• Title/Summary/Keyword: Climate Risk

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Ranking Determination of Foods and Foodborne Pathogens for Impact of Climate Change on Microbiological Food Safety (미생물학적 식품안전을 위한 기후변화 영향 식품 및 식중독 세균 우선순위 결정)

  • Bahk, Gyung Jin;Ha, Sang Do;Oh, Deog Hwan
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.36-40
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    • 2013
  • This study was performed to determine the ranking foods and related foodborne pathogens for the impact of climate change, e.g., increasing temperature, on microbiological food safety. To do this, we developed an impact-ranking model comprising an Excel spreadsheet by using Risk Ranger. Because of a lack of data, input values in this model were determined on the basis of an expert's opinion. These values also were converted to normal distribution, and the developed model was simulated using @RISK. In conclusion, the 5 superior ranking foods and related foodborne pathogens for climate change impact were as follows: ready-to-eat foods (RTE) (Staphylococcus aureus, Salmonella spp., and Escherichia coli O157:H7); bread and rice cakes (S. aureus and Bacillus cereus); meat and egg products (Salmonella spp., E. coli O157:H7, and S. aureus); tofu (bean curds) and jellies (B. cereus, E. coli O157:H7, and S. aureus); and fish products (S. aureus, Vibrio spp., and E. coli O157:H7).

A Study of the Correlation between Stroke Incidence by Climate of Day and Stems and Branches (기후(氣候) 및 간지(干支)와 중풍(中風) 發病日(발병일)에 관(關)한 상관성(相關性) 연구(硏究))

  • Choi, Hyo-Jae;Hwang, Min-Young;Baik, Yun-Seon;Ju, Dae-Hwan;Han, Chang-Ho;Shin, Gil-Cho;Lee, Won-Chul
    • The Journal of Internal Korean Medicine
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 2009
  • Objectives : This study investigated the correlation between the incidence by the climate of the day and the Stems and Branches(干支) of stroke patients. Methods : From January in 2000 to March in 2008, we studied 370 stroke patients hospitalized at Dongguk University Bundang Hospital. Each participant was investigated for the day's average temperature, the day's average air humidity, the day's average wind speed, and the day's Stems and Branches (干支) in oriental medical theory. Results: Concerning the day's average temperature, the group at a temperature under 18 $^{\circ}C$ had the highest risk. For the day's average air humidity, the group at over 60 % humidity showed a higher ratio of stroke. In respect of the day's average wind speed, the group at speeds under 2.26 $^m/s^2$ (the last 5 years average wind speed in Gyeonggi-do) had a higher risk. In the aspect of Stems and Branches (干支), stroke occurred more in Yin day(陰日) than in Yang day(陽日). In the view of the Five Circuits (五運), the Wood (木) was most common followed by Fire(火). Using the relation between Stems and Branches (干支), the mutuality cooperate pattern was more common than the mutuality control group and same characteristic group. Using the Theory of Five Circuits (五運) and Six Qi (六氣), the Fire group (火) showed the highest risk. The Wood group (木) came next. Conclusions : We could suggest that stroke attack might have some significant relationship with climate, stems, and branches in oriental medical theory.

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An Analysis on the Cockpit Crews' Perception on Airline's Safety Management System and their Safety Behavior (항공사 안전관리시스템에 대한 조종사의 인식과 안전행동에 대한 연구)

  • Cho, Sung Hwan;Kim, Ki Woong;Park, Sung Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.60-70
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    • 2014
  • This paper has tried to research the perception of pilots in a commercial airliners or full service carriers focusing on the airliner's safety management system (SMS). ICAO requires the airliners to set up the basic standards of SMS since the SMS is believed to be the core of the aviation risk management. According to the previous study, it was proved safety climate of an airline affects the safety behavior of cockpit crews. Safety climate is different from safety culture and the safety climate has an advantage to be measured more quantitatively than the culture. That is, the safety climate could be represented as SMS. As the results of the empirical study based on Chen & Chen(2014)'s SMS practice sacle, it had been assumed at the beginning the major factors such as Clarification of SMS, Safety Training for Crews and Sharing of SMS Information have positive effects on the motivation for safety behaviors. The motivation is directly correlated to crews' safety behaviors. However, the result showed the clarification of SMS has not a significant effect on their safety behaviors. The main reason is cockpit crews, through the survey, perceived airline seemed to have no definite standards of SMS and the senior management to have less interest in aviation safety.

Applicability of a Multiplicative Random Cascade Model for Disaggregation of Forecasted Rainfalls (예보강우 시간분해를 위한 Multiplicative Cascade 모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Daeha;Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Kang, Moon Seong;Lee, Kyung-do
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.5
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2016
  • High resolution rainfall data at 1-hour or a finer scale are essential for reliable flood analysis and forecasting; nevertheless, many observations, forecasts, and climate projections are still given at coarse temporal resolutions. This study aims to evaluate a chaotic method for disaggregation of 6-hour rainfall data sets so as to apply operational 6-hour rainfall forecasts of the Korean Meteorological Association to flood models. We computed parameters of a state-of-the-art multiplicative random cascade model with two combinations of cascades, namely uniform splitting and diversion, using rainfall observations at Seoul station, and compared statistical performance. We additionally disaggregated 6-hour rainfall time series at 58 stations with the uniform splitting and evaluated temporal transferability of the parameters and changes in multifractal properties. Results showed that the uniform splitting outperformed the diversion in reproduction of observed statistics, and hence is better to be used for disaggregation of 6-hour rainfall forecasts. We also found that multifractal properties of rainfall observations has adequate temporal consistency with an indication of gradually increasing rainfall intensity across South Korea.

A Study on Development of Out-door Wear Design to Respond to the Climate and Environment -Focus on the design in collections after the year 2000- (기후와 환경에 대응하기 위한 아웃도어 웨어 디자인에 관한 연구 -2000년 이후 컬렉션에서 발표된 디자인을 중심으로-)

  • Bae, Jung-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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    • v.61 no.7
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2011
  • The present research aims to suggest the design of a new direction that copes with the changing environment. For example, the design for outdoor wear can be made through various methods that allows it to be worn for anytime and anywhere. Also, the research aimed to seek a development direction of outdoor wear design with environment-friendly expanded function that handles unpredictable environmental changes. The analysis of this research is as follows. First, it can be said that the trend of the outdoor wear design according to climate and environment changes is a design that seeks an efficient and rational role in functional aspects such as complex multi-functionality and minimum decorations as well as enhancing economic efficiency. Second, the outdoor wear design provides the optimal climate for the human body even in a continuously changing artificial environment. Its easy and comfortable function also helps to keep defense from possible risk elements. Lastly, this research seeks interactions among design, the body and environment. It also tries shape change using buttons and zippers, etc. according to expansion of a structural form of clothes as multi-functionality and versatility tools, and seeks a design form that can be reconstructed. The research that geared toward environmental changes should be further progressed in order to produce apparel that have efficient adaptability of any climate situations.

Impact of Climate Change on Variation of the Aridity and Evaporative Indexes in South Korea

  • Ha, Doan Thi Thu;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.146-146
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    • 2019
  • The aridity index, which is determined as the ratio of potential evapotranspiration to precipitation, is one of key parameters in drought characterization. Whereas the evaporative index, which is defined as the ratio of actual evapotranspiration to precipitation, represents the fraction of available water consumed by the evapotranspiration process. This study investigates variation of the aridity and evaporative indexes due to climate change during the 21st century in South Korea. Estimations of the aridity and evaporative indexes are obtained using SWAT mode based on ensemble of 13 different GCMs over 5 large basins of South Korea for 2 RCP scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). The results shows the opposite trends of the two indexes, where the aridity index is projected as always increase, while the evaporative index is expected to decrease in all of 3 future period (2011-1940, 1941-1970, 1971-2099). The estimated results also suggest that land cover influenced significantly evapotranspiration along with the change of climate. The study indicates that South Korea will be facing with a high risk of water scarcity in future due to climate change, which is seriously challenging for water planing and management in the country.

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A study on the improvement of water resource governance to adapt to climate change (기후변화 적응을 위한 국내 수자원 거버넌스의 개선방안 모색)

  • Kim, Sinae;Kang, Moon-Seong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.309-319
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    • 2022
  • In establishing climate change adaptation strategies, the recent policy paradigm is changing from structural measures in the past to risk management. The establishment of water resource governance based on the participation and cooperation of various stakeholders is important in developing a climate change adaptation strategy. This paper identifies the limitations of Korea's water resource governance and seeks ways to improve the water resource governance for effective adaptation to climate change by examining the development process and current status of water management policies and water resource governance in Korea and major OECD countries.

Future Inundation Characteristics Analysis for the Cheongmi Stream Watershed Considering Non-stationarity of Precipitation (강우의 비정상성을 고려한 청미천 유역의 미래 침수특성 분석)

  • Ryu, Jeong Hoon;Kang, Moon Seong;Jun, Sang Min;Park, Jihoon;Lee, Kyeong-Do
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.1
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    • pp.81-96
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    • 2017
  • Along with climate change, it is reported that the scale and the frequency of extreme climate events (e.g. heavy rain, typhoon, etc.) show unstable tendency of increase. In case of Korea, also, the frequency of heavy rainfall shows increasing tendency, thus causing natural disaster damage in downtown and agricultural areas by rainfall that exceeds the design criteria of hydraulic structures. In order to minimize natural disaster damage, it is necessary to analyze how extreme precipitation event changes under climate change. Therefore a new design criteria based on non-stationarity frequency analysis is needed to consider a tendency of future extreme precipitation event and to prepare countermeasures to climate change. And a quantitative and objective characteristic analysis could be a key to preparing countermeasures to climate change impact. In this study, non-stationarity frequency analysis was performed and inundation risk indices developed by 4 inundation characteristics (e.g. inundation area, inundation depth, inundation duration, and inundation radius) were assessed. The study results showed that future probable rainfall could exceed the existing design criteria of hydraulic structures (rivers of state: 100yr-200yr, river banks: 50yr-100yr) reaching over 500yr frequency probable rainfall of the past. Inundation characteristics showed higher value in the future compared to the past, especially in sections with tributary stream inflow. Also, the inundation risk indices were estimated as 0.14 for the past period of 1973-2015, and 0.25, 0.29, 1.27 for the future period of 2016-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100, respectively. The study findings are expected to be used as a basis to analyze future inundation damage and to establish management solutions for rivers with inundation risks.

Is it appropriate to exclude cold exposure from the risk factors of Bell's palsy? (Bell's palsy의 유발인자로서의 한랭 노출에 대한 소고(小考))

  • Jang, In-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Acupuncture
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.51-54
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    • 2006
  • Objectives : To express an opinion on the controversy about the cold exposure as one of the risk factors of Bell's palsy. Results & Conclusions : It is widely assumed that there is a causal relationship between Bell's palsy and herpes family virus. Regarding cold exposure as one of the risk factors of Bell's palsy, however, some physicians do not accept that cold exposure could be one of the risk factors of Bell's palsy. There is no evidence supporting the hypothesis that the virus causes Bell's palsy, and it has yet to be confirmed. As there are some experimental and clinical reports suggesting that Bell‘s palsy is related to the cold exposure, we cannot exclude the possibility that the cold exposure may be one of the important risk factors of Bell's palsy. It would be necessary to undertake further studies to determine this.

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Implementation of a Weather Hazard Warning System at a Catchment Scale (시스템 구성요소 통합 및 현업서비스 구축)

  • Shin, Yong Soon
    • Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
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    • 2014.10a
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    • pp.74-85
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    • 2014
  • This study is a part of "Early Warning Service for Weather Risk Management in Climate-smart Agriculture", describes the delivery techniques from 840 catchment scale weather warning information using 150 counties unit special weather report(alarm, warning) released from KMA(Korea Meteorological Administration) and chronic weather warning information based on daily weather data from 76 synoptic stations. Catchment weather hazard warning service express a sequential risk index map generated by countries report occurs and report grade(alarm, warning) convert to catchment scale using zonal summarizing method. Additional services were chronic weather warning service at crop growth and accumulated more than 4 weeks, based on an unsuitable weather conditions, representing a relative risk compared to its catchment climatological normal conditions (normal distribution ) in addition to special weather report. Service provided by a real-time catchment scale map overlaid with VWORLD open platform operated by Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport. Also provide a foundation for weather risk information to inform individual farmers to farm located within the catchment zone warning occur.

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