Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment (환경영향평가)

Korean Society of Environmental Impact Assessment (한국환경영향평가학회)
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Land Use Change Prediction of Cheongju using SLEUTH Model

SLEUTH 모델을 이용한 청주시 토지이용변화 예측

  • Park, In-Hyeok (Department of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Ha, Sung-Ryong (Department of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University)
  • 박인혁 (충북대학교 공과대학 도시공학과) ;
  • 하성룡 (충북대학교 공과대학 도시공학과)
  • Received : 2013.01.15
  • Accepted : 2013.02.02
  • Published : 2013.02.28
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Abstract

By IPCC climate change scenario, the socioeconomic actions such as the land use change are closely associated with the climate change as an up zoning action of urban development to increase green gas emission to atmosphere. Prediction of the land use change with rational quality can provide better data for understanding of the climate change in future. This study aims to predict land use change of Cheongju in future and SLEUTH model is used to anticipate with the status quo condition, in which the pattern of land use change in future follows the chronical tendency of land use change during last 25 years. From 40 years prediction since 2000 year, the area urbanized compared with 2000 year increases up to 87.8% in 2040 year. The ratios of the area urbanized from agricultural area and natural area in 2040 are decreased to 53.1% and 15.3%, respectively.

Keywords

References

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