• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제34권4호
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• pp.431-444
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• 2012

We simulated and compared present and future ocean circulation in the East China Sea using an East Asia Regional Ocean model. Mean climate states for 1990~1999 and 2030~2039 were used as surface conditions for simulations of present and future ocean circulation, which were derived from the simulations of three different global climate models, ECHAM5-MPI, GFDL-CM2.0 and MIROC3.2_hires, for the 20th century and those of 21st century as projected by the IPCC SRES A1B. East Asia Regional Ocean model simulated the detailed patterns of temperature, salinity and current fields under present and future climate conditions and their changes instead of the simple structures of global climate models. To some extent, there are consistent ocean circulation changes derived from the three pairs corresponding to the global climate model in so much as the temperature increases not only in winter but summer at both the surface and bottom and that temperature and salinity changes are prominent near the Chinese coast and in the Changjiang bank. However, the simulated circulations are different among each other depending on the prescribed atmospheric conditions not only under present climate but also with regard to future climate conditions. There is not a coincident tendency in ocean circulation changes between present and future simulations derived from the three pairs. This suggests that more simulations with different pairs are needed.

• Environmental Engineering Research
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.175-183
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• 2011

The climate of the $21^{st}$ century is likely to be significantly different from that of the 20th century because of human-induced climate change. An extreme weather event is defined as a climate phenomenon that has not been observed for the past 30 years and that may have occurred by climate change and climate variability. The abnormal climate change can induce natural disasters such as floods, droughts, typhoons, heavy snow, etc. How will the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events be affected by the global warming change in the $21^{st}$ century? This could be a quite interesting matter of concern to the hydrologists who will forecast the extreme weather events for preventing future natural disasters. In this study, we establish the extreme indices and analyze the trend of extreme weather events using extreme indices estimated from the observed data of 66 stations controlled by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) in Korea. These analyses showed that spatially coherent and statistically significant changes in the extreme events of temperature and rainfall have occurred. Under the global climate change, Korea, unlike in the past, is now being affected by extreme weather events such as heavy rain and abnormal temperatures in addition to changes in climate phenomena.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.121-131
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• 2015

As the temperature has changed by climate change, changes in its own characteristic values of the chemical substance or the movement and distribution of chemicals take place in accordance with the changes of hydrological and meteorological phenomena. Depending on the impact of climate change on the chemical behavior, it is necessary to understand and predict quantitative changes in the dynamics of the environment of pollutants due to climate change in order to predict in advance the occurrence of environmental disasters, and minimize the impact on the life and the environment after the incident. In this study, we have analysed and compared chemical fate models validated by previous studies in terms of model configuration, application size and input/output factors. The potential models applicable to municipal and industrial areas were selected on the basis of characteristic of each model, availability of input parameters and consideration for climate change, identified the problems, and then presented an approach to improve applicability.

• 적정기술학회지
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.118-125
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• 2019

제 5차 IPCC보고서(2014)에 의하면, 지구온난화의 원인은 온실가스(GHG)에 기인하며 가장 중요한 화석연료의 연소에서 발생하는 CO₂, NO₂, 메탄 등이다. IPCC는 2099년까지 지구 온도가 3.7℃ 상승하고 해수면은 0.63 m 상승할 것으로 예측하였다. 기후변화는 SDGs의 매우 중요한 한 부분이며, 그중 지구온난화는 잠재적으로 인류 건강에 가장 큰 위협이며 여러 다양한 질병의 원인이다. 만약 현재의 가스 배출과 토지이용의 추세가 계속된다면 미래의 세대는 질병, 부상, 자연재난으로 인한 사망, 감염, 영양부족, 대기오염으로 인한 사망율 등 매우 심각한 상황에 직면하게 될 것이다. 이 글에서는 홍수, 가뭄, 열 스트레스. 대기오염, 물부족, 영양실조, 전염성질환, 매개질환 등 지구기후변화와 이와 관련된 자연재난과 인류 건강의 관계를 조명하여 보았다.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.321-329
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• 2012

In this study, statistical analysis under both stationary and non-stationary climate was conducted for rainfall data measured in Seoul. Generalised Extreme Value (GEV) distribution and Gumbel distribution were used for the analysis. Rainfall changes under the non-stationary climate were estimated by applying time variable (t) to location parameter (${\xi}$). Rainfall depths calculated in non-stationary climate increased by 1.1 to 6.2mm and 1.0 to 4.6mm for the GEV distribution and gumbel distribution respectively from those stationary forms. Changes in annual maximum rainfall were estimated with rate of change in the location parameter (${\xi}1{\cdot}t$), and temporal changes of return period were predicted. This was also available for re-evaluating the current sewer design return period. Design criteria of sewer system was newly suggested considering life expectance of the system as well as temporal changes in the return period.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제30권5B호
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• pp.497-507
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• 2010

기후변화는 기후 시스템을 구성하는 대기, 해양, 생물, 빙하, 육지 등의 다양한 구성요소에 작용하여 자연 생태계와 인간의 사회 및 경제 시스템에 커다란 영향을 미치고 있다. 이로 인한 현재의 기후변화의 영향을 산정하는 일은 기후변화에 적응하는 가장 중요한 요소가 될 것이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 낙동강 유역을 대상으로 강우의 경향성 분석을 통하여 기후변화의 영향을 규명하고, 기후변화가 수문학적 요소에 미치는 영향을 파악하기 위하여 강우와 유출의 탄성도 분석을 하였다. 강우의 경향성 분석을 위하여 낙동강 주요지점의 기상청 강우자료를 수집하여 년, 계절, 월 단위로 재추출하여 경향성 분석 자료로 이용하였고, 강우와 유출 탄성도 분석에서는 WAMIS에서 제공하는 면적평균강우와 장기유출 자료를 수집하여 년, 계절 분석을 하였다. 그리고 본 연구의 탄성도 분석 결과와 국외의 타 연구와의 탄성도 분석결과를 비교분석 해 봄으로써 본 연구결과의 타당성을 입증하였다. 향후 본 연구의 결과를 토대로 기후변화로 인한 낙동강 유역의 유출량 증대로 인한 수공구조물의 치수능력 증대 방안과 해당유역 기후변화에 따른 물환경 적응방안 연구에 활용할 수 있을 것이다.

• 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.198-201
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• 2006

The objective of this study is to evaluate snowmelt impact on watershed hydrology using climate change scenarios on Soyanggang-dam and Chungju-dam watershed. SLURP model was used for analyzing hydrological changes based on climate changes. The results (in years 2050 and 2100) of climate changes scenarios was CCCma CGCM2 of SRES suggested by IPCC and the snow cover map and snow depth was derived from NOAA/AVHRR images. The model was calibrated and verified for dam inflow data from 1998 to 2001.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.419-429
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• 2018

Climate changes, such as increasing of $CO_2$ concentration and global warming, will impact on the carbonation service life of concrete structures. Moreover, slag blended concrete has a lower carbonation resistance than control concrete. This study presents a probabilistic numerical procedure for evaluating the impact of climate change on carbonation service life of slag blended concrete. This numerical procedure considers both corrosion initiation period and corrosion propagation period. First, in corrosion initiation period, by using an integrated hydration-carbonation model, the amount of carbonatable substances, porosity, and carbonation depth are calculated. The probability of corrosion initiation is determined through Monte Carlo method. Second, in corrosion propagation period, a probabilistic model is proposed to calculate the critical corrosion degree at surface cracking, the probability of surface cracking, and service life. Third, based on the service life in corrosion initiation period and corrosion propagation period, the whole service life is calculated. The analysis shows that for concrete structures with 50 years service life, after considering climate changes, the service life reduces about 7%.

• Water Engineering Research
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.31-43
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• 2003

The impacts of climate change on soil moisture in sub - Arctic watershed simulated by using the hydrologic model. A range of arbitrary changes in temperature and precipitation are applied to the runoff model to study the sensitivity of soil moisture due to potential changes in precipitation and temperature. The sensitivity analysis indicates that changes in precipitation are always amplified in soil moisture with the amplification factor for flow. The change in precipitation has effect on the soil moisture in the catchment. The percentage change in soil moisture levels can be greater than the percentage change in precipitation. Compared to precipitation, temperature increases or decreases alone have impacts on the soil moisture. These results show the potential for climate change to bring about soil moisture that may require a significant planning response. They are also indicative of the fact that hydrological impacts affecting water supply may be important in consider-ing the cost and benefits of potential climate change.

• 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.95-101
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• 2007

The surface changes due to urban expansion and the increase of artificial heat releases have brought significant climate changes such as heat island phenomenon in urban area. Furthermore, these changes also have brought serious problems such as air temperature increase, wind changes, and air pollution in urban area. Comprehensive analytical technologies considering various effects are required to analyse complicated mechanism of climate changes, and review the efficient measures. In this research, the effect of the urban expansion in Tokyo and Bangkok area on urban environment will be discussed. By using CFD, urban development and the mechanism of global warming and wind change are studied in those two cities. As a result of numerical research, the surface changes of city could bring the environmental changes in urban area.