• Title/Summary/Keyword: Climatic Change

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Economic analysis on Sustainable Photovoltaic Systems (지속가능한 태양광발전시스템의 경제성 분석)

  • Park, Soo-Uk;Lee, Deok-Ki
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.1 no.3 s.3
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2005
  • This paper analyses the economics of grid-connected photovoltaic systems. With the 2003 cost of photovoltaic systems, under prevailing capital market conditions, with a system lifetime of 30 years, and under the best climatic conditions, it appears that the cost of production of grid-connected electricity could be of 0.21 US $/kWh, and under medium climatic conditions, European locations, Switzerland, Japan and South Korean could be of 0.28$/kWh. If the lifetime if the system goes up, due to future technological improvements, to a very large value such as 50 years, these costs can be lowered by 10-20%. Competitiveness of grid-connected photovoltaic electricity, while it still cannot be taken for granted, is a possibility, especially if major technological advances further lowers the costs of photo cells and increases their lifetimes.

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Actual Vegetation Potential Natural Vegetation of Pukhansan National Park, Mid-western Korea (북한산국립공원의 현존식생과 잠재자연식생)

  • 이은복
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.439-450
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    • 1997
  • The potential natural vegtation of the Pukhansan National Park area, mid-western Korea, was inferred from the actual vegetation. With the phytosociological classification and field surveys, the actual vegetation map of the park area was made on a scale of 1:25, 000, including fourteen communities. By the analyses of the species diversity, the age structure, the human interferences and various informations on vegetation changes, two pathways of late stage succession from Pinus densiflora forests to the climatic climax were suggested. One is from Quercus serrata forests to Q. mongolica forests throughout the mountain and the other, from Q. variabilis or Q. acutissima forests to Carpinus laxiflora forests in lower parts. Considering the vegetation changes, the potential natural vegetation of the park area mainly composed of Q. mongolica, C. laxiflora, P. densiflora and Zelkova serrata forest as the climatic and/or edaphic climax was inferred.

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Correlation Analysis between Climate and Contamination Degree through Multiple Regression Analysis (다중회귀 분석을 통한 기후 및 오손도 간의 상관관계 분석)

  • Kim, Do-Young;Lee, Won-Young;Shim, Kyu-Il;Han, Sang-Ok;Park, Kang-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.05e
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    • pp.49-52
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    • 2003
  • The performance of insulators under contaminated conditions is the underlying and the most factor that determines insulation design for outdoor applications, Among the contamination factors, The sea salt is the most dangerous factor, and the salt factor have closed relation with climatic conditions, such as wind, temperature, humidity and so on, Effect of these factors to insulation system is different of each other, and need to show the correlation by multiple regression analysis techniques. In this paper, predicted and analyzed equivalent salt deposit density (ESDD) by change climatic condition through multiple regression analysis.

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Correlation Analysis and Growth Prediction between Climatic Elements and Radial Growth for Pinus koraiensis (잣나무 연륜생장과 기후요소와의 상관관계 분석 및 생장예측)

  • Chung, Junmo;Kim, Hyunseop;Lee, Sangtae;Lee, Kyungjae;Kim, Meesook;Chun, Yongwoo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2015
  • This study was conducted to analyze the relationship among climatic factors and radial growth of Pinus koraiensis in South Korea. To determine climate-growth relationships, cluster analysis was applied to group climatically similar surveyed regions, and dendroclimatological model was developed to predict radial growth for each climate group under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios for greenhouse gases. The dendroclimatological models were developed through climatic variables and standardized residual chronology for each climatic cluster of P. koraiensis. 2 to 4 climatic variables were used in the models ($R^2$ values between 0.35~0.49). For each of the climatic clusters for Pinus koraiensis, the growth simulations obtained from two RCP climate-change scenarios were used for growth prediction. The radial growth of the Clusters 2 and 3, which grow at high elevation, tend to increase. In contrast, Cluster 1, which grows at low elevation, tends to decrease with a large difference. Thus, the growth of Pinus koraiensis, which is a boreal species, could increase along with increasing temperature up to a certain point.

Analysis and Investigation of International(UIC, EN, IEC) and Domestic Standards(Test Methods) for Climatic Wind Tunnel Test of Rolling Stock (철도차량 기후환경시험을 위한 국제 규격(UIC, EN, IEC) 및 국내 규격(시험방법) 분석 및 고찰)

  • Jang, Yong-Jun;Chung, Jong-Duk;Lee, Jae-Cheon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.782-789
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    • 2020
  • The demand for the development of rolling stock technology to maintain the best performance in various climatic environments has increased to expand the overseas market of rolling stock. In this study, international and domestic standards that must be applied to build a harsh climatic environment test system were investigated and compared. The way of improvement for domestic standards is proposed. The wind velocities and temperatures are specified in the UIC, EN, and IEC standards for climatic wind tunnel, and EN 50125-1 provides the velocity test up to 180km/h, the largest wind speed. UIC and EN provide the lowest temperature of -45℃, and IEC 62498-1 provides the highest temperature 55℃. The solar radiation test was specified up to 1200W/m2 in the UIC, EN, and IEC. The IEC, EN, and KS R 9145 provide the water tightness standards, which are different from each other in water capacity, pressure, and methods. The snow test method was not well specified. KRTS-VE-Part 31 provides pressurization test methods. The airtightness standards for high-speed rolling stock are defined and regulated for internal pressure change rate in UIC 660 and 779-11. The domestic standard for the wind tunnel test was not well prepared, and the solar radiation test and snow test do not exist in Korea. Therefore, it is necessary to improve domestic standards to an international level for the climatic wind tunnel test of rolling stock.

Estimating Radial Growth Response of Major Tree Species using Climatic and Topographic Condition in South Korea (기후와 지형 조건을 반영한 우리나라 주요 수종의 반경 생장 반응 예측)

  • Choi, Komi;Kim, Moonil;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Gang, Hyeon-u;Chung, Dong-Jun;Ko, Eun-jin;Yun, Byung-Hyun;Kim, Chan-Hoe
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2014
  • The main purpose of this study is to estimate tradial growth response and to predict the potential spatial distribution of major tree species(Pinus densiflora, Quercus mongolica, Quercus spp., Castanea crenata and Larix kaempferi) in South Korea, considering climate and topographic factors. To estimate radial growth response, $5^{th}$ National Forest Inventory data, Topographic Wetness Index (TWI) and climatic data such as temperature and precipitation were used. Also, to predict the potential spatial distribution of major tree species, RCP 8.5 Scenario was applied. By our analysis, it was found that the rising temperature would have negative impacts on radial growth of Pinus densiflora, Castanea crenata and Larix kaempferi, and positive impacts on that of Quercus mongolica, Quercus spp.. Incremental precipitation would have positive effects on radial growth of Pinus densiflora and Quercus mongolica. When radial growth response considered by RCP 8.5 scenario, it was found that the radial growth of Pinus densiflora, Castanea crenata and Larix kaempferi would be more vulnerable than that of Quercus mongolica and Quercus spp. to temperature. According to the climate change scenario, Quercus spp. including Quercus mongolica would be expected to have greater abundance than its present status in South Korea. The result of this study would be helpful for understanding the impact of climatic factors on tree growth and for predicting the distribution of major tree species by climate change in South Korea.

Climate and Land use Changes Impacts on Hydrology in a Rural Small Watershed (장래 기후변화와 토지이용 변화에 따른 농촌소유역의 수문 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Hak-Kwan;Kang, Moon-Seong;Lee, Eun-Jeong;Park, Seung-Woo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the hydrologic impacts of climate and land use changes in a rural small watershed. HadCM3 (Hadley Centre Coupled Model, ver.3) A2 scenario and LARS-WG (Long Ashton Research Station - Weather Generator) were used to generate future climatic data. Future land use data were also generated by the CA-Markov (Cellular Automata-Markov) method. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to evaluate hydrologic impacts. The SWAT model was calibrated and validated with stream flow measured at the Baran watershed in Korea. The SWAT model simulation results agreed well with observed values during the calibration and validation periods. In this study, hydrologic impacts were analyzed according to three scenarios: future climate change (Scenario I), future land use change (Scenario II), and both future climate and land use changes (Scenario III). For Scenario I, the comparison results between a 30-year baseline period (1997~2004) and a future 30-year period (2011~2040) indicated that the total runoff, surface runoff, lateral subsurface runoff, groundwater discharge, and evapotranspiration increased as precipitation and temperature for the future 30-year period increased. The monthly variation analysis results showed that the monthly runoff for all months except September increased compared to the baseline period. For Scenario II, both the total and surface runoff increased as the built-up area, including the impervious surface, increased, while the groundwater discharge and evapotranspiration decreased. The monthly variation analysis results indicated that the total runoff increased in the summer season, when the precipitation was concentrated. In Scenario III, the results showed a similar trend to that of Scenario II. The monthly runoff for all months except October increased compared to the baseline period.

A Review on the Paleoclimate Change Inferred from Borehole Temperatures (시추공 온도자료를 이용한 고기후 연구에 대한 개관)

  • Lee, Youngmin;Kim, Hyoung-Chan;Song, Yoonho
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.39 no.1 s.176
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2006
  • To properly interpret and define climatic warming trends of the last $100\~150$ years.; climatic changes over the past several centuries must be constrained. High resolution surface air temperatures (SATs) to reconstruct global temperature trends extend back only to the late of 19th century. Fortunately, on long time scale and over large areas, ground surface temperatures (GSTs) track SATs. GST changes penetrate into the subsurface and are recorded as transient temperature perturbation. Therefore, borehole temperatures can be used to recover climate change over the last millennium in an area; paleoclimate change inferred from borehole temperatures can be used to interpret global warming over the last century, little ice age, and medieval warm period.

Weed Population Dynamics under Climatic Change

  • Bir, Md. Shahidul Haque;Eom, Min Yong;Uddin, Md. Romij;Park, Tae Seon;Kang, Hang Won;Kim, Do Soon;Park, Kee Woong
    • Weed & Turfgrass Science
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.174-182
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    • 2014
  • This paper provides some of the scientific background on how projected environmental conditions could affect weeds and weed management in crops. Elevated $CO_2$ levels may have positive effects on crop competitiveness with $C_4$ weeds, but these are generally outnumbered by $C_3$ species in weed populations. Moreover, higher temperatures and drought will favor $C_4$ over $C_3$ plants. The implementation of climate change adaptation technologies, such as drought-tolerant germplasm and water-saving irrigation regimes, will have consequences for crop-weed competition. Rainfed production systems are thought to be most vulnerable to the direct effects of climate change and are likely to face increased competition from $C_4$ and parasitic weeds. Biotic stress-tolerant crop cultivars to be developed for these systems should encompass weed competitiveness and parasitic-weed resistance. In irrigated systems, indirect effects will be more important and weed management strategies should be diversified to lessen dependency on herbicides and mechanical control, and be targeted to perennial rhizomatous ($C_3$) weeds. Water-saving production methods that replace a weed-suppressive floodwater layer by intermittent or continuous periods of aerobic conditions necessitate additional weed management strategies to address the inherent increases in weed competition. Thus, climatic conditions have a great effect on weed population dynamics all over the world.

Development of Evaluation Model of Pumping and Drainage Station Using Performance Degradation Factors (농업기반시설물 양·배수장의 성능저하 요인분석 및 성능평가 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Jonghyuk;Lee, Sangik;Jeong, Youngjoon;Lee, Jemyung;Yoon, Seongsoo;Park, Jinseon;Lee, Byeongjoon;Lee, Joongu;Choi, Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2019
  • Recently, natural disasters due to abnormal climates are frequently outbreaking, and there is rapid increase of damage to aged agricultural infrastructure. As agricultural infrastructure facilities are in contact with water throughout the year and the number of them is significant, it is important to build a maintenance management system. Especially, the current maintenance management system of pumping and drainage stations among the agricultural facilities has the limit of lack of objectivity and management personnel. The purpose of this study is to develop a performance evaluation model using the factors related to performance degradation of pumping and drainage facilities and to predict the performance of the facilities in response to climate change. In this study, we focused on the pumping and drainage stations belonging to each climatic zone separated by the Korea geographical climatic classification system. The performance evaluation model was developed using three different statistical models of POLS, RE, and LASSO. As the result of analysis of statistical models, LASSO was selected for the performance evaluation model as it solved the multicollinearity problem between variables, and showed the smallest MSE. To predict the performance degradation due to climate change, the climate change response variables were classified into three categories: climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. The performance degradation prediction was performed at each facility using the developed performance evaluation model and the climate change response variables.