• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cause analysis model

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상호영향형 R&D과제군의 평가선정을 위한 새로운 $\lceilDEA\rfloor$ 모형의 개발

  • 권철신;박준호;홍석기
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회/대한산업공학회 2003년도 춘계공동학술대회
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    • pp.980-983
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this paper is to construct a CIDEAR (Cross Impact Data Envelopment Analysis Assurance Region) model which evaluates proposed R&D projects considering cross impacts among them and selects them to utilize R&D resources effectively as well as to maximize effectiveness of investments. For this purpose, the following six steps are designed as the main procedure. $\lceilDecision\;Theory\;&\;Evaluation\;Model\rfloor$, $\lceilAR\;Decision\;&\;Evaluation\;Model\rfloor$, $\lceilResource\;&\;Performance\;Analysis Model\rfloor$, $\lceilCross\;Impact\;Assumption\;Model\rfloor$, $\lceilpriority\;Oder\;Decision\;Model\rfloor$, $\lceilEfficiency\;Cause\;Analysis\;Model\rfloor$. $\lceilCIDEAR\rfloor$ model can deal with the affairs of R&D projects having the characteristics of mutual independence as well as mutual dependence. Hence it is possible to evaluate and select R&D projects more accurately than any other models.

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EPC 모델 기반의 비즈니스 프로세스 분석 (Business Process Analysis Based on Event-driven Process Chain Model)

  • 강준규;임승길
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.34-42
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we develop a method for analyzing business process based on the event-driven process chain (EPC) model. The method consists of five stages such as identifying abnormal events, finding causes for the abnormal events and problems caused by the abnormal events, making cause-and-effect chains, drawing root-cause map, and defining improvement areas. We illustrate how to apply the method with some examples for the domestic registered mail delivery process.

Fault Tree Analysis에 의한 첨단설비 Arm 안전사고의 분석 (A Analysis of a Pointed-end Equipment Arm Safety-Accident for Fault Tree Analysis)

  • 윤용구;박범
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.279-290
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to attempt a Analysis of a pointed-end Equipment Arm Safety-Accident for Fault Tree Analysis. Three major techniques were used first problem is Z-Model by which accident Analysis & prevention of a pointed-end Industry can be made, Fault Tree Analysis(FTA) bywhich quantification of a pointed-end Equipment accident Analysis can be made it 5 years in past and the third, manual-written by which minimal cut set to accident can be Identified. A example has been made of issue point a pointed-end Equipment that the Arm in loader happen to Injuries. According to the Analysis lack of safety knowledge, unsafety-behavior seem to be the primal cause of accident. Comparision of the accident cause to actual report demonstratesthat the FTA a efficient tool for Industrial Accident prevention.

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KTX 차량의 편성차량수가 후미 불안정 진동에 미치는 영향 (The influence of the Train formation on the KTX Vibration at the Tail of the Train)

  • 강부병;정흥채
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2003년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.1708-1713
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    • 2003
  • The acceptance test of KTX has been performed in Korea. During the test, lateral vibration of carbody over the accepted value called swat was found. KTX has 20 car trainsed formation whose trailer cars are linked by articulate bogies. So this study is performed to see the effects of long trainsed formation on vehicle dynamics and the train stability by 20 car vehicle model. Firstly the reliable vehicle model which shows well the tendencies appeared in the tests on the high speed test line is required to find the cause of lateral vibration and the countermeasure. Vehicle model was made for the analysis with VAMPIRE. The analysis results show that secondary air spring lateral stiffness is the most significant parameter to cause carbody lateral vibration. Mode analysis results show that he least damped mode shape is similar to the vibration pattern shown in the tests that the amplitude of the motion increases along the train set and decreases in the tail part. For the case of short train formation with 7 or 10cars, sway does not happen. But in the case of longer train formation with 16 or 20 cars, sway was found.

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KTX 차량의 편성특성이 후미진동에 미치는 영향 (The influence of the Train formation on the KTX Vibration at the Tail of the Train)

  • 강부병;정흥채;김재철;류영준
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 논문집(III)
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    • pp.126-131
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    • 2003
  • The acceptance test of KTX has been performed in Korea. During the test, lateral vibration of carbody over the accepted value called sway was found. KTX has 20 car trainset formation whose trailer cars are linked by articulate bogies. So this study is performed to see the effects of long trainset formation on vehicle dynamics and the train stability by 20 car vehicle model. Firstly the reliable vehicle model which shows well the tendencies appeared in the tests on the high speed test line is required to find the cause of lateral vibration and the countermeasure. Vehicle model was made .for the. analysis with VAMPIRE. The analysis results show that secondary air spring lateral stiffness is the most significant parameter to cause carbody lateral vibration. Mode analysis results show that the least damped mode shape is similar to the vibration pattern shown in the tests that the amplitude of the motion increases along the train set and decreases in the tail part. For the case of short train formation with 7 or 10cars, sway does not happen. But in the case of longer train formation with 16 or 20 cars, sway was found.

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최근의 사망패턴에 관한 고찰 (Recent Pattern of Mortality in Korea)

  • 최인현;변용찬
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.46-67
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    • 1985
  • In this paper, an attempt has been made to examine the pattern of mortality in Korea during 1970~80. By applying the age-sex specific mortality rates quoted from 1978~79 life tables for Korea published by NBOS, EPB to those of the West pattern of regional model life tables and the far eastern pattern of model life tables for developing countries, life expectancy at birth were calculated. Also the author reviewed the trends of death rates, life expectancy and cause of death using vital registration data and other materials. Summarized results are as follows; 1. Crude death rates in Korea was reduced to one fifth in the 1983 compared to that in 1920's. Life expectancy also improved to almost double in 1985 compared to 1920's. But the difference in the life expectancy between male and female increased during that period and it was recorded as 6.4 years in 1985. This discrepancy was mainly due to the different tempo of decreasing in mortality level by sex, particularly, for the age 40 and above. 2. For the pattern of mortality in Korea, it showed that female mortality could accounted closer to the West pattern model life tables. There were high similarity between actual pattern prevalent in Korea and West pattern. And its coefficient of variance was also very low. However for the case of male, it was difficult to find the exact model life tables for explaining the actual situation on the male mortality pattern which means exist considerable dissimilarity in older ages. The Far eastern pattern of U.N. model life tables show better results than West pattern, however, the deviation of the pattern to actual was severe. Also in Far eastern pattern, high coefficient of variance was existed. Furthermore it was found in the paper that the mortality level of Korean male for the age 40 and above were much higher than that of Far eastern pattern which was reflected the high mortality of the male adult in Far east region. 3. The analysis of cause of death showed that circulatory disease such as cerebrovascular disease and hypertensive disease accounted for the leading cause of death in Korea for the age 40 and above. There should he paid special attention to chronic retrogressive diseases for the older age groups. For younger age groups, injury and poisoning were reported as important cause of death.

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간섭현상을 고려한 생산/재고 정책의 시뮬레이션 분석 (A Simulation Analysis of Producton/Inventory Policy with Interference)

  • 박회룡;최진영
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제18권35호
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    • pp.131-138
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    • 1995
  • For the purpose of the reduction of tile cost, a production/inventory model including the interference phenomenon was developed. By investigating the cause and the characteristics of the direct/indirect cost due to the interference phenomenon, a strategy for suitable production was developed. The developed model was quantitatively validated using an existing-EPQ model and the SIMAN package was used to simulate and animate the model. Consequently, it was presented that the total operating cost of the system could be decreased with tile proposed model.

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건설공사보험 사례를 활용한 건설현장 인명사고 정량화 모델 개발 기초연구 (A Basic Study on Quantification Model Development of Human Accidents based on the Insurance Claim Payout of Construction Site)

  • 하선근;김태희;김지명;장준호;손기영
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2017년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.195-196
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    • 2017
  • The number of human accidents in the construction industry is increasing every year, and it constitute the highest percentage among industry. This means that activities performed to prevent safety accidents in the country are not efficient to reduce the rate of accidents in the construction industry. In order to solve this issue, research has been conducted from various perspectives. But, research regarding to quantification model of human accidents is insufficient. the objective of this study is to conduct a basic study on quantification model development of human accidents. To achieve the objective, first, Cause of accident is defined the through literature review. Second, a basic statistic analysis is conducted to determine the characteristics of the accident causes. Third, the analysis is conducted after dividing into four categories : accumulate rate, season, total construction cost, and location. In the future, this study can be used as a reference for developing the safety management checklist for safety management in construction site and development of prediction models of human accident.

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다수의 고장 원인을 갖는 기기의 신뢰성 모형화 및 분석 (Reliability Modeling and Analysis for a Unit with Multiple Causes of Failure)

  • 백상엽;임태진;이창훈
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.609-628
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    • 1995
  • This paper presents a reliability model and a data-analytic procedure for a repairable unit subject to failures due to multiple non-identifiable causes. We regard a failure cause as a state and assume the life distribution for each cause to be exponential. Then we represent the dependency among the causes by a Markov switching model(MSM) and estimate the transition probabilities and failure rates by maximum likelihood(ML) method. The failure data are incomplete due to masked causes of failures. We propose a specific version of EM(expectation and maximization) algorithm for finding maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) under this situation. We also develop statistical procedures for determining the number of significant states and for testing independency between state transitions. Our model requires only the successive failure times of a unit to perform the statistical analysis. It works well even when the causes of failures are fully masked, which overcomes the major deficiency of competing risk models. It does not require the assumption of stationarity or independency which is essential in mixture models. The stationary probabilities of states can be easily calculated from the transition probabilities estimated in our model, so it covers mixture models in general. The results of simulations show the consistency of estimation and accuracy gradually increasing according to the difference of failure rates and the frequency of transitions among the states.

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프로세스 마이닝 기반의 선박 재작업 문제에 대한 원인 분석 (Cause Analysis of Ship Rework Problems Based on Process Mining)

  • 신승훈;전정환
    • 산업혁신연구
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.231-254
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 조선 산업의 선박 건조 공사 수행 과정에서 불규칙적으로 발생하는 재작업문제에 대한 분석 및 개선 방안을 제시하고자 하였다. SPP조선의 SAP(ERP) 외주공사 재작업 이벤트 로그를 수집하여 정제하고, 프로세스 마이닝 방법 중 퍼지 마이닝, 패턴 분석, 보틀넥 분석으로 프로세스 발견 및 분석을 실시하였고 결과 및 시사점을 도출하였다. SPP조선의 재작업은 크게 선주 요구사항, 설계 개선 사항, 현장 작업도 미숙의 원인이 되어 생산 재작업, 설계 변경 재작업이 발생함을 발견하였다. 또한 재작업 프로세스에서 가장 많이 발생하는 패턴인 PB(선체도장)-2A(선주요구)-P1(생산 재작업)공사의 사전 방지를 위해 사례분석 결과의 방법을 수행해야한다. 시사점으로는 먼저 조선 산업에서 본 공사 후 재작업 공사 프로세스 모델 도출 및 원인 분석으로 재작업 예방 및 최소화, 생산성 향상, 비용감소에 기여하였다. 둘째, 프로세스 마이닝 방법론을 국내 조선기업에 대한 재작업 사례를 분석함으로서 추후 연구의 가이드라인을 제시하였다. 셋째, 기업 관리자들에게 프로세스 모델, 문제점 및 원인들을 체계적으로 보여주어 업무 능력 향상에 기여하였다는 점에서 의의를 가진다.