• Title/Summary/Keyword: Climate index

검색결과 932건 처리시간 0.031초

한국형 도로포장 설계 프로그램의 소석회 사용 아스팔트 혼합물 특성 적용 (Application of Hydrated Lime-Modified Asphalt Mixture Properties to Korean Pavement Research Program)

  • 김도완;이상염;문성호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
    • /
    • 제17권4호
    • /
    • pp.69-75
    • /
    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The hydrated lime-modified asphalt, which improves moisture resistance, is normally used for pavements to reduce the number of potholes. However, the method of applying the material properties of the lime-modified asphalt mixture for use in pavements is not covered in the Korean Pavement Research Program (KPRP). The objective of this research is to find a method for the design application of lime-modified asphalt's material properties to the KPRP. METHODS: The section for test design is selected in some conditions which are related to the level of design regarding Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT). To define the application methods of hydrated lime in the KPRP, the models of fatigue, rut and international roughness index (IRI) are determined based on the M-EPDG test results from some earlier research results. Moreover, it is well known that dynamic moduli of the unmodified mixture are not different from those of the lime-modified mixture. RESULTS: The performance results of hydrated lime-modified asphalt pavement were not very much different from those of the unmodified pavement, which meant the limited design regulations regarding fatigue failure, rutting deformation and IRI. CONCLUSIONS: The KPRP uses the weather model from the data for previous 10 years. It implies that the KPRP cannot predict abnormal climate changes accurately. Hence, the predictive weather data regarding the abnormal climate changes are unreliable. Secondly, the KPRP cannot apply the moisture resistance of asphalt mixtures. Therefore, a second level of design study will have to be performed to reflect the influence of moisture. It means that the influence on pavement performance can be changed by the application of hydrated lime in asphalt mixture design.

MODIS 영상을 활용한 한반도의 시공간적 물 이용효율 변동 및 가뭄과의 연관성 분석 (Spatial and Temporal Variations in the Water Use Efficiency and its Drought Signal on the Korean Peninsula using MODIS-derived Products)

  • 김정빈;호현주;엄명진;김연주
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
    • /
    • 제34권3호
    • /
    • pp.553-564
    • /
    • 2018
  • 최근 대두되고 있는 기후변화는 물과 탄소의 순환으로 이뤄진 생태계 간의 상호작용으로 인해 발생한다. 이를 분석하기 위해 물 이용효율(Water Use Efficiency, WUE)이 사용되는데, 이는 광합성 시 사용되는 수분 대비 흡수되는 탄소의 비율이다. 물 이용효율은 주변 환경의 기상 및 지표 조건에 영향을 받으며, 생태계의 변화를 반영하는 지표다. 본 연구에서는 한반도의 시공간적 물 이용효율을 분석하며, 나아가 가뭄과의 연관성을 가뭄 지수를 통해 보고자 한다. 물 이용효율과 가뭄 지수를 측정하기 위해서 Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS) 영상으로부터 Gross Primary Production(GPP, 총일차생산량)과 Evapotranspiration(ET, 증발산량) 자료를 산정하였다. 이를 통해 계산한 물 이용효율은 한반도의 전 지역과 모든 식생 종류에 대해 여름 우기철에 감소하는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 나아가 연간 물 이용효율은 가뭄 지수와 음의 상관관계를 보이며 한반도의 남쪽 지역으로 갈수록 그 상관계수가 증가하였다.

Influence of Temperature and Humidity on Pregnancy Rate of Murrah Buffaloes under Subtropical Climate

  • Dash, Soumya;Chakravarty, A.K.;Sah, V.;Jamuna, V.;Behera, R.;Kashyap, N.;Deshmukh, B.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
    • /
    • 제28권7호
    • /
    • pp.943-950
    • /
    • 2015
  • Heat stress has adverse effects on fertility of dairy animals. Decline in fertility is linearly associated with an increase in combination of both temperature and humidity. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between temperature humidity index (THI) and the pregnancy rate of Murrah buffaloes in a subtropical climate. The effects of genetic and non-genetic factors viz., sire, parity, period of calving and age group at first calving were found non-significant on pregnancy rate. The effect of THI was found significant (p<0.001) on pregnancy rate of Murrah buffaloes calved for first time and overall pregnancy rate. The threshold THI affecting the pregnancy rate was identified as THI 75. The months from October to March showed THI<75 and considered as non heat stress zone (NHSZ), while months from April to September were determined as heat stress zone (HSZ) with $THI{\geq}75$. The lowest overall pregnancy rate (0.25) was obtained in July with THI 80.9, while the highest overall pregnancy rate (0.59) was found in November with THI 66.1. May and June were identified as critical heat stress zone (CHSZ) within the HSZ with maximum decline (-7%) in pregnancy rate with per unit increase in THI. The highest overall pregnancy rate was estimated as 0.45 in NHSZ with THI value 56.7 to 73.2. The pregnancy rate was found to have declined to 0.28 in HSZ with THI 73.5 to 83.7. However, the lowest pregnancy rate was estimated as 0.27 in CHSZ with THI value 80.3 to 81.6.

다양한 기저유출 분리 방법을 이용한 4대강 수계의 시간대별 (연·계절·월) 기저유출 기여도 분석 (Analysis of Baseflow Contribution based on Time-scales Using Various Baseflow Separation Methods)

  • 이승찬;김희연;김효정;한정호;김성준;김종건;임경재
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제59권2호
    • /
    • pp.1-11
    • /
    • 2017
  • The analysis of baseflow contribution is very significant in Korea because most rivers have high variability of streamflow due to the monsoon climate. Recently, the importance of such analysis is being more evident especially in terms of river management because of the changing pattern of rainfall and runoff resulted from climate change. Various baseflow separation methods have been developed to separate baseflow from streamflow. However, it is very difficult to identify which method is the most accurate way due to the lack of measured baseflow data. Moreover, it is inappropriate to analyze the annual baseflow contribution for Korean rivers because rainfall patterns varies significantly with the seasons. Thus, this study compared the baseflow contributions at various time-scales (annual, seasonal and monthly) for the 4 major river basins through BFI (baseflow index) and suggested baseflow contribution of each basin by the BFI ranges searched from different baseflow separation methods (e.g., BFLOW, HYSEP, PART, WHAT). Based on the comparison of baseflow contributions at the three time scales, this study showed that the baseflow contributions from the monthly and seasonal analysis are more reasonable than that from the annual analysis. Furthermore, this study proposes that defining BFI with its range is more proper than a specific value for a watershed, considering the difference of BFIs between various baseflow separation methods.

기후변화가 중서부태평양 가다랑어(Katsuwonus pelamis)의 어획분포와 생물학적 특성에 미친 영향 (Effects of Climate-induced Variation in the Catch Distribution and Biological Characteristics of Skipjack Tuna Katsuwonus pelamis in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean)

  • 김은정;문대연;김수암
    • 한국수산과학회지
    • /
    • 제48권4호
    • /
    • pp.489-497
    • /
    • 2015
  • To reveal the spatial and temporal variability in the distribution, growth, and maturation of skipjack tuna Katsuwonus pelamis in the western tropical Pacific, we compared two El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signals and the sea surface temperature (SST) in the main fishing area with fishery and biological data. An index of skipjack tuna distribution was calculated using Korean purse seine fishery data from 1985 to 2003. Biological data for skipjack tuna were collected monthly from Korean catches during the 1994-2003 period. The catch was more closely related to the SST in the main fishing area than to the ENSO signals. However, cross-correlated function analysis showed delayed interactions between abiotic and biotic factors. The El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ events preceded the eastward movement of the fishing center by 2-3 months. El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ had a positive effect on the skipjack tuna catch, and the change in the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) preceded the catch fluctuation by ca. 5-7 months. In addition, negative El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ effects on gonad maturation and the mean length of skipjack tuna were detected with time lags of 12 and 7 months, respectively. The length frequency indicated that the regime-specific growth pattern at each discrete period seemed to be related to the ENSO.

엘니뇨-남방진동, 인도양 쌍극자 모드, 두 현상의 관련성, 그리고 한반도 기후에 대한 영향 (El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole Mode, a Relationship between the Two Phenomena, and Their Impact on the Climate over the Korean Peninsula)

  • 차은정
    • 한국지구과학회지
    • /
    • 제28권1호
    • /
    • pp.35-44
    • /
    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 엘니뇨현상과 인도양 쌍극자 모드(Indian Ocean Dipole, IOD) 현상의 상호 관련성과, 우리나라 기온, 강수량에 대한 두 현상의 영향을 분석하였다. 1954년부터 2004년까지 51년간 NINO 3 지수, IOD지수, 그리고 전국 11개 지점 지역평균한 월별 평균기온과 강수량 자료를 사용하였다. 엘니뇨현상과 IOD현상은 봄과 가을에는 동시 상관관계가 존재한다. 인도양에서 해수면온도 분포는 엘니뇨 해에는 남북진동이, IOD 해에는 동서진동 형태가 뚜렷하였다. 엘니뇨 해 우리나라에서는, 여름철에 냉하다우, 겨울철에 온난다우 경향이 뚜렷한 반면에, IOD 해에는 유의한 상관성을 찾을 수 없었다. 대기대순환에서도 엘니뇨 해에는 우리나라를 포함한 중위도에 통계적으로 신뢰할 만한 편차패턴이 나타나지만, IOD 해에는 그렇지 않았다.

APCC MME 계절예측정보를 이용한 가뭄전망 (Drought Outlook using APCC MME Seasonal Prediction Information)

  • 강부식;문수진;손수진;이우진
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.1784-1788
    • /
    • 2010
  • APEC 기후센터(APEC Climate Center, APCC)에서 제공하는 다중모형앙상블(Multi-model Ensemble, MME) 형태의 계절예측정보를 이용하여 3개월 가뭄전망을 수행하였다. APCC MME는 기후예측모형이 가지는 불확실성을 최소화하기 위한 방법으로, 아시아 태평양 지역 내 9개 회원국 16개 기관 21개 기후모형의 계절예측정보를 활용하여, 개별 모형이 가지는 계통오차(Systematic error)를 앙상블 기법을 통하여 상쇄함으로써 최적의 예측자료를 도출한다. 또한, 기후예측 모형이 예측한 대기순환장은 관측 지점변수와 경험적 통계적 관련성을 가지므로, 이를 바탕으로 상세지역의 이상기후에 대한 정보를 도출할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄 관리 및 전망을 위한 입력 자료로서, 기상전문 기관인 APEC 기후센터 (APEC Climate Center, APCC)에서 제공하는 전구 규모의 기온 및 강수 전망자료를 기상청 산하 59개 지점의 전망자료로 통계적 규모 축소화 기법을 통해 3개월 예보를 실시하였다. APCC 계절예측자료를 가뭄모니터링시스템의 자료입력 포맷에 따라 적절히 가공한 뒤, 가뭄 관리 및 전망을 위하여 SPI(Standard Precipitation Index) 및 PDSI(Palmer Drought Severity Index)지수의 입력자료로 사용하여 SPI 및 PDSI 지수를 산정하였다. 또한 분위사상법(Quantile Mapping)을 이용하여 총 59개 지점의 과거 월평균 관측값과 최근 2009년에 대한 모의값의 누적확률분포값을 계산하고 모의값의 확률분포를 관측값의 확률분포에 사상시켜 가뭄 전망을 위한 기상변수의 오차를 보정하고자 하였다. 이러한 계절예측정보를 이용하여 가뭄 전망에 대한 신뢰도가 높아진다면, 사전예방 및 피해완화로 가뭄상황에 대한 신속한 대처 및 피해의 경감이 이루어질 수 있을 것이다.

  • PDF

엔트로피 방법을 이용한 낙동강 상류 지역의 지하수자원 관리 취약시기 평가 방법 개발 (Development of vulnerable period assessment method for efficient groundwater resources management in upstream of Nakdong river basin using entropy method)

  • 김일환;이재범;양정석
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제51권9호
    • /
    • pp.761-768
    • /
    • 2018
  • 기후변화와 기후변화 외적인 요인으로 인해 지하수자원은 고갈되어가고 있다. 지하수자원의 효율적인 관리를 위해 유역 단위의 지하수자원 관리 취약시기 평가 방법을 개발하였다. 유역 단위의 취약시기 평가는 취약 지역 평가와 소유역에 대한 취약시기 평가를 독립적으로 진행하여 각각의 지수를 산정하였다. 취약 지역 평가 지수를 표준화하여 독립적으로 진행한 취약시기 평가 지수에 적용하여 유역 단위의 취약시기 평가 방법을 개발하였으며, 개발한 방법을 낙동강 상류 지역인 봉화군, 안동시, 예천군, 문경시, 상주시에 적용하였다. 그 결과 상주의 8월이 0.278로 가장 취약한 것으로 나타났으며, 안동시는 1년 중 8개월간 5개 지역 중 지하수자원 관리에 취약한 것으로 나타났다. 개발된 방법을 이용하여 지하수자원의 시공간을 고려한 효율적인 관리방안을 모색할 수 있을 것이다.

Environmental Analysis in Asian Dust Source Region Using Satellite Remotely Sensed Data

  • Kyung, Hye-Mee;Kim, Young-Seup;Kim, Sang-Woo
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
    • /
    • 제19권3호
    • /
    • pp.223-231
    • /
    • 2003
  • With the negative influences and damage from Asian dust increasing, it's getting important to investigate the climate and soil condition of the source region of Asian dust. There is a high possibility that the desertification and the drastic decrease of plants in China and Mongolia make worse the situation (bad effects of Asian Dust). To detect the movement of Asian dust caused by air circulation, we need to watch the state of the source region to get useful information for the prevention of the dust pollution, and to predict what part of China will become the source region. Therefore, using TOMS aerosol index data, NCEP reanalysis data that is Remote Sensing data from 1981 to 2000 (except 1993~1996, 4 years), for 16 years, examined the relation between the dust occurrence and weather elements. Dust occurrence appeared much in spring season from March to May in study areas. It had a dry climate during that season as follows : relative humidity about 20~40%, temperature about -5~5$^{\circ}C$, precipitation about 33-180 mm, wind speed about 4-10 ms-1. Dust occurrence and weather element annual change in study areas decreased gradually till 1990, but in Gobi desert the incidence of dust occurrence increased since 1997. As a result, found out that the more the precipitation, the less dust occurrence, because the precipitation and surface wind speed had a direct influence on the soil of the source region of dust.

Analysis of BRD Components Over Major Land Types of Korea

  • Kim, Sang-Il;Han, Kyung-Soo;Park, Soo-Jea;Pi, Kyoung-Jin;Kim, In-Hwan;Lee, Min-Ji;Lee, Sun-Gu;Chun, Young-Sik
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
    • /
    • 제26권6호
    • /
    • pp.653-664
    • /
    • 2010
  • The land surface reflectance is a key parameter influencing the climate near the surface. Therefore, it must be determined with sufficient accuracy for climate change research. In particular, the characteristics of the bidirectional reflectance distribution function (BRDF) when using earth observation system (EOS) are important for normalizing the reflected solar radiation from the earth's surface. Also, wide swath satellites like SPOT/VGT (VEGETATION) permit sufficient angular sampling, but high resolution satellites are impossible to obtain sufficient angular sampling over a pixel during short period because of their narrow swath scanning. This gives a difficulty to BRDF model based reflectance normalization of high resolution satellites. The principal objective of the study is to add BRDF modeling of high resolution satellites and to supply insufficient angular sampling through identifying BRDF components from SPOT/VGT. This study is performed as the preliminary data for apply to high-resolution satellite. The study provides surface parameters by eliminating BRD effect when calculated biophysical index of plant by BRDF model. We use semi-empirical BRDF model to identify the BRD components. This study uses SPOT/VGT satellite data acquired in the S1 (daily) data. Modeled reflectance values show a good agreement with measured reflectance values from SPOT satellite. This study analyzes BRD effect components by using the NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) and the angle components such as solar zenith angle, satellite zenith angle and relative azimuth angle. Geometric scattering kernel mainly depends on the azimuth angle variation and volumetric scattering kernel is less dependent on the azimuth angle variation. Also, forest from land cover shows the wider distribution of value than cropland, overall tendency is similar. Forest shows relatively larger value of geometric term ($K_1{\cdot}f_1$) than cropland, When performed comparison between cropland and forest. Angle and NDVI value are closely related.