• Title/Summary/Keyword: Consumer Choice Model

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Analysis on Preceding Study of Consumer's Store-Choice Model: Focusing on Commercial Sphere Analysis Theories

  • Quan, Zhi-Xuan;Youn, Myoung-Kil
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - There are numerous theories for retail trade area analysis which are designed to select candidate locations for new stores. In this study, comparative analysis on the characteristics from those of the theories are shown, and the explanation for the power in consumers' store-choice behaviors and their limitations are examined. Also, plans for improving commercial sphere analysis are explored. Research design, data, and methodology - This study is based on literature reviews with normative research methodology. Among many researches regarding the analysis on the location and commercial sphere for launching a new store, researches relying on statistics are excluded in this study since they belong to the marketing research area,. Results - In the Law of retail gravitation, Huff's model multinomial logit model and etc. are mutual complementary mathematical techniques for analyzing commercial spheres and each of them has its own characteristics. These theories rely on the same hypothesis in which consumers are all believed to be behaving rationally under a similar behavioral system. However, the trial in explaining or estimating behavior of choosing a store with only a select size of the population that is objectively estimated by some major properties has limits in its credibility. Conclusion - Research on consumer's spatial behaviors can be fully illustrative and explainable when it has both quantitative approaches such as 'law of retail gravitation', 'logit model' and etc., and qualitative approaches like consumer's 'cognitive structure', 'learning status', 'image formation', 'attitude' and etc.

Assessing the Impact of Network Effects on Brand Choice in the Growth Market: A Multi-Brand Diffusion Model

  • Seungyoo Jeon
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.279-293
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    • 2023
  • This study investigates network effects to measure how strongly the early adopters affect the brand choice of the potential consumer. By using the Gumbel-Hougaard (GH) copula, this study checks the magnitude of network effects varied from country to country. To consider consumer heterogeneity and network effects in the growth market, this study proposes the multi-brand Gamma/Shifted-Gompertz (m-G/SG) model based on the GH copula. Out of eighteen Western European cellular phone market data and South Korea smartphone data sets, the m-G/SG model provides an improvement in the estimation accuracy over the Libai, Muller, and Peres model. The results show that network effects enhance (i) the polarization of brand choice probabilities as time elapses; (ii) the dominance of the more preferred and the earlier entered brand; and (iii) the deceleration of category-level diffusion. Potential followers can analyze their relationship with earlier entrants through the m-G/SG model and also establish an optimal market entry strategy.

A Store Choice Model for an Entry Strategy of New Stores: An Application of the Mother Logit Model (신규점포의 진입전략을 위한 점포선택모형: mother 로짓모형의 적용)

  • 김근배;박동준;서봉철
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.47-64
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    • 2000
  • This study introduces the mother logit model to predict consumer's store choices. The model is not based on the IIA assumptions and thus accounts for substitution among similar alternatives. The choice data as an input to the model is obtained through the conjoint-type choice experiment. The model is applied to consumer's choice of fastfood stores in the context where new store enters the market. The analysis shows that the substitution effects are significant and therefore the mother logit model predicts better than the IIA model. The mother logit model will be useful as well for the market structure analysis in capturing cannibalization among several brands.

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Analysis on the business strategy and policy for the alternative fuel vehicle : Using stated preference data (대체연료 자동차에 대한 소비자 선호 분석을 통한 산업전략과 기술정책에 관한 연구)

  • 김연배;정기철;안지운;이정동
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2006.02a
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    • pp.264-297
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we attempt to analyze consumer preference for the alternative-fuel vehicles based on data from a stated preference using the conjoint analysis. Five possible fuel types (gasoline, diesel, CNG, LPG, Hybrid (electricity+gasoline)) are covered in conjoint cards. To estimate and analyze consumer preference, discrete choice model is used. Specifically, Bayesian mixed logit model is used. Based on estimating results, we discuss the business strategy and policy for the alternative fuel vehicle.

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Effect of the Introduction of High-speed Trains on Consumer Welfare

  • BAEK, JISUN
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.23-52
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    • 2016
  • This paper examines the impact of introducing high-speed trains on consumer welfare, taking the ensuing changes in train schedules into account. Based on the estimated demand model for travel which incorporates consumer's heterogeneous preferences for travel schedules into the standard discrete-choice model, I separately evaluate the impact from adding high-speed trains and that from changes in train schedules. The results indicate that consumers who travel between two cities connected by high-speed trains benefit from the introduction of high-speed trains, while some travelers whose choice set does not include high-speed trains face a reduced frequency of non-high-speed trains, resulting in significant losses.

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A study on forecasting of consumers' choice using artificial neural network (인공신경망을 이용한 소비자 선택 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 송수섭;이의훈
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.55-70
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    • 2001
  • Artificial neural network(ANN) models have been widely used for the classification problems in business such as bankruptcy prediction, credit evaluation, etc. Although the application of ANN to classification of consumers' choice behavior is a promising research area, there have been only a few researches. In general, most of the researches have reported that the classification performance of the ANN models were better than conventional statistical model Because the survey data on consumer behavior may include much noise and missing data, ANN model will be more robust than conventional statistical models welch need various assumptions. The purpose of this paper is to study the potential of the ANN model for forecasting consumers' choice behavior based on survey data. The data was collected by questionnaires to the shoppers of department stores and discount stores. Then the correct classification rates of the ANN models for the training and test sample with that of multiple discriminant analysis(MDA) and logistic regression(Logit) model. The performance of the ANN models were betted than the performance of the MDA and Logit model with respect to correct classification rate. By using input variables identified as significant in the stepwise MDA, the performance of the ANN models were improved.

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Competitive Analysis among Multi-product Firms

  • Kim, Jun B.
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.47-64
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    • 2019
  • We analyze and study competition in differentiated product market using public data source. Understanding competitive market structure is critical for firms to assess how their products compete against other firms in a given market. In this paper, we estimate consumer demand, extend clout and vulnerability framework, and study competition among multi-product manufacturers in differentiated product market. For our empirical analysis, we adopt choice-based aggregate demand model and estimate consumer demand while accounting for unobserved product characteristics. Once we estimate consumer demand, we compute full price elasticity matrix and investigate intra- and inter- manufacturer substitutions among consumers. This research offers a framework for marketers to analyze and understand market structures, leading them to informed decisions.

Factors Affecting Consumer Goods Buyers' Choice in E-Commerce Sites: Evidence from Vietnam

  • PHAM, Hung Cuong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.11
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    • pp.947-953
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    • 2020
  • The main purpose of this study is to find the factors affecting the consumer goods buyers' choice on e-commerce sites in Vietnam. By using the quantitative method, the paper examines the theoretical research model and tests four hypotheses. The sample was drawn from the population of e-commerce sites in Vietnam comprising about 1,000 respondents. This study used the questionnaire method to collect primary data to test the hypotheses. Data analysis of the questionnaire was done using SPSS. The results show that there is a correlation between personal preferences of consumers on colors and brands and their actual final choice on e-commerce sites in Vietnam. The most important factor affecting the consumer goods buyers' choice on e-commerce in Vietnam is the brand of E-commerce site, following by the color and position. Among all educational groups, respondents with a Master degree pay the biggest attention to the site's color attribute, and those with a Bachelor degree pay more attention to the brand attribute. Women pay much more attention to the location of the products on the screen than men, as do consumers with a PhD degree, over respondents with a Bachelor or Master degree, and foreigners over Vietnamese consumers.

A Choice-Based Multi-Product Diffusion Model Incorporating Replacement Demand (대체수요를 고려한 선택관점의 다제품 확산모형)

  • Kim, Jeong-Il;Jeon, Deok-Bin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.161-164
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    • 2006
  • The sales of consumer durables are composed of first time purchases and replacement purchases. Since the sales for most mature durable products are dominated by replacement sales, it is necessary to develop a model incorporating replacement component of sales in order to forecast total sales accurately. Several single product diffusion models incorporating replacement demand have been developed, but research addressing the multi-product diffusion models has not considered replacement sales. In this paper, we propose a model based on consumer choice behavior that simultaneously captures the diffusion and the replacement process for multi-product relationships. The proposed model enables the division of replacement sales into repurchase by previous users and transition purchase by users of different products. As a result, the model allows the partitioning of the total sales according to the customer groups (first-time buyers, repurchase buyers, and transition buyers), which allows companies to develop their production and marketing plans based on their customer mix. We apply the proposed model to the Korean automobile market, and compare the fitting and forecasting performance with other Bass-type multi-product models.

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Consumer Preferences for Digital Cable Broadcasting Service in Korea: A Choice Experiment Study

  • Ku, Se-Ju;Yoo, Seung-Hoon;Kwak, Seung-Jun
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.185-196
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    • 2016
  • A digital cable broadcasting service is a multimedia broadcasting service that provides high definition and various supplementary services by using digital transmission. Korea implemented a complete digital broadcasting service by 2012. This study applied a choice experiment to investigate consumer preferences, and it calculated the marginal willingness to pay for this service. Moreover, we employed a multinomial probit model to relax the assumption that all respondents have the same preference for attributes being valued. The results suggest that respondents value channels, definition, video-on-demand (VOD) service, pay-per-view (PPV) service, and commerce based on TV (T-commerce). On the other hand, online gaming may be less important as an attribute for digital cable broadcasting service in Korea.