• 제목/요약/키워드: Choice Probability

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한국산 각시붕어 수컷의 혼인색과 암컷의 배우자 선택 (Male Colors and Female Mate Preference in Korean Rosy Bitterling, Rhodeus uyekii (Cyprinidae: Acheilognathinae))

  • 전형배;석호영
    • 한국어류학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.263-271
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    • 2012
  • 암컷의 배우자 선택은 여러 수컷들이 가지고 있는 다양한 특성에서 각기 다른 종류의 정보를 수집, 종합하여 가장 최적의 개체를 배우자로 결정하는 매우 복잡한 행동이다. 본 연구에서는 순차적인 교배 시스템($4{\times}4$ block breeding)을 이용하여 각시붕어(Rhodeus uyekii) 암컷의 배우자 선택방식을 조사하였고, 가중과 비가중 유전적 이득의 상대적 기여도를 추정해 보고자 하였다. 실험장치 내에서 총 48회의 암, 수간 배우자 상호작용이 관찰되었고, 암컷은 일반적으로 카로티노이드 혼인색 발현이 강한 수컷들을 배우자로 선호하는 것으로 나타났다. 하지만, 배우자 선호 정도가 개체에 따라 차이가 나타나므로, 비가중적 요소도 암컷이 배우자를 선택하는데 있어 기여를 할 것으로 예상된다.

구매빈도별 피자전문점 선택에 미치는 속성의 영향 평가 (Estimating Effects of Attributes on Choice of Pizza Restaurants by Purchase Frequency)

  • 강종헌;정인숙
    • 한국생활과학회지
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.491-499
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to measure the pizza purchasing behavioral characteristics of respondents and importances of factors affecting pizza purchase, to estimate the effects of attributes on choice of pizza restaurant, and to predict probability of selecting a particular pizza restaurant. The questionnaire consisted of two parts: The paired experimental profiles, purchasing behavior and importances of factors affecting pizza purchase. This study generated profiles of 16 hypothetical pizza restaurants based on seven attributes. The profiles comprised 16 discrete sets of variables, each of which had two levels. For this study, researcher randomly selected 150 university students as respondents. Twenty one students did not complete the survey instrument, resulting in a final sample size of 129. All estimations were carried out using frequencies, $X^2$, independent samples t-test, phreg procedure of SAS package. The results were as followed: Some purchasing behavioral characteristics and importances of factors affecting pizza purchase were significantly different by purchase frequency. Based on the estimated models developed for the two purchase frequency groups, the Chi-square statistics were significant at p<0.001. The parameter estimate for late delivery time with frequently purchase frequency group was highest, and the parameter estimate for price with frequently purchase frequency group was highest. The pizza restaurants that charged 20,000 won, offered 100% discount on eleventh pizza, promised to deliver pizza in 20 min, usually delivered the pizza as promised, offered 2 or more types of pizza crust, delivered steaming hot pizza, and did not offer a money-back guarantee which was favored by each of the two purchase frequency groups. The results from this study suggested that there was an opportunity to increase market share and profit by improving operations so that customers can receive discount and money-back guarantee simultaneously, and by reducing price, delivery time.

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농산물 구매선택 속성이 로컬푸드 직매장 이용에 미치는 영향 연구 (A Study on the Effects of Selection Attributes for Agricultural Products on Using Local Food Store)

  • 정준호;황성혁
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - As consumers' needs for purchasing fresh and safe food have been bigger in Korea, their interest in local food is also growing recently. So, the number of local food stores has been increased from 3 in 2012 to 103 in 2015. Local food stores should operate a business responding consumers' needs in order that local food stores are not to be a one-time fad. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to analyze the characteristics of consumers who use a local food store and provide helpful implications to design a strategy for sustainable growth of local food store. Research design, data, and methodology - In this study, Probit model was used for empirical analysis in order to examine the effect of purchase choice attributes of agricultural products, consumer's satisfaction, and their demographic factors upon the intention to use a local food store. After estimating coefficients of the probit model, marginal effects were calculated as a standard normal, and cumulative distribution is differentiated with respect to explanatory variables. To collect the data, questionnaire survey was carried out with the consumers using the local food store (Youngjin Nonghyup near to Jeonju city located in Jeollabuk-do). Result - The data analysis found that the more consumers are satisfied with local food store, the higher intention they have to use the local food store. In addition, it was known that the factors related to quality of agricultural products and shopping convenience among the purchase choice attributes have a considerable impact on the purchase intention of a local food store. In demographic factors, income was turned out to be an important factor affecting purchase intention of local food. Such a result supports the hypothesis that high income consumers are likely to purchase local food, which is based on the inference that consumers who have a high income tend to pursue wellbeing life. Futhermore, information delivery, through a reputable media source among general factors, was known to play an important role in forming an intention to purchase local food. According to the analysis of marginal effects, probability of purchase intention of a local food store is increased by 11.4%, if a monthly average income of a household is above 4.5 million Won(Korean currency). If purchasing satisfaction with local food stores is high, the probability of purchase intention would be increased by 24.1%. Likewise, such a probability goes up by 8.7%, 5.8%, respectively as an increasing one unit of quality of agricultural products and shopping convenience of local food stores, respectively. Conclusion - For attaining sustainable growth in a local food store, it is considered necessarily to establish a proper store operation system to meet consumers' needs, especially for quality and shopping convenience of local food. Moreover, as it was found that appropriate communication through media source has a positive effect on the intention to use local food store, PR activity seems to be necessary to expand the consumers' demands for local foods.

Prediction of negative peak wind pressures on roofs of low-rise building

  • Rao, K. Balaji;Anoop, M.B.;Harikrishna, P.;Rajan, S. Selvi;Iyer, Nagesh R.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.623-647
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, a probability distribution which is consistent with the observed phenomenon at the roof corner and, also on other portions of the roof, of a low-rise building is proposed. The model is consistent with the choice of probability density function suggested by the statistical thermodynamics of open systems and turbulence modelling in fluid mechanics. After presenting the justification based on physical phenomenon and based on statistical arguments, the fit of alpha-stable distribution for prediction of extreme negative wind pressure coefficients is explored. The predictions are compared with those actually observed during wind tunnel experiments (using wind tunnel experimental data obtained from the aerodynamic database of Tokyo Polytechnic University), and those predicted by using Gumbel minimum and Hermite polynomial model. The predictions are also compared with those estimated using a recently proposed non-parametric model in regions where stability criterion (in skewness-kurtosis space) is satisfied. From the comparisons, it is noted that the proposed model can be used to estimate the extreme peak negative wind pressure coefficients. The model has an advantage that it is consistent with the physical processes proposed in the literature for explaining large fluctuations at the roof corners.

공동주택 구성재의 내용년수 산정방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Service life of the Building Components in the Apartment Housing)

  • 이강희;장정희;채창우
    • 한국주거학회논문집
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2005
  • The performance of building should be deteriorated with time while the building would maintain and manage the function and performance to get a living condition. For the efficient maintenance of the building, the repair cycle would be provided and applied during the service-life time. The service-life time of the building components would be needed to determine the repair time and the repair scope. The service-life time of the building components would be calculated with the 1st repair time and the recovery rate of the performance, considering the recovery rate after repaired. In this paper, the 1st repair time would be estimated with the normal probability distribution, choice probability and 3rd quadratic function. The recovery rate of the building components assumes various level according to the research target and utility area. The results of this study are as follows ; first, most of the components of the building work would range about 30 years in the service-life time and the components of the mechanical works range from 28 years to 37 years, those of the electrical works would be about 31 years.

맥주매송게임에서 다구찌 방법에 의한 불확실 정보 기반 의사결정 연구 (Decision-Making based on Uncertain Information in a Beer Distribution Game U sing the Taguchi Method)

  • 이기광
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2010
  • Information is known to be a key element for the successful operation of a supply chain, which is required of the efficient ordering strategies and accurate predictions of demands. This study proposes a method to effectively utilize the meteorological forecast information in order to make decisions about ordering and prediction of demands by using the Taguchi experimental design. It is supposed that each echelon in a supply chain determines the order quantity with the prediction of precipitation in the next day based on probability forecast information. The precipitation event is predicted when the probability of the precipitation exceeds a chosen threshold. Accordingly, the choice of the threshold affect the performances of a supply chain. The Taguchi method is adopted to deduce a set of thresholds for echelons which is least sensitive to changes in environmental conditions, such as variability of demand distributions and production periods. A simulation of the beer distribution game was conducted to show that the set of thresholds found by the Taguchi method can reduce the cumulative chain cost, which consists of inventory and backlog costs.

불확실성을 고려한 연피해 기대치 산정 (Expected Annual Damage Estimation with Uncertainty)

  • 김형수;김유진;이지원
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2003
  • The flood damage reduction studies have been performed by the channel improvement plan and the levee has mainly constructed with the freeboard concept. However, the freeboard concept might be an inappropriate choice as a safety factor of the levee because many uncertainties are involved in the procedure of the channel improvement plan studies. So, we considered the uncertainties In the discharge-probability, stage-discharge, and stage-damage functions and estimate the expected annual damage. The Monte Carlo technique for uncertainty analysis is used. As our results, the expected annual damage with uncertainty shows the larger value than without uncertainty. Since the expected annual damage with uncertainty already considers the safety factor it is the proper result. However, the expected annual damage without uncertainty does not consider the safety factor yet. Thus, if the expected annual damage without uncertainty considers the freeboard concept, it could be compared with the expected annual damage with uncertainty for the evaluation of the overestimation or underestimation of the levee construction.

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Performance Analysis of Ranging Techniques for the KPLO Mission

  • Park, Sungjoon;Moon, Sangman
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the performance of ranging techniques for the Korea Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter (KPLO) space communication system is investigated. KPLO is the first lunar mission of Korea, and pseudo-noise (PN) ranging will be used to support the mission along with sequential ranging. We compared the performance of both ranging techniques using the criteria of accuracy, acquisition probability, and measurement time. First, we investigated the end-to-end accuracy error of a ranging technique incorporating all sources of errors such as from ground stations and the spacecraft communication system. This study demonstrates that increasing the clock frequency of the ranging system is not required when the dominant factor of accuracy error is independent of the thermal noise of the ranging technique being used in the system. Based on the understanding of ranging accuracy, the measurement time of PN and sequential ranging are further investigated and compared, while both techniques satisfied the accuracy and acquisition requirements. We demonstrated that PN ranging performed better than sequential ranging in the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) regime where KPLO will be operating, and we found that the T2B (weighted-voting balanced Tausworthe, voting v = 2) code is the best choice among the PN codes available for the KPLO mission.

Bayes 판단 이론 기반 멀티미디어 워터마크 검출 알고리즘 (Multimedia Watermark Detection Algorithm Based on Bayes Decision Theory)

  • 권성근;이석환;김병주;권기구;하인성;권기룡;이건일
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제27권7A호
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    • pp.695-704
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    • 2002
  • 멀티미디어에 삽입된 워터마크의 검출은 저작권 보호 및 인증 분야에서 매우 중요한 역할을 한다. 최근 워터마크의 검출에 많이 사용되는 유사도 기반 알고리즘은 대상 영상의 분포 특성을 이용하지 않기 때문에 검출 성능이 떨어지는 단점을 가진다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 웨이블릿 변환 영역에서 상승적 방법에 의하여 삽입된 워터마크에 대한 효율적인 검출 알고리즘을 제안하였다. 제안한 워터마크 검출 알고리즘은 통계적 판단 이론에 따라 Bayes 판단 이론, 웨이블릿 계수들의 확률 분포 모델, 및 Neyman-Pearson 정의에 기반을 둔다. 따라서 제안한 검출 알고리즘에서는 주어진 오류 검출 확률에 대하여 간과 검출 확률을 최소화할 수 있는 장점이 있다. 제안한 검출 알고리즘의 성능 평가는 견고성 측면에서 수행되었고, 실험 결과로부터 제안한 알고리즘이 유사도 기반 알고리즘에 비하여 우수한 성능을 나타냄을 확인하였다.

통계적 판단 이론을 이용한 워터마크 검출 알고리즘 (Watermark Detection Algorithm Using Statistical Decision Theory)

  • 권성근;김병주;이석환;권기구;권기용;이건일
    • 전자공학회논문지CI
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2003
  • 멀티미디어에 삽입된 워터마크의 검출은 저작권 보호 및 인증 분야에서 매우 중요한 역할을 한다. 최근 워터마크의 검출에 많이 사용되는 유사도 기반 알고리즘은 상가성 방법을 제외한 워터마크 삽입 방법에 대해서는 효과적이지 못한 단점을 가진다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 웨이블릿 변환 영역에서 상승적 방법에 의하여 삽입된 워터마크에 대한 효율적인 검출 알고리즘을 제안하였다. 제안한 워터마크 검출 알고리즘은 통계적 판단 이론에 따라 Bayes 판단 이론, Neyman-Pearson 정의, 및 웨이블릿 계수들의 확률 분포 모델을 기반으로 도출되어서, 주어진 오류 검출 확률에 대하여 간과 검출 확률을 최소화할 수 있다. 제안한 검출 알고리즘의 성능 평가는 견고성 측면에서 수행되었고, 실험 결과로부터 제안한 알고리즘이 유사도 기반 알고리즘에 비하여 우수한 성능을 나타냄을 확인하였다.