• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.69-86
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• 2022

This study examines performances and varieties of export of IP sensitive products across emerging countries, namely, India and China by utilizing 6-digit disaggregated product-level export data. Further, this study constructs trade margins - extensive and intensive margins to understand trade potential and different trade patterns, specifically, exporters' productivity, product diversification, and volume of trade during 2007-2016. This study finds India's performance is comparable with China at the extensive margin though the gap between India and China is very wide in terms of the total value of exports and the intensive margin. China majorly exports more expensive electronics and manufacturing-related products as opposed to relatively cheaper medicinal and synthetic products, the total value of exports from China to the rest of the world is much higher than that of India. This study suggests that India is exporting IP-sensitive products to lower-income countries sufficiently, but the IP-sensitive exports to higher-income countries are still lagging.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제26권7호
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• pp.109-126
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• 2022

Purpose - Based on the relevant panel data for China and 13 of the RCEP countries from 2008-2019, this paper conducts an in-depth study on the impact of trade facilitation levels on China's cross-border e-commerce exports using the expanded trade gravity model. Design/methodology - This study constructs a trade facilitation index (TFI) system, and uses the principal component analysis method to measure the trade facilitation levels of RCEP countries in 2008-2019. This result is then introduced into the extended gravity model to explore the effect of trade facilitation in RCEP countries on China's cross-border e-commerce export. Findings - It is found that the overall trade facilitation level has a significant effect on China's cross-border e-commerce exports. Among the primary indicators, with the exception of infrastructure, the other four indicators demonstrate a significant impact. The findings show that China should strengthen its cooperation with RCEP countries in trade facilitation and cross-border e-commerce to better achieve complementary regional economic development. Originality/value - This paper has three contributions: first, this paper builds a TFI system that includes five primary indicators based on the characteristics of cross-border e-commerce. Second, we explore the impact of trade facilitation levels of RCEP countries on China's cross-border e-commerce exports, which helps to fill the gap in existing studies of the impact of cross-border e-commerce exports. Third, this paper further analyzes the impact of five primary indicators on cross-border e-commerce exports; this thus provides more targeted measures to improve trade facilitation levels.

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제15권10호
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• pp.113-121
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• 2017

우리나라는 천연 자원이 부족하지만 우수한 기술과 인력을 가지고 있어 무역이 필요한 나라이다. 무역수지는 '해외 여러 나라와 다양한 상품과 서비스를 사고파는 과정에서 발생하는 차익'을 의미한다. 우리나라의 수출액이 수입액 보다 더 많으면 무역수지 흑자라 부른다. 본 연구의 목적은 우리나라와 무역 규모가 많은 미국, 중국, 일본, 영국을 대상으로 지난 210개월 동안 수출액과 수입액의 동향과 향후 방향성을 찾아보고자 한다. 지난 2000년도 이후 중국의 수출 증가율이 800%를 넘으며 가장 크게 증가하였으나 미국과 일본의 경우는 큰 변화 없이 200% 전후로 꾸준한 증가율을 보여주고 있다. 향후 우리나라가 무역수지 흑자를 위해 수출액을 증가시키기 위해서는 미국이나 일본과의 수출액 증가는 물론이고 중국과의 수출액 증가가 매우 중요해 보인다. 지난 2014년 이후 대중국 자동차완성업체의 수출액 감소로 인해 상승률이 소폭감소세를 보이고 있어 이에 대비하는 수출 전략이 필요해 보인다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.195-234
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• 2009

본 연구에서는 Hummels and Klenow (2005)의 분석방식을 이용하여 1990년대 이후 우리나라의 대중국 수출에 있어서의 수출의 다양도 및 집약도의 상대적인 기여도를 고찰하고 있다. 본 연구에서 수출 다양도란 우리나라를 제외한 대중국 전체 수출국의 수출품목 대비 우리나라의 대중국 수출품목의 비중을 의미한다. 한편, 수출 집약도는 우리나라의 대중국 수출품목 기준으로 우리나라를 제외한 대중국 전체 수출국 대비 우리나라 수출의 비중으로 정의한다. 분석 결과에 의하면, 최근 1990년대 이후 우리나라의 대중국 수출 확대의 주요인은 수출 집약도의 증가였던 것으로 나타난다. 이러한 결과는 중장기적인 수출 호조세의 지속을 위해서는 수출 다양도보다는 수출 집약도가 더 중요한 요인이라는 $Besede{\check{s}}$ and Prusa(2007), Helpman, Melitz, and Rubinstein(2007) 등의 분석과 일치된 결과이다. 수출 다양도의 경우, 무역자유화 초기에 해당되는 1990년대 초반에는 빠르게 증가하나 이후에는 부품 및 자본재 등 일부 품목을 제외하고는 오히려 다소 하락하는 추세를 나타냈다. 한편, 부품과 자본재가 전반적으로 1차 산품, 소비재 등 여타 상품군들에 비해 수출의 지속성(survival)이 높은 것으로 나타난다. 1차 산품, 소비재 등의 경우 수출 개시 후 4년 이내에 전체의 약 75% 수준의 품목이 수출을 중단하는 것으로 분석된 반면, 부품과 자본재는 기술 수준의 구분 없이 1992~2007년 기간 중 지속적으로 수출이 이루어진 품목의 비중이 15% 수준에 이른다. 이러한 분석 결과는 국제분업구조의 진전이 수출의 지속성에 지대한 영향을 미칠 수 있음을 시사한다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제37권2호
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• pp.40-63
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• 2015

Anthracite exports have special value within the DPRK's economy. In this paper, we focus on what determines the DPRK's anthracite exports to China. We use panel data consisting of cross-section data from 30 provinces in China and quarterly time-series data from 1998 to 2013. Controlling for all other variables that affect anthracite imports, the variable for steel production in China is robust and statistically significant. This is consistent with on-site interviews which indicate that much of North Korean anthracite is consumed by China's steel industry. This implies that the North Korean authorities need to make adjustments to the foreign trade structure, as the import demand for anthracite in China may decline further.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권12호
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• pp.657-664
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• 2020

We investigate the impact of roads and highways within the provinces on the regional trade of China using the augmented Gravity Model and theory of modeling trade. We take a panel data covering 31 provinces of China over 20 years period (1998-2017) for the estimations. We apply ARMA-OLS model, fixed and random effects, and robust findings by Hausman test. The results imply that road and highway lengths within the provinces have a significantly positive impact on the value of the province-wise exports. The positive impact is due to the fact the increased coverage of roads and highways increase accessibility to resources and mobility of goods and services within the regions. Moreover, employment in the transportation sector, per capita GDP and population of the provinces also illustrate positive and significant influence on regional exports and trade. The impact of China's WTO accession on regional exports has been positive, while the financial crisis has had a negative impact. The year dummies show that, in the years following the financial crisis, China was able to regress from the external shock as trade within the provinces increased. The increase in exports after financial crisis is mainly due to the government policies and support to every province.

• 한국유기농업학회지
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.359-384
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• 2021

In a long-run, a price reduction of shine muscat that is one type of grapes is expected due to an increase of cultivated area. To come up with this problem, expanding exports of shine muscat considering that domestic demand is restricted in Korea. This study investigates the China consumers preference for shine muscat from Korea since exports to China have increased a lot after the quarantine agreement in 2015. Specifically, this paper analyzes a probability of shine muscat exports to China based on willingness to pay (WTP). Moreover, we derive long-run and short-run export strategies for Korean shine muscat. Our results show that a probability of exports to China is high. However, this probability is lowered at the sample of consumers who have the experience of tasted shine muscat. Considering the relative important characteristic for buying shine muscat at the sample of eating experienced consumers in China is sweetness, there is a need to develop cultivation technologies for enhancing sweetness to attain a sustainable development in the grape sector of Korea.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제26권5호
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• pp.56-75
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• 2022

Purpose - This study examines the influencing factors of China's cross-border e-commerce exports in the context of the current situation and trends of China's cross-border e-commerce development. Through an improved trade gravity model, it provides more in-depth research and constructive opinions on the development of cross-border e-commerce in China. In this paper, factors such as consumption gap, volume of trade frictions, number of tourists, Internet usage and trade openness are added to the formula of the traditional trade gravity model in the improved trade gravity model to examine the influencing factors on China's cross-border e-commerce exports. Design/methodology - According to the empirical analysis, China's cross-border e-commerce exports to ten countries are used as dependent variables, and consumption gap, trade friction volume, trade distance, trade openness and number of Internet users are taken as independent variables. Regression analysis is conducted through a modified gravity model to test whether the hypotheses hold. Findings - The analysis shows that the hypothesis that China's cross-border e-commerce exports are influenced by trade openness, trade distance, consumption gap between trade parties, and the number of Internet users in the importing country is supported by these four hypotheses, but not all independent variables have an impact on them. Specifically, the number of travelers, trade frictions do not have an impact on China's cross-border e-commerce. That is to say, trade friction between China and the United States and political issues such as China-India and China-Japan territorial disputes that emerged before do not affect the development of cross-border e-commerce in China. Originality/value - The analysis shows that the factors influencing China's cross-border e-commerce exports are the trade openness of the importing country, the trade distance, the number of Internet users in the importing country, and the consumption gap between the two sides of the trade. The trade openness and the number of Internet users positively contribute to China's cross-border e-commerce, while the consumption gap and trade distance are negatively related to them. And the analysis found that the Sino-US trade war and the Sino-Indian territorial disputes and other trade frictions to China's cross-border e-commerce exports did not have a substantial impact.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.1-20
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• 2023

Purpose - Using trade data from 2008 to 2019, this study analyzes the impact of trade facilitation on China's agricultural exports under the RCEP framework using a gravity model based on the level of trade facilitation in 13 RCEP countries. Design/methodology - This study constructs a complete set of trade facilitation index systems, comprehensively measures the trade facilitation level of RCEP member countries, and uses a gravity model to verify the critical role of trade facilitation level in enhancing the trade volumes of RCEP member countries. Findings - We found that trade facilitation has a significant impact on China's agricultural exports as a whole. The effect of each primary indicator varies in magnitude, with finance and e-commerce (F) having the most significant impact, followed by customs efficiency (C) and infrastructure development (1); the institutional environment has no significant effect. Originality/value - This study analyzes the impact of trade facilitation on China's agricultural exports from the perspective of exports, and uses the latest data to study the degree of the impact of trade facilitation in importing countries. Measures to jointly enhance trade facilitation among member countries under the RCEP framework are proposed.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.1-13
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• 2019

Purpose - This paper empirically investigates the competition effect of exports between Korea and China in their common-export markets considering market sophistication. Modern market sophistication includes an importing country's aggregate demand for products of high quality, design, novelty, eco-friendliness, and even IPR protection. Using an empirical analysis to identify the demand for product quality across countries, this paper estimates the effects of market sophistication on the competition between Korean exports and Chinese products. Design/Methodology - Our empirical model considers the relationship between an importing country's consumer sophistication and the export competition between Korea and China. This study employs the existing theoretical framework to identify the aggregate demand for product quality across countries. Using a quite direct measurement (the consumer sophistication index, our analysis investigates the differential effects of Korea's export market sophistication, particularly in markets where Korean exports are in competition with similar Chinese products. Findings - Our main findings can be summarized as follows: the negative effects of the export competition between Korea and China on Korea's exports are stronger in third markets where consumers are less sophisticated while the effects are not as pronounced in markets where consumers are more sophisticated. This result, however, best applies to differentiated goods which significantly vary in product quality. Originality/value - Existing studies focus on the supply side of production and make the assumption that the market preference for export quality is identical across countries. This paper attempts to evaluate the export competition between Korea and China from the demand-side perspective. This area of trade studies is underexplored both empirically and in theory, although the issue has long been important to Korean and world trade.