• Title/Summary/Keyword: Context prediction

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A Study of Data Mining Techniques in Bankruptcy Prediction (데이터 마이닝 기법의 기업도산예측 실증분석)

  • Lee, Kidong
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.105-127
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, four different data mining techniques, two neural networks and two statistical modeling techniques, are compared in terms of prediction accuracy in the context of bankruptcy prediction. In business setting, how to accurately detect the condition of a firm has been an important event in the literature. In neural networks, Backpropagation (BP) network and the Kohonen self-organizing feature map, are selected and compared each other while in statistical modeling techniques, discriminant analysis and logistic regression are also performed to provide performance benchmarks for the neural network experiment. The findings suggest that the BP network is a better choice among the data mining tools compared. This paper also identified some distinctive characteristics of Kohonen self-organizing feature map.

Performance Evaluation of Unidirectional and Bidirectional Recurrent Neural Networks (단방향 및 양방향 순환 신경망의 성능 평가)

  • Sammy Yap Xiang Bang;Kyunghee Jung;Hyunseung Choo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.652-654
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    • 2023
  • The accurate prediction of User Equipment (UE) paths in wireless networks is crucial for improving handover mechanisms and optimizing network performance, particularly in the context of Beyond 5G and 6G networks. This paper presents a comprehensive evaluation of unidirectional and bidirectional recurrent neural network (RNN) architectures for UE path prediction. The study employs a sequence-to-sequence model designed to forecast user paths in a wireless network environment, comparing the performance of unidirectional and bidirectional RNNs. Through extensive experimentation, the paper highlights the strengths and weaknesses of each RNN architecture in terms of prediction accuracy and computational efficiency. These insights contribute to the development of more effective predictive path-based mobility management strategies, capable of addressing the challenges posed by ultra-dense cell deployments and complex network dynamics.

A case of corporate failure prediction

  • Shin, Kyung-Shik;Jo, Hongkyu;Han, Ingoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.199-202
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    • 1996
  • Although numerous studies demonstrate that one technique outperforms the others for a given data set, there is often no way to tell a priori which of these techniques will be most effective to solve a specific problem. Alternatively, it has been suggested that a better approach to classification problem might be to integrate several different forecasting techniques by combining their results. The issues of interest are how to integrate different modeling techniques to increase the prediction performance. This paper proposes the post-model integration method, which means integration is performed after individual techniques produce their own outputs, by finding the best combination of the results of each method. To get the optimal or near optimal combination of different prediction techniques. Genetic Algorithms (GAs) are applied, which are particularly suitable for multi-parameter optimization problems with an objective function subject to numerous hard and soft constraints. This study applied three individual classification techniques (Discriminant analysis, Logit and Neural Networks) as base models to the corporate failure prediction context. Results of composite prediction were compared to the individual models. Preliminary results suggests that the use of integrated methods will offer improved performance in business classification problems.

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Prediction of the transfer length of prestressing strands with neural networks

  • Marti-Vargas, Jose R.;Ferri, Francesc J.;Yepes, Victor
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.187-209
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents a study on the prediction of transfer length of 13 mm seven-wire prestressing steel strand in pretensioned prestressed concrete members with rectangular cross-section including several material properties and design and manufacture parameters. To this end, a carefully selected database consisting of 207 different cases coming from 18 different sources spanning a variety of practical transfer length prediction situations was compiled. 16 single input features and 5 combined input features are analyzed. A widely used feedforward neural regression model was considered as a representative of several machine learning methods that have already been used in the engineering field. Classical multiple linear regression was also considered in order to comparatively assess performance and robustness in this context. The results show that the implemented model has good prediction and generalization capacity when it is used on large input data sets of practical interest from the engineering point of view. In particular, a neural model is proposed -using only 4 hidden units and 10 input variables-which significantly reduces in 30% and 60% the errors in transfer length prediction when using standard linear regression or fixed formulas, respectively.

An Ensemble Cascading Extremely Randomized Trees Framework for Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction

  • Zhang, Fan;Bai, Jing;Li, Xiaoyu;Pei, Changxing;Havyarimana, Vincent
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1975-1988
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    • 2019
  • Short-term traffic flow prediction plays an important role in intelligent transportation systems (ITS) in areas such as transportation management, traffic control and guidance. For short-term traffic flow regression predictions, the main challenge stems from the non-stationary property of traffic flow data. In this paper, we design an ensemble cascading prediction framework based on extremely randomized trees (extra-trees) using a boosting technique called EET to predict the short-term traffic flow under non-stationary environments. Extra-trees is a tree-based ensemble method. It essentially consists of strongly randomizing both the attribute and cut-point choices while splitting a tree node. This mechanism reduces the variance of the model and is, therefore, more suitable for traffic flow regression prediction in non-stationary environments. Moreover, the extra-trees algorithm uses boosting ensemble technique averaging to improve the predictive accuracy and control overfitting. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that extra-trees have been used as fundamental building blocks in boosting committee machines. The proposed approach involves predicting 5 min in advance using real-time traffic flow data in the context of inherently considering temporal and spatial correlations. Experiments demonstrate that the proposed method achieves higher accuracy and lower variance and computational complexity when compared to the existing methods.

Optimize rainfall prediction utilize multivariate time series, seasonal adjustment and Stacked Long short term memory

  • Nguyen, Thi Huong;Kwon, Yoon Jeong;Yoo, Je-Ho;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.373-373
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    • 2021
  • Rainfall forecasting is an important issue that is applied in many areas, such as agriculture, flood warning, and water resources management. In this context, this study proposed a statistical and machine learning-based forecasting model for monthly rainfall. The Bayesian Gaussian process was chosen to optimize the hyperparameters of the Stacked Long Short-term memory (SLSTM) model. The proposed SLSTM model was applied for predicting monthly precipitation of Seoul station, South Korea. Data were retrieved from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) in the period between 1960 and 2019. Four schemes were examined in this study: (i) prediction with only rainfall; (ii) with deseasonalized rainfall; (iii) with rainfall and minimum temperature; (iv) with deseasonalized rainfall and minimum temperature. The error of predicted rainfall based on the root mean squared error (RMSE), 16-17 mm, is relatively small compared with the average monthly rainfall at Seoul station is 117mm. The results showed scheme (iv) gives the best prediction result. Therefore, this approach is more straightforward than the hydrological and hydraulic models, which request much more input data. The result indicated that a deep learning network could be applied successfully in the hydrology field. Overall, the proposed method is promising, given a good solution for rainfall prediction.

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Enhancing Heart Disease Prediction Accuracy through Soft Voting Ensemble Techniques

  • Byung-Joo Kim
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.290-297
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    • 2024
  • We investigate the efficacy of ensemble learning methods, specifically the soft voting technique, for enhancing heart disease prediction accuracy. Our study uniquely combines Logistic Regression, SVM with RBF Kernel, and Random Forest models in a soft voting ensemble to improve predictive performance. We demonstrate that this approach outperforms individual models in diagnosing heart disease. Our research contributes to the field by applying a well-curated dataset with normalization and optimization techniques, conducting a comprehensive comparative analysis of different machine learning models, and showcasing the superior performance of the soft voting ensemble in medical diagnosis. This multifaceted approach allows us to provide a thorough evaluation of the soft voting ensemble's effectiveness in the context of heart disease prediction. We evaluate our models based on accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, and Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC). Our results indicate that the soft voting ensemble technique achieves higher accuracy and robustness in heart disease prediction compared to individual classifiers. This study advances the application of machine learning in medical diagnostics, offering a novel approach to improve heart disease prediction. Our findings have significant implications for early detection and management of heart disease, potentially contributing to better patient outcomes and more efficient healthcare resource allocation.

Learning Predictive Models of Memory Landmarks based on Attributed Bayesian Networks Using Mobile Context Log (모바일 컨텍스트 로그를 사용한 속성별 베이지안 네트워크 기반의 랜드마크 예측 모델 학습)

  • Lee, Byung-Gil;Lim, Sung-Soo;Cho, Sung-Bae
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.535-554
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    • 2009
  • Information collected on mobile devices might be utilized to support user's memory, but it is difficult to effectively retrieve them because of the enormous amount of information. In order to organize information as an episodic approach that mimics human memory for the effective search, it is required to detect important event like landmarks. For providing new services with users, in this paper, we propose the prediction model to find landmarks automatically from various context log information based on attributed Bayesian networks. The data are divided into daily and weekly ones, and are categorized into attributes according to the source, to learn the Bayesian networks for the improvement of landmark prediction. The experiments on the Nokia log data showed that the Bayesian method outperforms SVMs, and the proposed attributed Bayesian networks are superior to the Bayesian networks modelled daily and weekly.

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Analysis of COVID-19 Context-awareness based on Clustering Algorithm (클러스터링 알고리즘기반의 COVID-19 상황인식 분석)

  • Lee, Kangwhan
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.755-762
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    • 2022
  • This paper propose a clustered algorithm that possible more efficient COVID-19 disease learning prediction within clustering using context-aware attribute information. In typically, clustering of COVID-19 diseases provides to classify interrelationships within disease cluster information in the clustering process. The clustering data will be as a degrade factor if new or newly processing information during treated as contaminated factors in comparative interrelationships information. In this paper, we have shown the solving the problems and developed a clustering algorithm that can extracting disease correlation information in using K-means algorithm. According to their attributes from disease clusters using accumulated information and interrelationships clustering, the proposed algorithm analyzes the disease correlation clustering possible and centering points. The proposed algorithm showed improved adaptability to prediction accuracy of the classification management system in terms of learning as a group of multiple disease attribute information of COVID-19 through the applied simulation results.

A Development of JPEG-LS Platform for Mirco Display Environment in AR/VR Device. (AR/VR 마이크로 디스플레이 환경을 고려한 JPEG-LS 플랫폼 개발)

  • Park, Hyun-Moon;Jang, Young-Jong;Kim, Byung-Soo;Hwang, Tae-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.417-424
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    • 2019
  • This paper presents the design of a JPEG-LS codec for lossless image compression from AR/VR device. The proposed JPEG-LS(: LosSless) codec is mainly composed of a context modeling block, a context update block, a pixel prediction block, a prediction error coding block, a data packetizer block, and a memory block. All operations are organized in a fully pipelined architecture for real time image processing and the LOCO-I compression algorithm using improved 2D approach to compliant with the SBT coding. Compared with a similar study in JPEG-LS, the Block-RAM size of proposed STB-FLC architecture is reduced to 1/3 compact and the parallel design of the predication block could improved the processing speed.