• 제목/요약/키워드: Confidence Interval

검색결과 3,082건 처리시간 0.03초

Performances of Prognostic Models in Stratifying Patients with Advanced Gastric Cancer Receiving First-line Chemotherapy: a Validation Study in a Chinese Cohort

  • Xu, Hui;Zhang, Xiaopeng;Wu, Zhijun;Feng, Ying;Zhang, Cheng;Xie, Minmin;Yang, Yahui;Zhang, Yi;Feng, Chong;Ma, Tai
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.268-278
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: While several prognostic models for the stratification of death risk have been developed for patients with advanced gastric cancer receiving first-line chemotherapy, they have seldom been tested in the Chinese population. This study investigated the performance of these models and identified the optimal tools for Chinese patients. Materials and Methods: Patients diagnosed with metastatic or recurrent gastric adenocarcinoma who received first-line chemotherapy were eligible for inclusion in the validation cohort. Their clinical data and survival outcomes were retrieved and documented. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration curves were used to evaluate the predictive ability of the models. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted for patients in different risk groups divided by 7 published stratification tools. Log-rank tests with pairwise comparisons were used to compare survival differences. Results: The analysis included a total of 346 patients with metastatic or recurrent disease. The median overall survival time was 11.9 months. The patients were different into different risk groups according to the prognostic stratification models, which showed variability in distinguishing mortality risk in these patients. The model proposed by Kim et al. showed relative higher predicting abilities compared to the other models, with the highest χ2 (25.8) value in log-rank tests across subgroups, and areas under the curve values at 6, 12, and 24 months of 0.65 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.59-0.72), 0.60 (0.54-0.65), and 0.63 (0.56-0.69), respectively. Conclusions: Among existing prognostic tools, the models constructed by Kim et al., which incorporated performance status score, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, alkaline phosphatase, albumin, and tumor differentiation, were more effective in stratifying Chinese patients with gastric cancer receiving first-line chemotherapy.

Peri-implantitis, systemic inflammation, and dyslipidemia: a cross-sectional biochemical study

  • Blanco, Carlota;Linares, Antonio;Dopico, Jose;Pico, Alex;Sobrino, Tomas;Leira, Yago;Blanco, Juan
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
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    • 제51권5호
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    • pp.342-351
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to compare the inflammatory and lipid profile of patients with and without peri-implantitis. Methods: A cross-sectional biochemical study was carried out in which blood samples were collected from 16 patients with peri-implantitis and from 31 subjects with healthy implants. Clinical peri-implant parameters were obtained from all subjects. Levels of tumor necrosis factor-alpha and interleukin-10 (IL-10) were measured in serum. Lipid fractions, glucose and creatinine levels, and complete blood count were also assessed. Results: After controlling for a history of periodontitis, statistically significant differences between peri-implantitis patients and controls were found for total cholesterol (estimated adjusted mean difference, 76.4 mg/dL; 95% confidence interval [CI], 39.6, 113.2 mg/dL; P<0.001), low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol (estimated adjusted mean difference, 57.7 mg/dL; 95% CI, 23.8, 91.6 mg/dL; P<0.001), white blood cells (WBC) (estimated adjusted mean difference, 2.8×103/µL; 95% CI, 1.6, 4.0×103/µL; P<0.001) and IL-10 (estimated adjusted mean difference, -10.4 pg/mL; 95% CI, -15.8, -5.0 pg/mL; P<0.001). The peri-implant probing pocket depth (PPD) was modestly positively correlated with total cholesterol (r=0.512; P<0.001), LDL cholesterol (r=0.463; P=0.001), and WBC (r=0.519; P<0.001). A moderate negative correlation was observed between IL-10 and PPD (r=0.609; P<0.001). Conclusions: Otherwise healthy individuals with peri-implantitis showed increased low-grade systemic inflammation and dyslipidemia.

일개 지역금연지원센터에 등록된 중소규모 사업장 남성 근로자의 금연 성공 요인 (Successful Factors of Smoking Cessation for Male Workers from Small and Medium Enterprises Registered with Local Tobacco Control Center)

  • 류일화;박기수
    • 농촌의학ㆍ지역보건
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.253-265
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    • 2021
  • 이 연구는 중소규모 사업장 남성 흡연근로자의 6개월 금연 성공에 영향을 미치는 요인을 파악하기 위하여 실시하였다. 연구대상자는 2018년 1월부터 2020년 12월까지 G금연지원센터 찾아가는 금연지원 서비스를 이용한 경남지역의 중소규모 사업장 흡연 남성 근로자 767명을 대상으로 하였다. 연구 결과는 중소규모 사업장 흡연 남성 근로자의 6개월 금연 성공률은 20.2%였다. 6개월 금연 성공과 관련된 요인의 다중로지스틱 회귀분석의 결과를 보면 6개월 금연 성공에 영향을 주는 요인으로 연령은 29세 이하, 40~49세는 50세 이상에 비해 성공률이 더 낮았다(OR 0.10, 95% CI 0.03-0.29), (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.24-0.76). 하루 평균 흡연량이 11~20개비, 21개비 이상이 1~10개비에 비해 성공률이 더 낮았다(OR 0.52, 95% CI 0.34-0.80), (OR 0.46, 95% CI 0.24-0.90). 가족 금연지지자는 배우자와 기타 가족 군이 가족 금연지지자가 없는 군에 비해 성공률이 더 높았다(OR 1.99, 95% CI 1.18-3.34). 본 연구 결과를 보면 가족 금연지지자가 배우자와 기타 가족이 함께 금연지지를 할 때 6개월 금연 성공에 영향을 미친다. 이를 바탕으로 첫째, 중소규모 사업장 흡연 남성 근로자의 금연 상담을 위한 금연프로그램 개발 시 금연지지자와 함께 할 수 있는 상담 내용을 개발하고, 상담에 함께 참여하여야 한다. 둘째, 금연지지 프로그램을 개발하고, 금연지지자들에게 제공하여 금연을 하는 대상자에게 적용한다면 금연 성공에 더 효과적일 것이다.

중증 급성 중독 환자에서 급성 신장 손상과 병원 내 사망률을 예측하기 위한 강이온차(Strong Ion Gap)의 중요성 (The Significance of the Strong Ion Gap in Predicting Acute Kidney Injury and In-hospital Mortality in Critically Ill Patients with Acute Poisoning)

  • 심태진;조재완;이미진;정해원;박정배;서강석
    • 대한임상독성학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.72-82
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: A high anion gap (AG) is known to be a significant risk factor for serious acid-base imbalances and death in acute poisoning cases. The strong ion difference (SID), or strong ion gap (SIG), has recently been used to predict in-hospital mortality or acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome. This study presents a comprehensive acid-base analysis in order to identify the predictive value of the SIG for disease severity in severe poisoning. Methods: A cross-sectional observational study was conducted on acute poisoning patients treated in the emergency intensive care unit (ICU) between December 2015 and November 2020. Initial serum electrolytes, base deficit (BD), AG, SIG, and laboratory parameters were concurrently measured upon hospital arrival and were subsequently used along with Stewart's approach to acid-base analysis to predict AKI development and in-hospital death. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and logistic regression analysis were used as statistical tests. Results: Overall, 343 patients who were treated in the intensive care unit were enrolled. The initial levels of lactate, AG, and BD were significantly higher in the AKI group (n=62). Both effective SID [SIDe] (20.3 vs. 26.4 mEq/L, p<0.001) and SIG (20.2 vs. 16.5 mEq/L, p<0.001) were significantly higher in the AKI group; however, the AUC of serum SIDe was 0.842 (95% confidence interval [CI]=0.799-0.879). Serum SIDe had a higher predictive capacity for AKI than initial creatinine (AUC=0.796, 95% CI=0.749-0.837), BD (AUC=0.761, 95% CI=0.712-0.805), and AG (AUC=0.660, 95% CI=0.607-0.711). Multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that diabetes, lactic acidosis, high SIG, and low SIDe were significant risk factors for in-hospital mortality. Conclusion: Initial SIDe and SIG were identified as useful predictors of AKI and in-hospital mortality in intoxicated patients who were critically ill. Further research is necessary to evaluate the physiological nature of the toxicant or unmeasured anions in such patients.

The Fate of Proximal Junctional Vertebral Fractures after Long-Segment Spinal Fixation : Are There Predictable Radiologic Characteristics for Revision surgery?

  • Jang, Hyun Jun;Park, Jeong Yoon;Kuh, Sung Uk;Chin, Dong Kyu;Kim, Keun Su;Cho, Yong Eun;Hahn, Bang Sang;Kim, Kyung Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제64권3호
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    • pp.437-446
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    • 2021
  • Objective : To investigate the radiographic characteristics of the uppermost instrumented vertebrae (UIV) and UIV+1 compression fractures that are predictive of revision surgery following long-segment spinal fixation. Methods : A total 27 patients who presented newly developed compression fracture at UIV, UIV+1 after long segment spinal fixation (minimum 5 vertebral bodies, lowest instrumented vertebra of L5 or distal) were reviewed retrospectively. Patients were divided into two groups according to following management : revisional surgery (group A, n=13) and conservative care (group B, n=14). Pre- and postoperative images, and images taken shortly before and after the occurrence of fracture were evaluated for radiologic characteristics Results : Despite similar degrees of surgical correction of deformity, the fate of the two groups with proximal junctional compression fractures differed. Immediately after the fracture, the decrement of adjacent disc height in group A (32.3±7.6 mm to 23.7±8.4 mm, Δ=8.5±6.9 mm) was greater than group B (31.0±13.9 mm to 30.1±15.5 mm, Δ=0.9±2.9 mm, p=0.003). Pre-operative magnetic resonance imaging indicated that group A patients have a higher grade of disc degeneration adjacent to fractured vertebrae compared to group B (modified Pfirrmann grade, group A : 6.10±0.99, group B : 4.08±0.90, p=0.004). Binary logistic regression analysis indicated that decrement of disc height was the only associated risk factor for future revision surgery (odds ratio, 1.891; 95% confidence interval, 1.121-3.190; p=0.017). Conclusion : Proximal junctional vertebral compression fractures with greater early-stage decrement of adjacent disc height were associated with increased risk of future neurological deterioration and necessity of revision. The condition of adjacent disc degeneration should be considered regarding severity and revision rate of proximal junctional kyphosis/proximal junction failures.

Pseudonormal or Restrictive Filling Pattern of Left Ventricle Predicts Poor Prognosis in Patients with Ischemic Heart Disease Presenting as Acute Heart Failure

  • Lee, Jae-Geun;Beom, Jong Wook;Choi, Joon Hyouk;Kim, Song-Yi;Kim, Ki-Seok;Joo, Seung-Jae
    • Journal of Cardiovascular Imaging
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.217-225
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    • 2018
  • BACKGROUND: In patients with acute heart failure (AHF), diastolic dysfunction, especially pseudonormal (PN) or restrictive filling pattern (RFP) of left ventricle (LV), is considered to be implicated in a poor prognosis. However, prognostic significance of diastolic dysfunction in patients with ischemic heart disease (IHD) has been rarely investigated in Korea. METHODS: We enrolled 138 patients with IHD presenting as AHF and sinus rhythm during echocardiographic study. Diastolic dysfunction of LV was graded as ${\geq}2$ (group 1) or 1 (group 2) according to usual algorithm using E/A ratio and deceleration time of mitral inflow, E'/A' ratio of tissue Doppler echocardiography and left atrial size. RESULTS: Patients in group 1 showed higher 2-year mortality rate ($36.2%{\pm}6.7%$) than those in group 2 ($13.6%{\pm}4.5%$; p = 0.008). Two-year mortality rate of patient with LV ejection fraction (LVEF) < 40% ($26.8%{\pm}6.0%$) was not different from those with LVEF 40%-49% ($28.0%{\pm}8.0%$) or ${\geq}50%$ ($13.7%{\pm}7.4%$; p = 0.442). On univariate analysis, PN or RFP of LV, higher stage of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and higher New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class were poor prognostic factors, but LVEF or older age ${\geq}75$ years did not predict 2-year mortality. On multivariate analysis, PN or RFP of LV (hazard ratio [HR], 2.52; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09-5.84; p = 0.031), higher stage of CKD (HR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.14-2.17; p = 0.006) and higher NYHA functional class (HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.11-2.94; p = 0.017) were still significant prognostic factors for 2-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: PN or RFP of LV was a more useful prognostic factor for long-term mortality than LVEF in patients with IHD presenting as AHF.

Female Sex and Right-Sided Tumor Location Are Poor Prognostic Factors for Patients With Stage III Colon Cancer After a Curative Resection

  • Park, Jung Ho;Park, Hyoung-Chul;Park, Sung Chan;Oh, Jae Hwan;Kim, Duck-Woo;Kang, Sung-Bum;Heo, Seung Chul;Kim, Min Jung;Park, Ji Won;Jeong, Seung-Yong;Park, Kyu Joo
    • Annals of Coloproctology
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.286-291
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: Stage-IIIC colon cancer is an advanced disease; however, its oncologic outcomes and prognostic factors remain unclear. In this study, we aimed to determine the predictors of disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with stage-IIIC colon cancer. Methods: From a multicenter database, we retrospectively enrolled 611 patients (355 men and 256 women) who had undergone a potentially curative resection for a stage-IIIC colon adenocarcinoma between 2003 and 2011. The primary endpoint was the 5-year DFS. Results: The median age was 62 years; 213 and 398 patients had right-sided colon cancer (RCC) and left-sided colon cancer (LCC), respectively. The 5-year DFS in all patients was 52.0%; median follow-up time was 35 months (range, 1-134 months). A multivariate Cox regression revealed that female sex (hazard ratio [HR], 1.50; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.19-1.90; P < 0.01), right-sided tumor location (HR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.29-2.11; P < 0.01), lymphatic invasion (HR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.08-2.15; P < 0.01) and a high (${\geq}0.4$) metastatic lymph node ratio (HR, 3.72; 95% CI, 2.63-5.24; P < 0.01) were independent predictors of worse 5-year DFS. Female patients with RCC were 1.79 fold more likely to experience recurrence than male patients with LCC. Conclusion: Female sex and right-sided tumor location are associated with higher tumor recurrence rates in patients with stage-IIIC colon cancers. Aggressive treatment and close surveillance should be planned for patients in these groups.

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy and Prognosis of Pregnancy-Associated Breast Cancer: A Time-Trends Study of the Korean Breast Cancer Registry Database

  • Bae, Soo Youn;Kim, Ku Sang;Kim, Jeong-Soo;Lee, Sae Byul;Park, Byeong-Woo;Lee, Seok Won;Lee, Hyouk Jin;Kim, Hong Kyu;You, Ji-Young;Jung, Seung Pil;Korean Breast Cancer Society
    • Journal of Breast Cancer
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.425-432
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: Pregnancy-associated breast cancer (PABC) is rare, and its cause and prognosis are not well known. Additionally, treatment is limited with respect to the risk to the fetus. The purpose of this study was to investigate the characteristics and treatment trends of PABC and the survival rate according to the treatment. Methods: In the Korean Breast Cancer Society Registry database, women younger than 50 years and who were diagnosed with breast cancer from 1996 to 2015 were included. PABC was defined as breast cancer diagnosed during pregnancy or within 1 year after delivery. Results: We examined 411 patients with PABC and 83,381 patients with non-PABC. Over time, the proportions of patients undergoing breast-conserving surgery and sentinel lymph node biopsy increased, and neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radiation therapy administration rates also increased. In the past, the overall survival of patients with PABC was poorer than that of patients with non-PABC, but there was no difference in overall survival rates in more recent years. There was no difference in overall survival rates between patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (hazard ratio [HR], 1.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.66-2.49; p=0.459), but PABC conferred poorer prognosis than non-PABC in patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.27-2.08; p<0.001). Conclusion: There was no difference in the prognosis between patients with PABC and those with non-PABC receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy. The increase in neoadjuvant chemotherapy according to current treatment guidelines is expected to improve the survival rate of patients with PABC.

Prognostic significance of non-chest pain symptoms in patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

  • Kim, Inna;Kim, Min Chul;Park, Keun Ho;Sim, Doo Sun;Hong, Young Joon;Kim, Ju Han;Jeong, Myung Ho;Cho, Jeong Gwan;Park, Jong Chun;Cho, Myeong Chan;Kim, Jong Jin;Kim, Young Jo;Ahn, Youngkeun
    • The Korean journal of internal medicine
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.1111-1118
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    • 2018
  • Background/Aims: Chest pain is an essential symptom in the diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). One-third of patients with ACS present atypically, which can influence their receiving timely lifesaving therapy. Methods: A total of 617 NSTEMI patients from the Korea Acute MI Registry (KAMIR) and the Korea Working Group on MI (KorMI) databases were analyzed. The study population was divided into two groups by symptoms at presentation (typical symptoms group, 128; atypical symptoms groups, 128). Results: In this study population, 23% of patients presented without chest pain. After propensity score matching, the contact-to-device time ($2,618{\pm}381minutes$ vs. $1,739{\pm}241minutes$, p = 0.050), the symptoms-to-balloon time ($3,426{\pm}389minutes$ vs. $2,366{\pm}255minutes$, p = 0.024), and the door-to-balloon time ($2,339{\pm}380minutes$ vs. $1,544{\pm}244minutes$, p = 0.002) were significantly higher in the patients with atypical symptoms than in those with typical symptoms, respectively. Atypical symptoms were an independent predictor for 1-year mortality (hazard ratio, 2.820; 95% confidence interval, 1.058 to 7.515; p = 0.038). The Kaplan-Meier estimates showed higher risk for 12-month mortality in patients with atypical symptoms (p = 0.048) and no significant difference for 12-month major adverse cardiac events (p = 0.487). Conclusions: Acute myocardial infarction patients with atypical symptoms were not rare in clinical practice and showed a high risk of delayed reperfusion therapy. After imbalance between the groups was minimized by use of propensity score matching, patients who presented atypically had a high mortality rate.

PIK3CA Mutations and Neoadjuvant Therapy Outcome in Patients with Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Positive Breast Cancer: A Sequential Analysis

  • Seo, Youjeong;Park, Yeon Hee;Ahn, Jin Seok;Im, Young-Hyuck;Nam, Seok Jin;Cho, Soo Youn;Cho, Eun Yoon
    • Journal of Breast Cancer
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.382-390
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: PIK3CA mutation is considered to be a possible cause for resistance to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer. We investigated the association between PIK3CA mutations and the outcome of NAC in HER2-positive breast cancers. Methods: A total of 100 HER2-positive breast cancer patients who had undergone NAC and surgery between 2004 and 2016 were examined. Mutation status was sequentially assessed in pre-NAC, post-NAC, and recurrent specimens taken from these patients. Results: PIK3CA mutations were identified in the sequential specimens of 17 patients (17.0%). These 17 patients experienced shorter disease-free survival (DFS) than the rest of the patients (58.3 months vs. 119.3 months, p=0.020); however, there was no significant difference in pathologic complete response (pCR) and overall survival (OS) (pCR, 17.6% vs. 33.7%, p=0.191; OS, 84.5 months vs. 118.0 months, p=0.984). While there was no difference in pCR between the wild-type and mutant PIK3CA groups in pre-NAC specimens (25.0% vs. 31.8%, p=0.199), PIK3CA mutations correlated with lower pCR in postNAC specimens (0.0% vs. 24.3%, p<0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed significantly worse DFS in the mutant PIK3CA group than in the wild-type group (hazard ratio, 3.540; 95% confidence interval, 1.001-12.589; p=0.050). Moreover, the DFS curves of the change of PIK3CA mutation status in sequential specimens were significantly different (p=0.016). Conclusion: PIK3CA mutation in HER2-positive breast cancer was correlated with a lower pCR rate and shorter DFS. These results suggest that PIK3CA mutation is a prognostic marker for NAC in HER2-positive breast cancer, especially in post-NAC specimens.