• Title/Summary/Keyword: Context Uncertainty

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A Critical Review of Current Crisis Simulation Methodology

  • Kim, Hak-Kyong;Lee, Ju-Lak
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.58-64
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    • 2011
  • This paper is concerned with simulation exercises used to train key response agencies for crisis situations. While 'multi-agency' simulations are increasingly acknowledged as a necessary and significant training tool for emergency response organisations, many current crisis simulations are still focused on the revision of existing response plans only. However, a crisis requires a rapid reaction, yet in contrast to an 'emergency', the risks for critical decision makers in crisis situations are difficult to measure, owing to their ill-structure. In other words, a crisis situation is likely to create great uncertainty, unfamiliarity and complexity, and consequently should be managed by adaptive or second order expertise and techniques, rather than routine or structured responses. In this context, the paper attempts to prove that the current practices of simulation exercises might not be good enough for uncertain, unfamiliar, and complex 'crisis' situations, in particular, by conducting case studies of two different underground fire crises in Korea (Daegu Subway Fire 2003) and the UK (King's Cross Fire 1987). Finally, it is suggested that the three abilities: 'flexibility', 'improvisation' and 'creativity' are critical in responding to a crisis situation.

The Influence of Power Structure on Sexuality in Dress (권력 구조가 복식의 성적 표현에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee Min-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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    • v.56 no.5 s.104
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    • pp.89-104
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to explain how a power group in a society forms features of sexuality in dress. As for the research methodology, first, historical research was undertaken to study in socioeconomic context in which sexuality has been formed and transformed. Second, demonstrative studies on sexual-image styles were undertaken through the analysis of pictures and photos. Third, analysis of the relationship between the power and sexuality in dress was done by literature research. Masculinity in dress, such as simplicity and concealment, corresponds to the attributes of the viewer, and femininity in dress, such as decoration and exposure, corresponds to the attributes of the viewee. Power struggle is the complex process of forming of the viewer-viewee relationship. The one who grasps the power becomes the viewer. In the shift from the Industrial Society to the Information and Technology Society, powers are horizontally spread over the society and the stereotype of sexuality in both women's and men's dress is fading out. In the field of design, standards and certainty described by absolute power are losing their importance. The 'chaotic' view of a world filled with mutual exchange of masculinity and femininity and uncertainty of sexuality will be sure to be a dominant trend in fashion.

Experiences of Infertile Women in Unsuccessful In Vitro Fertilization(IVF) (여성의 불임 경험 -체외수정 실패 경험자를 중심으로-)

  • Kang, Hee-Sun;Kim, Mi-Jong
    • Women's Health Nursing
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2004
  • Purpose: A Phenomenological study was conducted to investigate the experiences of infertile women who had an unsuccessful in vitro fertilization(IVF) attempt and the structure of these experiences was identified in a socio-cultural context. Method: In-depth interviews were done with five participants from Nov. 1997 to Feb. 1998. Data was recorded and analyzed by Colazzi's method. Result: Significant statements were extracted from the data resulting in 4 themes and 11 concepts. The concepts were: 'lack of information', 'unable to anticipate the outcome', 'reaffirmation of need', 'financial strain', 'emotional suppression', 'change of social relationships', 'physical fatigue', 'blaming oneself or God', 'trying different ways', 'famous place shopping', and 'praying to God'. The significant themes of the participants' experiences with IVF emerged as: "uncertainty", "burden", "blaming" and "vigorous desire". Conclusion: The results indicate that the care of infertile women with an unsuccessful IVF attempt should be based on a deep understanding of their personal experiences. Also, information on alternative choices should be offered and supported.

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Topological optimization procedure considering nonlinear material behavior for reinforced concrete designs

  • Franca, Marcela Bruna Braga;Greco, Marcelo;Lanes, Ricardo Morais;Almeida, Valerio Silva
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.141-156
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    • 2016
  • The search for new structural systems capable of associating performance and safety requires deeper knowledge regarding the mechanical behavior of structures subject to different loading conditions. The Strut-and-Tie Model is commonly used to structurally designing some reinforced concrete elements and for the regions where geometrical modifications and stress concentrations are observed, called "regions D". This method allows a better structural behavior representation for strength mechanisms in the concrete structures. Nonetheless, the topological model choice depends on the designer's experience regarding compatibility between internal flux of loads, geometry and boundary/initial conditions. Thus, there is some difficulty in its applications, once the model conception presents some uncertainty. In this context, the present work aims to apply the Strut-and-Tie Model to nonlinear structural elements together with a topological optimization method. The topological optimization method adopted considers the progressive stiffness reduction of finite elements with low stress values. The analyses performed could help the structural designer to better understand structural conceptions, guaranteeing the safety and the reliability in the solution of complex problems involving structural concrete.

Dynamic Linkages between Food Inflation and Its Volatility: Evidence from Sri Lankan Economy

  • MOHAMED MUSTAFA, Abdul Majeed;SIVARAJASINGHAM, Selliah
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.139-145
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    • 2019
  • This study examines the dynamic linkages between food price inflation and its volatility in the context of Sri Lanka. The empirical evidence derived from the monthly data for the period from 2003M1 to 2017M12 for Sri Lanka. The relationship between inflation rate and inflation volatility has attracted more attention by theoretical and empirical macroeconomists. Empirical studies on the relationship between food inflation and food inflation variability is scarce in the literature. Food price inflation is defined as log difference of food price series. The volatility of a food price inflation is measured by conditional variance generated by the FIGARCH model. Preliminary analysis showed that food inflation is stationary series. Granger causality test reveals that food inflation seems to exert positive impact on inflation variability. We find no evidence for inflation uncertainty affecting food inflation rates. Hence, the findings of the study supports the Friedman-Ball hypothesis in both cases of consumer food price inflation and wholesale food price inflation. This implies that past information on food inflation can help improve the one-step-ahead prediction of food inflation variability but not vice versa. Our results have some important policy implications for the design of monetary policy, food policy thereby promoting macroeconomic stability.

A Research on the Uses of Storytelling Approach for Architecture (건축분야에서의 스토리텔링 기법 활용방안 연구)

  • Yoon, Ki-Byung
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2007
  • Storytelling approach is the way to formulate and solve problems using stories. Story is a means to understand and react everyday life that can be regarded as multi-dimensional problems. The approach becomes popular in various fields in conjunction with digital technology. In particular, it is used to solve problems in relation to whole context. In design, storytelling approach is used to clarify design constraints. It can be used to clarify and communicate thoughts for design artifacts, and to understand how the artifacts might be used in particular circumstances. In particular, the approach is useful to use under uncertain circumstances. In architecture, storytelling approach can be used in the area of design generation, design critique and capturing design knowledge. In design generation, it can be used to describe and formulate design experiences rather than simple designing artifacts. The approach formalizes design based on stories of user experiences. Digital technology such as virtual reality can be used to experience designed spaces for design modifications. In design critique area, it can be used to fill uncertain facts for historical buildings as welt as different from present status. Such stories can be used to build digital modeling and used to open criticism. Stories can be used to formalize knowledge in architectural domain as a form of implicit knowledge for certain projects. In architecture, it often is required to design types of environment never experienced before as well as to accomodate fast changing technologies. Storytelling methodology can be used as a method to cope with uncertainty and complexity in design requirements along with accumulating design knowledge.

Interval finite element analysis of masonry-infilled walls

  • Erdolen, Ayse;Doran, Bilge
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 2012
  • This paper strongly addresses to the problem of the mechanical systems in which parameters are uncertain and bounded. Interval calculation is used to find sharp bounds of the structural parameters for infilled frame system modeled with finite element method. Infill walls are generally treated as non-structural elements considerably to improve the lateral stiffness, strength and ductility of the structure together with the frame elements. Because of their complex nature, they are often neglected in the analytical model of building structures. However, in seismic design, ignoring the effect of infill wall in a numerical model does not accurately simulate the physical behavior. In this context, there are still some uncertainties in mechanical and also geometrical properties in the analysis and design procedure of infill walls. Structural uncertainties can be studied with a finite element formulation to determine sharp bounds of the structural parameters such as wall thickness and Young's modulus. In order to accomplish this sharp solution as much as possible, interval finite element approach can be considered, too. The structural parameters can be considered as interval variables by using the interval number, thus the structural stiffness matrix may be divided into the product of two parts which correspond to the interval values and the deterministic value.

An Increase the South-North Economic Corporations and Insurance as a Scheme for the Transfer of Risk - Focus on the Source of North Korea Insurance Law - (남북경협증가에 따른 위험의 완화방법으로서의 보험제도 - 북한보험법의 법원문제를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim Sun-Jeong
    • Journal of Arbitration Studies
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.267-301
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    • 2005
  • Following the increased economic corporations between the South and North Korea, many companies participate the corporation program. They needs insurance policy as a scheme for the transfer of risk from those individual company to it to an insurer. This paper review the possibility of the North Korea insurance authorities and research the origin, history, structure and context of the North Korea insurance law. The North Korea Insurance law differ from the South Korea and China's. North Korea Insurance authority has not capability of doing insurance business both side of underwriting and indemnity. Partly, it caused the uncertainty, insufficient and vague of the insurance law. The writer conclude that the North Korea insurance law faced to the needs of modernization. Especially, the Gyesung Industrial Complex Insurance Regulation couldn't cover the investor and company's risk because it is not based on the nature and basic principles of insurance.

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Related Loan on Real Estate Firm Performance in an Emerging Market

  • PURWANTO, Purwanto
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.697-706
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the relationship between related loan, ownership concentration and real estate firm performance. The data was collected from 35 real estate firms listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2007 to 2012. Related loans are viewed from the angle of related lending and loan. Related lending and loan is measured by the related lending on total lending ratio and related loan on total loan ratio. Firm performance is measured by the asset turnover ratio and return on assets ratio. Ownership concentration is measured by the right cash flow. The data analysis was done with regression analysis and panel data. The results of the study found that related loans had a positive effect on sales but had no effect on profits. This supports the efficient transaction hypothesis. On the other hand, related lending has a positive effect on profits that supports opportunistic transactions. Ownership concentration moderates the effect of related loan on company's performance. The related lending are beneficial for mutually supporting activities in the real estate sector business group in Indonesia, but related loans have the potential to be used in tunneling activities. The paper contributes to the related party transaction in benefits-risks of related lending and related loan in uncertainty context.

Child Rearing Experience Among Mothers of Children with Severe CHD (중증 선천성 심질환 아동 어머니의 양육경험)

  • Cho, Kyung-Mi
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.454-466
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    • 2007
  • Purpose: To explore the experiences of parenting from the mothers of children with severe CHD and to develop a grounded theory about their experiences. Method: Grounded theory method guided the data collection and analysis. A purposeful sample of 16 mothers of children with severe CHD participated during the period 2003. The data were collected by semi-structured individual interviews. Results: "Raise with dignity" emerged as the core phenomenon. 'Powerlessness' came up as the central concept. The causal conditions working on powerlessness was 'living with a bomb in the heart': uncertainty and the context were 'confronting people's eyes', 'developing child's adaptability'. An intervening condition was 'forming a support system' and consequences for coping with powerlessness were 'overcome' or 'ambivalence' using the strategies for mother's positive personality, care role perception, accepting, acknowledgement, and managing the body and mind. Conclusions: In the results of this study, the mothers of children with severe CHD are continue to struggle with life during children's growth and repeated attacks of disease. They need to be provided with skills to cope with physical and mental problems in rearing the children with expertized information for the entire period of growth.

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