• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.7 no.3
• /
• pp.731-739
• /
• 2000

Conditional least square estimators for the parameters of he NLAR(p) time series models are obtained. it is also shown that these estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
• /
• v.7 no.2
• /
• pp.239-248
• /
• 1994

The Yule-Walker estimator and the approximate conditional least squares estimator of the parameter of the EARMA(1, 1) model are obtained. These two estimators are compared by simulation study. It is shown that the approximate conditional least squares estimator is better in the sense of the mean square error than the Yul-Walker estimator.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.10 no.1
• /
• pp.207-214
• /
• 1999

Optimal estimating functions for a class of autoregressive models with GARCH(1,1) error are discussed. The asymptotic properties of the estimator as the solution of the optimal estimating equation are investigated for the models. We have also some simulation results which suggest that the proposed optimal estimators have smaller sample variances than those of the Conditional least-squares estimators under the heavy-tailed error distributions.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• v.26 no.3
• /
• pp.407-416
• /
• 1997

Suppose that { $X_{i}$ } is a stationary AR(1) process and { $Y_{j}$ } is an ARX process with { $X_{i}$ } as exogeneous variables. Let $Y_{j}$ $^{*}$ be the stochastic process which is the sum of $Y_{j}$ and a nonstochastic trend. In this paper we consider the problem of estimating the conditional probability that $Y_{{n+1}}$$^{*}$ is bigger than $X_{{n+1}}$, given $X_{1}$, $Y_{1}$$^{*}$,..., $X_{n}$ , $Y_{n}$ $^{*}$. As an estimator for the tolerance probability, an Mann-Whitney statistic based on least squares residuars is suggested. It is shown that the deviations between the estimator and true probability are stochatically bounded with $n^{{-1}$2}/ order. The result may be applied to the stress-strength reliability theory when the stress and strength variables violate the classical iid assumption.umption.n.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• v.31 no.1
• /
• pp.77-91
• /
• 2002

This paper considers a functional regression model with truncated errors in explanatory variables. We show that the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators produce bias in regression parameter estimates under misspecified models with ignored errors in the explanatory variable measurements, and then propose methods for analyzing the functional model. Fully parametric frequentist approaches for analyzing the model are intractable and thus Bayesian methods are pursued using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling based approach. Necessary theories involved in modeling and computation are provided. Finally, a simulation study is given to illustrate and examine the proposed methods.

• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 2003.10a
• /
• pp.93-100
• /
• 2003

It is necessary to check the curvature of selected covariates in regression diagnostics. There are various graphical methods using residual plots based on least squares fitting. The sensitivity of LS fitting to outliers can distort their residuals, making the identification of the unknown function difficult to impossible. In this paper, we compare combining conditional expectation and residual plots(CERES Plots) between least square fit and robust fits using Huber M-estimator. Robust CERES will be far less distorted than their LS counterparts in the presence of outliers and hence, will be more useful in identifying the unknown function.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
• /
• 2002.11a
• /
• pp.265-272
• /
• 2002

An Integer-valued autoregressive integrated (INARI) model is introduced to eliminate stochastic trend and seasonality from time series of count data. This INARI extends the previous integer-valued ARMA model. We show that it is stationary and ergodic to establish asymptotic normality for conditional least squares estimator. Optimal estimating equations are used to reflect categorical and serial correlations arising from panel count data and variations arising from three random processes for obtaining observation into estimation. Under regularity conditions for martingale sequence, we show asymptotic normality for estimators from the estimating equations. Using cancer mortality data provided by the U.S. National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), we apply our results to estimate the probability of cells classified by 4 causes of death and 6 age groups and to forecast death count of each cell. We also investigate impact of three random processes on estimation.