• 제목/요약/키워드: Coverage estimation

검색결과 204건 처리시간 0.022초

Estimation of Cancer Cases Using Capture-Recapture Method in Northwest Iran

  • Ghojazadeh, Morteza;Mohammadi, Marziye;Azami-Aghdash, Saber;Sadighi, Alireza;Piri, Reza;Naghavi-Behzad, Mohammad
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.3237-3241
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    • 2013
  • Background: Under-ascertainment and over-ascertainment are common phenomena in surveillance and registry systems of health-related events. Capture-recapture is one of the methods which is applied to determine the sensitivity of surveillance or registry systems to recognize cancer cases. This study aimed to estimate the number of cancers using data available both in the Cancer Registry Center of Northwestern Iran and in the Population-based Cancer Registry Center of Iran. Material and Methods: The studied population consisted of all cancerous cases in the northwest of Iran from 2008 to 2010. All data were extracted from two resources and entered into Microsoft Excel software. After removing common and repeat cases the data were statistically analyzed using a capture-recapture studies' specific software "CARE 1.4". Estimations were calculated by Chapman and Petersen methods with the approximate confidence interval of 95%. Results: From 2008 to 2010, the number of all cancer cases was estimated to be 21,652 (CI 95%: 19,863-22,101). Sensitivity rate of all cancer cases was 83.9% and that of Population-based Cancer Registry Center of Iran was 52%. It was 93.1% considering both resources. Conclusion: Using two resources and the capture-recapture method rather than a single resource may be a more reliable method to estimate the number of cancer cases.

항로표지 정보를 이용한 해상감시레이더의 시스템 오차 보정 (Systematic Error Correction of Sea Surveillance Radar using AtoN Information)

  • 김병두;김도형;이병길
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.447-452
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    • 2013
  • 해상교통관제시스템(VTS)은 선박의 위치, 속도, 침로 등 해상 교통 정보를 획득하기 위하여 다수의 해상감시레이더를 주요 센서로 이용하고 있으며, 거리 및 방위각 바이어스와 같은 2차원 해상감시레이더의 시스템 오차는 레이더 영상 및 표적 추적정보의 정확도를 크게 저하시킬 수 있다. 따라서 해상교통관제시스템에서 정확한 표적정보를 제공하기 위하여 레이더의 시스템 오차는 정밀하게 보정되어야 한다. 본 논문에서는 VTS 관제영역에 설치된 항로표지의 위치정보를 이용하여 2차원 해상감시레이더의 거리 및 방위각 오차를 보정하기 위한 방법을 제안한다. 2차원 레이더 측정값의 표준오차 모델과 항로표지 위치정보로부터 측정 잔차 모델을 유도하고, 레이더 시스템 오차를 추정하기 위한 선형 칼만필터를 설계한다. Monte-Carlo 모의실험을 통하여 제안한 방법을 검증하고, 항로표지 정보의 개수에 따른 레이더 시스템 오차 추정의 수렴 특성 및 정확도를 분석한다.

의료서비스에 대한 접근성의 형평 분석 (Equity of Access to Health Services under National Health Insurance System in Korea)

  • 장동민;문옥륜
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.110-143
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this study is to assess the extent of inequality in health outcomes and the distribution of health services according to health need under National Health Insurance System in Korea. For the empirical analysis, data were collected through an interview survey during one month of October, 1994. Interview were conducted with a total of 10, 875 of the employees and the self-employed selected through cluster, systematic sampling. The major findings of this research are as follows: 1. The analysis of the differentials in morbidity rates by socio-economic group showed that health inequality in the pro-higher groups existed in all self-reported morbidity indicators. 2. The findings of the conventional use measures showed that the lower socio-economic groups had more ambulatory and inpatient services than the higher groups. In contrast to the level of the medical care utilization, however, the higher socio-economic groups were more likely to use the high-quality source of care in terms of their treatment place compared to the lower groups. 3. By using the need-based use measures, the results were different from each use-disability ration indicator. Using the use-disability ration measured by physician visits per 100 restricted-activity days in the population, it was found that there was no evidence favoring the higher socio-economic groups. In contrast, the use-disability ration based on physician visits per a chronic patient in one year displayed that there was remarkable relative difference by income group as well as the evidence of the pro-higher income groups. 4. The results of logistic regression analysis and two-stage estimation method indicated that although the utilization is significantly affected by type and duration of insurance coverage, the use or nonuse of service and the volume of physician care consumed is determined by health need and demographic characteristics rater than economic status. In sum, these findings suggest that physician service is equitably distributed according to health need under national health insurance system in Korea. As there were some evidences of inequality including the differential in physician visits of chronic patients by income group, however, the government should strengthen the activities to guarantee the equity of health services utilization.

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2015년 국민보건계정과 경상의료비 (2015 National Health Accounts and Current Health Expenditures in Korea)

  • 정형선;신정우
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 2017
  • Background: This paper aims to demonstrate current health expenditure (CHE) and National Health Accounts of the years 2015 constructed according to the SHA2011, which is a new manual of System of Health Accounts (SHA) that was published jointly by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), Eurostat, and World Health Organization in 2011. Comparison is made with international trends by collecting and analysing health accounts of OECD member countries. Particularly, financing public-private mix is parsed in depth using SHA data of both HF as financing schemes as well as FS (financing source) as their revenue types. Methods: Data sources such as Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service's publications of both motor insurance and drugs are newly used to construct the 2015 National Health Accounts. In the case of private financing, an estimation of total expenditures for revenues by provider groups is made from the Economic Census data; and the household income and expenditure survey, Korean healthcare panel study, etc. are used to allocate those totals into functional classifications. Results: CHE was 115.2 trillion won in 2015, which accounts for 7.4 percent of Korea's gross domestic product. It was a big increase of 9.3 trillion won, 8.8 percent, from the previous year. Government and compulsory schemes's share (or public share) of 56.4% of the CHE in 2015 was much lower than the OECD average of 72.6%. 'Transfers from government domestic revenue' share of total revenue of HF was 17.8% in Korea, lower than the other contribution-based countries. When it comes to 'compulsory contributory health financing schemes,' 'Transfers from government domestic revenue' share of 14.9% was again much lower compared to Japan (44.7%) and Belgium (34.8%) as contribution-based countries. Conclusion: Considering relatively lower public financing share in the inpatient care as well as overall low public financing share of total CHE, priorities in health insurance coverage need to be repositioned among inpatient care, outpatient care and drugs.

경기북부지역 정밀 수치기후도 제작 및 활용 - I. 수치기후도 제작 (Development and Use of Digital Climate Models in Northern Gyunggi Province - I. Derivation of DCMs from Historical Climate Data and Local Land Surface Features)

  • 김성기;박중수;이은섭;장정희;정유란;윤진일
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2004
  • Northern Gyeonggi Province(NGP), consisting of 3 counties, is the northernmost region in South Korea adjacent to the de-militarized zone with North Korea. To supplement insufficient spatial coverage of official climate data and climate atlases based on those data, high-resolution digital climate models(DCM) were prepared to support weather- related activities of residents in NGP Monthly climate data from 51 synoptic stations across both North and South Korea were collected for 1981-2000. A digital elevation model(DEM) for this region with 30m cell spacing was used with the climate data for spatially interpolating daily maximum and minimum temperatures, solar irradiance, and precipitation based on relevant topoclimatological models. For daily minimum temperature, a spatial interpolation scheme accommodating the potential influences of cold air accumulation and the temperature inversion was used. For daily maximum temperature estimation, a spatial interpolation model loaded with the overheating index was used. Daily solar irradiances over sloping surfaces were estimated from nearby synoptic station data weighted by potential relative radiation, which is the hourly sum of relative solar intensity. Precipitation was assumed to increase with the difference between virtual terrain elevation and the DEM multiplied by an observed rate. Validations were carried out by installing an observation network specifically for making comparisons with the spatially estimated temperature pattern. Freezing risk in January was estimated for major fruit tree species based on the DCMs under the recurrence intervals of 10, 30, and 100 years, respectively. Frost risks at bud-burst and blossom of tree flowers were also estimated for the same resolution as the DCMs.

Investigation of Urban Environmental Quality Using an Integration of Satellite, Ground based measurement data over Seoul, Korea

  • Lee, Kwon-Ho;Wong, Man-Sing;Kim, Young-J.
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.339-351
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    • 2011
  • This study investigates the potentials of satellite, ground measurement data, and geo-spatial information within an urban area for the mapping of the Urban Environmental Quality (UEQ) parameters. The UEQ indicates a complex and various parameters resulting from both human and natural factors, which are greenness, climate, air pollution, the urban infrastructure, and etc. Multi-spectral remote sensing data from the Landsat ETM and TM sensors for the mapping of air pollution by the Haze Optimized Transform (HOT) technique, Urban Heat Island (UHO using the emissivity-fusion method in Seoul from 2000 to 2006 in fine resolution (30m) were analyzed for the estimation of UEQ index. Although the UHI values are similar ($8.4^{\circ}C{\sim}9.1^{\circ}C$) during these years, the spatial coverage of "hot" surface temperature (> $24^{\circ}C$) significantly increased from 2000 to 2006 due to the rapid urban development. Furthermore, high correlations between vegetation index and land surface temperature were achieved with a correlation coefficients of 0.85 (2000), 0.81 (2001), 0.84 (2002), and 0.89 (2006), respectively. It was found that the proposed method was successfully analyzed spatial structure of the UEQ and the scenarios of the best and worst areas within the city were also identified. Based on the quantifiable fine resolution satellite image parameters, UEQ can promote the understanding of the complex and dynamic factors controlling urban environment.

공공청사의 운영비용에 영향을 미치는 요인과 요인별 영향력 분석 (Analysis of Factors and it's Effectiveness to Maintenance Cost of Public Buildings)

  • 고규진;조상욱;황정하;이찬식
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2015
  • 공동주택은 장기수선충당금제도 등에 따라 중 장기적인 관점에서 효율적인 유지관리가 수행되고 있는 반면, 공공청사는 과거 유지관리비 실적자료 부족과 비효율적인 예산산정 등의 문제로 인해 유지관리가 체계적으로 이루어지지 않고 있다. 본 연구에서는 인천지역의 공공청사를 대상으로 운영비의 영향요인을 분석하고, 이를 검증하기 위해 상관관계 분석 및 다중회귀 분석을 실시하였다. 공공청사의 전기, 가스, 수도요금에 대한 경과년수, 연면적, 직원 수의 영향력을 분석한 결과, 전기요금은 직원 수와 높은 상관성을 보였으며 가스, 수도요금은 연면적과 상관성이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 다중회귀 분석을 통해 상관관계 분석결과를 검증하였으며, 회귀 방정식을 통해 운영비용의 추정모형을 제시하였다.

고속철도 지면반사파를 고려한 열차무선 전파모델 (Modeling of Train Radio Propagation Affected by Ground Reflected Wave in High-speed Railway)

  • 배성호;송기홍;최규형
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.460-465
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    • 2013
  • 고속철도에서의 열차무선전파는 일반적인 이동통신전파와 달리 레일, 침목 및 자갈로 구성된 철로면 반사에 의해 불규칙적으로 수신되는 지면반사파의 영향을 받는다. 본 논문에서는 이와 같이 불규칙적으로 수신되는 철로면 반사파를 랜덤변수로 모의하고, 여기에 송수신간 직접 경로에 의한 직접파를 추가한 열차무선 전파모델을 제안하였다. 제안한 전파모델을 이용한 시뮬레이션 결과 열차무선에서의 경로손실지수는 3.0으로 분석되어, 일반적인 이동통신환경에서의 4.0에 비해 경로손실이 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 고속철도 현장에서의 열차무선 수신전력 측정치에서도 동일하게 경로손실지수가 3.0으로 분석되었다. 이상과 같은 시뮬레이션 및 측정결과로부터, 열차무선 전파모델을 검증하고 경로손실지수를 도출할 수 있었으며, 이 결과는 고속철도 열차무선통신망의 커버리지 예측 및 기지국 설계에 응용할 수 있다.

일반화 선형모형을 이용한 수출보험의 지급비율 추정 (Estimation of the Expected Loss per Exposure of Export Insurance using GLM)

  • 주효찬;이항석
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.857-871
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    • 2013
  • 한국을 비롯한 많은 국가에서 수출보험은 수출증진을 위한 수단으로 이용되어 왔다. 무역자유화를 위한 세계무역기구의 출범 이후에도 수출보험은 여전히 수출증진을 위한 주요 수단으로 인식된다. 본 논문은 국내 기업의 해외법인이 체결한 단기수출보험의 자료를 이용하여 수출보험과 관련한 위험요소(수입자의 신용등급, 결제기간, 모기업의 크기)의 각 등급에 따른 보험가입금액 대비 보험금 지급비율을 산출한다. 이를 위해 일반화 선형모형을 활용, 모델 선택과정을 거쳐 사고빈도(frequency)와 사고심도(severity)를 각각 음이항분포와 로그노말분포로 적합한다. 그리고 일반화 선형모형의 분석결과를 바탕으로 사고빈도와 사고심도에 미치는 각 위험요소의 등급에 따른 계약건수 대비 평균 사고발생 비율과 보험가입금액 대비 평균 지급비율을 제시한다. 이후 이를 통합함으로써 각 위험요소의 등급별 지급비율의 기댓값을 추정한다. 그리고 이 결과를 이용하여 요율산정에 대한 시사점을 논의한다.

수문인자추출에서의 SRTM DEM (Shuttle Radar Topography Mission Digital Elevation Model) 적용성 평가: 대동강 및 금강 지역 사례연구 (Evaluating Applicability of SRTM DEM (Shuttle Radar Topography Mission Digital Elevation Model) in Hydrologic Analysis: A Case Study of Geum River and Daedong River Areas)

  • 허용구;유승환
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제55권6호
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 2013
  • Shuttle Radar Topography Mission Digital Elevation Model (SRTM DEM) offers opportunities to make advances in many research areas including hydrology by providing near-global scale elevation measurements at a uniform resolution. Its wide coverage and complimentary online access especially benefits researchers requiring topographic information of hard-to-access areas. However, SRTM DEM also contains inherent errors, which are subject to propagation with its manipulation into analysis outputs. Sensitivity of hydrologic analysis to the errors has not been fully understood yet. This study investigated their impact on estimation of hydrologic derivatives such as slope, stream network, and watershed boundary using Monte Carlo simulation and spatial moving average techniques. Different amount of the errors and their spatial auto-correlation structure were considered in the study. Two sub-watersheds of Geum and Deadong River areas located in South and North Korea, respectively, were selected as the study areas. The results demonstrated that the spatial presentations of stream networks and watershed boundaries and their length and area estimations could be greatly affected by the SRTM DEM errors, in particular relatively flat areas. In the Deadong River area, artifacts of the SRTM DEM created sinks even after the filling process and then closed drainage basin and short stream lines, which are not the case in the reality. These findings provided an evidence that SRTM DEM alone may not enough to accurately figure out the hydrologic feature of a watershed, suggesting need of local knowledge and complementary data.