts. Then we validated the loneliness-associated gene signature in three independent brain cancer cohorts with Kaplan-Meier survival curves (n=77, 85 and 191), significantly separable by log-rank test with hazard ratios (HR) >1 and p-values <0.0001 (HR=2.94, 3.82, and 1.78). Moreover, we validated the loneliness-associated gene signature in bone cancer (HR=5.10, p-value=4.69e-3), lung cancer (HR=2.86, p-value=4.71e-5), ovarian cancer (HR=1.97, p-value=3.11e-5), and leukemia (HR=2.06, p-value=1.79e-4) cohorts. The last lymphoma cohort proved to have an HR=3.50, p-value=1.15e-7. Loneliness-associated genes had good survival prediction for cancer patients, especially bone cancer patients. Our study provided the first indication that expression of loneliness-associated genes are related to survival time of cancer patients.

미국 위탁아동의 친권상실선고 이후 입양 결정요인에 관한 생존분석 (Timing and Risk Factors of Adoption for Legally-Free Foster Children after Having Parental Rights Terminated in the U. S.)

  • 송민경
    • 한국사회복지학
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    • 제59권1호
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    • pp.301-327
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구의 목적은 미국에서 친권상실이 선고된 위탁아동의 입양률 추이를 살펴보고, 입양결정에 영향을 미치는 주된 요인을 규명하는 데 있다. 본 연구는 미국 위탁보호와 입양에 관한 패널데이터 FY1999-FY2002를 이용하여 1998년 10월부터 2002년 9월까지 32개 주를 추출하여 총 26,895명을 분석에 활용하였다. 사건사 분석의 Kaplan-Meier 분석과 비례적 위험회귀모형(Cox proportional hazards regression model)을 이용하여 친권상실선고 이후 소요되는 위탁기간에 따른 입양률 추이와 위험 입양배율(hazard ratios for adoption)를 산출하였다. 본 연구의 주요 결과로는 친권상실선고 이후 3개월-19개월까지 입양률이 급속히 증가하다가 20개월이 지나면서 오히려 감소추세를 보이고 있었다. 입양여부와 관련한 주요 요인으로서는 백인아동일 경우, 나이가 어릴수록, 선입양가족, 도시소재의 위탁보호일 경우, 양부모 위탁가족, 또는 인종적으로 동일한 위탁부모에 의해 위탁보호 될 경우 입양가능성이 상대적으로 높게 나타났다. 또한, 아동이 지체나 장애가 있을 경우, 신체학대나 성학대를 경험한 경우, 친부모의 양육능력부족으로 위탁보호 된 경우 상대적으로 낮은 입양가능성을 보이고 있다. 본 연구결과 친권상실 이전에 발생한 위탁보호 원인이 친권상실 이후에도 입양에 영향을 미치고 있으며, 입양촉진방안으로 친권상실선고 이후 제공된 위탁서비스 활용과 적극적 지원방안 모색의 필요성이 제기되었다. 끝으로 본 연구결과를 바탕으로 한국사회에서 요보호아동의 친권개입의 정책적 방향과 항구적 보호마련을 위한 함의와 제언을 개괄적으로 제시하였다.

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