• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal structure

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A Test for Nonlinear Causality and Its Application to Money, Production and Prices (통화(通貨)·생산(生産)·물가(物價)의 비선형인과관계(非線型因果關係) 검정(檢定))

  • Baek, Ehung-gi
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.117-140
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    • 1991
  • The purpose of this paper is primarily to introduce a nonparametric statistical tool developed by Baek and Brock to detect a unidirectional causal ordering between two economic variables and apply it to interesting macroeconomic relationships among money, production and prices. It can be applied to any other causal structure, for instance, defense spending and economic performance, stock market index and market interest rates etc. A key building block of the test for nonlinear Granger causality used in this paper is the correlation. The main emphasis is put on nonlinear causal structure rather than a linear one because the conventional F-test provides high power against the linear causal relationship. Based on asymptotic normality of our test statistic, the nonlinear causality test is finally derived. Size of the test is reported for some parameters. When it is applied to a money, production and prices model, some evidences of nonlinear causality are found by the corrected size of the test. For instance, nonlinear causal relationships between production and prices are demonstrated in both directions, however, these results were ignored by the conventional F-test. A similar results between money and prices are obtained at high lag variables.

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Analysis of the Causal Structure Among Innovation Support Policy, Innovation and Performance: Focusing on Knowledge Service Firms (혁신 지원정책과 혁신 그리고 성과의 인과구조 분석: 지식서비스기업을 중심으로)

  • Baek, Sung-hyun
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.324-357
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    • 2016
  • As the transition to the knowledge-based economy has been accelerated in the 21st century, the importance of the service industry has been highlighted. As the proportion of knowledge service industry in the economy and the related employment rate are continuously growing, it is necessary to bring innovation to the industry in order to increase competitiveness. In this study, the innovation types are diversified into product, process, organization, and marketing and the influencing factors have been analyzed with knowledge service firms. The complex causal relationship that is linked to the innovation performance has been analyzed by the structural equation with each innovation types as the intervening variables. The results of this study can be summarized as follows. The innovation capacity of firms in knowledge service industry has very strong positive effects either directly or indirectly on product innovation, process innovation, organizational innovation, marketing innovation, and the revenue and employment of the firm. On the other hand, innovation support policy through government intervention produce negative impact on product innovation and they do not create meaningful impact on the total effect on the revenue nor the employment growth. The innovation should ultimately create effects on the revenue and the employment of the firm. And the government support policies should be carefully designed in consideration of the final destination point of this complex causal structure.

System Thinking Perspective on the Dynamic Relationship between Organizational Characteristics of Nuclear Safety Culture

  • Kim, Byung Suk;Oh, Youngmin
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2014
  • Objective: The purpose of this study is to grasp the fundamental structure of incident occurrence in nuclear organizations based on system thinking, and analyze how various causes are interrelated in terms of the causal loop diagram. Background: The recent domestic and overseas nuclear power plant-related incidents and accidents are directly or indirectly associated with safety culture, and thus effective plans for the improvement of safety culture are being called for. While the safety of a nuclear power plant is highly dependent upon technology and equipment, the utilization, maintenance and inspection of the technology and equipment are conducted by workers of the nuclear power plant. Method: Methodology of system thinking perspective using causal loop analysis. Results: As a result of the analysis, first, it turned out that the fundamental cause of incident occurrence in nuclear organizations is time constraint. Second, if a workload of workers increases, their adherence to regulations and procedures comes to be reduced due to time constraint. Third, it is needed, through organizational learning education, to increase actions made from thoughts considering safety as the utmost priority in advance. Fourth, it is necessary to improve professionalism by enhancing educational programs for new workers, and to develop various scenarios with which they can cope with certain situations. Application: This paper provides a base for system dynamics simulation model for future study.

The causal relationship between consumers 'life-style and motivation, satisfaction of attributes at fast-food restaurant - Focused on college students eastern area of Kangwon Province (패스트푸드 전문점 이용객의 라이프스타일과 동기, 속성만족과의 인과관계 - 강원도 영동권 대학생들 위주로)

  • Yoon Tae-Hwan
    • Korean journal of food and cookery science
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    • v.21 no.6 s.90
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    • pp.867-876
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    • 2005
  • The purposes of this study were, 1) to investigate the causal relationship between customer's life-style and motivation of eating-out, and 2) to research the causal nexus between motivation of eating-out and satisfaction of attributes to choose the restaurant. Reliability analysis, factor analysis, and Structure Equation Model(SEM) were adapted by Windows SPSS 10.0 and Amos 4.0. Life-style was divided into 7 factors and eating-out motivation into 5. Life-style influenced significantly each motivation of eating-out. It had positive influence on 'Reception and congratulation', 'Change of dietary life', 'Economic saving', "'Preference motivation', and 'Advertisement and companion's need', but negative influence on 'Reception and congratulation', 'Change of dietary life', and 'Preference motivation'. Customer's motivation of eating-out also influenced significantly the attributes. Factorl 'Reception and congratulation' had positive influence on all attributes except for 'Transportation convenience and distance to the shop'. Factor 2 'Change of dietary life' had negative influence on 'Food's taste, quantity, price', 'Sanitation and cleanness', and 'Staff's service quality' Factor 3 "Economic saving' had positive influence on 'Food's taste, quantity, price' and 'Transportation convenience and distance to the shop'. factors 'Advertisement and companion's need' had positive influence on 'Atmosphere of restaurant' and negative influence on 'Food's taste, quantity, price'.

A Study on the Causal Relationship between Logistics Infrastructure and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in Korea

  • Wang, Chao;Kim, Yul-Seong;Wang, Chong;Kim, Chi Yeol
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.18-33
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This paper investigates the causal relationship between logistics infrastructure development and the economic growth of Korea. Considering the industrial and economic structure of Korea, it is likely that logistics infrastructure is positively associated with the economic growth of the country. Design/methodology - The causal relationship between logistics infrastructure and economic development is estimated using Vector Autoregressive (VAR) and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) considering long-run equilibrium between the two factors. To this end, a dataset consisting of 7 logistics infrastructure proxies and 5 economic growth indicators covering the period of 1990-2017 is used. Findings - It was found that causality, in general, runs from logistics infrastructure development to economic growth. Specifically, the results indicate that maritime transport is positively associated with the economic growth of Korea in terms of GDP and international trade. In addition, other modes of transport also have a positive impact on either the GDP or international trade of Korea. Originality/value - While existing studies in this area are based on either regional observations or a specific mode of transport, this study presents empirical evidence on causality between logistics infrastructure and the economic growth of Korea using a more comprehensive dataset. In addition, the findings in this paper can provide valuable implications for transport infrastructure development policies.

Application Review of a Systemic Accident Analysis Method in the Field of Occupational Health - Focused on the Analysis of Methanol Poisoning Accidents Using STAMP - (산업보건 분야에서 시스템적 사고 분석 방법의 활용성 검토 - STAMP를 이용한 메탄올 중독사고 분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Dong-Hyun Seo;Jang-Hyun Park;Jong-Soo Hyun;Jin-Hyun Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.188-205
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    • 2023
  • Objectives: Methanol poisoning accidents in smartphone parts manufacturing facilities were analyzed using a systemic accident analysis method, and the necessity and possibility of the application of this systemic method in the field of occupational health were reviewed. Methods: A STAMP model for accident analysis was created based on the previously published literature. CAST analysis was performed to find the causal factors of the components and between the components. Results: The STAMP model visually showed the abstract and complex system control structure. The CAST analysis results could include all the causal factors from the previously published literature, and presented them holistically. Additional causal factors that were not presented in the literature were found. Conclusions: The holistic accident analysis results in this study will be helpful to establish comprehensive measures to prevent methanol or other chemical poisoning accidents. Therefore, it will be necessary to use systemic accident analysis methods in the field of occupational health.

On causality in a space-time

  • Kim, Jin-Hwan
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.783-788
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    • 1996
  • We study some causality characterizations in a space-time by considering chronological common future (or past) sets and indecomposable sets that are important roles in studying causal boundary structure of the space-time.

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Deep Reasoning Methodology Using the Symbolic Simulation (기호적 시뮬레이션을 이용한 심층추론 방법론)

  • 지승도
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 1994
  • Deep reasoning procedures are model-based, inferring single or multiple causes and/or timing relations from the knowledge of behavior of component models and their causal structure. The overall goal of this paper is to develop an automated deep reasoning methodology that exploits deep knowledge of structure and behavior of a system. We have proceeded by building a software environment that uses such knowledge to reason from advanced symbolic simulation techniques introduced by Chi and Zeigler. Such reasoning system has been implemented and tested on several examples in the domain of performance evaluation, and event-based control.

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Experiences of Being Tied with Drugs in the Elderly Women in Community (재가 여성노인의 약물 얽매임 경험)

  • Kim, Jeong-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.36 no.7
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    • pp.1215-1223
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: This study was done to understand elderly women within a community who have used lots of drugs. Method: Data was collected through in-depth interviews with four elderly women from April 2001 to February 2002. Data was analyzed by Giorgi's phenomenological method(2000). Results: The components in common with drug usage of elderly women were as follows: 'Awareness of the limitation of physical strength and uncertainty of life', 'Dread of a crisis situation occurring', 'Attachment and dependency on drugs', 'Expectation of a comfortable life and death', 'Prevention of family burden', and 'Pursuit of psychological comfort'. The general structure of experiences was as follows: causal factors were 'Awareness of uncertainty and limitation', 'dread of a crisis situation occurring' the results factor was 'Attachment and dependency on drugs' and the facilitating factors were 'Expectation of a comfortable life and death', 'Prevention of family burden', and 'Pursuit of psychological comfort'. The causal relation was cyclic. This structure showed a realistic adaptation pattern. Conclusion: This study contributed to provide fundamental data for nursing interventions for health promotion and promoting quality of life in elderly women by increasing understanding of the experiences of drugs use.

An Effect of SNS Tourism Information Service Quality on User Satisfaction and Reuse Intention: Focusing on Mediating Effect of Value (SNS 관광정보 서비스품질이 사용자 만족과 재이용의도에 미치는 영향: 가치의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Tae-Kyung;Cho, Chul-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.185-200
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: Present study was designed to examine the casual relationships among tourism information service quality, value, user satisfaction, and reuse intention in social network service(SNS). Also, we intended to testify the mediating role of value in causal model. We applied path analysis model in order to test the hypotheses and research model. Methods: Survey tool, that is, questionnaire has obtained validity through literature survey, exploratory survey and pretest and sample 272 was selected. For statistical treatment of pretest and main analysis, SPSS18.0 and AMOS18.0 were employed and structural equation model was employed as analysis method. Results: Result of this study shows as follows. Two factors(ease of understanding and structure) have an effect on user satisfaction and reuse intention, and we found that value played a significant and important role in causal relationship. Therefore, value was empirically confirmed as t he import ant fact or preceding user satisfaction and reuse intention. Conclusion: Present study shows that two factors(ease of understanding and structure) in via of value, were important factors that related business companies have to emphasize to raise performance. However, present study has some limitations to additionally research in the future.