• Title/Summary/Keyword: Confidence Value

Search Result 926, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

A Decision Method of Optimal Maintenance Strategy for Standby System (대기체계의 정비전략 결정방법)

  • 하석태;최영주
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.98-109
    • /
    • 1998
  • This study develops a maintenance strategy for a reparable 2-unit standby system. The maintenance strategy implies the waiting time to call the repair facility when the unit-1 fails. Almeida and Souza set up the multi-attribute utility function consisting of system availability and repair cost for several maintenance strategies and decide the optimal maintenance strategy that maximize the expected value of the utility function. We decide the optimal maintenance strategy satisfying the following two criteria about the utility function : maximum variance using Almeida and Souza's utility function. It both criteria are not satisfied at the same time for every strategies, the strategy maximizing the lower confidence limit for expected utility function is regarded as an optimal one.

  • PDF

Bioequivalence Test of Rifampicin Preparations(II) (리팜피신 제제의 생물학적 동등성시험(제2보))

  • Chang, Il-Hyo;Burm, Jin-Pil;Choi, Jun-Shik
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
    • /
    • v.24 no.2
    • /
    • pp.49-55
    • /
    • 1994
  • Bioequivalence test of commercially available rifampicin capsules was performed. Sixteen volunteers were divided into 2 groups and the reference and test drug were given orally (450 mg) by cross-over design. Statistical evaluation of AUC, $C_{max}\;and\;T_{max}$ involved an analysis of variance (ANOVA). The differences of mean value in AUC, $C_{max}\;and\;T_{max}$ between the reference and test drug were within 20% with reference drug. ANOVA showed no significant differences for ‘between group’, ‘drug’ and ‘period’, but not for ‘between subjects’. The power of test $(1-{\beta})\;of\;AUC\;and\;$C_{max}$ was larger than 0.8 and the confidence of bioavailability was $within\;{\pm}20%$. From these results, it was concluded that the two preparations were bioequivalent for AUC and $C_{max}$, but was not for $T_{max}$.

  • PDF

Economic Valuation of Green Belt : Focusing on the Conservation Value of Green Belt in Greater Seoul (그린벨트의 경제적 가치 측정 -수도권 그린벨트 보존가치를 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Joon Koo;Shin, Young Cheol
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.9 no.4
    • /
    • pp.773-799
    • /
    • 2000
  • The purpose of this paper is to measure the benefits of conservation of the green belt in the Greater Seoul area by CVM using dichotomous choice with a follow-up elicitation method. According to the government's plan, part of the green belt in the Greater Seoul area is to be freed from green belt designation. The mean willingness-topay(WTP) to conserve the green belt in the current state turns out to be about 7,430 won(95% confidence interval 6,220 - 8,640 won) per household, which amounts to 308 billion won per year for entire population of Seoul. This WTP figure is found to be significantly influenced by level of education, sex, and the variables related to the perception and attitudes of respondents.

  • PDF

A Study on the Mathematics Education via Intuition (직관을 통한 수학교육에 관한 고찰)

  • LEE, Daehyun
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
    • /
    • v.28 no.5
    • /
    • pp.263-278
    • /
    • 2015
  • As intuition is more unreliable than logic or reason, its studies in mathematics and mathematics education have not been done that much. But it has played an important role in the invention and development of mathematics with logic. So, it is necessary to recognize and explore the value of intuition in mathematics education. In this paper, I investigate the function and role of intuition in terms of mathematical learning and problem solving. Especially, I discuss the positive and negative aspects of intuition with its characters. The intuitive acceptance is decided by self-evidence and confidence. In relation to the intuitive acceptance, it is discussed about the pedagogical problems and the role of intuitive thinking in terms of creative problem solving perspectives. Intuition is recognized as an innate ability that all people have. So, we have to concentrate on the mathematics education via intuition and the complementary between intuition and logic. For further research, I suggest the studies for the mathematics education via intuition for students' mathematical development.

Portfolio Assessment as a Policy for Innovating Mathematics Classrooms

  • Kim, Soo-Hwan
    • Research in Mathematical Education
    • /
    • v.1 no.1
    • /
    • pp.23-34
    • /
    • 1997
  • For the balanced realization of these values of mathematical culture, we need to innovate mathematics classrooms, for which we need to make use of portfolio assessment. First, portfolio assessment can be regarded as a method of synthesizing a variety of resources for systematic evaluation. Second, portfolio assessment can be used as a tool of building up learners' positive attitude toward mathematics, by which we can identify the latent possibility of learners' development and help them develop confidence in mathematics. Third, portfolio assessment can play an important role as a tool for exploring the method of teaching and learning in which learners recognize the value of mathematics and are interested in mathematical activities, as we have seen in the report on the Gulliver's Travels Project.

  • PDF

Contingency Estimation Method based on Stochastic Earned Value Management System (추계적 EVMS 기반 예비비 산정 방법론)

  • Gwak, Han-Seong;Choi, Byung-Youn;Yi, Chang-Yong;Lee, Dong-Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.72-73
    • /
    • 2018
  • The accuracy of contingency estimation plays an important role for dealing with the uncertainty of the financial success of construction project. Its' estimation may be used for various purposes such as schedule control, emergency resolve, and quality expense, etc. This paper presents a contingency estimation method which is schedule control specific. The method 1) implements stochastic EVMS, 2) detects a specific timing for schedule compression, 3) identifies an optimal strategy for shortening planned schedule, 4) finds a probability density function (PDF) of project cost overrun, and 5) estimates the optimal contingency cost based on the level of confidence. The method facilitates expeditious decisions involved in project budgeting. The validity of the method is confirmed by performing test case.

  • PDF

Design of a Portable Digital Pressure Algometer (휴대용 디지털 압통기의 설계)

  • 송미혜;박호동;이경중;권오윤
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
    • /
    • v.52 no.11
    • /
    • pp.657-661
    • /
    • 2003
  • In this paper, we designed a portable digital pressure algometer which not only can measure the pain level objectively and quantitatively, but also is able to do RF communication. This system consists of pressure sensor for pain measurement, analog signal analysis, digital hardware based on PIC16C73B, RF communication and display. To evaluate the performance of the developed system, we measured pressure threshold using commercial analog PA(Pressure Algometer) and the proposed system, and then evaluated the correlation and confidence. Using linear regression analysis, standard deviation of 0.1731 and R-square value of 99.3% were obtained. In conclusion, the above results showed good performance and its usability in measuring the pain clinically.

Estimation of Design Flood by the Determination of Best Fitting Order of LH-Moments ( I ) (LH-모멘트의 적정 차수 결정에 의한 설계홍수량 추정 ( I ))

  • 맹승진;이순혁
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.44 no.6
    • /
    • pp.49-60
    • /
    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to estimate the design flood by the determination of best fitting order of LH-moments of the annual maximum series at six and nine watersheds in Korea and Australia, respectively. Adequacy for flood flow data was confirmed by the tests of independence, homogeneity, and outliers. Gumbel (GUM), Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Pareto (GPA), and Generalized Logistic (GLO) distributions were applied to get the best fitting frequency distribution for flood flow data. Theoretical bases of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments were derived to estimate the parameters of 4 distributions. L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moment ratio diagrams (LH-moments ratio diagram) were developed in this study. GEV distribution for the flood flow data of the applied watersheds was confirmed as the best one among others by the LH-moments ratio diagram and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Best fitting order of LH-moments will be derived by the confidence analysis of estimated design flood in the second report of this study.

System Design Using Discrete Event Simulation (이산사건 시뮬레이션을 사용한 시스템의 설계)

  • 이영해
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
    • /
    • 1998.03a
    • /
    • pp.50-55
    • /
    • 1998
  • In this paper we use discrete simulation method to get the criteria of system evaluation required in the case of designing the complicated probabilistic event system having discrete probabilistic variables and to search the effective and reliable alternatives to satisfy the objective value of the given system through on-line, single run within the short time period. If we find the alternative we construct the algorithm which change values of decision variables and determining alternative by using the stopping algorithm which end the simulation in the steady state of system. In order to prevent the loss of data when we analyze the acquired design alternative in the steady state we provide the background of the estimation of the autoregressive model and mean and confidence interval for evaluating correctly the objective function obtained by the small amount of output data through the short time period simulation.

  • PDF

A Study on 3-tiers Authentication Scheme for Improving the Confidence Verification of Nodes in the MANET (MANET에서 노드들의 신뢰 검증 향상을 위한 3-tiers 인증 기법 연구)

  • Yang, Hwan Seok
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-93
    • /
    • 2013
  • MANET has the advantage of having the flexibility to build easily a network in a difficult situation that builds a wired network. But, data transmission errors by movement of nodes and eavesdropping by wireless communications have become a problem of security. Authentication service is the most essential in order to overcome these problems and operate network stably. In this paper, we propose 3-tiers authentication structure to exclude of malicious node and operate stable network through more systematic and thorough node authentication. After network is composed into a cluster, cluster head which play CA role is elected. Among these, the highest-CA is elected. The highest-CA receives certificates to cluster head and the cluster head evaluates trust value of their member nodes. Authentication technique which issues member node key is used. We compared PSS and experimented to evaluate performance of proposed scheme in this paper and efficiency of the proposed technique through experience was confirmed.