• 제목/요약/키워드: Collision risk

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다중 선박에서 효율적인 충돌 회피를 위한 베이지안 충돌 위험도 추정 알고리즘 (Bayesian Collision Risk Estimation Algorithm for Efficient Collision Avoidance against Multiple Traffic Vessels)

  • 송병호;이경효;정민아;이성로
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제36권3B호
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    • pp.248-253
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    • 2011
  • 선박의 충돌회피 알고리즘은 인적 요인에 의한 해난사고를 방지하고, 보다 효과적이고 안전한 운항을 위해 개발되어 왔다. 본 논문에서는 충돌사고의 위험성을 줄이고, 안전운항을 지원하기 위하여, 베이지안 추정 이론을 이용하여 충돌 위험도를 추정하는 알고리즘을 고안한다. 기존의 선박 충돌 회피를 시스템보다 안전한 충돌 회피를 위해서 베이지안 추정 이론을 이용하여 충돌 위험도를 계산하고 일정 시간 이후에 타선들의 위치 및 속도정보와 자선의 위치 및 속도정보를 이용하여 충돌 위험도를 예측함으로써 보다 안전하고 효율적인 충돌 위험도를 결정한다. 본 논문에서 타선박의 항해정보는 AIS 정보를 가정하였고, 기존의 DCPA와 TCPA를 이용한 퍼지 추론 방법보다 효율적으로 충돌 위험도를 추정할 수 있다.

Collision risk assessment based on the vulnerability of marine accidents using fuzzy logic

  • Hu, Yancai;Park, Gyei-Kark
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.541-551
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    • 2020
  • Based on the trend, there have been numerous researches analysing the ship collision risk. However, in this scope, the navigational conditions and external environment are ignored or incompletely considered in training or/and real situation. It has been identified as a significant limitation in the navigational collision risk assessment. Therefore, a novel algorithm of the ship navigational collision risk solving system has been proposed based on basic collision risk and vulnerabilities of marine accidents. The vulnerability can increase the possibility of marine collision accidents. The factors of vulnerabilities including bad weather, tidal currents, accidents prone area, traffic congestion, operator fatigue and fishing boat operating area are involved in the fuzzy reasoning engines to evaluate the navigational conditions and environment. Fuzzy logic is employed to reason basic collision risk using Distance to Closest Point of Approach (DCPA) and Time of Closest Point of Approach (TCPA) and the degree of vulnerability in the specific coastal waterways. Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method is used to obtain the integration of vulnerabilities. In this paper, vulnerability factors have been proposed to improve the collision risk assessment especially for non-SOLAS ships such as coastal operating ships and fishing vessels in practice. Simulation is implemented to validate the practicability of the designed navigational collision risk solving system.

Navigation safety domain and collision risk index for decision support of collision avoidance of USVs

  • Zhou, Jian;Ding, Feng;Yang, Jiaxuan;Pei, Zhengqiang;Wang, Chenxu;Zhang, Anmin
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.340-350
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    • 2021
  • This paper proposes a decision support model for USVs to improve the accuracy of collision avoidance decision-making. It is formed by Navigation Safety Domain (NSD) and domain-based Collision Risk Index (CRI), capable of determining the collision stage and risk between multiple ships. The NSD is composed of a warning domain and a forbidden domain, which is constructed under the constraints of COLREGs (International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea). The proposed domain based CRI takes the radius of NSD in various encounter situations as threshold parameters. It is found that the value of collision risk in any directions can be calculated, including actual value and risk threshold. A catamaran USV and 6 given vessels are taken as study objects to validate the proposed model. It is found that the judgment of collision stage is accurate and the azimuth range of risk exists can be detected, hence the ships can take direct and effective collision avoidance measures. According to the relation between the actual value of CRI and risk threshold, the decision support rules are summarized, and the specific terms of COLREGs to be followed in each encounter situation are given.

충돌회피를 위한 충돌위험도 결정 시스템 (Collision Risk Decistion System for Collision Avoidance)

  • 김은경;강일권;김용기
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제11권6호
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    • pp.524-527
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    • 2001
  • 본 논문은 충돌회피 시스템을 위한 충돌위험도를 결정하는 충돌위험도 결정시스템을 제안한다. 충돌회피 시스템은 선박이 장애물을 만났을때 영역전문가인 항해사를 대신하여 피항 해위를 하는 시스템으로 피항의 판단기준을 각 장애물에 대한 충동위험도에 둔다 따라서 본 연구에서는 선박의 충돌회피 시스템의 보다 안전한 충돌회피를 도모하기 위해 충돌회피를 위한 충돌위험도 결정시스템을 구성하였다. 기존에는 DCPA와 TCPA를 이용하여 충돌위험도를 산출하였는데, 본 연구에서는 DCPA, TCPA, VCD를 이용하는 새로운 충돌위험도 결정 기법을 이용하여 충돌위험도를 결정하였다. 입력변수가 되는 DCPA, TCPA, VCD의 퍼지 소속함수를 산출하고, 이를 기반으로 퍼지 추론을 이용하여 세부적인 충돌위험도를 결정한다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 기법은 기존의DCPA와 TCPA만으로 충돌위험도를 결정한 경우보다 상세한 충돌위험도 결정이 가능하는 장점과 국제해상충돌예방규칙의 내용이 적용되었다는 장점을 지닌다.

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Analysis of Marine Vessel Collision Risk based on Quantitative Risk Assessment

  • Koo, Bon Guk
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.319-324
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    • 2018
  • The collision problem is one of the design factors that must be carefully considered for the risk of collision occurring during the operation of ships and offshore structures. This paper presents the main results of the ship collision study, and its main goal is to analyze potential crash scenarios that may occur in the FLNG (Floating Liquefied Natural Gas) considering the likelihood and outcome. Consideration being given to vessels visiting the FLNG and surrounding vessels navigating around, such as functionally supported vessels and offloading carriers. The scope includes vessels visiting the FLNG facility such as in-field support vessels and off-loading carriers, as well as third party passing vessels. In this study, based on QRA (quantitative risk assessment), basic research methods and information on collision are provided. Based on the assumptions and methodologies documented in this study, it has been possible to clarify the frequency of collision and the damage category according to the type of visiting ship. Based on these results, the risk assessment results related to the collision have been derived.

A Modification of the Approach to the Evaluation of Collision Risk Using Sech Function

  • Jeong, Tae-Gweon;Chao, Chen
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2006년도 International Symposium on GPS/GNSS Vol.1
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    • pp.83-88
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    • 2006
  • Evaluation of collision risk plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This paper presents a new collision risk model formula that is one modification model on the basis of one approach to the evaluation of collision risk using sech function produced by Prof. Jeong in his relevant $articles^{[2][3][4][5]}$. And as a grope in collision risk evaluation field, this paper applied the new model in appraising the collision risk, suggested how to decide the safe range of own ship’'s action. Moreover this paper also analyzed theoretically how to determine the coefficients as describes in the new modification model formula, and suggested the appropriate values as applicable.

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A Study on the Threshold of Avoidance Sector in the New Evaluation of Collision Risk

  • Jeong Tae-Gweon
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제28권9호
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    • pp.799-802
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    • 2004
  • Evaluation of the quantitative risk of collision plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This study analysed thoroughly how to determine the threshold of avoidance sector as described in the new evaluation of collision risk, and suggested the collision risk obtained by the alteration of course and/or speed in order to pass clear qf each danger zone as the threshold of avoidance sector.

A Study on the Threshold of Avoidance Time in the New Evaluation of Collision Risk

  • Jeong, Tae-Gweon
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.619-624
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    • 2003
  • Evaluating the risk of collision quantitatively plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This study analysed thoroughly how to determine the threshold function related to the avoidance time as described in the new evaluation of collision risk using sech function, and developed the appropriate equation as applicable.

A Modification of the Approach to the Evaluation of Collision Risk Using Sech Function

  • Jeong, Tae-Gwoen;Chao, Chen
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.121-126
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    • 2007
  • Evaluation of collision risk plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This paper presents a new collision risk model formula that is one modification model on the basis of one approach to the evaluation of collision risk using sech function produced in earlier studies. And as a tool of the evaluation field of ship collision, this paper applied the new model in appraising the collision risk and represented how to decide the safe range of own ship's action. Moreover this paper also analyzed theoretically how to determine the coefficients as described in the new modification model, and suggested the appropriate values as applicable.

'72국제해상충돌방지규칙을 고려한 충돌위험도 결정 시스템 (Collision risk considering the international regulations for preventing collisions at sea, 1972)

  • 강일권;김형석;김민석;김정창;이아름
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.106-113
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    • 2009
  • For the safety and cost reduction in the navigation, the automatic and intelligent system has been developed for the vessel, and the most important factor in the system is to decide the collision risk exactly. In this paper, we propose an advanced collision risk decision system for collision avoidance of the system. The conventional researches using DCPA and TCPA for calculating the collision risk have a problem to produce a same collision risk regardless of bearings for the ships, if they are located in the same distance from own ship. To solve this problem, in addition to DCPA and TCPA, we introduce the factor of VCD(variation of compass degree) and constant, CR which derived from COLREG'72(International Regulation for Preventing Collision at Sea, 1972) for evaluating the collision risk including even the burden of own ship navigator due to the encountering angle of each vessels. We decided the collision risk legally by the rule considering the relative situation of vessels. And therefore, the proposed system has two advantages, of which one is to produce more detail collision risk and another is to reflect the real underway situation in conformity with the rule.