• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cox 모형

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Performance Evaluation of the ACD Models for Analysing the Transaction Data of the KOSPI Stocks (주식 거래 자료 분석을 위한 ACD 모형 성능 비교)

  • Kim, Sahm;Jung, Da-Woon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2009
  • Engle and Russell (1998) proposed the ACD(Autoregressive Conditional Duration) model to explain the relationship between the prices and the duration times of the stocks. In this paper, we first introduce the various types of the ACD models such as the linear ACD, log ACD and Box-Cox ACD models and we evaluate the performance of the models for analysing the transaction data of the stocks in Korea.

Pattern-Mixture Model of the Cox Proportional Hazards Model with Missing Binary Covariates (결측이 있는 이산형 공변량에 대한 Cox비례위험모형의 패턴-혼합 모델)

  • Youk, Tae-Mi;Song, Ju-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.279-291
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    • 2012
  • When fitting a Cox proportional hazards model with missing covariates, it is inefficient to exclude observations with missing values in the analysis. Furthermore, if the missing-data mechanism is not Missing Completely At Random(MCAR), it may lead to biased parameter estimation. Many approaches have been suggested to handle the Cox proportional hazards model when covariates are sometimes missing, but they are based on the selection model. This paper suggest an approach to handle Cox proportional hazards model with missing covariates by using the pattern-mixture model (Little, 1993). The pattern-mixture model is expressed by the joint distribution of survival time and the missing-data mechanism. In the pattern-mixture model, many models can be considered by setting up various restrictions, and different results under various restrictions indicate the sensitivity of the model due to missing covariates. A simulation study was conducted to show the sensitivity of parameter estimation under different restrictions in a pattern-mixture model. The proposed approach was also applied to mouse leukemia data.

Test of Model Specification in Box-Cox Transformed Regression Model with AR(1) Errors (오차항이 AR(1)을 따르는 Box-Cox 변환 회귀모형에서 모형 식별을 위한 검정)

  • Cheon, Soo-Young;Yoon, Seok-Jin;Hwang, Sun-Young;Song, Seuck-Heun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.327-340
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    • 2008
  • This paper derives joint and conditional Lagrange multiplier tests based on information matrix for testing functional form and/or the presence of autocorrelation in a regression model. Small sample properties of these tests are assessed by Monte Carlo study and comparisons are made with LM tests based on Hessian matrix. The results show that the proposed $LM_E$ tests have the most appropriate finite sample performance.

Generating censored data from Cox proportional hazards models (Cox 비례위험모형을 따르는 중도절단자료 생성)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun;Kim, Bongseong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.761-769
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    • 2018
  • Simulations are important for survival analyses that deal with censored data. Cox models are widely used in survival analyses, therefore, we investigate how to generate censored data that can simulate the Cox model. Bender et al. (Statistics in Medicine, 24, 1713-1723, 2005) provided a parametric method for generating survival times, but we need to generate censoring times as well as survival times to simulate the censored data. In addition to the parametric method for generating censored data, a nonparametric method is also proposed and applied to a real data set.

On the analysis of multistate survival data using Cox's regression model (Cox 회귀모형을 이용한 다중상태의 생존자료분석에 관한 연구)

  • Sung Chil Yeo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.53-77
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    • 1994
  • In a certain stochastic process, Cox's regression model is used to analyze multistate survival data. From this model, the regression parameter vectors, survival functions, and the probability of being in response function are estimated based on multistate Cox's partial likelihood and nonparametric likelihood methods. The asymptotic properties of these estimators are described informally through the counting process approach. An example is given to likelihood the results in this paper.

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Analysis of stage III proximal colon cancer using the Cox proportional hazards model (Cox 비례위험모형을 이용한 우측 대장암 3기 자료 분석)

  • Lee, Taeseob;Lee, Minjung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.349-359
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we conducted survival analyses by fitting the Cox proportional hazards model to stage III proximal colon cancer data obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program of the National Cancer Institute. We investigated the effect of covariates on the hazard function for death from proximal colon cancer in stage III with surgery performed and estimated the survival probability for a patient with specific covariates. We showed that the proportional hazards assumption is satisfied for covariates that were used to analyses, using a test based on the Schoenfeld residuals and plots of the Schoenfeld residuals and $log[-log\{{\hat{S}}(t)\}]$. We evaluated the model calibration and discriminatory accuracy by calibration plot and time-dependent area under the ROC curve, which were calculated using 10-fold cross validation.

A comparison study of inverse censoring probability weighting in censored regression (중도절단 회귀모형에서 역절단확률가중 방법 간의 비교연구)

  • Shin, Jungmin;Kim, Hyungwoo;Shin, Seung Jun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.957-968
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    • 2021
  • Inverse censoring probability weighting (ICPW) is a popular technique in survival data analysis. In applications of the ICPW technique such as the censored regression, it is crucial to accurately estimate the censoring probability. A simulation study is undertaken in this article to see how censoring probability estimate influences model performance in censored regression using the ICPW scheme. We compare three censoring probability estimators, including Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimator, Cox proportional hazard model estimator, and local KM estimator. For the local KM estimator, we propose to reduce the predictor dimension to avoid the curse of dimensionality and consider two popular dimension reduction tools: principal component analysis and sliced inverse regression. Finally, we found that the Cox proportional hazard model estimator shows the best performance as a censoring probability estimator in both mean and median censored regressions.

Propensity score methods for estimating treatment delay effects (생존자료분석에서 성향 점수를 이용한 treatment delay effect 추정법에 대한 연구)

  • Jooyi Jung;Hyunjin Song;Seungbong Han
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.415-445
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    • 2023
  • Oftentimes, the time dependent treatment covariate and the time dependent confounders exist in observation studies. It is an important problem to correctly adjust for the time dependent confounders in the propensity score analysis. Recently, In the survival data, Hade et al. (2020) used a propensity score matching method to correctly estimate the treatment delay effect when the time dependent confounder affects time to the treatment time, where the treatment delay effects is defined to the delay in treatment reception. In this paper, we proposed the Cox model based marginal structural model (Cox-MSM) framework to estimate the treatment delay effect and conducted extensive simulation studies to compare our proposed Cox-MSM with the propensity score matching method proposed by Hade et al. (2020). Our simulation results showed that the Cox-MSM leads to more exact estimate for the treatment delay effect compared with two sequential matching schemes based on propensity scores. Example from study in treatment discontinuation in conjunction with simulated data illustrates the practical advantages of the proposed Cox-MSM.

Analysis of Interval-censored Survival Data from Crossover Trials with Proportional Hazards Model (교차계획 구간절단 생존자료의 비례위험모형을 이용한 분석)

  • Kim, Eun-Young;Song, Hae-Hiang
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.39-52
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    • 2007
  • Crossover trials of new drugs in the treatment of angina pectoris, which frequently use treadmill exercise test for the assessment of its efficacy, produce censored survival times. In this paper we consider analysis approaches for censored survival times from crossover trials. Previously, a stratified Cox model for paired observation and nonparametric methods have been presented as possible analysis methods. On the other hand, the differences of two survival times would produce interval-censored survival times and we propose a Cox model for interval-censored data as n alternative analysis method. Example data is analyzed in order to compare these different methods.

Estimation of lapse rate of variable annuities by using Cox proportional hazard model (Cox 비례위험모형을 이용한 변액연금 해지율의 추정)

  • Kim, Yumi;Lee, Hangsuck
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.723-736
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    • 2013
  • The importance of lapse rate is highly increasing due to the introduction of Cash Flow Pricing system, non-refund-of-reserve insurance policy, and IFRS (International Financial Reporting System) to the Korean insurance market. Researches on lapse rate have mainly focused on simple data analysis and regression analysis, etc. However, lapse rate can be analyzed by survival analysis and can be well explained in terms of several covariates with Cox proportional hazard model. Guaranteed minimum benefits embedded in variable annuities require more elegant statistical analysis of lapse rate. Hence, this paper analyzes data of policyholders with variable annuities by using Cox proportional hazard model. The key variables of policy holder that influences the lapse rate are payment method, premium, lapse insured to term insured, reserve-GMXB ratio, and age.