• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causality

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인지지도분석을 통한 정보보호 산업 활성화전략 (Revitalization Strategy of Information Security Industry Using Cognitive Map Analysis)

  • 이중만;조일구;임명환
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.177-194
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed President Park's speeches and the government's industry policy in the field of information security using cognitive map. The relationship analysis between policy tool variables and policy goal variables was employed to derive revitalization strategy of information security. This paper found that entrepreneurship revitalization has very strong causality with expansion of domestic market and global market. But, on the other hand, HR development has very weak causality with job creation and future growth driver because the labor market in the information security industry is poor and its transfer rate to other industry is very high. This study showed that this cognitive map could be characterized by a scarcity of feedback loops and a strong emphasis on the positive loops in the structure of virtuous circle. In this paper, we also constructed a comprehensive cognitive map on the policy vision of information security, showing that there are a risk of cyber threat, an opportunity of new fusion security market, information security reinforcing circle, global economic circle, and domestic market circle.

수성유원지 장소성 인식 요인 인과구조모형 분석 (Causality of Placeness Cognition by Using Structural Equation Modeling in Suseong Amusement Park)

  • 한재경;엄붕훈
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제29권10호
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    • pp.961-968
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze the causality of placeness cognition which includes the place satisfaction, place attachment, place function, and behavioral intention of those who visit Suseong amusement park. A questionnaire survey was administered to 255 individuals who visited in Suseong amusement park. To conduct the analysis, six hypotheses were formulated and tested. While two hypotheses were statistically rejected, four hypotheses were accepted. First, place satisfaction was found to have a positive effect on place function (β=.577, p<0.001). Second, place attachment had a positive effect on behavioral intention (β=.450, p<0.001). Third, place function had a positive effect on behavioral intention (β=.247, p<0.05). Fourth, place function was found to have a positive effect on place attachment (β=.637, p<0.001). Unlike most existing research which has indicated that place satisfaction has a direct effect on behavioral intention this study suggests a that double mediating effect through place function and place attachment between place satisfaction and behavioral intention. In addition to increasing satisfaction through the environment of the Suseong Amusement Park, it is also necessary to improve the function of the place to ensure repeated visits from visitors.

Granger-Sims 인과관계검정을 통한 전자상거래의 택배서비스시장에 대한 인과성(因果性) 분석 (Causality of E-Commerce on the Door-to-door Delivery Service Market Using the Granger-Sims Causality Test)

  • 이우승
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.69-84
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    • 2004
  • 1990년대 중반이후 정보통신의 발달에 의한 인터넷의 활용이 전세계적으로 급속히 팽창하면서 사이버마켓이라는 새로운 시장형태하에서 전자상거래가 급속히 성장하고 있다. 인터넷 전자상거래의 성장은 기존의 유통구조를 오프라인으로부터 온라인으로 전환시키고 물류체계까지 변화시키고 있다. 전자상거래의 경우 인터넷과 같은 정보시스템의 발달에 의해 독자적으로 성장할 수 있는 것은 아니며, 실제거래를 위한 물류와 연계해서만이 가능하다. 따라서 전자상거래의 급속한 성장과 더불어 문전배송서비스(door-to-door delivery service)가 가능한 택배서비스가 급속히 증가하고 있다. 이러한 관점에서 도시내에서의 전자상거래에 의한 택배서비스시장 환경변화를 고려하여 전자상거래를 촉진시키는 어떤 요인이 택배서비스에 영향을 미치고 성장에 중요한 역할을 하는지를 파악해 보는 것도 흥미있는 일이라 하겠다. 본 연구는 시계열데이터를 이용하여 전자상거래에 의한 택배서비스시장의 상관관계를 검토하고 전자에 의한 후자의 성장요인을 분석해 보는데 그 목적이 있다. 본 연구에서는 택배서비스시장의 성장요인을 시장내부의 내적요인과 외부의 외적요인으로 구분하고, 외적요인을 다시 교통요인과 사회경제적 요인으로 구분하여 전자상거래를 사회경제적 요인으로 간주하였다. 그리고 이 사회경제적 요인으로서의 전자상거래에 의한 택배서비스시장의 인과관계성을 그랜저-심즈(Granger-Sims) 인과관계검정을 이용하여 분석하였다. 분석결과, 한국의 전자상거래는 EDI(전자문서교환)도입업체수, 인터넷 쇼핑몰수, 인터넷 이용자수, 전자상거래를 위한 법제도 체계 등의 증가에 의해 촉진되었으며, 이에 따라 택배서비스시장도 성장한 것으로 나타났다. 특히 정부주도에 의한 정보화추진이 전자상거래를 촉진시켜 택배서비스시장에 영향을 미친 것으로 분석되었다.

정보통신산업 공공 연구개발(R&D)투자의 파급효과 분석 (Impulse Responses Analysis of Government and Public Sector R&D in IT Industry)

  • 양창준;홍정식;고상원
    • 경영과학
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2008
  • We investigate the effect of government and public sector R&D Investment at IT Industry on the amount of Production, export and nongovernment R&D Investment at IT Industry. We, firstly, examine the stationarity of each variable by the unit root t-test and perform the co-integration test for the pairs of variables. We use YECM(Vector Error Correction Model) according to the results of co-integration test for the examination of Granger-causality between variables. It is found that there exist an Granger-causality between public sector R&D Investment and nongovernment R&D investment and also between public sector R&D Investment and export. Secondly, we analyze the impulse response of government and public sector R&D Investment at IT Industry on the amount of production, export and nongovernment R&D investment at IT Industry based on VECM model. It is found that the response of the amount of production is highest at 3th period and is lowest at 8th period and that of export shows similar pattern.

이차원 은닉 마르코프 격자 모형 (Two-Dimensional Model of Hidden Markov Lattice)

  • 신봉기
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제3권6호
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    • pp.566-574
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    • 2000
  • HMM이 시계열 모델로써 우수함이 널리 입증되면서 이차원 모델로 확장해 보려는 연구 결과도 늘어났지만 아직까지 임의의 객 체 패턴의 다양한 변형을 모델링하기에는 너무 단순한 경우가 대부분이다. 따라서 HMM이 시계열 데이터에서 보여준 성과를 영상 데이터에서 기대하기는 어렵다. 즉, 아직 대부분의 모델이 2D HMM으로 보기에는 부족하다고 판단된다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 모델은 이 차원 공간에서 상하, 좌우 방향의 진행 관계(causality)가 존재하는 은닉 마르코프 격자 또는 HML이다. 여기에 격자 구성 조건을 추가하여 모델 평가와 디코딩, 그리고 MLE 매개변수 추정법에 의한 훈련 알고리즘을 이론적으로 유도, 개발하였다. 본 모델은 기존의 필드형 모델과 달리 필기 문자 영상과 같이 다양한 국소적 형태 변형을 효과적으로 모델링하는 유용한 방법으로 사용될 수 있다.

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Effects of Foreign Direct Investment and Quality of Informal Institution on the Size of the Shadow Economy: Application to Vietnam

  • NGOC, Bui Hoang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2020
  • Tax is the main revenue of Government, so fighting tax evasion and sustainable growth have been the primary macroeconomic goals being pursued by every developing country, Vietnam included. The existence and development of the shadow economic sector are synonymous with the national budget losing out. In Vietnam, foreign direct investment projects do not promote economic growth and is also a sector that gives way to tax evasion.The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of foreign direct investment, the quality of the informal institution on the size of the shadow economy in Vietnam, during the period 1991-2015. By applying the Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach and Toda and Yamamoto test, we found evidence to conclude that the quality of the informal institution harms the size of the shadow economy. The results of the causality test show that there is a unidirectional causality running from the shadow economy and the quality of the informal institution to foreign direct investment attraction in Vietnam. Political solutions need to be implemented carefully to counter the harmful effects of the shadow economy. Policymakers should adopt several economic policies to improve the 'human capital' and drive the shadow economy into the formal economy.

의료서비스의 내부고객만족, 외부고객만족 및 고객애호도의 인과관계 (The Causality among the Internal Customer Satisfaction, the External Customer Satisfaction and the Customer Loyalty of Medical Service)

  • 백수경
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.236-244
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    • 2002
  • Objective : To empirically investigate the relationship of internal and external customer satisfactions, service quality, and customer loyalty in medical services. Methods : This essay proposes an integrated model to explain the causality of internal and external customer satisfactions, service quality, and customer loyalty. To this end, a structural model was developed, consisting of the following factors: internal and external customer satisfactions, service quality, and customer loyalty. The study included 214 sets of data, with 107 sets being collected for both out-patients and in-patients. The data were analyzed using AMOS 4.0. Results : We found the greater the internal customer satisfaction, the greater the out-patient quality of service quality. Secondly, the greater the service quality, the greater the external customer satisfaction of both in- and out-patients. The service quality of doctors, compared to that of the nurses, had a greater effect on external customer satisfaction. Thirdly, the service quality of doctors and nurses affected both internal and external customer satisfactions, which ultimately affected the customer loyalty. Finally the greater the external customer satisfaction, the greater the customer loyalty. Conclusion : This Study confirms the positive relationship among the internal and external customer satisfactions, service quality, and customer loyalty, which proves the doctors quality of service is the primary factor for external satisfaction, and customer loyalty relating to medical services.

계량 서지정보를 이용한 지식구조 분석방법 및 연구관리에 관한 연구동향 : 정부출연연구소 사례를 중심으로 (Knowledge Structures and Research Management based on Bibliographic Analysis : A Case of Government-funded Research Institutes in Korea)

  • 정우성;양현채
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.65-81
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    • 2015
  • As research management is growing in importance for research organizations, their disciplinary structures need to be interpreted. However, it is not only difficult but ambiguous to detect causal relations between subjects because diverse disciplines interacting with each other lead the development of organizational research. Therefore, this article summarizes the major concepts and results recently achieved in the related fields such as research management, bibliographic analysis, information theory, and networks to characterize organizational knowledge structures. Relevant analytical methods obtained from the literature can be applied to empirical situations. Predictive causal relations can be measured using an information theoretic indicator on a series of organizational research portfolios identified from bibliographic information. A network approach would be suitable to manage organizational research effort from a holistic view. Knowledge structures of the Government-funded Research Institutes in Korea are explored experimentally.

국제 탄소배출권 가격의 일물일가 검정 및 동태적 분석 (The Law of One Price and Dynamic Relationship between EU ETS and Nord Pool Carbon Prices)

  • 모정윤;양승룡;조용성
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.569-593
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    • 2005
  • 유럽배출권가래시장(EU ETS)과 Nord Pool에서 거래되고 있는 탄소배출권 가격자료를 이용하여 일물일가법칙 만족 여부를 검정하였다. 이를 위해 단위근 검정방법과 공적분 검정방법을 이용하였고, 인과성 분석, 충격반응분석과 분산분해 분석을 통해 두 시장간의 동태적 움직임을 분석하였다. 분석 결과 두 시장간 국제 배출권 가격 사이에는 일물일가의 법칙이 성립하며, EU ETS가 Nord Pool의 가격을 선도(lead)하고 EU ETS의 가격이 Nord Pool 가격의 움직임에 영향을 주는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 Nord Pool은 자체 시장과 타 시장의 변동 모두에 큰 영향을 받는 시장인 반면, EU ETS는 외부의 충격에 큰 영향을 받지 않는 시장으로 분석되었다. 향후 유럽 지역에서의 배출권 시장이 EU ETS를 중심으로 통합되어 하나의 배출권 시장을 형성할 것으로 예측된다.

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The relationship between carbon dioxide, crop and food production index in Ghana: By estimating the long-run elasticities and variance decomposition

  • Sarkodie, Samuel Asumadu;Owusu, Phebe Asantewaa
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.193-202
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    • 2017
  • The study estimated the relationship between carbon dioxide, crop and livestock production index in Ghana: Estimating the long-run elasticities and variance decomposition by employing a time series data spanning from 1960-2013 using both fit regression and ARDL models. There was evidence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between carbon dioxide emissions, crop production index and livestock production index. Evidence from the study shows that a 1% increase in crop production index will increase carbon dioxide emissions by 0.52%, while a 1% increase in livestock production index will increase carbon dioxide emissions by 0.81% in the long-run. There was evidence of a bidirectional causality between a crop production index and carbon dioxide emissions and a unidirectional causality exists from livestock production index to carbon dioxide emissions. Evidence from the variance decomposition shows that 37% of future fluctuations in carbon dioxide emissions are due to shocks in the crop production index while 18% of future fluctuations in carbon dioxide emissions are due to shocks in the livestock production index. Efforts towards reducing pre-production, production, transportation, processing and post-harvest losses are essential to reducing food wastage which affects Ghana's carbon footprint.