• Title/Summary/Keyword: Classification modeling

Search Result 600, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

An Automatic Pattern Recognition Algorithm for Identifying the Spatio-temporal Congestion Evolution Patterns in Freeway Historic Data (고속도로 이력데이터에 포함된 정체 시공간 전개 패턴 자동인식 알고리즘 개발)

  • Park, Eun Mi;Oh, Hyun Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.32 no.5
    • /
    • pp.522-530
    • /
    • 2014
  • Spatio-temporal congestion evolution pattern can be reproduced using the VDS(Vehicle Detection System) historic speed dataset in the TMC(Traffic Management Center)s. Such dataset provides a pool of spatio-temporally experienced traffic conditions. Traffic flow pattern is known as spatio-temporally recurred, and even non-recurrent congestion caused by incidents has patterns according to the incident conditions. These imply that the information should be useful for traffic prediction and traffic management. Traffic flow predictions are generally performed using black-box approaches such as neural network, genetic algorithm, and etc. Black-box approaches are not designed to provide an explanation of their modeling and reasoning process and not to estimate the benefits and the risks of the implementation of such a solution. TMCs are reluctant to employ the black-box approaches even though there are numerous valuable articles. This research proposes a more readily understandable and intuitively appealing data-driven approach and developes an algorithm for identifying congestion patterns for recurrent and non-recurrent congestion management and information provision.

A Study on Wildlife Habitat Suitability Modeling for Goral (Nemorhaedus caudatus raddeanus) in Seoraksan National Park (설악산 산양을 대상으로 한 야생동물 서식지 적합성 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Chang Wan;Choi, Tae Young;Choi, Yun Soo;Kim, Dong Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.28-38
    • /
    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study are to compare existing presence-absence predictive models and to predict suitable habitat for Goral (Nemorhaedus caudatus raddeanus) that is an endangered and protected species in Seoraksan national park using the best model among existing predictive models. The methods of this study are as follows. First, 375 location data and 9 environmental data layers were implemented to build a model. Secondly, 4 existing presence-absence models : Generalized Linear Model (GLM), Generalized Addictive Model (GAM), Classification and Regression Tree (CART), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) were tested to predict the Goal habitat. Thirdly, ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) and Kappa statistics were used to calculate a model performance. Lastly, we verified models and created habitat suitability maps. The ROC AUC (Area Under the Curve) and Kappa values were 0.697/0.266 (GLM), 0.729/0.313 (GAM), 0.776/0.453 (CART), and 0.858/0.559 (ANN). Therefore, ANN was selected as the best model among 4 models. The models showed that elevation, slope, and distance to stream were the significant factors for Goal habitat. The ratio of predicted area of ANN using a threshold was 31.29%, but the area decreased when human effect was considered. We need to investigate the difference of various models to build a suitable wildlife habitat model under a given condition.

Classification of Seoul Metro Stations Based on Boarding/ Alighting Patterns Using Machine Learning Clustering (기계학습 클러스터링을 이용한 승하차 패턴에 따른 서울시 지하철역 분류)

  • Min, Meekyung
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.13-18
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this study, we classify Seoul metro stations according to boarding and alighting patterns using machine earning technique. The target data is the number of boarding and alighting passengers per hour every day at 233 subway stations from 2008 to 2017 provided by the public data portal. Gaussian mixture model (GMM) and K-means clustering are used as machine learning techniques in order to classify subway stations. The distribution of the boarding time and the alighting time of the passengers can be modeled by the Gaussian mixture model. K-means clustering algorithm is used for unsupervised learning based on the data obtained by GMM modeling. As a result of the research, Seoul metro stations are classified into four groups according to boarding and alighting patterns. The results of this study can be utilized as a basic knowledge for analyzing the characteristics of Seoul subway stations and analyzing it economically, socially and culturally. The method of this research can be applied to public data and big data in areas requiring clustering.

Robust feature vector composition for frontal face detection (노이즈에 강인한 정면 얼굴 검출을 위한 특성벡터 추출법)

  • Lee Seung-Ik;Won Chulho;Im Sung-Woon;Kim Duk-Gyoo
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
    • /
    • v.42 no.6
    • /
    • pp.75-82
    • /
    • 2005
  • The robust feature vector selection method for the multiple frontal face detection is proposed in this paper. The proposed feature vector for the training and classification are integrated by means, amplitude projections, and its 1D Harr wavelet of the input image. And the statistical modeling is performed both for face and nonface classes. Finally, the estimated probability density functions (PDFs) are applied for the detection of multiple frontal faces in the still image. The proposed method can handle multiple faces, partially occluded faces, and slightly posed-angle faces. And also the proposed method is very effective for low quality face images. Experimental results show that detection rate of the propose method is $98.3\%$ with three false detections on the testing data, SET3 which have 227 faces in 80 images.

Modeling Planned Maintenance Outage of Generators Based on Advanced Demand Clustering Algorithms (개선된 수요 클러스터링 기법을 이용한 발전기 보수정지계획 모델링)

  • Kim, Jin-Ho;Park, Jong-Bae
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.55 no.4
    • /
    • pp.172-178
    • /
    • 2006
  • In this paper, an advanced demand clustering algorithm which can explore the planned maintenance outage of generators in changed electricity industry is proposed. The major contribution of this paper can be captured in the development of the long-term estimates for the generation availability considering planned maintenance outage. Two conflicting viewpoints, one of which is reliability-focused and the other is economy-focused, are incorporated in the development of estimates of maintenance outage based on the advanced demand clustering algorithm. Based on the advanced clustering algorithm, in each demand cluster, conventional effective outage of generators which conceptually capture maintenance and forced outage of generators, are newly defined in order to properly address the characteristic of the planned maintenance outage in changed electricity markets. First, initial market demand is classified into multiple demand clusters, which are defined by the effective outage rates of generators and by the inherent characteristic of the initial demand. Then, based on the advanced demand clustering algorithm, the planned maintenance outages and corresponding effective outages of generators are reevaluated. Finally, the conventional demand clusters are newly classified in order to reflect the improved effective outages of generation markets. We have found that the revision of the demand clusters can change the number of the initial demand clusters, which cannot be captured in the conventional demand clustering process. Therefore, it can be seen that electricity market situations, which can also be classified into several groups which show similar patterns, can be more accurately clustered. From this the fundamental characteristics of power systems can be more efficiently analyzed, for this advanced classification can be widely applicable to other technical problems in power systems such as generation scheduling, power flow analysis, price forecasts, and so on.

A Study of Safety Accident Prediction Model (Focusing on Military Traffic Accident Cases) (안전사고 예측모형 개발 방안에 관한 연구(군 교통사고 사례를 중심으로))

  • Ki, Jae-Sug;Hong, Myeong-Gi
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.427-441
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study proposes a method for developing a model that predicts the probability of traffic accidents in advance to prevent the most frequent traffic accidents in the military. Method: For this purpose, CRISP-DM (Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining) was applied in this study. The CRISP-DM process consists of 6 stages, and each stage is not unidirectional like the Waterfall Model, but improves the level of completeness through feedback between stages. Results: As a result of modeling the same data set as the previously constructed accident investigation data for the entire group, when the classification criterion was 0.5, Significant results were derived from the accuracy, specificity, sensitivity, and AUC of the model for predicting traffic accidents. Conclusion: In the process of designing the prediction model, it was confirmed that it was difficult to obtain a meaningful prediction value due to the lack of data. The methodology for designing a predictive model using the data set was proposed by reorganizing and expanding a data set capable of rational inference to solve the data shortage.

Analysis of Seafarers' Behavioral Error on Collision Accidents (충돌사고에 대한 해기사의 행동오류 분석)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.43 no.4
    • /
    • pp.237-242
    • /
    • 2019
  • Behavioral errors of the seafarers are one of the major causes of collisions and are usually corrected through education and training. To correct this behavioral error, the structure in which the behavioral error occurs needs to be identified and analyzed. For this purpose, behavior observation data were obtained through ship maneuvering simulation for collision encounters. The 9-state behavior classification frame proposed by Reason was used for the behavior observation and 50 university students were involved in the experiment. Behavioral analysis used the behavioral model of collision avoidance success and failure, which was developed from the 9-state Left-to-Right Hidden Markov modeling technique. As a result of the experiment, the difference between behaviors of success and failure of collision avoidance was clearly identified, and the linkage between 9-state behaviors, required to prevent collision, was derived.

Topic Automatic Extraction Model based on Unstructured Security Intelligence Report (비정형 보안 인텔리전스 보고서 기반 토픽 자동 추출 모델)

  • Hur, YunA;Lee, Chanhee;Kim, Gyeongmin;Lim, HeuiSeok
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
    • /
    • v.10 no.6
    • /
    • pp.33-39
    • /
    • 2019
  • As cyber attack methods are becoming more intelligent, incidents such as security breaches and international crimes are increasing. In order to predict and respond to these cyber attacks, the characteristics, methods, and types of attack techniques should be identified. To this end, many security companies are publishing security intelligence reports to quickly identify various attack patterns and prevent further damage. However, the reports that each company distributes are not structured, yet, the number of published intelligence reports are ever-increasing. In this paper, we propose a method to extract structured data from unstructured security intelligence reports. We also propose an automatic intelligence report analysis system that divides a large volume of reports into sub-groups based on their topics, making the report analysis process more effective and efficient.

Priority for the Investment of Artificial Rainfall Fusion Technology (인공강우 융합기술 개발을 위한 R&D 투자 우선순위 도출)

  • Lim, Jong Yeon;Kim, KwangHoon;Won, DongKyu;Yeo, Woon-Dong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.19 no.3
    • /
    • pp.261-274
    • /
    • 2019
  • This paper aims to develop an appropriate methodology for establishing an investment strategy for 'demonstration of artificial rainfall technology using UAV' and that include establishment of a technology classification, set of indicators for technology evaluation, suggestion of final key technology as a whole study area. It is designed to complement the latest research trend analysis results and expert committee opinions using quantitative analysis. The key indicators for technology evaluation consisted of three major items (activity, technology, marketability) and 10 detailed indicators. The AHP questionnaire was conducted to analyze the importance of indicators. As a result, it was analyzed that the attribute of the technology itself is most important, and the order of closeness to the implementation of the core function (centrality), feasibility (feasibility). Among the 16 technology groups, top investment priority groups were analyzed as ground seeding, artificial rainfall verification, spreading and diffusion of seeding material, artificial rainfall numerical modeling, and UAV sensor technology.

A Study of Senior Men's Dress Form Development 3D Digital Technology (3D 디지털 기술을 활용한 시니어 남성 기성복 피팅용 드레스폼 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Do, Wolhee;Choi, Eunhee
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
    • /
    • v.20 no.6
    • /
    • pp.722-732
    • /
    • 2018
  • This study was to develop a dress form that is highly representative of the body shapes of senior men in their 50s and 60s. And this research was compared the measurements and forms of three different dress forms available in the market, in order to analyze the body type and suitability and provide a standard for developing and utilizing the dress forms. After extracting the body shapes of the senior men's 3D shape, the body type that is curvature on the back prevalent among senior men, was chosen. The dress form was created as follows: 3D modeling and rendering, printing with a FDM-type 3D printer. The dress forms were 3D-scanned and the 3D data was analyzed - classification drop value, area deviation, compared horizontal section and vertical section. The results were as follows: This suggested that the area deviation amount at the chest and hip circumference levels was larger in the commercial products than in the dress form in this study, while that at the waist circumference level was larger in the dress form in this study. The vertical length of the lateral shoulder point-waist circumference was smaller, the side shape showed severe curvature on the back, and the waist circumference was larger in the senior men dress form than the commercial products. The dress form developed in this study reflected the body type of senior men and, therefore, were suitable for fitting when creating clothes for senior men.