• Title/Summary/Keyword: Change prediction

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The change in Sasang constitution prediction value and the associated factors using KS-15 questionnaire (KS-15 설문지를 이용한 사상체질 예측값의 변화와 관련요인 분석)

  • Park, Ji-Eun;Ahn, Eun kyoung;Jeong, Kyungsik;Lee, Siwoo
    • Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2022
  • Objectives The aim of this study was to investigate the change in Sasang constitution prediction value in 2 years and find the factors associated with it. Methods Cohort data from Korean medicine data center was used. Using Korean Sasang Constitutional Diagnostic Questionnaire (KS-15) which consist of questions related to body shape, temperament, and symptoms, participants were categorized into Tae-Yang (TY), Tae-Eum (TE), So-Yang (SY), and So-Eum (SE). Sasang constitution was assessed on the baseline and after two years. Result Total 5,784 participants were analyzed. (TE 3, 341; SE 911; SY 1,532). Among them, 1,402 participants (24.2%) showed different prediction value in KS-15 after two years. The proportion of participants showing different prediction value in two years was the highest in SY, and the lowest in TE group. The factors associated with the change in Sasang constitution prediction value were different by constitution type. The change in feeling after sweating was significantly associated with the change in prediction value in TE and SY groups, not in SE group. Although temperament was not significantly associated with the change in prediction value from TE to SE, it was significantly associated with that in the change from TE to SY. The change in BMI and appetite were associated with the change in constitution prediction value in all three constitution types. Conclusion Although the factors associated with the change in prediction value of Sasang constitution were different by each constitution type, BMI and appetite were significant in all three types. These factors could be useful for developing Sasang constitution questionnaire and deciding re-prediction needs of Sasang constitution. Further research about the factors related to Sasang constitution diagnosis need to be conducted.

Prediction of Land-cover Change in the Gongju Areas using Fuzzy Logic and Geo-spatial Information (퍼지 논리와 지리공간정보를 이용한 공주지역 토지피복 변화 예측)

  • Jang, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.387-402
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    • 2005
  • In this study, we tried to predict the change of future land-cover and relationships between land-cover change and geo-spatial information in the Gongju area by using fuzzy logic operation. Quantitative evaluation of prediction models was carried out using a prediction rate curve using. Based on the analysis of correlations between the geo-spatial information and land-cover change, the class with the highest correlation was extracted. Fuzzy operations were used to predict land-cover change and determine the land-cover prediction maps that were the most suitable. It was predicted that in urban areas, the urban expansion of old and new towns would occur centering on the Gem-river, and that urbanization of areas along the interchange and national roads would also expand. Among agricultural areas, areas adjacent to national roads connected to small tributaries of the Gem-river and neighboring areas would likely experience changes. Most of the forest areas are located in southeast and from this result we can guess why the wide chestnut-tree cultivation complex is located in these areas and the possibility of forest damage is very high. As a result of validation using the prediction rate curve, it was indicated that among fuzzy operators, the maximum fuzzy operator was the most suitable for analyzing land-cover change in urban and agricultural areas. Other fuzzy operators resulted in the similar prediction capabilities. However, in the prediction rate curve of integrated models for land-cover prediction in the forest areas, most fuzzy operators resulted in poorer prediction capabilities. Thus, it is necessary to apply new thematic maps or prediction models in connection with the effective prediction of changes in the forest areas.

Scene change detection using intra prediction mode and edge direction in H.264/AVC compression domain (압축 영역에서 intra mode와 에지 방향성을 이용한 H.264 비디오 장면 전환 검출)

  • Hong, Bo-Hyun;Eom, Min-Young;Choe, Yoon-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.12-14
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a novel scene change detection method using intra prediction mode and edge direction in H.264/AVC. When scene change occurs, there are less temporal correlation between frames, most of macro-blocks encoded in intra mode. Using this property, the method calculates the percentage of intra mode blocks in each predictive frame in order to get candidates of scene change frame. To further find scene change, we obtain edge histogram of each candidates by using eight prediction direction of intra prediction mode in H.264/AVC. We detect scene change frames with $\iota^1$-norm of edge histograms. The experimental results show that the method is efficient and robust.

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Land Use Change Prediction of Cheongju using SLEUTH Model (SLEUTH 모델을 이용한 청주시 토지이용변화 예측)

  • Park, In-Hyeok;Ha, Sung-Ryong
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 2013
  • By IPCC climate change scenario, the socioeconomic actions such as the land use change are closely associated with the climate change as an up zoning action of urban development to increase green gas emission to atmosphere. Prediction of the land use change with rational quality can provide better data for understanding of the climate change in future. This study aims to predict land use change of Cheongju in future and SLEUTH model is used to anticipate with the status quo condition, in which the pattern of land use change in future follows the chronical tendency of land use change during last 25 years. From 40 years prediction since 2000 year, the area urbanized compared with 2000 year increases up to 87.8% in 2040 year. The ratios of the area urbanized from agricultural area and natural area in 2040 are decreased to 53.1% and 15.3%, respectively.

Scene Change Detection Algorithm on Compressed Video

  • Choi Kum-Su;Moon Young-Deuk
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.442-446
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    • 2004
  • This paper propose scene change detection algorithm using coefficient of forward prediction macro-block, backward prediction macro-block, and intra-coded macro-block on getting motion estimation. Proposed method detect scene change with correlation according picture type forward two picture or forward and backward two picture on video sequences. Proposed algorithm is high accuracy and can detect all scene change on video, and detect to occur scene change on P, B, I-picture.

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Development of the Korea Ocean Prediction System

  • Suk, Moon-Sik;Chang, Kyung-Il;Nam, Soo-Yong;Park, Sung-Hyea
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.181-188
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    • 2001
  • We describe here the Korea ocean prediction system that closely resembles operational numerical weather prediction systems. This prediction system will be served for real-time forecasts. The core of the system is a three-dimensional primitive equation numerical circulation model, based on ${\sigma}$-coordinate. Remotely sensed multi-channel sea surface temperature (MCSST) is imposed at the surface. Residual subsurface temperature is assimilated through the relationship between vertical temperature structure function and residual of sea surface height (RSSH) using an optimal interpolation scheme. A unified grid system, named as [K-E-Y], that covers the entire seas around Korea is used. We present and compare hindcasting results during 1990-1999 from a model forced by MCSST without incorporating RSSH data assimilation and the one with both MCSST and RSSH assimilated. The data assimilation is applied only in the East Sea, hence the comparison focuses principally on the mesoscale features prevalent in the East Sea. It is shown that the model with the data assimilation exhibits considerable skill in simulating both the permanent and transient mesoscale features in the East Sea.

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Dynamic analysis of short circulation with OPR prediction used neural network (Neural network을 이용한 OPR예측과 short circulation 동특성 분석)

  • Jeon, Jun-Seok;Yeo, Yeong-Gu;Park, Si-Han;Gang, Hong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technical Association of the Pulp and Paper Industry Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.86-96
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    • 2004
  • Identification of dynamics of short circulation during grade change operations in paper mills is very important for the effective plant operation. In the present study a prediction method of One Pass Retention(OPR) is proposed based on the neural network. The present method is used to analyze the dynamics of short circulation during grade change. Properties of the product paper largely depend upon the change in the OPR. In the present study the OPR is predicted from the training of the network by using grade change operation data. The results of the prediction are applied to the modeling equation to give flow rates and consistencies of short circulation.

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The Characteristics of Elementary School Students' Prediction Changes by the Suggestion Types for Situation in Repeated Anomalous Situation - Focused on Buoyancy - (반복되는 불일치 상황에서 상황 제시 방법에 따라 초등학생들이 예상을 바꾸는 특성)

  • Jeon, Ah-Reum;Noh, SukGoo;Park, Jae-Keun
    • Journal of Korean Elementary Science Education
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.298-310
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the characteristics of elementary school students' prediction changes by the suggestion types in a multiple anomalous situation. We investigated the responses, the rate and time of changing prediction, and cognitive conflicts of the students when repeated anomalous situation was suggested in experimental or logical way in science classes focused on buoyancy. As the anomalous situation was repeated, the students to change the prediction increased in number and also the rates to choose the correct prediction became higher. The group who was exposed in experimental way changed their prediction more than in logical way. In addition, when we classified the students to change the prediction by types, the group in experimental way showed higher rate of NM, MM type and FFT type. With anomalous situation repeated, cognitive conflicts of the students has been gradually declining in both groups. But it seemed that the group in experimental way experienced higher mental conflicts. In particular, as students changed the prediction more and arrived at the correct answer after changing their prediction, all the more so. It is concluded that the degree of students' changing prediction and experiencing cognitive conflict can be different according to the suggestion types for situation. Therefore the correlation with cognitive conflict factors can be also observed with the types of students' reactions.

Prediction & Assessment of Change Prone Classes Using Statistical & Machine Learning Techniques

  • Malhotra, Ruchika;Jangra, Ravi
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.778-804
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    • 2017
  • Software today has become an inseparable part of our life. In order to achieve the ever demanding needs of customers, it has to rapidly evolve and include a number of changes. In this paper, our aim is to study the relationship of object oriented metrics with change proneness attribute of a class. Prediction models based on this study can help us in identifying change prone classes of a software. We can then focus our efforts on these change prone classes during testing to yield a better quality software. Previously, researchers have used statistical methods for predicting change prone classes. But machine learning methods are rarely used for identification of change prone classes. In our study, we evaluate and compare the performances of ten machine learning methods with the statistical method. This evaluation is based on two open source software systems developed in Java language. We also validated the developed prediction models using other software data set in the same domain (3D modelling). The performance of the predicted models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic analysis. The results indicate that the machine learning methods are at par with the statistical method for prediction of change prone classes. Another analysis showed that the models constructed for a software can also be used to predict change prone nature of classes of another software in the same domain. This study would help developers in performing effective regression testing at low cost and effort. It will also help the developers to design an effective model that results in less change prone classes, hence better maintenance.

A CBR-BASED COST PREDICTION MODEL FOR THE DESIGN PHASE OF PUBLIC MULTI-FAMILY HOUSING CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS

  • TaeHoon Hong;ChangTaek Hyun;HyunSeok Moon
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.203-211
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    • 2009
  • Korean public owners who order public multi-family housing construction projects have yet to gain access to a model for predicting construction cost. For this reason, their construction cost prediction is mainly dependent upon historic data and experience. In this paper, a cost-prediction model based on Case-Based Reasoning (CBR) in the design phase of public multi-family housing construction projects was developed. The developed model can determine the total construction cost by estimating the different Building, Civil, Mechanical, Electronic and Telecommunication, and Landscaping work costs. Model validation showed an accuracy of 97.56%, confirming the model's excellent viability. The developed model can thus be used to predict the construction cost to be shouldered by public owners before the design is completed. Moreover, any change orders during the design phase can be immediately applied to the model, and various construction costs by design alternative can be verified using this model. Therefore, it is expected that public owners can exercise effective design management by using the developed cost prediction model. The use of such an effective cost prediction model can enable the owners to accurately determine in advance the construction cost and prevent increase or decrease in cost arising from the design changes in the design phase, such as change order. The model can also prevent the untoward increase in the duration of the design phase as it can effectively control unnecessary change orders.

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