• 제목/요약/키워드: Climate risk

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미생물학적 식품안전을 위한 기후변화 영향 식품 및 식중독 세균 우선순위 결정 (Ranking Determination of Foods and Foodborne Pathogens for Impact of Climate Change on Microbiological Food Safety)

  • 박경진;하상도;오덕환
    • 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.36-40
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 기후변화와 관련하여 미생물학적 식품안전상 쉽게 영향 받을 수 있는 식품과 관련 식중독세균을 결정하는데 이용할 수 있는 Risk Ranger를 활용한 Excel spreadsheet 상의 모델을 개발하였고, 모델 입력값은 자료의 부족으로 전문가 설문을 통해 결정하였으며, 확률분포모델과 @RISK를 이용한 시뮬레이션을 통해 실제 국내 식품중 기후변화에 대한 민감할 것으로 예상되는 상위 5개 식품군과 이들 식품과 관련된 주요 식중독 원인균을 결정하였다. 추정결과, 상위 5종 식품과 관련 식중독 세균으로는 즉석섭취식 품류(RTE) (황색포도상구균, 살모넬라, 병원성대장균 O157:H7)가 가장 큰 영향을 받을 것으로 나타났으며, 다음이 떡류 및 빵류 (황색포도상구균, 바실러스 세레우스), 식육 및 알가공품 (살모넬라, 병원성대장균 O157:H7, 황색포도상구균), 두부류 또는 묵류 (바실러스 세레우스, 병원성대장균 O157:H7, 황색포도상구균)였으며, 마지막으로 어육가공품(황색포도상구균, 비브리오, 병원성대장균 O157:H7)의 순으로 나타났다.

기후(氣候) 및 간지(干支)와 중풍(中風) 發病日(발병일)에 관(關)한 상관성(相關性) 연구(硏究) (A Study of the Correlation between Stroke Incidence by Climate of Day and Stems and Branches)

  • 최효재;황민영;백윤선;주대환;한창호;신길조;이원철
    • 대한한방내과학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 2009
  • Objectives : This study investigated the correlation between the incidence by the climate of the day and the Stems and Branches(干支) of stroke patients. Methods : From January in 2000 to March in 2008, we studied 370 stroke patients hospitalized at Dongguk University Bundang Hospital. Each participant was investigated for the day's average temperature, the day's average air humidity, the day's average wind speed, and the day's Stems and Branches (干支) in oriental medical theory. Results: Concerning the day's average temperature, the group at a temperature under 18 $^{\circ}C$ had the highest risk. For the day's average air humidity, the group at over 60 % humidity showed a higher ratio of stroke. In respect of the day's average wind speed, the group at speeds under 2.26 $^m/s^2$ (the last 5 years average wind speed in Gyeonggi-do) had a higher risk. In the aspect of Stems and Branches (干支), stroke occurred more in Yin day(陰日) than in Yang day(陽日). In the view of the Five Circuits (五運), the Wood (木) was most common followed by Fire(火). Using the relation between Stems and Branches (干支), the mutuality cooperate pattern was more common than the mutuality control group and same characteristic group. Using the Theory of Five Circuits (五運) and Six Qi (六氣), the Fire group (火) showed the highest risk. The Wood group (木) came next. Conclusions : We could suggest that stroke attack might have some significant relationship with climate, stems, and branches in oriental medical theory.

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항공사 안전관리시스템에 대한 조종사의 인식과 안전행동에 대한 연구 (An Analysis on the Cockpit Crews' Perception on Airline's Safety Management System and their Safety Behavior)

  • 조성환;김기웅;박성식
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.60-70
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    • 2014
  • This paper has tried to research the perception of pilots in a commercial airliners or full service carriers focusing on the airliner's safety management system (SMS). ICAO requires the airliners to set up the basic standards of SMS since the SMS is believed to be the core of the aviation risk management. According to the previous study, it was proved safety climate of an airline affects the safety behavior of cockpit crews. Safety climate is different from safety culture and the safety climate has an advantage to be measured more quantitatively than the culture. That is, the safety climate could be represented as SMS. As the results of the empirical study based on Chen & Chen(2014)'s SMS practice sacle, it had been assumed at the beginning the major factors such as Clarification of SMS, Safety Training for Crews and Sharing of SMS Information have positive effects on the motivation for safety behaviors. The motivation is directly correlated to crews' safety behaviors. However, the result showed the clarification of SMS has not a significant effect on their safety behaviors. The main reason is cockpit crews, through the survey, perceived airline seemed to have no definite standards of SMS and the senior management to have less interest in aviation safety.

예보강우 시간분해를 위한 Multiplicative Cascade 모형의 적용성 평가 (Applicability of a Multiplicative Random Cascade Model for Disaggregation of Forecasted Rainfalls)

  • 김대하;윤선권;강문성;이경도
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제58권5호
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2016
  • High resolution rainfall data at 1-hour or a finer scale are essential for reliable flood analysis and forecasting; nevertheless, many observations, forecasts, and climate projections are still given at coarse temporal resolutions. This study aims to evaluate a chaotic method for disaggregation of 6-hour rainfall data sets so as to apply operational 6-hour rainfall forecasts of the Korean Meteorological Association to flood models. We computed parameters of a state-of-the-art multiplicative random cascade model with two combinations of cascades, namely uniform splitting and diversion, using rainfall observations at Seoul station, and compared statistical performance. We additionally disaggregated 6-hour rainfall time series at 58 stations with the uniform splitting and evaluated temporal transferability of the parameters and changes in multifractal properties. Results showed that the uniform splitting outperformed the diversion in reproduction of observed statistics, and hence is better to be used for disaggregation of 6-hour rainfall forecasts. We also found that multifractal properties of rainfall observations has adequate temporal consistency with an indication of gradually increasing rainfall intensity across South Korea.

기후와 환경에 대응하기 위한 아웃도어 웨어 디자인에 관한 연구 -2000년 이후 컬렉션에서 발표된 디자인을 중심으로- (A Study on Development of Out-door Wear Design to Respond to the Climate and Environment -Focus on the design in collections after the year 2000-)

  • 배정민
    • 복식
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    • 제61권7호
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2011
  • The present research aims to suggest the design of a new direction that copes with the changing environment. For example, the design for outdoor wear can be made through various methods that allows it to be worn for anytime and anywhere. Also, the research aimed to seek a development direction of outdoor wear design with environment-friendly expanded function that handles unpredictable environmental changes. The analysis of this research is as follows. First, it can be said that the trend of the outdoor wear design according to climate and environment changes is a design that seeks an efficient and rational role in functional aspects such as complex multi-functionality and minimum decorations as well as enhancing economic efficiency. Second, the outdoor wear design provides the optimal climate for the human body even in a continuously changing artificial environment. Its easy and comfortable function also helps to keep defense from possible risk elements. Lastly, this research seeks interactions among design, the body and environment. It also tries shape change using buttons and zippers, etc. according to expansion of a structural form of clothes as multi-functionality and versatility tools, and seeks a design form that can be reconstructed. The research that geared toward environmental changes should be further progressed in order to produce apparel that have efficient adaptability of any climate situations.

Impact of Climate Change on Variation of the Aridity and Evaporative Indexes in South Korea

  • Ha, Doan Thi Thu;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.146-146
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    • 2019
  • The aridity index, which is determined as the ratio of potential evapotranspiration to precipitation, is one of key parameters in drought characterization. Whereas the evaporative index, which is defined as the ratio of actual evapotranspiration to precipitation, represents the fraction of available water consumed by the evapotranspiration process. This study investigates variation of the aridity and evaporative indexes due to climate change during the 21st century in South Korea. Estimations of the aridity and evaporative indexes are obtained using SWAT mode based on ensemble of 13 different GCMs over 5 large basins of South Korea for 2 RCP scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). The results shows the opposite trends of the two indexes, where the aridity index is projected as always increase, while the evaporative index is expected to decrease in all of 3 future period (2011-1940, 1941-1970, 1971-2099). The estimated results also suggest that land cover influenced significantly evapotranspiration along with the change of climate. The study indicates that South Korea will be facing with a high risk of water scarcity in future due to climate change, which is seriously challenging for water planing and management in the country.

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기후변화 적응을 위한 국내 수자원 거버넌스의 개선방안 모색 (A study on the improvement of water resource governance to adapt to climate change)

  • 김시내;강문성
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제55권4호
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    • pp.309-319
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    • 2022
  • 기후변화 적응전략 수립에 있어 정책적 패러다임이 과거 구조적 대책에서 위험관리로 변화하고 있으며, 지역 내 다양한 이해관계자의 참여와 협력을 바탕으로 하는 수자원 거버넌스의 구축은 기후변화 적응전략 마련의 핵심이라고 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 국내 및 OECD 주요국들의 물관리 정책과 수자원 거버넌스의 발전 과정 및 현황을 검토하여 국내 수자원 거버넌스의 한계점을 파악하고, 효과적인 기후변화 적응을 위한 국내 수자원 거버넌스의 개선방안을 모색하고자 한다.

강우의 비정상성을 고려한 청미천 유역의 미래 침수특성 분석 (Future Inundation Characteristics Analysis for the Cheongmi Stream Watershed Considering Non-stationarity of Precipitation)

  • 류정훈;강문성;전상민;박지훈;이경도
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제59권1호
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    • pp.81-96
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    • 2017
  • Along with climate change, it is reported that the scale and the frequency of extreme climate events (e.g. heavy rain, typhoon, etc.) show unstable tendency of increase. In case of Korea, also, the frequency of heavy rainfall shows increasing tendency, thus causing natural disaster damage in downtown and agricultural areas by rainfall that exceeds the design criteria of hydraulic structures. In order to minimize natural disaster damage, it is necessary to analyze how extreme precipitation event changes under climate change. Therefore a new design criteria based on non-stationarity frequency analysis is needed to consider a tendency of future extreme precipitation event and to prepare countermeasures to climate change. And a quantitative and objective characteristic analysis could be a key to preparing countermeasures to climate change impact. In this study, non-stationarity frequency analysis was performed and inundation risk indices developed by 4 inundation characteristics (e.g. inundation area, inundation depth, inundation duration, and inundation radius) were assessed. The study results showed that future probable rainfall could exceed the existing design criteria of hydraulic structures (rivers of state: 100yr-200yr, river banks: 50yr-100yr) reaching over 500yr frequency probable rainfall of the past. Inundation characteristics showed higher value in the future compared to the past, especially in sections with tributary stream inflow. Also, the inundation risk indices were estimated as 0.14 for the past period of 1973-2015, and 0.25, 0.29, 1.27 for the future period of 2016-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100, respectively. The study findings are expected to be used as a basis to analyze future inundation damage and to establish management solutions for rivers with inundation risks.

Bell's palsy의 유발인자로서의 한랭 노출에 대한 소고(小考) (Is it appropriate to exclude cold exposure from the risk factors of Bell's palsy?)

  • 장인수
    • Korean Journal of Acupuncture
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.51-54
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    • 2006
  • Objectives : To express an opinion on the controversy about the cold exposure as one of the risk factors of Bell's palsy. Results & Conclusions : It is widely assumed that there is a causal relationship between Bell's palsy and herpes family virus. Regarding cold exposure as one of the risk factors of Bell's palsy, however, some physicians do not accept that cold exposure could be one of the risk factors of Bell's palsy. There is no evidence supporting the hypothesis that the virus causes Bell's palsy, and it has yet to be confirmed. As there are some experimental and clinical reports suggesting that Bell‘s palsy is related to the cold exposure, we cannot exclude the possibility that the cold exposure may be one of the important risk factors of Bell's palsy. It would be necessary to undertake further studies to determine this.

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시스템 구성요소 통합 및 현업서비스 구축 (Implementation of a Weather Hazard Warning System at a Catchment Scale)

  • 신용순
    • 한국농림기상학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농림기상학회 2014년도 추계 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.74-85
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    • 2014
  • This study is a part of "Early Warning Service for Weather Risk Management in Climate-smart Agriculture", describes the delivery techniques from 840 catchment scale weather warning information using 150 counties unit special weather report(alarm, warning) released from KMA(Korea Meteorological Administration) and chronic weather warning information based on daily weather data from 76 synoptic stations. Catchment weather hazard warning service express a sequential risk index map generated by countries report occurs and report grade(alarm, warning) convert to catchment scale using zonal summarizing method. Additional services were chronic weather warning service at crop growth and accumulated more than 4 weeks, based on an unsuitable weather conditions, representing a relative risk compared to its catchment climatological normal conditions (normal distribution ) in addition to special weather report. Service provided by a real-time catchment scale map overlaid with VWORLD open platform operated by Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport. Also provide a foundation for weather risk information to inform individual farmers to farm located within the catchment zone warning occur.

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