• Title/Summary/Keyword: Collapse prediction

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Sunken Ship Precision Image Analysis Using Multi-Beam Echo Sounding Data (다중빔음향측심 자료를 이용한 침몰선박 정밀영상 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Hyun;Seo, Young Kyo;Suh, Jae-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.863-868
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    • 2016
  • In this study, the precise shapes of sunken ships and information on seafloor topography were analyzed using data obtained from a multi-beam echo sounder. The state of each sunken ship was analyzed by processing diverse imagery data which was compared with data obtained from past investigations to determine changes in the state and circumjacent seafloor topography. Apparent changes in the seafloor topography around one sunken ship, the "Pacific Friend", were found from stern to bow as a result of continued submarine erosion and sedimentation. In the case of sunken ship "No. 7 Haeseong", the partial collapse of the bow was revealed in the seabed images captured in 2015, though it had still been intact in images captured during the Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency's investigation in 2011. This partial collapse was presumed to have resulted from the effects of continued tidal currents, the cargo load of the ship and continued corrosion of the ship over a long time on the seabed. Continuous monitoring of residual fuel inside the ship is necessary to avoid leakage and potential marine pollution. By conducting image analysis on these sunken ships, it has been determined that the structural safety of the ships is seriously influenced by tidal currents and seafloor topography, while the hulls will be continuously changed by corrosion. As a result, it can be concluded that the development of prediction and response techniques that take into consideration residual fuel leakage and environmental changes according to the geological characteristics of sunken ships is necessary.

Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Distribution Scenarios over the Landslide High Risk Zones in Urban Areas (도심지 토사재해 고위험지역 극치강우 시간분포 시나리오 분석)

  • Yoon, Sunkwon;Jang, Sangmin;Rhee, Jinyoung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we analyzed the extreme rainfall distribution scenarios based on probable rainfall calculation and applying various time distribution models over the landslide high risk zones in urban areas. We used observed rainfall data form total 71 ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) station and AWS (Automatic Weather Station) in KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration), and we analyzed the linear trends for 1-hr and 24-hr annual maximum rainfall series using simple linear regression method, which are identified their increasing trends with slopes of 0.035 and 0.660 during 1961-2014, respectively. The Gumbel distribution was applied to obtain the return period and probability precipitation for each duration. The IDF (Intensity-Duration-Frequency) curves for landslide high risk zones were derived by applying integrated probability precipitation intensity equation. Results from IDF analysis indicate that the probability precipitation varies from 31.4~38.3 % for 1 hr duration, and 33.0~47.9 % for 24 hr duration. It also showed different results for each area. The $Huff-4^{th}$ Quartile method as well as Mononobe distribution were selected as the rainfall distribution scenarios of landslide high risk zones. The results of this study can be used to provide boundary conditions for slope collapse analysis, to analyze sediment disaster risk, and to use as input data for risk prediction of debris flow.

Reliability of analytical models for the prediction of out-of-plane capacity of masonry infills

  • Pasca, Monica;Liberatore, Laura;Masiani, Renato
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.64 no.6
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    • pp.765-781
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    • 2017
  • The out-of-plane response of infill walls has recently gained a growing attention and has been recognised fundamental in the damage assessment of reinforced concrete and steel framed buildings subjected to seismic loads. The observation of damage after earthquakes highlighted that out-of-plane collapse of masonry infills may occur even during seismic events of low or moderate intensity, causing both casualty risks and unfavourable situations affecting the overall structural response. Even though studies concerning the out-of-plane behaviour of infills are not as many as those focused on the in-plane response, in the last decades, a substantial number of researches have been carried out on the out-of-plane behaviour of infills. In this study, the out-of-plane response is investigated considering different aspects. First, damages observed after past earthquakes are examined, with the aim of identifying the main parameters involved and the most critical configurations. Secondly, the response recorded in about 150 experimental tests is deeply examined, focusing on the influence of geometrical characteristics, boundary conditions, prior in-plane damage, presence of reinforcing elements and openings. Finally, different theoretical capacity models and code provisions are discussed and compared, giving specific attention to those based on the arching theory. The reliability of some of these models is herein tested with reference to experimental results. The comparison between analytically predicted and experimental values allows to appreciate the extent of approximation of such methods.

The effect of formation of spherical underground cavity on ground surface settlement : Numerical analysis using 3D DEM (구형지하공동 형성이 지표침하에 미치는 영향에 대한 3차원 개별요소해석)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun;Lee, Hang-Lo;Song, Ki-Il
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.129-142
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    • 2016
  • The underground cavity known as one of the reasons of ground surface settlement is a discontinuous character. Therefore, it is limited to analyze with continuum analysis. In this research, The spherical underground cavity affecting the ground surface settlement is studied with Discrete Element Method. Ground properties, depth and diameter of the spherical underground cavity are chosen as factors of the spherical underground cavity and the effect of the each factor variations on the ground surface settlement is analyzed. Relative depth to the diameter of the spherical underground cavity is also studied. The result of the research suggests the basis of underground cavity collapse prediction and standard of support.

Experimental Study on Structural Behavior of Tapered Member with Non-compact Flange and Web (판폭두께비가 큰 변단면 휨부재의 구조성능에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Chung, Kyung-Soo;Jeon, Bae-Ho;Park, Man-Woo;Do, Byung-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.357-365
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    • 2011
  • The current trends in steel construction intend to use tapered sections to minimize as much as possible the use of excess material. This can be done by choosing the cross-sections to be as economical as possible, leaving the classical approach of using prismatic members. In addition, it is important to predict the buckling behavior of tapered member with large depth-to-thickness ratio in order to prevent the collapse of PEB system subjected to overloads. An experimental investigation of buckling behavior of tapered beam was presented. The primary test parameter was depth-to-thickness ratio and taper ratio. Using initial stiffness and load-carrying capacity proposed by current provision, the simple plastic hinge method using modified Yoda's model and finite element analysis, the prediction of a moment-rotation curve of linearly tapered member was presented. Moreover, comparisons between analytical and experimental data for moment-rotation curves were accomplished.

A Study on the Connection Method for the Collapse Damage of Electric Power Facilities due to Earthquake Effects (지진 영향으로 인한 전기시설물의 붕괴피해 연계 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Byung-Hoon;Lee, Byung-Jin;Oh, Seung-Hee;Jung, Woo-Sug;Kim, Kyung-Seok
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.203-208
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we selected power and power distribution facilities corresponding to urban infrastructure from the types of damage that could be caused by earthquakes and studied how they were calculated to damage. To calculate the damage, a graph of the magnitude of the damage was produced by applying the vulnerability curve calculation formula, which can be calculated for each type and type of facility. The scale of the earthquake and the probability of the occurrence of damage by the maximum earthquake acceleration were shown in the form of a vulnerability rate when the earthquake occurred in the urban infrastructure facility for utilizing the calculation result. It also applied a method of quantifying the fragility, which is a method of converting the calculated fragility into an integrated form, to represent a constant value for the magnitude of the damage. Continuing research, such as the method applied in this paper, could help identify in advance the types of structures affected by an earthquake and respond to reducing damage.

Breast Density and Risk of Breast Cancer in Asian Women: A Meta-analysis of Observational Studies

  • Bae, Jong-Myon;Kim, Eun Hee
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.367-375
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: The established theory that breast density is an independent predictor of breast cancer risk is based on studies targeting white women in the West. More Asian women than Western women have dense breasts, but the incidence of breast cancer is lower among Asian women. This meta-analysis investigated the association between breast density in mammography and breast cancer risk in Asian women. Methods: PubMed and Scopus were searched, and the final date of publication was set as December 31, 2015. The effect size in each article was calculated using the interval-collapse method. Summary effect sizes (sESs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated by conducting a meta-analysis applying a random effect model. To investigate the dose-response relationship, random effect dose-response meta-regression (RE-DRMR) was conducted. Results: Six analytical epidemiology studies in total were selected, including one cohort study and five case-control studies. A total of 17 datasets were constructed by type of breast density index and menopausal status. In analyzing the subgroups of premenopausal vs. postmenopausal women, the percent density (PD) index was confirmed to be associated with a significantly elevated risk for breast cancer (sES, 2.21; 95% CI, 1.52 to 3.21; $I^2=50.0%$). The RE-DRMR results showed that the risk of breast cancer increased 1.73 times for each 25% increase in PD in postmenopausal women (95% CI, 1.20 to 2.47). Conclusions: In Asian women, breast cancer risk increased with breast density measured using the PD index, regardless of menopausal status. We propose the further development of a breast cancer risk prediction model based on the application of PD in Asian women.

The Prediction for Ground Movement of Urban NATM Tunnels using the Strain-softening Model (도시 NATM 터널의 변형율 연화모델을 이용한 지반거동예측)

  • Kim, Young Su;Jeong, Woo Seob;Lee, Sung Yun;Seok, Tae-Ryong
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2006
  • In case of an urban tunnel, the displacement of ground base controls the tunnel design because it is built on shallow and unconsolidated ground many times. There are more insufficiency to describe the ground movement which coincides in the measured result of the situ because the design of an urban tunnel is dependent on the method of numerical analysis used to the existing elastic and elasto-plastic models. We studied about the predict ion for the ground movement of a shallow tunnel in unconsolidated ground, mechanism of collapse, and settlement. Also this paper shows comparison with the existing elastic and elasto-plastic model using the unlinear analysis of the strain-softening model. We can model the real ground movement as the increasement of ground surface inclination or occurrence of shear band by using strain-softening model for the result of ground movement of an urban NATM tunnel.

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Dynamic Characteristics of Reinforced concrete axisymmetric shell with shape imperfection (형상불완전을 갖는 철근 콘크리트 축대칭 쉘의 동적 특성)

  • 조진구
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.151-159
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    • 2000
  • Dynamic loading of structures often causes excursions of stresses will into the inelastic range and the influence of geometry changes on the response is also significant in may cases. In general , the shell structures designed according to quasi-Static analysis may collapse under condition of dynamic loading. Therefore, for a more realistic prediction on the lad carrying capacity of these shell. both material and geometric nonlinear effects should be considered. In this study , the material nonlinearity effect on the dynamic response is formulated by the elasto-viscoplastic model highly corresponding to the real behavior of the material. Also, the geometrically nonlinear behavior is taken into account using a Total Lagrangian formulation. the reinforcing bars are modeled by the equivalent steel layer at the location of reinforcements, and Von Mises yield criteria is adopted for the steel layer behavior. Also, Drucker-Prager yield criteria is applied for the behavior of concrete. the shape imperfection of dome is assumed as 'dimple type' which can be expressed Wd1=Wd0(1-(r-a)m)n while the shape imperfection of wall is assumed as sinusoidal curve which is Wwi =Wwo sin(n $\pi$y/l). In numerical test, three cases of shape imperfection of 0.0 -5.0cm(opposite direction to loading ; inner shape imperfection)and 5cm (direction to loading : outward shape imperfection) and thickness of steel layer determined by steel ratio of 0,3, and 5% were analyzed. The effect of shape imperfection and steel ratio and behavior characteristics of perfect shape shell and imperfect shape shell are identified through analysis of above mentioned numerical test. Dynamic behaviors of dome and wall according toe combination of shape imperfection and steel ratio are also discussed in this paper.

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Estimation of Seismic Fragility for Busan and Incheon Harbor Quay Walls (부산 및 인천항만 안벽구조물의 지진취약도 예측)

  • Kim, Young Jin;Kim, Dong Hyawn;Lee, Gee Nam;Park, Woo Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.412-421
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    • 2013
  • Nowadays, small and medium-sized earthquakes occur frequently in the west coast of Korea. The earthquake induced damages on the harbor structure such as quay wall possibly make a severe impact on national economy. Therefore, not only a seismic design for the structures but warning system for seismic damage right after the occurrence of earthquake should be developed. In this study, seismic fragility analysis was performed to be given to earthquake damage prediction system for quay wall structures in Busan and Incheon harbor. Four types of structures such as pier-type, caisson type, counterfort type, block-type were analyzed and fragility curves of functional performance level and collapse prevention level based on displacement criteria were found. Regression analyses by using the results of the two ports were done for possible use in other port structures.