• 웰빙융합연구
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• 제3권4호
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• pp.1-4
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• 2020

Purpose: This research, based on the tariff reduction table negotiated by South Korea and China free trade area, the specific tariffs of the two countries in the implementation of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement are calculated, and the global equilibrium model, the global trade analysis project (GTAP) model, is used to simulate and analyze the impact of the Korea-China free trade area on the output and trade of the two countries. Research design, data and methodology: The study conducted a survey on 2018 year GTAP 9.0data. After empirically analyzing the data, we believe that the Major industry in Korea and China will maintain its growth momentum. Results: This study shows that under the assumption that the average tariff of China and South Korea at the beginning of FTA was reduced to 20%, two scenarios were simulated. Two scenarios are simulated under the assumption that the average tariff of China and South Korea FTA will be reduced to 10%. Conclusions: This paper assumes that the average tariff of China-Korea FTA is set at 20%, 10% and zero tariff respectively in the early, middle and long term of the FTA construction. It considers the impact of China-Japan-Korea FTA on China- Korea FTA.

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제20권5호
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• pp.85-92
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• 2022

최근 몇 년간 미국의 일련의 보호무역주의 조치와 브렉시트(Brexit) 등 반세계화 행태로 세계의 자유무역체제가 큰 타격을 받았다. 이러한 배경에서 세계 최대 무역 협정인 RCEP가 2021년 11월 15일에 공식 서명되었다. RCEP는 한중일 자유무역지대 구축을 위한 좋은 작업 기반을 제공했다. 첫째, 본고는 한중일 무역협력 현황과 3국 통신 산업의 현황을 기술한다. 둘째, 본 논문은 제8판 GTAP 데이터베이스를 이용하여 자유무역지역 설정 이후 관세가 각각 0%, 5%, 10%로 인하될 때 중국, 일본, 한국의 경제 전반의 변화를 시뮬레이션하였다. 그런 다음 시뮬레이션된 데이터 변경 사항을 사용하고 2019년 데이터를 벤치마크로 사용하여 3개 세율에 따른 3개국 통신 산업의 RCA 지수의 변경 사항을 계산했다. 결국 한중일 자유무역지대가 수립되면 3국의 경제는 다방면에서 서로 다른 수준으로 성장할 것이라는 결론이 나온다. 일본의 통신 산업은 큰 영향을 받지 않을 것이며 한국은 높은 세율로 크게 성장할 것이고 중국은 낮은 세율로 크게 성장할 것이다.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.95-122
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• 2004

This study focuses on analyzing the potentiality of economic integration and the changes in logistics circumstances in Northeast Asia. So far as the changes in logistics circumstances in it, it is emphasized a complex transport system by sea and by land, according to the connection with the Railroad of South-North in Korean Peninsula and the Railroad of the Continent of Siberia. It first considers the propriety of economic integration among Korea, China and Japan in Northeast Asia. The first stage of the economic integration in Northeast Asia means it is started from contracting of FTA(Free Trade Agreement) which just agreed at the Summit Conference among Korea, China and Japan in ASEAN＋3(Korea China. Japan). At that time, the Summit Conference between the three countries have agreed to study on the propriety of FTA charging by own country's research organization. At first China has been hesitated to join with FTA in spite of high growth in his economy, because the time is not yet for it. After all, China also decided himself to participate to FTA together with Korea and Japan by reacted to the stimulus at the conference atmosphere between every country of ASEAN. The discussion on the changes in logistics circumstances also is needed to deal simultaneously with a situation in the economic integration in Northeast Asia. It is worthy to be paid our attention to the restoration of the Railroad of South-North in Korean Peninsula, which was disconnected for a long time from the dispute between South Korea and North Korea. Therefore, it needs to be investigated together with the movement of economic integration in Northeast Asia. The reaction on the restoration of the Railroad of South-North in Korean Peninsula is not only limited to the transport of trade cargo between South Korea and North Korea, but also it is reached to all of Northeast Asia, so far as to all of the area of Russia, Europe, and the other neighbor countries. Because this railroad is connected with the Railroad of the Continent of Siberia. The transport of trade cargo in Northeast Asia have been mostly depended upon the transport by sea until now. However, it would be divided into the transport by sea as well as by land from now. As its economic effect, the restoration of the Railroad of South-North in Korean Peninsula could be not only contributed to reduce the cost of logistics within South Korea and North Korea, but also within or without in Northeast Asia, Russia, and Europe. Consequently, it could be improved the power of international competitiveness of goods in Northeast Asia, according to the formation of a complex transport system together with the transport by sea and by land.