• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cohort model

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Height and Labor Market Outcome: Evidence from Panel Data (신장과 노동시장 성과 관계 : 패널 데이터를 이용한 분석)

  • Cho, Hyunkuk
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.79-103
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    • 2014
  • Previous studies show that tall people have better labor market outcomes, but controlling for their abilities reduces the size of height effects. This implies that a failure to properly control for one's ability could overestimate the OLS estimate. This paper contributes to the literature by being the first to control for individual fixed effects (FE) and to examine height effects on the probability of one's attaining a leadership position. The data used are panel data of a cohort obtained during the cohort's middle and high school years. In OLS estimation, this paper finds positive height effects for boys. However, when controlling for individual fixed effects, the estimate is not statistically significant. For girls, the height effects are found on neither OLS nor FE model.

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Roles of Ethnicity in Survival of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients in Malaysia

  • Azmawati, M.N.;Krisnan, R.
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.12
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    • pp.6023-6026
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    • 2012
  • The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Malaysia for the year 2001 was 2.8 per 100,000 people. The mortality rate is increasing. A retrospective cohort study measuring the survival of HCC patients who received treatment in Selayang Hospital was conducted from 1 January 2003 to 31 December 2006. The main objectives of the study were to measure the survival of the patients and to understand the influencing factors, especially ethnicity. The subjects were newly diagnosed cases of HCC by CT scan and histopathological assessment who underwent futher investigations and treatments in Hospital Selayang (inception cohort). The survival time was measured from the date of diagnosis until the subjects died, or failed to follow-up at the end of the study period (31 December 2007). A total of 299 patients were selected with 95 patients dying, the majority among Chinese (39.1%). Subgroup analysis according to ethnicity proved significantly that Chinese patients who had smaller tumor, less number of nodules, low AFP level, Child Pugh Class A and received surgical treatment had a better median survival rate compared to other ethnic groups. Malay (cHR: 1.3, 95%CI; 0.89-1.85) and Indian (cHR: 1.3, 95%CI; 0.74-2.26) patients had a poor survival compared to Chinese patients, but not in the final model. Therefore ethnicity may play a role in survival of HCC patients, but not as a main hazard prognostic factor.

Diabetes Mellitus and Prostate Cancer Risk in Asian Countries: a Meta-analysis

  • Long, Xiang-Ju;Lin, Shan;Sun, Ya-Nan;Zheng, Zhen-Feng
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.4097-4100
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    • 2012
  • Background/Aims: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is widely considered to be associated with risk of cancer, but studies investigating the association between DM and prostate cancer in Asian countries have reported inconsistent findings. We examined this association by conducting a detailed meta-analysis of studies published on the subject. Methods: Cohort or case-control studies were identified by searching Pubmed, Embase and Wanfang databases through May 30, 2012. Pooled relative risk (RR) with its corresponding 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were calculated using the random-effects model. Subgroup analyses were performed by the study type. Results: Finally, we identified 7 studies (four cohort studies and three case-control studies) with a total of 1,751,274 subjects from Asians. DM was associated with an increased risk of prostate cancer in Asians (unadjusted RR= 2.82, 95% CI 1.73.4.58, P < 0.001; adjusted RR= 1.31, 95% CI 1.12.1.54, P = 0.001). Subgroup analyses by study design further confirmed an obvious association. Conclusion: Findings from this meta-analysis strongly support that diabetes is associated with an increased risk of prostate cancer in Asians.

Incidence of and Factors for Self-reported Fragility Fractures Among Middle-aged and Elderly Women in Rural Korea: An 11-Year Follow-up Study

  • Ahn, Soon-Ki;Kam, Sin;Chun, Byung-Yeol
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.289-297
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: This community-based cohort study was performed to investigate the incidence of and factors related to self-reported fragility fractures among middle-aged and elderly women living in rural Korea. Methods: The osteoporosis cohort recruited 430 women 40 to 69 years old in 1999, and 396 of these women were followed over 11 years. In 1999, questionnaires from all participants assessed general characteristics, medical history, lifestyle, menstrual and reproductive characteristics, and bone mineral density. In 2010, self-reported fractures and the date, site, and cause of these fractures were recorded. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs). Results: Seventy-six participants among 3949.7 person-years experienced fragility fractures during the 11-year follow-up. The incidence of fragility fractures was 1924.2 per 100 000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 1491.6 to 2356.8). In the multivariate model, low body mass index (HR, 2.66; 95% CI, 1.13 to 6.24), a parental history of osteoporosis (HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.18 to 3.49), and postmenopausal status (HR, 3.50; 95% CI, 1.05 to 11.67) were significantly related to fragility fracture. Conclusions: Fracture prevention programs are needed among postmenopausal, rural, Korean women with a low body mass index and parental history of osteoporosis Korea.

Is fetal nuchal cord associated with autism spectrum disorder? A meta-analysis

  • Jenabi, Ensiyeh;Ahmadi, Maryam;Maleki, Azam
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.65 no.3
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    • pp.131-135
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: There is inconsistent evidence about the association between fetal nuchal cord and the risk of autism spectrum disorder (ASD). We performed a meta-analysis to investigate whether fetal nuchal cord is associated with an increased risk of ASD in offspring. Methods: Three main English databases were searched until January 2021. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to assess study quality. Study heterogeneity was determined using the I 2 statistic, while publication bias was assessed using Begg and Egger tests. Results are presented as odds ratios (ORs) and relative ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI) and were determined by a random-effects model. Results: Five articles (1 cohort, 4 case-control; 3,088 total children) were included in the present meta-analysis. Fetal nuchal cord was not a risk factor for ASD (OR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.66-1.57). There was homogeneity among studies that reported a risk of ASD (I2=0.0%). Conclusion: Our results showed that fetal nuchal cord is not a risk factor for ASD. Future large cohort studies should confirm this finding.

Text-Independent Speaker Verification Based on MLP Cohort Model (MLP 군집 모델에 기반한 어구독립 화자증명)

  • 이태승;최호진
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2000.10b
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    • pp.434-436
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    • 2000
  • 본 논문에서는 기존의 확률적 화자군집 모델을 MLP(multi-layer perceptron)로 구현하는 방법과 원형 화자군집 모델이 갖는 문제를 해결할 수정 모델을 제시한다. 화자군집 모델은 화자등록 시간에 민감한 실용 환경에서 중요한 의미를 지닌다. 본 연구에서 사용한 인식단위는 여러 음소계열에서 지속적인 부분을 추출한 지속음이므로 화자등록과 증명 단계에서 특정한 어구에 한정되지 않는 어구독립 방식을 채택한다.

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Fasting Serum Glucose and Subsequent Liver Cancer Risk in a Korean Prospective Cohort (공복 혈당과 간암 발생 위험에 관한 코호트 연구)

  • Gwack, Jin;Hwang, Seung-Sik;Ko, Kwang-Pil;Jun, Jae-Kwan;Park, Sue-Kyung;Chang, Soung-Hoon;Shin, Hai-Rim;Yoo, Keun-Young
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.23-28
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    • 2007
  • Objectives : Chronic infections with hepatitis B or C and alcoholic cirrhosis are three well-known major risk factors for liver cancer. Diabetes has also been suggested as a potential risk factor. However, the findings of previous studies have been controversial in terms of the causal association. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate the association between serum glucose levels and liver cancer development in a Korean cohort. Methods : Thirty-six liver cancer cases were identified in the Korean Multi-Center Cancer Cohort (KMCC). Baseline information on lifestyle characteristics was obtained via questionnaire. Serum glucose levels were measured at the study's enrollment. Relative risks (RRs) were estimated using a Cox proportional hazard regression model. The adjusting variables included age, gender, smoking history, alcohol consumption, body mass index, and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seropositivity. Results : The RRs of serum glucose for liver caner were 1.20 (95% CI = 0.48-2.99) for the category of 100 to 125 mg/dL of serum glucose and 2.77 (95% CI = 1.24-6.18) for the >126 mg/dL serum glucose category (both compared to the <100 mg/dL category). In a subgroup analysis, the RR of serum glucose among those who were both HBsAg seronegative and non-drinkers was 4.46 (95% CI = 1.09-18.28) for those with glucose levels >100 mg/dL. Conclusions : The results of this study suggest that a high level of serum glucose can increase liver cancer risk independently of hepatitis infection and drinking history in Koreans. This study implies that glucose intolerance may be an independent risk factor for liver cancer.

An Analysis of Job Selection, Major-Job Match and Wage Level of College Graduates (대학 졸업생의 직업선택과 임금 수준)

  • Park, Jae-Min
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.22-39
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    • 2011
  • This study examines the wage level from a viewpoint of major-job match as part of an analysis on the skill mismatch problem in 4-year college graduates. The empirical analysis explicitly incorporate the sample selection bias as an econometric problem not only suggested but merely introduced in the earlier studies. This study also set up a major-job match variable, which was usually handled as a binary variable for analytical convenience, as a polychotomous choice variable in selection equation as provided by the survey. In particular, it considered multi-cohort survey on graduates of the years 1982, 1992, and 2002 for the empirical analysis. As a result of empirical analysis, the wage premium of a major-job match was identified. This result was consistent after the consideration of a sample selection bias and also after modeling the major-job match variable as polychotomously selective. Through an analysis classified by the major, this study identified a relatively high wage premium among Social Science, Engineering, and Science majors. However, there was a difference in the effect of selection among these majors. Also, by assessing cohort effects this study found that the skill mismatch had rapidly progressed in 1992, while difference between 1992 and 2002 cohorts are insignificant. The analysis suggests that wage level is better understood within the context of both sample selection and major-job match, and regardless of model specification the major-job match affects wage strongly.

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Optimal Asset Allocation for National Pension Considering Cohort-Specific Internal Rates of Return (코호트별 내부수익률을 고려한 국민연금 적정 자산배분)

  • Dong-Hwa Lee;Daehwan Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2023
  • To improve the financial stability of the National Pension, an appropriate target rate of return should be established based on pension liabilities, and asset allocation policies should be formulated accordingly. The purpose of this study is to calculate the target rate of return considering the contributions of subscribers and the pension benefits, and based on this, derive an asset allocation. To do this, we utilized the internal rate of return methodology to calculate the target rate of return for each cohort. And then, we employed a Monte Carlo simulation-based re-sampling mean-variance model to derive asset allocation for each cohort that satisfy the target rate of return while minimizing risks. Our result shows that the target rate of return for each cohort ranged from 6.4% to 6.85%, and it decreased as the generations advanced due to a decrease in the income replacement rate of the National Pension. Consequently, the allocation of risky assets, such as stocks, was relatively reduced in the portfolios of future generations. This study holds significance in that it departs from the macroeconomic-based asset allocation methodology and proposes investments from an asset-liability management perspective, which considers the characteristics of subscribers' liabilities.

A GENERAL UNIQUENESS RESULT OF AN ENDEMIC STATE FOR AN EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH EXTERNAL FORCE OF INFECTION

  • Cha, Young-Joon
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.597-608
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    • 2007
  • We present a general uniqueness result of an endemic state for an S-I-R model with external force of infection. We reduce the problem of finding non-trivial steady state solutions to that of finding zeros of a real function of one variable so that we can easily prove the uniqueness of an endemic state. We introduce an assumption which was usually used to show stability of a non-trivial steady state. It turns out that such an assumption adopted from a stability analysis is crucial for proving the uniqueness as well, and the assumption holds for almost all cases in our model.