• 제목/요약/키워드: Comprehensive Decision-Making

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Decision Tree Analysis for Prediction Model of Poverty of The Older Population in South Korea

  • Lee, Soochang;Kim, Daechan
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.28-33
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to investigate factors that affect elderly poverty based on a comprehensive and universal perspective, suggesting some alternatives for improving the poverty rate of the elderly. The comprehensive and universal approach to the poverty of the aged that this study attempts can give a better understanding of the elderly poverty beyond the contribution of the existing literature, with the research model including individual, family, labor, and income factors as the causes of old-age poverty from the comprehensive and universal perspective on the causes of poverty of the elderly. In addition, the study attempts to input variants of variables into the equation for the causes of elderly poverty by using panel data from the 8th Korean Retirement and Income Study. This study employs decision tree analysis to determine the cause of the poverty of the elderly using CHAID. The decision tree analysis shows that the most vital variable affecting elderly poverty is making income. For the poor elderly without earned income, public pensions, educational careers, and residential areas influence elderly poverty, but for the poor elderly with earned income, wage earners and gender are variables that affect poverty. This study suggests some alternatives to improve the poverty rate of the aged. The government should create a better working environment such as senior re-employment for old people to be able to participate in economic activities, improve public pension or social security for workers with unfavorable conditions for public security of old age, and give companies that create employment of the aged diverse incentives.

Lifting Shadows off the End-of-Life Care: Hopes and Beliefs on Video Decision Support Tools for Advance Care Planning

  • Jeong, Heon-Jae;Yoon, Hyeyeon
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-4
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    • 2016
  • As advance care planning is taking center stage in the field of end-of-life care, various tools have been developed to aid in the often emotional and difficult decision-making process. Video decision support tools are one of the most promising means of assistance, of which the modus operandi is to provide more comprehensive and precise information of medical procedures to patients and their families, allowing them to make better informed decisions. Despite such value, some are concerned about its potential negative impact. For example, video footages of some procedures may be shocking and unpalatable to non-medical professionals, and patients and families may refuse the procedures. One approach to soften the sometimes unpleasant visual of medical procedures is to show less aggressive or more relaxing scenes. Yet another potential issue is that the objectivity of video decision support tools might be vulnerable to the very stakeholders who were involved in the development. Some might argue that having multiple stakeholders may function as checks and balances and provide collective wisdom, but we should provide more systematic guarantee on the objectivity of the visual decision aids. Because the decision of the modality of an individual's death is the last and most significant choice in one's life, no party should exert their influence on such a delicate decision. With carefully designed video decision support tools, our patients will live the last moments of their lives with dignity, as they deserve.

Development of a GIS-based Decision Support System for the Locational Decision of Urban Parks (도시공원 입지선정을 위한 GIS기반의 의사결정 지원시스템의 개발)

  • 조규현;이인성
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.91-105
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    • 2001
  • This study aimed to develop an effective decision support system for the locational decision of urban parks through integrating decision analysis techniques with spatial analysis functions of GIS, and by doing so, to improve the efficiency and quality of the decision-making process. The system provides an efficient management process by integrating analysis, alternative generation and evaluation procedures into a coherent system environment. Evaluation criteria used in the system includes Equity, Efficiency, Service population, Land cost, Park ratio buildings, and Connectivity of greenery. The system also improves the efficiency and rationality of the decision-making process by incorporating various decision analysis techniques such as MAUT, AHP, and ELECTRE into a decision-making process. The analysis and decision support methods used in the system can be utilized for the locational decisions of other urban public facilities, and the system can also be expanded to a comprehensive park management system by incorporating general management functions for urban parks.

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A decision support system (DSS) for construction risk efficiency in Taiwan

  • Tsai, Tsung-Chieh;Li, Hsiang-Wen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.249-255
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    • 2018
  • Many studies in risk management have been focused on management process, contract relation, and risk analysis in the past decade, but very few studies have addressed project risks from the perspective of risk efficiency. This study started with using Fault Tree Analysis to develop a framework for the decision-making support system of risk management from the perspective of risk efficiency, in order for the support system to find risk strategies of optimal combination for the project manager by the trade-off between project risk and cost of project strategies. Comprehensive and realistic risk strategies must strive for optimal decisions that minimize project risks and risk strategies cost while addressing important data such as risk causes, risk probability, risk impact and risk strategies cost. The risk management in the construction phase of building projects in Taiwan upon important data has been analyzed, that provided the data for support system to include 247 risk causes. Then, 17 risk causes were extracted to demonstrates the decision-making support system of risk management from the perspective of risk efficiency in building project of Taiwan which could reach better combination type of risk strategies for the project manager by the trade-off between risk cost and project risk.

Dynamic System Modeling for Closed Loop Supply Chains System

  • Wadhwa, Subhash;Madaan, Jitendra
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.78-89
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    • 2008
  • The need for holistic modeling efforts for returns that capture the extended closed loop supply chain (CLSC) system at strategic as well as operational level has been clearly recognized by the industry and academia. Strategic decision-makers need comprehensive models that can guide them in efficient decision-making to increase the profitability of the entire forward and return chain. Therefore, determination of a near optimal design configuration, which includes the environmental, economical and technological capability factors, is important in strategic decision-making effort that affect the profitability of the closed loop supply chain. In this paper, we adopted an improved system dynamics methodology to tackle strategic issues that affect various performance measures, like market, time/cost, environment etc., for closed loop supply chains. After studying real life implementation issues in CLSC design, we presented guidelines for the PBM (Participative Business Modeling) methodology and presented its extension for the strategic dynamic system modeling of return chains. Finally, we demonstrated the measurement of operational performance by extending SD (system dynamic) application to closed loop supply chain management.

Selecting the Optimal Facilities using Multiple Characteristics Loss Function (다특성치 손실함수를 이용한 최적설비 결정)

  • 허준영;서장훈;조용욱;박명규
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2003
  • We purpose a decision model to select the optimal facilities for the Decision Making problems with multiple characteristics(nominal-is-best characteristics, larger-is -better characteristics, smaller- is -better characteristics). Using this model, concept of the loss function is used in this comprehensive method of for select the optimal preferred facilities. To solve the issue on the optimal preferred facilities for multiple characteristics, this study propose the loss function with cross-product terms among the characteristics and derived range of the coefficients of the terms.

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Quantitative Analysis for Problems and Improvement Directions of the Comprehensive Rural Village Development Projects using DEMATEL and Contents Analysis (DEMATEL 및 내용분석기법을 활용한 농촌마을종합개발사업 문제점 및 개선방안의 정량적 분석)

  • Bae, Seung-Jong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.173-184
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    • 2010
  • The objectives of this study are to quantitatively analyze problems and improvement directions of the comprehensive rural village development projects through DEMATEL and contents analysis. Contents analysis was conducted for 15 existing researches and 28 problems were deducted at the stage of the comprehensive rural village development projects. The Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory(DEMATEL), a mathematical computation method, was utilized as an objective method to handle the inner dependences within a set of problems. The results of this research are summarized as follows. First, insufficient education and publicity of project was the most considerable cause problem. Second, lack of participation, will, and ability of residents was the most considerable effect problem. Finally, several improvements of the comprehensive rural village development projects were deducted by cause and effect relationship of problems.

Developing a comprehensive model of the optimal exploitation of dam reservoir by combining a fuzzy-logic based decision-making approach and the young's bilateral bargaining model

  • M.J. Shirangi;H. Babazadeh;E. Shirangi;A. Saremi
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2023
  • Given the limited water resources and the presence of multiple decision makers with different and usually conflicting objectives in the exploitation of water resources systems, especially dam's reservoirs; therefore, the decision to determine the optimal allocation of reservoir water among decision-makers and stakeholders is a difficult task. In this study, by combining a fuzzy VIKOR technique or fuzzy multi-criteria decision making (FMCDM) and the Young's bilateral bargaining model, a new method was developed to determine the optimal quantitative and qualitative water allocation of dam's reservoir water with the aim of increasing the utility of decision makers and stakeholders and reducing the conflicts among them. In this study, by identifying the stakeholders involved in the exploitation of the dam reservoir and determining their utility, the optimal points on trade-off curve with quantitative and qualitative objectives presented by Mojarabi et al. (2019) were ranked based on the quantitative and qualitative criteria, and economic, social and environmental factors using the fuzzy VIKOR technique. In the proposed method, the weights of the criteria were determined by each decision maker using the entropy method. The results of a fuzzy decision-making method demonstrated that the Young's bilateral bargaining model was developed to determine the point agreed between the decisions makers on the trade-off curve. In the proposed method, (a) the opinions of decision makers and stakeholders were considered according to different criteria in the exploitation of the dam reservoir, (b) because the decision makers considered the different factors in addition to quantitative and qualitative criteria, they were willing to participate in bargaining and reconsider their ideals, (c) due to the use of a fuzzy-logic based decision-making approach and considering different criteria, the utility of all decision makers was close to each other and the scope of bargaining became smaller, leading to an increase in the possibility of reaching an agreement in a shorter time period using game theory and (d) all qualitative judgments without considering explicitness of the decision makers were applied to the model using the fuzzy logic. The results of using the proposed method for the optimal exploitation of Iran's 15-Khordad dam reservoir over a 30-year period (1968-1997) showed the possibility of the agreement on the water allocation of the monthly total dissolved solids (TDS)=1,490 mg/L considering the different factors based on the opinions of decision makers and reducing conflicts among them.

Design and Research for Intelligent Typhoon Evasion System for Ships

  • Wang, Jing-Quan;He, Yi;Shi, Ping-An;Peng, Xiao-Hong;Xu, Zu-Yuan;Qin, Shan-Ci;Li, Qing-Lie;Ding, Bing-Lin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.177-186
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    • 2001
  • Based upon the previous experiences and typical oases of typhoon evasion fur ships as well as tile achievement in scientific research in this detrain, we developed the Intelligent Typhoon Evasion System for Ships. It consists of five subsystems, including electronic charts, ship movement management, typhoon information query and automatic plotting, real-time calculation of ship-typhoon situation, intelligent typhoon evasion decision making. With the synthetical application of analogy theory, synoptic chart, satellite cloud picture analysis, typhoon digital forecast and other relevant technologies, we leave established the typhoon evasion data bases. model bases and knowledge bases, which make it possible to automatically track the ships and typhoon paths. The system can realize ship-typhoon situation analysis, risk levee assessment, typhoon paths correction and course synoptic forecast, and intelligent typhoon evasion decision making.

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Decision-Making Process in Rural Reconstruction Project - An Evaluation Technique for Village Planning in Newly Reclaimed Land - (농촌개발사업의 의사결정기구 -간척지 취락계획을 위한 평가체계의 수립-)

  • 최수형;황한철
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.86-94
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    • 1993
  • In this study, a tentative decision-making matrix for village planning in reclaimed land was proposed. The evaluating conditions in the matrix are reclaimed farming acreage and distance. And the indexes for evaluation works are farming acreage required for increasing present farm size to target size in the base of, allowable commuting distance for farming from and effective controlling distance of each village. The village planning strategies are considered into four categories ; upkeep of present village scale, transfer of its superfluous farming acreage to a neighbouring village, enlargement of present village scale and new village construction in reclaimed land. As a case study, the proposed decision-making matrix was applied to 69 villages, which are contiguous to the potential farming area from reclamation works of Yongsan River Basin Comprehensive Development Project Phase Ill and so considered in this study as future farming villages there. From the application results, the following tactics for village planning may be proposed ; principally, upkeep or enlargement of present village scale, but, in an exceptional few cases of standard farming size being 3~5ha, new village construction of normal or satellite scale.

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