• Title/Summary/Keyword: Confidence Evaluation

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Portfolio Assessment as a Policy for Innovating Mathematics Classrooms

  • Kim, Soo-Hwan
    • Research in Mathematical Education
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 1997
  • For the balanced realization of these values of mathematical culture, we need to innovate mathematics classrooms, for which we need to make use of portfolio assessment. First, portfolio assessment can be regarded as a method of synthesizing a variety of resources for systematic evaluation. Second, portfolio assessment can be used as a tool of building up learners' positive attitude toward mathematics, by which we can identify the latent possibility of learners' development and help them develop confidence in mathematics. Third, portfolio assessment can play an important role as a tool for exploring the method of teaching and learning in which learners recognize the value of mathematics and are interested in mathematical activities, as we have seen in the report on the Gulliver's Travels Project.

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System Design Using Discrete Event Simulation (이산사건 시뮬레이션을 사용한 시스템의 설계)

  • 이영해
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1998.03a
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    • pp.50-55
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    • 1998
  • In this paper we use discrete simulation method to get the criteria of system evaluation required in the case of designing the complicated probabilistic event system having discrete probabilistic variables and to search the effective and reliable alternatives to satisfy the objective value of the given system through on-line, single run within the short time period. If we find the alternative we construct the algorithm which change values of decision variables and determining alternative by using the stopping algorithm which end the simulation in the steady state of system. In order to prevent the loss of data when we analyze the acquired design alternative in the steady state we provide the background of the estimation of the autoregressive model and mean and confidence interval for evaluating correctly the objective function obtained by the small amount of output data through the short time period simulation.

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An Evaluation of Seismicity Parameters in the Korean Peninsula Using EQHAZARD (EQHAZARD를 이용한 한반도 지진 파라미터 추정)

  • 연관희
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 1998.04a
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 1998
  • In this study, statistical analyses implemented in the EPRI EQHAZARD programs were employed to estimate the sismicity parameters in the Korean peninsula based upon an combined Korean earthquake catalog. The combined earthquake catalog was prepared by performing earthquake clustering analysis on the collected earthquake catalogs provided by experts of the seismic panel during the PSA for Yonggwang Units 1 & 2. The duplicate earthquake events and secondary events in earthquake clusters have been successfully screened. The resultant earthquake catalog was analyzed to quantitatively assess the incompleteness of the earthquake catalog for specified earthquake magnitudes and time periods. The result shows that the earthquake catalog of the Korean peninsula is complete for the times periods of 1392 ~ 1750 and 1905 ~ 1989 (AD) and earthquake magnitude above 4.5. The PSHA methodology of EQHAZARD features the estimation of inhomogeneous a-and b-values within a seismic source. This study shows various results of a-and b-value is well constrained lying between o.6 and 1.0. Also the confidence of estimated a-and b-value for a specifed location was assessed by quantifing the uncertainty of these parameters using bootstrap simulation.

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Analysis of Relationship between the Irregularities of Rail Weld Surface and Track Irregularities (레일용접부 요철과 궤도틀림 상관관계 분석)

  • Woo, Byoung-Koo;Kim, Yong-Hyok;Yun, Un-San;Kim, Kwan-Hyung;Lee, Sung-Uk
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.539-545
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    • 2009
  • KTX trains which began passenger service between Seoul and Busan in April 2004 have gained very high evaluation for their safe operation. Track is one of the most important means to keep KTX safety, it has not been a fail of safe structure. The track failure during operation may lead to a severe accident. So, it is to be verified the confidence of track maintenance management on the high speed line. This paper would like to find a track deformation trend through a comparative analysis on actual measurement data at these times. It discusses the effect of cyclic dynamic load at welding part. KTX dynamic impact load was measured in accordance with a rail surface irregularity and analyzed some track irregularities according to the condition of rail profile at welding part in the Gyeongbu high speed line.

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Design of Management Structure Measuring Integrated Monitoring System Based on Linked Open Data

  • Min, Byung-Won;Okazaki, Yasuhisa;Oh, Yong-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.255-256
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we analyze the operations and/or status of our structure which builds the management structure measuring integrated monitoring system based on linked open data in a short term or long term bases. We have applied a novel analyzing method of linked open data to expect what movements can be occurred in the structure, and we improve the monitoring system using an integrated design to solve the drawbacks of conventional types of monitoring. And collecting data through cloud and their reliability can be proved by evaluation of soundness of data amount and their confidence.

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on the Risk Analysis of Project Finance in BTL Project (주거부문(住居部門) BTL사업(事業)에서 프로젝트금용의 위험분석(危險分析)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Song, Kyu-Ryol;Jung, Eul-Kyu;Im, Chil-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to apply efficiently a successful Project Finance in BTL. To use Project Finance, it is necessary to Risk Analysis of each work step. This Risk Analysis have to repeatedly progress in overall Project Process. The differences between Corporate Finance and Project Finance are remarkably appeared in Risk Allocation and Limited Resource. To use successful Project Finance in construction industry, first, raising project confidence, second, technical : economical : lawful evaluation by Finance Expert, third, Income Guarantee for Lender or Consortium of Lending Banks, forth, Leverage Effect of Project Sponsor must be preceded.

Quality Evaluation by Automatic Recording System of SPT (표준관입시험(SPT)의 자동기록장치에 의한 품질평가)

  • Kim, Jong-Kook;Kang, In-Jung;Kim, Khi-Woong;Chae, Young-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2009.09a
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    • pp.1425-1434
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    • 2009
  • This study was aimed at comparing and assessing SPT-N values both measured by automatic and manual record devices of Standard Penetration Test. As a result, energy efficiency of hammer was approximately 62.9%, meaning SPT-N value measured by automatic recording device showed relatively accurate performance that the one done by manual device. Given the relations between hit frequency of automatic recording device and intrusion, the characteristics of stratum are expected to be proved in more accurate way. Additionally, higher confidence level seems to make it preferred and quality assessment method.

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A Study on Consumer Information Needs (소비자 정보의 요구에 관한연구)

  • Lee, Eun-Hui;Rhee, Gi-Chun
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.139-156
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    • 1996
  • This study attempts to explore urban married women's consumer information needs through assessing their demand level for information. In addition the causality of consumer information needs and related variables is investigated, Major findings are the following: (1) Respondent's needs for consumer information on the color television set and the tryply-pan are in very high level. (2) Among several relevant characteristics respondents' product involvement and perception on the quality differences is strongly related to information needs, (3) Respondents' self-confidence in the product evaluation respondents' perception of the price dispersion and product complexity show a positive effects on the level of information needs. (4) Respondents' age educational level purchasing experience show a negative effects on the level of information needs.

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Error Analysis of Nonlinear Direct Spectrum Method to Various Earthquakes (다양한 지진에 따른 비선형 직접스펙트럼법의 오차해석)

  • 강병두;박진화;전대환;김재웅
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2002.04a
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2002
  • It has been recognized that damage control must become a more explicit design consideration. In an effort to develop design methods based on performance it is clear that the evaluation of the inelastic response is required. The methods available to the design engineer today are nonlinear time history analyses, or monotonic static nonlinear analyses, or equivalent static analyses with simulated inelastic influences. Some codes proposed the capacity spectrum method based on the nonlinear static(pushover) analysis to determine earthquake-induced demand given the structure pushover curve. This procedure is conceptually simple but iterative and time consuming with some errors. This paper presents a nonlinear direct spectrum method to evaluate seismic Performance of structure, without iterative computations, given the structural initial elastic period and yield strength from the pushover analysis, especially for multi degree of freedom structures. The purpose of this paper is to investigate accuracy and confidence of this method from a point of view of various earthquakes and unloading stiffness degradation parameters.

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Forward Collision Warning System based on Radar driven Fusion with Camera (레이더/카메라 센서융합을 이용한 전방차량 충돌경보 시스템)

  • Moon, Seungwuk;Moon, Il Ki;Shin, Kwangkeun
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.5-10
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    • 2013
  • This paper describes a Forward Collision Warning (FCW) system based on the radar driven fusion with camera. The objective of FCW system is to provide an appropriate alert with satisfying the evaluation scenarios of US-NCAP and a driver acceptance. For this purpose, this paper proposed a data fusion algorithm and a collision warning algorithm. The data fusion algorithm generates information of fusion target depending on the confidence of camera sensor. The collision warning algorithm calculates indexes and determines an appropriate alert-timing by using analysis results of manual driving data. The FCW system with the proposed data fusion and collision warning algorithm was investigated via scenarios of US-NCAP and a real-road driving. It is shown that the proposed FCW system can improve the accuracy of an alarm-timing and reduce the false alarm in real roads.