• Title/Summary/Keyword: Consequence-based

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GA-based Fuzzy Modelling of Nonlinear Systems (비선형시스템의 유전알고리즘에 기초한 퍼지 모델링)

  • 이현식;진강규
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.368-373
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents a GA-based fuzzy modelling scheme of nonlinear systems. The fuzzy model is a type of the Sugeno-Tagaki's fuzzy model whose consequence parts are described by a linear continuous dynamic equation as subsystem of a nonlinear system. The centers and width of the membership functions of the fuzzy sets defined over the input space and the orders and parameters of subsystems in the consequence parts are adjusted by a genetic algorithm. The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified

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Comparisons of the Consequences Based on the Damage Area and the Financial Loss in a Petrochemical Plant (석유화학공장에서 피해지역 및 재정적 손실에 의한 사고 피해크기 비교)

  • Kim, Bong-Hoon;Lee, Hern-Chang;Choi, Jae-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.20-27
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    • 2011
  • The consequence analysis (CA) is widely using in the petrochemical plant through adoption of the process safety management (PSM) system, but it has not practical problem that the CA was not reflected effects for employee count, business interruption loss, utility usage, and etc.. In this study, to establish the practical emergency response plan and to achieve risk based management, the consequence based on the damage area and the financial loss were estimated and compared through application on facilities in the petrochemical plant. If the damage area is used, the consequence category must be determined by safety area considering simultaneously damage area, fatality area and toxic area. Also, the consequences based on the financial loss is more practical method for the case of considering process properties and circumstances.

Relationships of Nurses' Character for Care and Workplace Bullying in Early Stage Nurses

  • Choi, Yong Jun;Noh, Gie Ok
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.184-191
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    • 2020
  • This study is conducted to find out the nurses' character for care and the workplace bullying for the early stage nurses working in the clinical field and their relation in order to understand the factors which would affect the consequence of the workplace bullying. Data collected from 131 early stage nurses working at one general hospital for 7 months was used for this study. The data was analyzed with descriptive statistics, Independent t-test, one-way ANOVA, Pearson's correlation coefficient, Hierarchical multiple regression by using SPSS/WIN 21.0. It was found that high the nurses' character for care was related to the lower workplace bullying (type and consequence) (r=-.31, p<.001; r=-.26, p=.003) and that the worse the score in the type of bullying wasthe higher consequence (r=.54, p<.001). The multiple regression analysis showed that the factors affecting the consequence of the workplace bullying were the type of bullying (β=.48), dissatisfaction with nursing (β=.22), and moderate satisfaction with nursing (β=.19) and that the explanation of the model by variables was 32.5%. Based on the results of the study, it is suggested that the effort of lowering the occurrence of the type of bullying and the strategy of enhancing the satisfaction with nursing such as improvement in the quality of nursing education be made in order to improve the consequence of workplace bullying at the workplace for the early stage nurses.

Performance Based Design of Passive Fire Protection Using Consequence Analysis (사고 영향 분석을 이용한 성능위주의 내화설계)

  • Han, Dong-Hoon;Lee, Jong-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.102-107
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    • 2004
  • Performance based design is a recent evolutionary step in the process of designing fire protection systems. In essence, it is a logical design process resulting in a solution that achieves a specified performance. Sometimes the prescriptive solutions presented in various codes and standards are too expensive or inflexible. Often the solutions do not and enables optimization of a solution for cost and function. In this study, performance based design was carried out to determine the extent of passive fire protection for oil terminal facilities. The results of performance based design were compared with those of prescriptive code based design. Performance based design is not always more economic than prescriptive code based design but provides more reliable and effective design that is fit for the purpose.

A Study on Standardization of Risk Management based on GIS for Railway HAZMAT Movement (GIS 기반 철도 위험물 수송의 위험도 관리 표준화 방안)

  • Paeng, Jung-Goang;Kim, Si-Gon;Park, Min-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1365-1375
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    • 2009
  • The types and quantities of Hazmat and Hazmat transport are gradually increasing, keeping pace with industrialization and urbanization. There are currently more than 1,000 types of Hazmat,, and new types are added every year. At present the safety management for Hazmat transport only considers reducing accident probability, but even when an accident involving Hazmat-carrying vehicles occurs, that is not regarded as a Hazmat-related accident if the Hazmats do not leak out from the containers carrying them. Based on this principle, in turn., the methods to reduce risk (Risk=Probability$\times$Consequence) have to be developed by incorporating accident probability and consequence. By using Geographic Information System (GIS), a technical method was invented and is automatically able to evaluate the consequence by different types of Hazmat. Thus this study analyzed the degree of risk on the links classified by the Hazmat transport pathways. In order to mitigate the degree of risk, a method of 7-step risk management in transporting Hazmat on railway industries was suggested. The 7-step risk management is definded as the following: 1st step: buliding up GIS DB, 2nd step: calculating accident probability on each link, 3rd step: calculating consequence by Hazmat types, 4th step: determination of risk, 5th step: analysis of alternative plans for mitigating the risk, 6th: measure of effectiveness against each alternative, and 7th step: action plans to be weak probability and consequence by the range recommended from ALARP. In conclusion., those 7 steps are recommended as a standardization method in this study.

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Development of an Accident Consequence Assessment Code for Evaluating Site Suitability of Light- and Heavy-water Reactors Based on the Korean Technical Standards

  • Hwang, Won Tae;Jeong, Hae Sun;Jeong, Hyo Joon;Kil, A Reum;Kim, Eun Han;Han, Moon Hee
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.368-372
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    • 2016
  • Background: Methodologies for a series of radiological consequence assessments show a distinctive difference according to the design principles of the original nuclear suppliers and their technical standards to be imposed. This is due to the uncertainties of the accidental source term, radionuclide behavior in the environment, and subsequent radiological dose. Both types of PWR and PHWR are operated in Korea. However, technical standards for evaluating atmospheric dispersion have been enacted based on the U.S. NRC's positions regardless of the reactor types. For this reason, it might cause a controversy between the licensor and licensee of a nuclear power plant. Materials and Methods: It was modelled under the framework of the NRC Regulatory Guide 1.145 for light-water reactors, reflecting the features of heavy-water reactors as specified in the Canadian National Standard and the modelling features in MACCS2, such as atmospheric diffusion coefficient, ground deposition, surface roughness, radioactive plume depletion, and exposure from ground deposition. Results and Discussion: An integrated accident consequence assessment code, ACCESS (Accident Consequence Assessment Code for Evaluating Site Suitability), was developed by taking into account the unique regulatory positions for reactor types under the framework of the current Korean technical standards. Field tracer experiments and hand calculations have been carried out for validation and verification of the models. Conclusion: The modelling approaches of ACCESS and its features are introduced, and its applicative results for a hypothetical accidental scenario are comprehensively discussed. In an applicative study, the predicted results by the light-water reactor assessment model were higher than those by other models in terms of total doses.

Design of LDWS Based on Performance-Based Approach Considering Driver Behaviors (운전자 반응을 고려한 성능기반 기법 적용 차선이탈경보시스템 경보 시점 설계 연구)

  • Kim, Hyung Jun;Yang, Ji Hyun
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.1081-1087
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    • 2015
  • This article aims to provide a design method of warning thresholds for active safety systems based on the performance-based approach considering driver behaviors. Both positive and negative consequences of warnings are considered, and the main idea is to choose a warning threshold where the positive consequence is maximized, whereas the negative consequence is minimized. The process of the performance-based approach involves: Defining the operating scenarios; setting the trajectory models, including human characteristics; estimating the alert and nominal trajectories; estimating the performance metrics; generating a performance-metric plot; and determining the alert thresholds. This paper chose a lane-departure warning system as an example to show the usefulness of the performance-based approach. Both human and sensor characteristics were considered in the system design, and this paper provided a quantitative method to include human factors in designing active safety systems.

Fragility reduction using passive response modification in a Consequence-Based Engineering (CBE) framework

  • Duenas-Osorio, Leonardo;Park, Joonam;Towashiraporn, Peeranan;Goodno, Barry J.;Frost, David;Craig, James I.;Bostrom, Ann
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.17 no.3_4
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    • pp.527-537
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    • 2004
  • Consequence-Based Engineering (CBE) is a new paradigm proposed by the Mid-America Earthquake Center (MAE) to guide evaluation and rehabilitation of building structures and networks in areas of low probability - high consequence earthquakes such as the central region of the U.S. The principal objective of CBE is to minimize consequences by prescribing appropriate intervention procedures for a broad range of structures and systems, in consultation with key decision makers. One possible intervention option for rehabilitating unreinforced masonry (URM) buildings, widely used for essential facilities in Mid-America, is passive energy dissipation (PED). After the CBE process is described, its application in the rehabilitation of vulnerable URM building construction in Mid-America is illustrated through the use of PED devices attached to flexible timber floor diaphragms. It is shown that PED's can be applied to URM buildings in situations where floor diaphragm flexibility can be controlled to reduce both out-of-plane and in-plane wall responses and damage. Reductions as high as 48% in roof displacement and acceleration can be achieved as demonstrated in studies reported below.

Off-Site Consequence Analysis for PWR and PHWR Types of Nuclear Power Plants Using MACCS II Code (MACCS II 코드를 이용한 국내 경수로 및 중수로형 원전의 소외결말분석)

  • Jeon, Ho-Jun;Chi, Moon-Goo;Hwang, Seok-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.105-109
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    • 2011
  • Since a severe accident, which happens in low frequency, can cause serious damages, the interests in off-site consequence analysis for a nuclear power plant have been increased after Chernobyl, TMI and Fukushima accidents. Consequences, which are the effects on health and environment caused by released radioisotopes, are evaluated using MACCS II code based on the method of Level 3 PSA. To perform a consequence analysis for the reference plants, the input data of the code were generated such as meteorological data, population distribution, release fractions, and so on. Using these input data, acute and lifetime dose as an organ, CCDF for early fatalities and latent cancer fatalities, and average individual risk were analyzed by using MACCS II code in this study. These results might contribute to establishing accident management plan and quantitative health object.

Development of Risk Rating and Index for Coastal Activity Locations

  • Lee, Young-Jai;Jung, Cho-Young;Gu, Ja-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.227-232
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    • 2020
  • This paper develops a risk index based on an indicator of risk assessment in terms of coastal activity location and accident type. The risk index is derived from a formula which adds the consequence of failure to a vulnerability value, then subtracts the mitigation value. Specifically, the consequence of failure is the number of casualties in coastal activity locations. An indicator of vulnerability refers to coastal environment elements and social elements. A pointer of mitigation includes managerial and organizational elements that indicate the capabilities of coastal activities. A risk rating of coastal activity location is found from a risk matrix consisting of the accident location and type. The purpose of this study is to prevent accidents at coastal activity locations by allowing the Coastal police guard to monitor effectively and inform visitors of potential risks.